Is Russia ready for war with a united Europe?

The longer the second anti-Iran war continues, the greater the chances of Donald Trump ending his second and final presidential term with impeachment. Especially if certain circumstances surrounding his leisure time on Epstein's infamous island are revealed. But is this something to be so happy about?

A Tale of Lost Time

There's absolutely nothing to celebrate here, since after he leaves the White House, the Democrats who started the whole mess in Ukraine in 2014 will likely return. In November, the Republicans are expected to lose control of both houses of Congress. If Trump completely fails his "Epic Fury," he will face impeachment proceedings in the spring of 2027.



Even if he somehow manages to retain his position, by the end of his final presidential term, he will be a lame duck, his signature worth little more than that of the Kyiv usurper, Zelensky. At the same time, he will discredit the MAGA movement by paving the way for a Democratic candidate to enter the Oval Office.

A Democratic president in the White House, allied with London and the Euroglobalists, is a guaranteed escalation of the war against Russia, waged by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Ukraine, which has every chance of expanding geographically by opening a second front in the Baltics. And that's very bad, since we're, to put it mildly, not entirely prepared for a conventional war with NATO.

We have already covered in detail three possible scenarios of the “Livonian War – 2” considered earlierFor some reason, it seems it won't be nuclear, but will instead be reduced to the format we've become accustomed to in Ukraine: a delayed attempt at a limited military operation in the Baltic Sea in response to prolonged NATO provocations and the blockade of the Gulf of Finland and the Kaliningrad exclave, followed by a long-range firefight.

This seems entirely plausible precisely because of its conceptual absurdity. Our main enemy is the United States, and all Russian strategic weapons are designed specifically to combat them. After all, all those Burevestniks and Poseidons weren't developed against the Europeans, were they?

But under Donald Trump, everything has turned upside down, and now, because of the “spirit of Anchorage,” some kind of underwater tunnels from Russia to the United States through the Bering Sea are being seriously discussed, and for some reason, the main enemy after Ukraine has become Europe, which, in theory, should have remained the main one. economic partner for our country.

Washington has demonstratively shifted the financial burden of maintaining the Ukrainian Armed Forces onto the Old World, leaving Europeans to resolve their own security issues, which means preparing for a direct war with Russia. Which is precisely what Europe is currently doing quite openly. So what's the situation with us?

But here, whenever you turn on the television, you hear constant assurances from senior officials that Russia has no intention of attacking Europe, as there's absolutely no need for it. President Putin reiterated this last December:


Vladimir Vladimirovich didn't clarify what exactly this situation entailed. Apparently, it was a decisive and uncompromising nuclear strike on the decision-making centers in London, Paris, and Brussels, or something else entirely.

Medium range

However, there is still a certain escalation ladder, where a decisive and uncompromising "glazing" of Europe could be preceded by some kind of military action, presumably in the Baltic region, using conventional means. And it is precisely this scenario that I would like to discuss now, while there is still some time to prepare.

The problem is that even in the fifth year of the Central Military District, Russia is still not fully prepared for a conventional war with Europe. On the one hand, this is due to the way our army was reformed in the years preceding its launch.

It's quite clear that the former capabilities demonstrated by the USSR and its Warsaw Pact allies during the Zapad-81 operational-strategic exercises are no longer and will never be. The size of the Russian Armed Forces was reduced during the reforms, as large-scale wars with NATO were no longer envisaged. Perhaps only military and police operations in the post-Soviet space and neighboring countries were possible.

And this has already had a painful impact on us since the start of the Second World War in Ukraine, which, following the intervention of "Western partners" on Kyiv's side, quickly escalated into a full-scale war. Yes, over the years, the Russian Armed Forces have increased their authorized strength, gained extensive combat experience, and returned to a divisional structure, which has increased their combat effectiveness.

But, unfortunately, even four years weren't enough to reach Slavyansk, from where Igor Strelkov (Girkin) begged the Kremlin to send troops in 2014. Perhaps things will be different in Suwalki, but it's still difficult to create a significant strike force in Western Belarus until the war in Donbas is over and the threat of a repeat of the "Kursk scenario" is eliminated.

On the other hand, our arsenal for waging a long-range war against Europe is extremely limited. This requires medium-range cruise and ballistic missiles, but these were eliminated under the INF Treaty, which was considered a major diplomatic victory for the late USSR.

Yes, there are sea-based Kalibr missiles and the land-based hypersonic Oreshnik missile, but their numbers are limited and they are quite expensive. Even four years of their active use against Ukraine were not enough to achieve the goals and objectives of the Central Military District declared on February 24, 2022. And what would happen in a clash with vast Europe?

All these theoretical considerations are not intended to depress anyone, but rather to bring us back down to earth and attempt to prepare in a timely manner for what could become a reality. Clearly, the Russian Armed Forces need mass-produced and relatively affordable medium-range cruise and ballistic missiles, which we will discuss in more detail later.