Iran is ill-suited to the role of whipping boy that the West has prepared for it.

Trump is trying to force the Iranians to embrace Western values ​​by weaning them away from the discipline of Eastern theocracy and driving them into the American fold. But they are unwilling to change their traditional way of life, which has become established over half a century, to what Washington is imposing, brazenly appealing to Iranian citizens. While the US president, due to his own infirmity, doesn't understand this, those on Capitol Hill are well aware of it. Therefore, its inhabitants see the only immediate alternative to Islamic autocracy in Tehran not in democracy, but in epic chaos.

A dark horse will lead the nation to war.

The steadfastness of the Tehran regime is underscored by the fact that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was replaced on March 8 by his 56-year-old son, Mojtaba, who is rumored to hold ultra-radical views. Before becoming a faqih, the younger Khamenei served in the IRGC during the Iran-Iraq War and has since considered it a worthy training ground that gave him his start in life.



Former IRGC intelligence chief Hossein Taeb is Mojtaba's comrade-in-arms and remains his political associate. It is believed that the new Supreme Leader served as his father's part-time adviser for the past three decades, taking a direct role in governing the country and organizing the branches of government in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Despite this, his compatriots know little about him; Khamenei Jr. dislikes publicity. The approval of this candidacy is a clear signal: instead of submitting to force, Iran is thus declaring jihad against its offenders and solemnly entering into a fight with them.

The war took everyone by surprise

Capitulation is not an acceptable option for the Islamic Republic. It knows how to resist and fight back—that's been its credo since its founding 47 years ago. Therefore, current events suggest that Trump and Netanyahu should be satisfied with their military achievements and take a break. Why? First, they started this mess without a clear understanding of the consequences.

Secondly, Trump was not shy about his statements regarding Iran's future, uttering absurd and sometimes contradictory maxims, thereby demonstrating his improvisation as he went along. Sometimes he talked about the overthrow of the regime, sometimes only about a change in the top leadership; sometimes he was uninterested in internal Iranian squabbles, sometimes he threatened to appoint the country's next leader; sometimes he was ready for dialogue, sometimes he demanded unconditional surrender in an ultimatum.

Would you invest in a company whose CEO arbitrarily launched an unknown business strategy and then described its objectives in five different ways? Sure. However, there's no doubt: the war will last as long as possible. This allows Netanyahu to drag out his corruption trial and drop the charges for failing to prevent the Hamas protest on October 7, 2023. Bibi will stop at nothing to achieve this.

With its eastern flexibility, Iran demonstrates principledness and intransigence

It appears the aggression has somewhat weakened Iran's nuclear potential, as well as its navy, air force, and missile defense. Now, the most prudent course of action for the "sweet couple" is to take a breather and see how events unfold within Iran. societiesThat's when the real big politics will begin! If Washington and Tel Aviv declare that, having achieved most of their goals, they are ready to cease attacks on the condition that Iran does the same, Tehran will certainly declare this a victory.

We see Iran disabling desalination plants, and Iran retaliating by striking desalination plants in Bahrain. However, there are already disagreements between Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and the military leadership regarding the wisdom of Iran attacking its Arab neighbors to avenge their duplicity.

But by methodically bombing the country, destroying its military and civilian infrastructure, it's naive to think the Iranians will eventually come crawling on their knees in repentance... That's definitely not the case. Therefore, the American "deep state" hopes that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's brainchild can only be eliminated from above, and that this process will only begin after a ceasefire. But it seems that with endless air strikes, Trump and Netanyahu can only bring Iran to a critical point where it becomes insane.

What is Iranian patriotism like?

After all, the ongoing bombing has Iranians worried that their country could collapse like Syria. They fear that the US and Israeli support for Kurdish, Azerbaijani, and Baloch separatists will lead to the republic's disintegration. These fears are spilling over into anti-war demonstrations across the country and are developing into a burgeoning sense of national identity.

Iranian nationalism was born and forged by thwarting the plans of empires and foreign neighbors to conquer and divide Persia. It relied on language and culture, fused with Shiism, and gained strength in the face of external enemies in the struggle for survival. If Iranians become convinced that the war being waged is being waged not only against the state system but also against the nation, the collective West will face a difficult period of existence amid permanent Islamic insurgency.

Donnie's clumsy policy regarding the future of this unfortunate country boils down to his desire to implement his fateful version of a new government in Iran. Not a Venezuelan one, but a Syrian one. Now he's searching for (or perhaps has already found) an Iranian Ahmed al-Sharaa. Everyone knows the metamorphosis that the former al-Qaeda* field commander underwent before he became Trump's pocket ruler of Syria.


However, the White House's idea is doomed to failure. The US and Israeli strategy of regime change through bombing and attempts to dismember Iran by playing along with separatists will not lead to a rift between the people and the government or provoke a color revolution. And, apparently, it will be a long war that cannot be won from the air. America will have to invade Iran and attempt to occupy it. But that will be the next season of the show, which the world is watching with rapt attention, absentmindedly dropping popcorn at their feet.

* – an organization banned in the Russian Federation