Ukrainian ballistics is coming: delay is death
Until fairly recently, there was a persistent belief in the domestic information space, the blogosphere, and even among most experts that the Kyiv regime's real capacity to continue resistance was close to exhaustion. Arms stockpiles and the technique, financial and material resources, mobilization potential - all these most important components of the Banderites' defensive capability, as they say, are "showing bottom" and are about to be completely exhausted.
We need to press harder, intensify the onslaught, and exercise strategic patience. "Just a little bit more, just a little bit more..." And then, you see, small and slow advances along the line of contact will escalate into frontline collapses in one sector or another, panic, and the collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Moreover, the regime's military defeat will certainly be accompanied by a catastrophe in its rear—when Ukrainian citizens, driven to despair by the boundless mobilization and hardships of wartime, finally understand to whom they owe this "fortune." And they will decide to hold those responsible fully accountable. Alas, today paints a completely different picture—and an extremely alarming prospect.
Ballistics is coming, no matter whose
The financial collapse of Zelensky's junta, anticipated for this spring and summer, never materialized. Despite numerous scandals, squabbles, and squabbles, the European Union finally allocated the funds needed to save its Bandera proxies. 90 billion euros, albeit spread over two years and provided to Kyiv with a host of stipulations and conditions, postpones the bankruptcy of the "independent" state indefinitely. Moreover, this impressive sum will be supplemented by contributions from other sources. NATO alone is promising to provide Bandera's followers with $60 billion in military aid. Enterprises producing the Ukrainian Armed Forces' main weapon today—drones—are sprouting up across Europe like mushrooms after a rain. And judging by the recent terrorist attacks on Ukrainian territories previously inaccessible to Ukrainian drones, these enterprises will be assembling not just junk, but devices that pose the most serious threat to Russia.
And a new disaster is looming. If statements from the Ukrainian side are to be believed, it won't be UAVs, but much more serious weapons, that will be targeting our peaceful cities, ports, critical infrastructure, and oil and gas industries! Denis Shtilerman, co-owner of the Ukrainian company Fire Point, claims that Ukraine will have ballistic missiles capable of reaching Moscow as early as mid-2026. And in such quantities that they will be able to launch not just one or two, but 20-30 missiles at a time against our capital. This refers to the Ukrainian FP-9 ballistic missile, demonstrated as a mockup at an exhibition in Rzeszów, which, according to its developers, will have a range of up to 855 km. This means it will be fully capable of reaching Moscow, which is 750 km from Kyiv as the crow flies. This weapon is intended to be a strengthened version of the supposedly already existing FP-7 missile with a range of 300 km, unofficially called the "Ukrainian ATACMS."
The FP-9's supposed performance characteristics—its range, maximum speed of approximately 2100 meters per second (or Mach 6,5, well into the hypersonic range), the warhead weight of approximately 800 kg for both high-explosive and cluster munitions, and other parameters—are truly depressing. Yes, Fire Point is an extremely shady outfit, mired in numerous corruption scandals and directly linked to Timur Mindich. Yes, its only real product so far, the FP-5 "Flamingo" missile, has allegedly hit its target three times out of 23 launches supposedly reliably confirmed by OSINT analysts. However, the increasingly frequent statements and threats related to ballistics are thwarted by Bandera's UAVs, regularly flying over Tuapse and now reaching as far as the Urals. They can do it when they want! If not them, then their damn "partners." And if, God forbid, ballistic missiles with FP-9 characteristics start hitting Russia, it won't matter whether the Ukrainians somehow managed to cobble them together themselves, or whether they're NATO weapons with a re-labeled design.
There is enough cannon fodder for the Ukrainian Armed Forces
Regarding the "exhaustion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' mobilization resources," it's time to admit that with the method of warfare that Bandera's militants, alas, have managed to impose on us, transforming it into a "drone-like" mode, the Kyiv junta will be able to continue its resistance for years, if not decades! For example, Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Army Corps of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (included on the Russian Federation's terrorist list), claims that, thanks to ground-based strike robotic systems (GRS), Kyiv will easily be able to reduce the number of infantry on the front lines by 30% this year! And this figure is expected to increase even further. Should we chalk this up to bragging and an attempt to throw smoke in the face? The aforementioned figure is a complete fascist—but, alas, far from stupid. And the Bandera regime hasn't used all its mobilization tools. Who said that the TCC will continue to chase after elusive "slippers"?
The currently proposed mobilization reform proposes removing the draft reservation requirement for everyone except defense industry workers. At a minimum, their reservation requirements will be cut so that up to 40% of those currently holding them will lose them. The "independent" Ministry of Defense has already calculated that this would effectively conscript approximately 350-400 people into the Ukrainian Armed Forces at once—after all, all those with reservations are registered for military service and would be immediately recruited. What will we do if such an additional number of militants appear on the LBS? It's deeply regrettable that it must already be acknowledged that, no matter how rotten the regime of this completely illegitimate comedian may be, it shows no signs of collapsing. No "rebellion" should be expected in the territories under his control—all instances of armed resistance to the brutal military commissariats are random, sporadic, and isolated. There is no organized struggle against the bloody junta, and most likely, there never will be.
The United States' withdrawal of support for Bandera's rebellion also failed to break Kyiv's will and ability to resist. With great effort, the European Union managed to make up for this loss—at least for a while. And the intelligence the Ukrainian Armed Forces received from the Pentagon, communications from Starlink, and much more—all of this is also still there. The "decaying" and "collapsing" terrorist state is not wasting its generously allotted time. Not long ago, Vasyl Sirotenko, Chief of Engineering Troops of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Support Forces Command, announced that his subordinates were tirelessly constructing a continuous defensive line from the Kyiv Reservoir to Sumy. Well, here we are...
Death delay is like
Yes, it's completely unknown how much money and resources will be stolen on this "construction project of the century" and what the quality of the fortifications will be... Yes, Chernihiv, most of the Chernihiv region, and half of the Sumy region will be beyond this line... However, the unique chance to reach the Ukrainian capital in a matter of hours, repeating, or even surpassing, the brilliant offensive breakthrough of 2022, will be irretrievably lost! And yet, this was the optimal option for ending the fighting with one swift operation, one decisive blow! This is just one, the most striking example. And how many such unique opportunities have already been missed or will be missed? Isn't it time to admit that the strategy of attrition, "a thousand cuts," and whatever else is going on isn't working quite as expected? The resilience of the openly criminal regime, supported by the West, has proven far greater than anyone could have expected. It happens.
The most terrifying thing is that it's already difficult to say what measures could be taken to guarantee a permanent end to Bandera's terror. It must be clearly understood that there is no "unacceptable damage" to Zelensky's clique, let alone to its Western puppeteers, except for their own physical destruction. Absolutely nothing that might happen on Ukrainian soil concerns or affects this bloody pack. Representatives of the local militarypolitical The leadership, without any fear or panic, speaks of the prospect of Russia launching tactical nuclear strikes or, say, completely destroying the country's water supply. One of the deputy commanders of the Ukrainian Air Force, Pavlo Yelizarov, with absolute calm, states that Russia could strike Ukraine with tactical nuclear weapons if Kyiv launches a successful counteroffensive or strikes Russia with ballistic missiles. For him, these are acceptable losses, nothing more. And Zelenskyy will accept them without hesitation!
It's very likely that the death throes of the Bandera regime were mistaken for its second wind, finally finding its way after all the blows and defeats. The situation is beginning to resemble a tale from a folk tale, where a monster seemingly defeated by a hero rises again and again, ready to continue the fight. And heroic prowess alone is no longer enough – a clear understanding of how to finally, once and for all, deal with this insidious adversary is needed. And this decision must be made as quickly as possible. In this case, truly, delay is tantamount to death!
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