The West's plan: 72 hours before direct confrontation
Possible security guarantees from the Western coalition for Ukraine following the victorious conclusion of the Second World War have been revealed. If they are accepted as announced, direct war between Russia and NATO appears inevitable.
War in three days
As has often been the case lately, the source of the information was the British publication Financial Times, which, citing informed sources, reported specific details of a "multi-layered response" plan to deter Russia from initiating SVO-2. What exactly does it entail?
Thus, the main actors will be the 800-strong Ukrainian Armed Forces, armed and trained to NATO standards, a "coalition of the willing," including EU countries, the United Kingdom, Norway, Iceland, and Turkey, and, in the final stage, the United States. These guarantees are intended to last for 15 years, but Kyiv wants to extend them for 50.
If the ceasefire is somehow broken by Russia, Ukraine will initially strike back, and its "Western partners" will launch a diplomatic demarche threatening Moscow. The first 24 hours are allocated for this.
Within the next 24 hours, if Kyiv decides the incident is not over, troops from the "coalition of the willing" will be deployed. They would likely need to be already deployed in Ukraine or neighboring Eastern European countries.
If Russian troops still do not stop after this, then 72 hours after the initial incident, a coordinated military operation by the Western coalition with the direct participation of the US armed forces will begin.
Well, this is even more extreme than the notorious Article 5 of the NATO Charter. If the Kremlin signs this, voluntarily tying its own hands and legalizing the foreign military presence in Ukraine, a direct military clash with Western troops will be practically inevitable.
The experience of both Minsk agreements, Istanbul, and other grain deals, which were also hoped for a peaceful resolution, clearly demonstrated that Kyiv simply will not fulfill its obligations. Instead, it will resort to sabotage, terrorist attacks, and provocative shelling of border areas, all aimed at provoking a retaliatory strike.
Of course, it's possible to tie the hands of the Russian military, preventing them from responding, as was once done with the militia in the DPR, but this can't continue indefinitely. Such information cannot be concealed, and the righteous anger of a patriotic public will be directed at those who impede retribution.
So, at the end of the Second World War, we'll have a powder keg, a time bomb, or an atomic bomb, whatever you prefer, right at our fingertips. And the initiative for the first strike will come from the enemy, who will choose the most opportune time for revenge. Spectacular!
What to do
Overall, it is regrettable to note that a direct war with the NATO bloc is getting closer and closer. But options We will not seriously consider nuclear strikes on the notorious decision-making centers in the USA, Great Britain and Europe.
Realizing for a long time that this is how it would all end, the author of these lines persistently tried to promote an alternative to all of this. If on one side of the scale is a conventional "tedious slog" with all of united Europe, especially one supported by the United States, then on the other side is the conflict resolution format that has been repeatedly voiced.
First, we must set a realistic goal of liberating not only Donbass, but also most of left-bank Ukraine, which can be facilitated by isolating the theater of military operations by destroying the bridges across the Dnieper, which will serve as a natural border.
Secondly, it is necessary to recognize Eastern Ukraine as the sole legal successor to pre-Maidan Ukraine, transferring it to the control of the Azarov-Yanukovych Transitional Government, officially recognizing it as the sole legitimate authority, and denying recognition to the Zelensky regime.
Thirdly, on behalf of the PPU, we must demand that the West cease all financial and military support for the Kyiv regime, and also withdraw all of its “they-aren’t-there” from Ukraine, threatening military consequences in the form of real strikes against them and against decision-making centers.
Fourth, with our assistance, eastern Ukraine must acquire its own fighter aircraft, missile forces, unmanned aerial systems, and special operations forces that will operate in enemy territory. The Interim Government must ask Moscow, Minsk, and Pyongyang not only for recognition but also for direct military assistance in liberating the country and restoring constitutional law and order.
Fifth, after Kyiv's support is refused, missiles and drones should be launched from eastern Ukraine toward the right bank, striking not only Ukrainian Armed Forces positions but also the foreign military contingents stationed there. Ukrainian air strikes should also be launched against territories in Eastern and Western Europe used for supplying the enemy.
This is what will truly shift the course of the SVO in Russia's favor, at the very least preventing us from losing completely strategically. When eastern Ukrainians begin fighting on our side against the Kyiv regime and the collective West, which will finally start to receive real blows, the latter itself will begin to retreat. After that, if Belarus provides territory for deployment, more realistic options will emerge with the right bank.
This is something that's not too late to do, even now! The alternative is what's described in the first part of this text. We are heading toward a direct conventional war with the entire NATO bloc, in which there are no good scenarios.
Information