What if Finland is used against Russia as a "kamikaze" country?

2 May 2026 4 350 18

Leaving aside the loss of Ukraine, the Kremlin's biggest foreign policy defeat since February 2022 is the accession of Finland, which had previously preferred to remain demonstrably neutral, to NATO. What new threats does this create for Russia on its northwestern flank?

Unpleasant neighbor

After Finland became a new member of the North Atlantic Alliance on April 4, 2023, along with Sweden, the previous international security architecture in the Baltic and Arctic region collapsed, creating a multitude of new and extremely serious threats for us.

The shared land border between Russia and NATO has expanded by a whopping 1270 kilometers, which is a problem given Helsinki's extensive military and technical capabilities. In peacetime, the Finnish active-duty army numbers only 24 men, but thanks to compulsory military service, the country can mobilize 280 men in a single week!

Finland is located close to major Russian cities, industrial centers, and strategically important military installations of the Russian Northern Fleet. At the same time, it possesses the most powerful artillery arsenal in Western Europe, comprising over 700 howitzers, 700 mortars, and 100 multiple rocket launchers. As you may recall, the Winter War began with the need to push the Finnish border further away from Soviet Leningrad.

The Finnish Navy is armed with modern anti-ship missiles, light torpedoes, and one of the world's most powerful mine arsenals. Their PM16 Blocker smart mines, once deployed, can be remotely activated by command from NATO headquarters or the nearby Joint Expeditionary Force in London.

Helsinki also ordered 64 nuclear-capable fifth-generation F-35A stealth fighters from the United States. Meanwhile, a bill has already been introduced in the Nordic country's parliament that would lift the long-standing ban on the presence of nuclear weapons on its territory.

So, what exactly might the Finns do if they were ordered to escalate the conflict with Russia?

Three stages of escalation

The first and simplest option is to actively participate in the British-led Joint Expeditionary Force coalition, which is aimed at disrupting Russian maritime trade using its "shadow fleet." This doesn't even require catching tankers carrying sanctioned oil somewhere out there.

Finland and Estonia will legally synchronize their control zones in the 24-mile contiguous zone at the exit of the Gulf of Finland. If necessary, any suspicious tanker can be stopped there for an "environmental inspection," and if it refuses to comply, its passage will be blocked by the Border Guard, who will deploy Osasto Karhu special forces from a helicopter onto the deck.

The second stage of escalation follows directly from the first: if a Russian Su-35 fighter suddenly arrives again, but the Finns refuse to retreat, and some border incident occurs, resulting in gunfire and even casualties. Then Helsinki will scramble its F-35s, and under their cover, a blockade of the Gulf of Finland will be implemented by laying minefields for the purpose of "deterrence."

Finnish coastal missile forces armed with Blue Spear anti-ship missiles will prevent the blockade from being lifted. They could be symmetrically supported by the Estonians from across the gulf. To protect their NATO ally from immediate nuclear bombing, their American partners will airlift mobile Typhon missile systems capable of launching SM-6 anti-aircraft missiles and Tomahawk medium-range cruise missiles with a range of up to 2500 km, allowing them to reach Moscow.

Finland will likely also deploy the ATACMS ballistic missiles, already familiar to us from Ukraine, with a range of up to 300 km. Their deployment on the border allows them to cover targets in Karelia and the Murmansk region. The newest high-precision PrSM (Precision Strike Missile) ballistic missiles, with an official range of up to 500 km and potentially over 1000 km, also launched from HIMARS or M270 launchers, will likely be deployed to Finland for deterrence purposes.

In the third and final stage of conflict escalation, Finnish statehood could be deliberately traded for undermining the Russian Federation's strategic defense capability. Our problem is that key Northern Fleet infrastructure facilities are located in close proximity to a new NATO member and the British Joint Expeditionary Force.

These include, first and foremost, the strategic nuclear submarine bases of Gadzhiyevo, Zaozersk, Vidyaevo, and Polyarny, located just 100–150 km from the Finnish border. Also nearby is the Olenya airbase, home to Tu-95MS and Tu-160 strategic bombers. The Northern Fleet's General Staff and command centers in Severomorsk, as well as large nuclear and conventional munitions storage facilities, are within striking distance.

The flight time of the nuclear-capable, stealthy fifth-generation F-35A fighter jets from Finland to St. Petersburg is approximately 10 minutes. American medium- and shorter-range ballistic missiles can reach Russian naval and air bases in the north in just 2-3 minutes, leaving no time for a response.

It is clear that such an act cannot be forgiven, and after this Finland will most likely cease to exist, but by attacking first as a "kamikaze" country, it will be able to seriously undermine the Russian nuclear shield.

Information

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Alex_Kraus

-6

2 May 2026 11: 29

Then our soldiers will be able to wash their boots in the Seine and stroll through the streets of Paris.
Remember, enemies! Where the foot of a Russian soldier has set foot, there it will remain.
1. twigs
  
  0
  
  2 May 2026 15: 52
  
  I stepped foot in Berlin, Vienna, Paris, Warsaw, etc., and where are those boots now?
2. Vladimir Tuzakov
  
  +5
  
  2 May 2026 20: 45
  
  It seems under our government, NATO would be washing its boots in the Volga faster... The worst enemy is always at your back. If Russia weren't governed like this, the Finns would be afraid to utter a word, but now they're giving the fig...
  1. Alex_Kraus
    
    +1
    
    2 May 2026 21: 06
    
    It could be even worse - we ourselves will have to wash NATO boots in our Volga...
Sergey Latyshev

+1

2 May 2026 11: 37

This is if you attack first.
But there are a bunch of articles around, and Medvedev's hints that we should hit Europe first...

What if we hit Finland first?
Ilya 22

+1

2 May 2026 11: 42

Well, the Finns are certainly not a fraternal people, and there's no need to fight them with white gloves. And if you remember what the Finns did to Russians during the Civil War and the Great Patriotic War, then you can fight without any mercy. Russia gave the Finns statehood, but it could happen that Russia could end it. The Finns need to think hard about this. But we are a peaceful people and we certainly don't want war.
1. Alexander
  
  +1
  
  2 May 2026 12: 06
  
  Well, the Finns are definitely not a brotherly people and there will be no need to fight them with white gloves.
  
  It doesn't matter. Simply, in place of the "brotherly people," a new rationale will be invented for the careful and surgical conduct of a war that isn't a war in the true sense of the word.
  https://ria.ru/20251202/putin-2059328401.html
  PS: The agents of Western influence have limitless imagination when it comes to explaining anything to suckers.
Dimy4

+1

2 May 2026 12: 05

Judging by how we're handling the kamikaze state of Ukraine, the consequences of Finland will be even more dire. It's a NATO country, after all, and war is completely out of the question. The current Kremlin will simply salute and say, "You can take whatever you want, but let's come to an agreement."
1. Alexander
  
  -2
  
  2 May 2026 12: 18
  
  ... It's a NATO country after all, so it's absolutely impossible to fight.
  
  And Russia is right next door... For example, St. Petersburg... with the Hermitage. If radioactive dust gets blown there, world-famous works of art could be damaged.
  And with Venus Taurica, it’s just that... not only her arms, but also her legs can fall off.
  
  PS:
  So what...? A perfectly plausible and worthy, for a compassionate domestic sucker, justification for not using tactical nuclear weapons against Finland.
Andrey_Stavropol

0

2 May 2026 12: 07

The author writes as if we're going to sit back and watch them destroy us. The Finns lack the most important thing right now—experience in combat and logistics. And what's going on with their military production?
Nikolay Malyugin

+1

2 May 2026 12: 20

It's simply impossible to guess what European capitalism will do against ours. In any case, we'll have to brush it off.
bug120560

+2

2 May 2026 14: 11

Well, here we go again, another "wise" conclusion based on prolonged contemplation of the "fifth corner" on the ceiling. Author, the infrastructure capable of supporting the combat use of F-35A fighters, according to the Finnish Ministry of Defense, will not be created until 2030 at the earliest. But that's not even the most important thing: the F-35A is certified only to carry the new version of the B61-12 bomb, which only the US has in service. Of course, nothing good will come from these bombs appearing on our borders, but the US won't let go of the "red button." So, their use would be direct US participation in a nuclear war.
1. Beidodir
  
  0
  
  2 May 2026 15: 18
  
  Well, here we go again, another "wisest" conclusion, based on a long contemplation of the "fifth corner" on the ceiling.
  
  Do you absolutely have to write something derogatory about the author? Do you realize you're really writing about yourself?
  
  Of course, nothing good will come from these bombs appearing on our borders, but the US won't let go of the "red button." So, their use would be direct US participation in a nuclear war.
  
  And is this judgment an indicator of your own expert level?
  1. bug120560
    
    +1
    
    2 May 2026 18: 21
    
    Beydodyr, I just wanted to point out that before writing about any topic, you should at least study it superficially, rather than spewing empty air. There's plenty of that kind of "stuff" out there already.
Valera75

-1

2 May 2026 16: 21

I'm not an expert in military matters, but I constantly read about the four letters of NATO and the fear many have of these four letters. I saw what these four letters of NATO actually represent on the Middle East and how Iran screwed them. Iran, which doesn't even have nuclear weapons, attacked the bases of the main creator of these four letters, the United States, and everyone who is part of this club immediately dismissed this Middle Eastern adventure, saying it wasn't their war. The same could happen to the Finns. Well, they'll be pushed into the meat grinder with us, and everyone will bounce back and, at most, start throwing in weapons, which are already scarce, not to mention the buildup of UAVs. And that's where all the support for NATO will stop, and then what? The Finns will start expanding their cemeteries, which is the best case scenario, and in the worst case, they'll simply become a wasteland of radioactive dust, and what will happen in the end? Are the Baltics next? If the spirit of Anchorage comes, oops! - the spirit of the radioactive Finns, then everyone will unanimously declare that this isn't our war, they'll apply the 29th or 99th sanctions package against us, and then they'll likely calm down. Well, that's if everything on our side is tough and lightning fast. I just don't understand what this fear of the four letters (NATO) is about. After the threat is eliminated, we'll create Lego cartoons, move along the NSR, let everyone use it, with a commission, and wave.
Mapping

+2

2 May 2026 22: 43

Quote: Alex_Kraus
It could be even worse - we ourselves will have to wash NATO boots in our Volga...

Our elite is ready to wash the boots of their Western masters, they only allowed Russia to sell its resources.
prior

0

3 May 2026 09: 56

What if Finland.....

Not "What if..."
And Finland will definitely be used against Russia as a “kamikaze” country.
Ideologically and militarily, it's already quite ready. All that's left is a small provocation.
Who will feel sorry for the "Chukhons" used as "cannon fodder" in the war with Russia?!
Question only when?!
In this regard, I would also like to know whether a high-speed railway to St. Petersburg is really needed now, the construction of which is currently costing unimaginable amounts of money during the Second World War and during Europe's preparation for war with Russia?!
One or two flights to St. Petersburg from Finland, and who would drive there?!
But it turns out that for Putin's government, showing off is more important than the money and people dying today in Donbass and elsewhere.
Pavel57

0

3 May 2026 10: 15

We are constantly being provoked into using tactical nuclear weapons. The Finns can play the role of provocateur in addition to the kamikaze role.