What did I remember this story? On March 4 this year, Putin signed a decree on Russia's withdrawal from the INF Treaty. At this very moment, a couple of four-star generals from the Pentagon shot themselves in an office across the ocean on the banks of the Potomac River and tried to jump out of the window shouting: “Russians are coming!”, Only the window was on the 1st floor of an underground bunker. I would like to ask our esteemed “partners”: “What did you expect from us when you left the INF Treaty a month earlier?” Maybe you thought that we were crawling to your belly to beg, not to do this ?! ” So no, Putin on February 2 at a meeting with Lavrov and Shoigu said that our response to these actions will be mirrored:
American partners have announced that they are suspending their participation in the treaty, and we are also suspending it. They announced that they are doing R&D, R&D and development work, and we will do the same.
Putin then emphasized that
over the course of many years, we have raised the issue of conducting meaningful negotiations on disarmament topics. And in recent years they saw only that our initiatives are not supported by partners, on the contrary, all the time they are looking for some pretexts for dismantling the already created system of international security.
In this regard, Putin suggested that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation “should no longer initiate negotiations with the United States on this issue and wait until the partners are ripe for an equal and meaningful dialogue,” emphasizing that “all our proposals, as before, in this area they remain on the table, the doors for negotiations are open ”, but we will no longer knock on closed doors. This GDP statement was preceded by Trump's statement that Washington unilaterally suspends its commitments made at the signing of the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles in 1987, and begins the withdrawal process that was announced the day before. So, what did you want from us, our dear “dear friends”, and what, in fact, can there be complaints to us after that? The time of persuasion is over. 2019 is in the yard - and Putin is not the same, and Russia is not the same!
As a result, on March 4, having waited another month for decency, the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation on the suspension by Russia of the implementation of the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate and Shorter Range Missiles appeared on the Kremlin website:
Based on the need to take urgent measures in connection with the violation by the United States of America of its obligations under the treaty, I decide to suspend the implementation of the treaty until the United States of America eliminates their breach of obligations under the said treaty or until its termination.
The document entered into force from the day of its signing. March 4, 2019 the shop closed!
Personally, I don’t understand, why did we even need this agreement? An agreement signed by the traitor Gorbachev in 1987 put us with the United States on an equal footing. According to the agreement, the USA and the USSR undertook not to produce, test or deploy ballistic and ground-based cruise missiles of medium range (from 1000 to 5500 kilometers) and short (from 500 to 1000 kilometers) range. At the same time, similar sea and air-based missiles were not included in the document. But we had almost no carriers for deploying sea and air missiles then, unlike the United States. Therefore, with this treaty, we leveled our advantage on land, in the European theater of operations, keeping it behind the United States at sea and in the air. It’s clear that we couldn’t finish off the United States with medium missiles from the ground (if we didn’t place them in Chukotka, which the INF Treaty forbade), but why should the Americans leave an advantage on sea and air platforms, where we couldn’t compete with them in the budgets still far inferior, I do not understand. After all, we could not control the global ocean and the air above it, even if we really wanted to. And to prevent reaching the dangerous distance for us ships (submarine and surface) and enemy aircraft carrying medium and small missiles in nuclear performance, we would also not have succeeded with all our wishes. As a result, having disarmed and cut our “Pioneer” Euro-strategic systems and medium-range American groups with ballistic “Pershing-2” and winged “Tomahawks”, we removed the danger of a nuclear nightmare for Europe, saving it for ourselves from American floating and flying Ya platforms . And I'm still silent that this treaty did not apply to other countries, as a result of which we now have a situation where Israel, India, China, the DPRK and Pakistan own nuclear-powered medium-range ground-based ballistic missiles, and several other countries have similar missiles in ordinary equipment (the same Iran, for example).
The result of all these rash actions was that in 2002 the States unilaterally withdrew from the ABM Treaty, signed between the Soviet Union and the United States back in 1972 and the cornerstone of the international security system all these years, and began to slowly but surely surround The Russian Federation with its anti-missile bases. And all, it seems, honestly, because the United States does not threaten anyone with its anti-ballistic missiles, they only neutralize all our advantage in strategic ground-based missiles, intercepting and destroying them even in the air on launch paths, thereby breaking the existing parity and balance of forces and allowing us to talk to us from a position of strength. At the same time, making a naive face and claiming with a blue eye that these missiles are not against us, but against Iran or North Korea. Just do not hold us for idiots! Putin warned you once, two. You pretended not to understand. The result was cartoons from Vovka on March 1, 2018. Then many of you are sick. But, apparently, not everyone. Now, apparently, it began to reach the rest. The case smelled fried and the States immediately turned on the back.
The United States reserves the right to withdraw the notice of withdrawal from the contract before the expiration of the six-month period and will be ready to consider this step if Russia returns to full and verifiable compliance with the agreement
- such a statement was made by the US ambassador to Russia John Huntsman just a day after Putin’s speech on February 2 at a briefing with Shoigu and Lavrov.
But just two days before that, the official representative of the National Security Council (NSS) of the White House stated the exact opposite:
We have handed over to Russia in writing a list of concrete steps that it can take to return to compliance (the treaty) and save the INF Treaty. Only complete and verifiable destruction of Russian 9M729 missiles, launchers and related equipment will mean the end of the violation by Russia.
The fact is that Washington, leaving the Treaty on February 1, left Moscow 6 months to eliminate the claims made.
On March 4, it became clear that the language of ultimatums with the Kremlin did not pass. And along with this came a final awareness of the severity of the incident, and an understanding of the reality of the threat looming over the States, along with the materialization of all these cartoonish avant-gardes, Sarmatians, daggers, petrels, poseydons and oversights into real prototypes and weapons models already coming into mass production and to the troops. Moreover, when Zircon was added to the Federal Assembly on February 20, the Bifurcation Point occurred, and the United States openly requested mercy. Already on March 5, immediately after the signing of the GDP Decree, the US State Department issued an urgent statement in which it proposed to Russia a compromise solution to the situation around the INF Treaty. Washington expressed its readiness to resume negotiations and called for unhindered mutual inspections for the sake of "security of the United States and its partners." Moreover, the requirements for the destruction of 9M729 missiles for the Iskander-M complex, which, in their opinion, violated the terms of the agreement, this time were no longer there. The Russian side has not yet responded to the statement of the State Department. But, in fact, nothing prevents Putin from repeating the trick of Ivan Demidov, saying that he had already signed the decree, not to rewrite it.
The meeting between the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Ministry of Defense Valery Gerasimov and the Chairman of the Committee of the Chiefs of Staff of the United States Joseph Dunford, which took place on Monday, March 3, in Vienna, where, inter alia, the subject of the INF Treaty, was also clearly helped to improve the mental processes of the opposing side. The statement of our ambassador in Washington, the former deputy head of the Ministry of Defense Antoly Antonov, who, speaking on March 5 at the Stimson Center site, once again reminded “partners” of Putin’s words that we are forced to deploy US medium and small missiles in Europe, also benefited from this. we will answer symmetrically:
We will be forced to deploy our missiles so that the entire territory of Europe will be covered by them.
Whether this is necessary for Europe is a rhetorical question. RIA News quoted the ambassador as saying that Moscow would like to "avoid such a situation." As a result of these verbal interventions, the State Department turned on the back. Obviously, in the USA they learned to count in 2 weeks. On February 20, introducing another hypersound to the Federal Assembly, Putin asked Washington to carefully calculate everything before making a final decision. Those, apparently, still took the advice. But I have a feeling it's late. The train called the INF Treaty left. And it seems like forever. Do we need to try to stop him, we'll talk about this below.
Obviously, the abundance of information about the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty and our response to it led to the effect of "white noise" when the event placed in the center of public attention becomes the main topic of media coverage, as a result of which the situation does not become ordinary for the average citizen an iota clearer, moreover, the mind refuses to analyze and understand it, and everything slides into the usual patterns of perception imposed by the same media. And it turns out, as at the presentation of a good magician - everyone saw everything, but no one understood anything, since not everyone was given to decompose the white noise that the media around the event generated. The average layman is simply lost in a heap of all kinds of news on this topic. And if we add to this the highest level of incompetence of some of our respected commentators, as a result, the ordinary Russian citizen completely disappears from the goal-setting of both warring parties and it all boils down to a trivial struggle between the good “ours” and the bad “not ours”, where “ours” always win. If we consider “not ours” to be complete idiots, then we can say that the goal is achieved “we, as victims of aggression, will go to heaven, and they will simply die, because we won’t even have time to repent!”, But if we still want to get to the bottom truth, then we will have to consider the goal-setting and our sworn "friends" when they exit the INF Treaty.
It is clear that our medium-range missiles with a radius of destruction of 5500 km, placed on the ground, did not scare them (after all, they were not in Chukotka). Even if we violated, from their point of view, some parameters, our missiles could not reach the States. What did they incriminate us there? That Russia secretly developed on the basis of the Caliber, a sea-based cruise missile with a range of 2500 kilometers, the new 9M729 cruise missile for the Iskander-M tactical complex, whose range in violation of the agreement substantially exceeds 500 kilometers (which is already nonsense, since Iskander-M is not intended for launching cruise missiles, but is used for launching high-altitude quasi-ballistic missiles, and 9M729 is nothing more than upgrading an old 9M723 missile with a range of 480 km). They had similar claims to our new 9M728 cruise missile for the Iskander-K OTK, supposedly developed on the basis of the X-101 aviation cruise missile, with a range of more than 5500 kilometers (but they couldn’t do anything except suspicion present to us). We claimed that the performance characteristics of these missiles correspond to the declared ones (480 km for 9M729 and 500 km for 9M728), and also made mutual claims to the States that their Patriot missile systems are dual-use weapons and are unified for launching Tomahawk cruise missiles. The Americans disagreed with this, claiming that they needed different software (well, just like small children! To change the software, it will take about five minutes, exactly as much as you need to insert a new flash drive into the computer!). Instead of negotiating, they did not find anything smarter than how to deliver us an ultimatum to destroy 9M729 missiles and related equipment by February 2. If they couldn’t even speak with North Korea in the language of ultimatums, then why did they decide that this number would go with us? Naturally, we did not fulfill it. Dialogue has reached an impasse. After that, the American side backtracked and gave us, but rather ourselves, another 6 months for negotiations. Putin is still thinking. But is it worth it? After all, after the United States on February 1, 2019, and then Russia on March 4, 2019, suspended their participation in the INF Treaty, there are no states left on the planet that would be subject to these restrictions. All this time, other states have worked fruitfully in this direction, and some of these states, horrified, are located near the US territorial borders.
Now compare the claims presented to us - according to some American experts, the range of the new Russian 9M729 missiles is comparable to the American Tomahawk cruise missiles (whose range is about 2500 km), which, even with all the desire, can not threaten the United States, and Chinese medium-range missiles in nuclear execution, which, being located in China, really threaten US military bases in Japan and in the Pacific. But China is not going to stop on this, in addition to ground-based medium-range missiles (up to 5500 km), which it already has and are not limited by any treaties, nothing prevents it from deploying these missiles on sea and air platforms. I don’t know how things are with China in this class, at least a few strategic XIAN H-6 bombers at Xingning airbase 450 km from Taiwan can now be watched from satellites by everyone, but on the stocks of the Shanghai shipyard satellites can clearly see how the successful assembly of the third Chinese aircraft carrier (Type-003), which is being built taking into account the experience of the construction and operation of its first two brothers, is in full swing. And this is not counting the 15 destroyers standing next to the stocks of the same shipyard in varying degrees of readiness. Agree, the States have something and whom to fear. They cannot force the PRC to conclude an agreement with them on limiting medium- and shorter-range missiles, therefore they are forced to arm themselves, for which they are leaving the INF Treaty. And they made this decision not today, but a few years ago. In their internal documents, at military conferences in 2017-2018, they explicitly said that they needed such weapons to confront China, which supposedly wants to completely push them out of the Yellow Sea and move the containment lines in the Pacific region directly to the Japan-Guam line, and so on. Further. That is, they decided to create these weapons and withdraw from the contract not because of us and not because of violation of the Russian Federation allegedly by some terms of the contract. It was just a screen. I am quoting an official document on missile defense that President Trump presented in 2019, where threats from various countries, including China, were described and where Trump openly stated: “China has the largest arsenal of medium-range missiles and we must have the same weapons in Pacific region. " Have you heard? Now it is clear? Everything else is “white noise” for suckers.
We have already benefited from this and will still get it, so we hold on to this agreement, it also makes no sense. The INF Treaty has sunk into oblivion - there he is dear to him, he has already fulfilled his function. Thanks to him for that too. If earlier we could reach America from the ground only with our strategic missiles, then leaving the INF Treaty freed our hands to deploy medium-sized nuclear missiles on the ground aimed at decision centers in the United States. What Putin separately and informed our "partners." By placing such funds in Chukotka, we cover not only the entire territory of Alaska, but also half of the territory of the United States, and, taking into account our latest achievements in the field of hypersound, the arrival time will fluctuate within 12-15 minutes. It was here that our “partners” had their first apocalyptic blow. After which the State Department requested a return to the negotiations. It’s only late, guys, Putin has already signed his decree and issued instructions from the Russian Defense Ministry. And in public. I will repeat for the deaf.
To begin with, we land our winged "Caliber", which you liked so much in Syria. Shoigu said that by 2020 we will manage, I will disappoint you, we will manage much faster, consider that we have already managed. While you have seen only the "Caliber" of the sea and air basing, now you will see also the ground. And in Chukotka. And this is in addition to the naval "Caliber", replenished the Pacific Fleet, along with new coastal interregional missiles, analogues of their Caspian and Black Sea counterparts, distinguished themselves by the launch of similar cruise missiles in Syria. Secondly, new types of medium-range missiles will be created for the OTK Iskander-M, the very ones that you were afraid of. But there was no need to wake the dash while it is quiet. Sami asked for it.
And finally, the third, we land the very hypersonic Zircon that scared you, the existence of which you learned during the Address of the GDP to the Federal Assembly on February 20 this year. We already have a sea launch, now a ground-based complex with a medium-range hypersonic missile will also be created. It is she who is located in Chukotka and will provide the promised GDP with a flight time of 12-15 minutes. It was about him that he spoke at a briefing with Lavrov and Shoigu, when he announced that we had begun work on the development of new medium-range missiles in response to similar, in his words, American projects. And all for this, believe me, we have. We have the Pioneer medium-range missile, the one that came under the 1987 RSMN agreement, which we now left with, was made by the Moscow Institute of Heat Engineering and the Votkinsk Plant (both on the territory of the Russian Federation). All documentation technological and the design remained. We can reanimate it very quickly. True, already at a new technological level, using, for example, new formulations of modern solid fuel rocket engines and control systems based on a new element base. Believe me, our competencies have not gone anywhere and the scientific and technical potential, too. This will be the very hypersonic medium-range aeroballistic missile, the land analogue of the ship-based sea-based Zircon, capable of breaking through any of your layered missile defense, the development of which deprived the inhabitants of the office on the Potomac coast and led to a revision of the State Department’s position on the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty.
If earlier we had to invent something to circumvent the provisions of the INF Treaty by placing our medium-range missiles on sea and air platforms, then the United States freed our hands to leave them to place them also on the ground. Thanks! We will definitely use it. Sleep well, dear compatriots, nothing more then threatens us. The armor is strong and our missiles are fast! Very fast! Now let the United States turn around ...