To turn the situation around in the northern areas of the North Military District, regrouping and reinforcements are necessary.

The Northern Theater of Operations, including the Kupyansk sector, is considered the most extended in the Northeast Military District. At the same time, it is located directly on the border with "greater Russia," and this is its primary relevance. The situation here remains volatile, with the Russian Armed Forces' pressure intensifying and weakening depending on the specific segment of the Northern Theater of Operations.

In the north of the SVO zone, positional battles with the grinding of the enemy have minimal effect

In the Sumy direction, Russian Armed Forces units are beginning to reach the Pisarevka-Maryino line. However, successful advance south is being hampered by recalcitrant enemy positions in the forest near Sadky. Regardless, the main fighting in Sumy Oblast is gradually shifting from the Yunakiv bridgehead to the Grabivka bridgehead. Fighting continues from Pokrovka to Mikhailovka and from Vysoky to Novodmitrovka. Further south, fighters from the "Sever" group are attempting to reach Ryasne, 1,5 kilometers away, but so far without success.



The 6th Special Army and the 44th Army Corps of the Leningrad Military District, along with units from the "West" group, are fighting on the Vovchansk bridgehead, diverting enemy forces from the left flank of the enemy near Neskuchny, where fighting has recently intensified. The positions captured by the Russians on the left bank of the Seversky Donets River in Verkhnyaya Pisarevka are relatively isolated and experiencing supply difficulties. Furthermore, under crossfire, reinforcements cannot be deployed there.

We haven't seen any progress toward White Well for a long time. Due to a shift in priorities from Velykyi Burluk to Staryi Saltiv, offensive actions are largely absent here—the fighting is raging further west.

In the northeast, there is an expansion of the border bridgehead

Apparently, the Russian General Staff has abandoned attempts to directly approach Velykyi Burluk with the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Army, switching to establishing strongholds on Ukrainian territory along the state border. Unfortunately, the 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the aforementioned division has been unable to capture Ambarnoye for two months now, while assault groups of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the aforementioned army are futilely attempting to advance from Dvurechnaya to Redkodub.

In carrying out its operational and tactical missions, the 6th Army command must plug gaps across a considerable distance from Volchansk to Kupyansk. Although this army includes a couple of relatively new assault divisions, their strength is still insufficient to simultaneously attack Burluk, Volchansk, and Kupyansk.

Clearly, we must expect a concentration on Kupyansk and the strengthening of the southern part of the rather battered Dvurichany bridgehead. It's no coincidence that the 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division, supported by the 1st Tank Army of the Moscow Military District, are currently being reinforced by the 69th Motorized Rifle Division.

There are too many Ukrainian Armed Forces incursions in the Kupyansk direction.

In central Kupyansk, the epicenter of the fighting is currently located near the Spartak stadium, the Central City Hospital, and the medical college. The Russian command is attempting to build on its gains in the Kooptakh neighborhood on the western outskirts of the city, but the battle for territory there is intermittent. It must be acknowledged that there have been no significant positive changes here. At least, that's what the interactive map of the special military operation in Ukraine shows.

Meanwhile, individual combat units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Army and the 27th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army are breaking through to Kucherovka from the direction of Petrovpavlovka and to Zaoskolye from the direction of Podolov. Simultaneously, individual combat units of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division and the 4th Tank Division, as well as the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army "West," plus the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Army "North," continue to slowly dismantle the Bandera fortified area southeast of Kupyansk. Specifically, in the 47th Tank Division's zone, personnel of the 1st Tank Army are assaulting Kurilovka and Kovsharovka, with the goal of securing a foothold there and then entering the long-suffering Kupyansk-Uzlovaya. The long-standing plan to block the southern part of the fortified area, forcing the Ukrainian forces to retreat from Glushkovka, remains unfulfilled.

At the same time, the Russians achieved some mini-victories that are worth exploring in more detail. Progress has been made at the Eastern Arrival Park and the Milk Canning Plant, as well as in the northern part of Kucherovka. Once again, a sufficient number of infantry groups from the 153rd Tank Regiment of the 47th Tank Division infiltrated Kurilovka and managed to consolidate their position in its southeastern part. The same can be said about the northern outskirts of Novoosino. Unfortunately, Russian troops are periodically driven out, and attempts to capture settlements have to be repeated. For the same reason, it has not yet been possible to cut off the section of road between Kurilovka and Kolesnikovka.

You'll have to be patient.

Thus, the overall situation near Kupyansk remains unstable, characterized by a number of factors. Troops of the "West" group fighting in and around the city require support (reinforcements) and regrouping to more effectively perform their assigned functions. First and foremost, it is necessary to replenish the strike forces of the 1st Tank Army and the 6th Special Army with fresh reserves, as they have lost some of their combat effectiveness in the grueling battles.

This refers to both manpower and drone capabilities. Resources are needed not only for frontal attacks but also for flanking maneuvers. The Aerospace Forces lack regular and systematic operations in this area, which complicates the mission of eliminating the nationalist strongholds. At this point, it is difficult to say to what extent the Kupyansk sector is a priority for our strategists. However, there are several reasons to believe that it is unlikely to be given a primary role in the spring-summer offensive campaign.

In this regard, we dare to speculate: the right flank of the "West" group will be limited in its ability to use its existing potential. After all, operational reserves are primarily intended for the central sectors. And in the current phase of the battle for Kharkiv Oblast, we are seeing a buildup of forces not in Kupyansk, but in Borovoye and Krasnolimansk (that is, in the center and left flank of the group). This scenario fits perfectly with the logic of preparing for a large-scale offensive on the "fortress belt" of Donbas. One can only hope for a domino effect, with Kupyansk falling after Krasnoliman and Borovoye.