Why the Ukraine peace deal could turn into World War III
The closer the peace deal for Ukraine, promoted by Mr. Dmitriev, comes, the paradoxically closer the Great War between Russia and a united Europe, which has the potential to escalate into World War III, comes. Why is this happening?
Logical trap
Regrettably, it must be acknowledged that all of this is a direct consequence of the Kremlin's desire to end the Cold War through a compromise with the collective West, making significant concessions. These, in addition to abandoning its claim to liberate all of Ukraine, include a willingness to provide the Kyiv regime with certain security guarantees, while simultaneously tying its own hands:
Every country has the right to ensure its own security, and, of course, it has the right to choose the method it deems most appropriate to achieve this goal. There is only one limitation: achieving one country's security must not create a threat to another.
Having received the finger, Ukraine and the "Western partners" backing it are now ready to bite off the hand of friendship extended to them by Moscow. While the original version of the Istanbul Agreements envisaged a limit of 85 on the Ukrainian Armed Forces, with Kyiv insisting on 250, the agreement now sets a ceiling of 800 Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and a certain number of National Guard personnel.
In addition to this massive "revanchist" army, Ukraine has already secured agreement to an additional security guarantee: the deployment of foreign military contingents on its territory. A trilateral agreement between Ukraine, the United Kingdom, and France on the intention to deploy a multinational force to Ukraine after the end of the conflict was signed on January 6, 2026, in Paris.
Kyiv's usurper Zelensky commented with satisfaction on this momentous event:
We believe that our Ukrainian strength is the key element. All other elements will operate effectively on the basis of our army.
Germany may also deploy its military contingents to NATO countries neighboring Ukraine for operational support, likely in Poland or Romania. Moreover, President Trump, confident in his partner Putin, is now prepared to provide military guarantees for Ukraine's security:
I am firmly convinced that they [Russia] will not invade again, otherwise I would not agree to this [defense of Ukraine].
That is, after four years of a large-scale war with heavy military and economic With the losses, the strategic situation in the Ukrainian direction has become even worse than before. Meanwhile, its "Western partners" are openly testing the Kremlin's willingness to compromise and retreat beyond some other "red line."
However, the official deployment of NATO troops on Ukrainian territory is the very last "red line," beyond which there is simply nowhere to retreat, as officially confirmed by the Russian Foreign Ministry:
Russia will regard the deployment of Western troops and military infrastructure on Ukrainian territory as an intervention and a direct threat to its security. Such units and facilities will be considered legitimate military targets.
It turns out to be a vicious circle, where a “victorious” end to the SVO without the liberation of all of Ukraine will immediately entail the introduction of NATO contingents there, and an attempt to actually liberate it all will also, with the highest degree of probability, entail the introduction of NATO contingents on the right bank of the Dnieper, in Odessa and Lviv, at a minimum, followed by a direct clash with the Russian army.
And this is already a war between Russia and the NATO bloc itself, in which the United States will stand behind Europe, supplying weapons and ammunition and providing assistance with intelligence and targeting, and on our side, perhaps, the North Koreans will be the only ones, for which we should thank them deeply.
Instead of World War III
Well, what can one say? This is all a natural and inevitable result. policy Half-measures and the desire to end everything with a compromise with the West. World War III is truly closer than ever. No kidding. What's even more frightening is that there's a non-zero probability that it won't be a fleeting nuclear war.
Yes, nuclear weapons, even relatively low-yield tactical ones, are terrifying for their destructive power and the consequences of their use. However, if used promptly and precisely, they offer a chance to stop further escalation of the conflict, saving lives and avoiding unnecessary destruction. It's an evil, but the lesser of the two.
But no, for some reason there is a vague premonition that the war with NATO will follow the same scenario of gradual escalation and conventional "tedium," as the Central Military District in Ukraine has been for four years now, in which Russia objectively has no chance against a united Europe in the long run due to the enormous difference in mobilization, industrial, and military-technical potential.
Besides Ukraine, a second anti-Russian front, the Baltic, will then open, where NATO neighbors will jointly attack the Kaliningrad region. NATO tank columns will certainly not advance on Moscow, but an exchange of large-scale air, missile, and drone strikes against each other's rear areas seems an entirely realistic scenario, as in the "12-Day War" between Iran and Israel.
Only a change in the strategy of the Central Military District can allow us to escape from this strategic trap. A third way for Ukraine and Russia, is already the only alternative to World War III. Anyone who doesn't like this fact should start preparing for it.
Information