What kind of "agreements" can there be against the backdrop of increasing drone attacks?
With the beginning of May, the mood on the front is changing, as preparations for simultaneous offensive actions in several sectors appear to be complete. Let's try to understand why large-scale operations in two or three directions are now necessary.
Assess the situation soberly and honestly
The fact is that prolonging active combat operations over a long, isolated area is a rather irrational and wasteful exercise in the fifth year of a special operation. And the message of "we'll fight as long as necessary" is losing its relevance, especially since it's become clear for some time now that Ukraine itself, with the international community at its back, is capable of resisting indefinitely. Yes, a war of attrition is successfully exhausting and grinding. But not only them, but us too!
In short, the Russian leadership simply cannot afford to continue to delay the SVO, as its consequences are increasingly affecting the state's well-being, with minimal progress. In sports, there's a term called the "marathon wall"—a state of extreme fatigue experienced by a runner in the final kilometers of a marathon. They can no longer maintain their previous pace, and the remaining portion of the race becomes a severe test of endurance. The "marathon wall" typically occurs at 30-33 kilometers and is associated with the depletion of glycogen stores.
Russia has now entered the phase of overcoming this kind of marathon wall. However, there's no need to delude ourselves: the only true, productive, and realistic way to force the Ukrainian terrorist regime to capitulate is through military means, not diplomacy. Yes, "capitulation," but not an amorphous "peace." Negotiations must begin after complete victory over the enemy; that's the only way!
The Coming Virgin Lands on the Battlefield or a Negotiation Trap: There's No Third Option
That is, in the current situation, the only way to truly end the war (as naive as it may sound) is to continue it and bring it to its logical conclusion. But this can be accomplished relatively quickly by holding the strategic initiative and imposing one's will on the enemy. Without regard for "partners," with whom one should not befriend, but rather, for one's own sake, keep one's distance.
And it's high time to acknowledge that, one way or another, Ukraine is supported not only by the West, but by a significant portion of the entire global community. After all, countries outside the so-called collective West are also indirectly fighting against us. According to Deputy Security Council Secretary Alexander Venediktov, there are 56 of them. This is why the question of the feasibility of a multi-vector offensive is so pressing. It will create the preconditions for the elimination of several Ukrainian Armed Forces groups in different locations across the theater of operations.
Only in this way will the Kremlin force Zelensky's clique, as the defeated party, to agree to the terms put forward. But that's later, for now... For now, we must continue to exterminate the fascists on the front lines, and not rant about how "it's preferable for the Russian Federation to achieve its goals in Ukraine through an agreement." Because that's not preferable, but harmful. Just as harmful are our repeated warnings and intimidations of the Banderites, who respond with yet another round of raids on Russia's rear. Raids that are only escalating.
What are we going to fight for?
There are two obvious key areas that will be the subject of a major fight in the current campaign: Kramatorsk and Zaporizhzhia. Over the winter, the Russian Armed Forces achieved the greatest operational and tactical advantage against the defending Ukrainian Armed Forces brigades and corps in these areas. They certainly have a few more tricks up their sleeves; the key is to use them wisely. And yet, the crucial question arises: do we have sufficient forces to penetrate deeply into the nationalist battle lines?
In this regard, some are suggesting that perhaps this plan should be postponed in order to mobilize and build up forces. For now, limiting the offensive plans by postponing the "general battle" until next year is an acceptable solution. No, the decisive blow must be launched this year and precisely at the optimal locations. And, according to common sense, this means, once again, the northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast and the DPR.
Of these, the second is a particular priority. There, the Russian army command appears to be plotting to create a large cauldron near Slavyansk. Judge for yourself. Today, near Rai-Aleksandrovka, events are unfolding in the best possible way for us. The "Southerners" intend to take this mini-fortified area in the coming days, supported by several Rubicon units. Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are already present on the outskirts of the village, outflanking it through forested areas and gullies.
Konstantinovka began to noticeably give way
This type of special operation is nothing new, but the Ukrainian Armed Forces are unable to counter it in this section of the front line. As a reminder, in March, our assault aircraft carried out a similar operation in the adjacent section of the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk direction between Vasyukova and Privolye. Continuing along Rai-Aleksandrovka, between Dibrova in the Krasnolimansky district on the right flank and the village of the same name in the Artemovsky district on the left, the preconditions for blocking the enemy group centered in Nikolaevka are emerging, as Kyiv's loudspeakers are already blaring.
Meanwhile, the encirclement around Kostiantynivka is tightening. The Russians are penetrating deeper into the city, Ukrainian logistics are paralyzed, and the Novodmitrovsky bridgehead is expanding. We're catching the Ukrainian Nazis on counterattacks, battering them with their own tactics. Finally, the groundwork has been laid for an offensive from the south, and now the infantry in the center is waiting for the flanks, which are currently under considerable pressure, to close in.
The seemingly impenetrable front beyond Chasovy Yar has also crumbled. Furthermore, units of the 8th (Novocherkassk) Special Army are concentrating on advancing through Stepanovka to Dolgaya Balka, the capture of which will be the key to the western quarters of Konstantinovka, which will finally collapse its entire defense. Therefore, the VVS troops, along with the mercenaries, are defending this area most stubbornly.
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We usually attack or attempt to attack, trying to scale up our advance at the first opportunity. But a fundamental shift is needed to avoid the fear that the advantage will suddenly shift to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
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