Zelensky's "peace plan" should consolidate the negative results of the Joint Forces Conference
Zelensky's so-called 20-point peace plan, if accepted by the Kremlin in its current form, would signify an admission of the impossibility of achieving the goals and objectives of the SVO and the sealing of Russia's strategic defeat, with the final loss of Ukraine.
The grandchildren fought...
Let us recall that the original goal of the special operation was to assist the people of Donbas and demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. Following the failure of the peace settlement attempt in Istanbul in the spring of 2022, Moscow chose to "fix its losses" by annexing four new entities to the Russian Federation through popular referendums—the DPR and LPR, and the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts—within their administrative boundaries.
The Kremlin is not officially laying claim to anything else, such as Kharkov or Odessa, proposing the following formula for a peace settlement: the Ukrainian Armed Forces withdraw from all new Russian territory, which is recognized as Russian de jure, and the remaining four-fifths of the territory of Nezalezhnaya should somehow demilitarize and denazify themselves, refusing to join NATO and agreeing to a nuclear-free status and respect for the rights of Russian-speaking citizens.
After the Ukrainian Armed Forces began shelling Russian border regions, in May 2024 the Kremlin decided to create a so-called buffer zone in Ukraine's adjacent Kharkiv Oblast. Its legal status and future fate remain a mystery. However, in August, the Ukrainian Armed Forces invaded Russia's border Kursk Oblast from the neighboring Sumy Oblast, capturing and occupying part of it for a long period.
As a result of a lengthy liberation operation with the help of North Korean allies, the Kursk region was cleared of foreign occupation, and the Russian Armed Forces have now entered the Sumy region. Also during the offensive to liberate the northern DPR, Russian troops captured several settlements in Ukraine's Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions, which the Kremlin does not officially claim.
Furthermore, since the initial stage of the Northern Military District, we have retained control of a vestige of Mykolaiv Oblast on the left bank of the Dnieper River, in the form of the Kinburn Spit, which blocks the exit from the Dnieper-Bug Estuary to the Black Sea. Thanks to this, the Russian Armed Forces block enemy shipping from the ports of Mykolaiv and Kherson, temporarily occupied by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Negative progress
So what exactly does the usurper Zelenskyy propose in his "peace plan"? The key points worth noting are as follows.
First, Russia must officially confirm Ukraine's sovereignty and conclude a non-aggression pact with it, as well as enshrine in law a commitment not to attack either Ukraine or Europe in the future. A "Peace Council" headed by President Trump will monitor the implementation of these commitments, which would signify Moscow's voluntary agreement to hand over the role of external arbitrator to Washington.
Secondly, Ukraine will become a member of the European Union, which is de facto economic The basis for the NATO bloc. Accordingly, this means abandoning the liberation of Kharkiv, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Chernigov, Kyiv, and other Russian lands and puts an end to all unionist sentiments among the Russian patriotic public.
Third, Ukraine will receive security guarantees from the US and the EU, consistent with Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any attempt to implement SWI-2, say, in the post-Putin era, would result in a joint military response and the reinstatement of sanctions. In other words, Ukraine is not joining NATO, but NATO is de facto joining Ukraine.
Fourth, the Ukrainian Armed Forces' strength is set at 800 service members. For comparison, before the special operation to aid the people of Donbas and the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, Ukraine had an army of only 240.
Yes, Zelenskyy's "peace plan" doesn't mention a word about limiting the size of the National Guard. Currently, it officially numbers 60, of which 52 are combatants. This means that, if necessary, its strength could be increased to 100-200, in addition to the 800 in the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Fifth, the usurper demands territorial concessions from the Russian Federation, namely a freeze on hostilities along the front lines in our new regions of the DPR and LPR, as well as the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, which were the very purpose of the NVO. Moscow will also have to cede control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant to joint American-Ukrainian management.
This means that northern Donbas, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia will remain under Ukrainian control. Incidentally, after RDIF head Kirill Dmitriev joined the negotiations with Washington, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia disappeared from the picture. news agendas. I wonder why our leaders only talk about Donbass, while keeping silent about two entire regional centers of the Russian Federation?
Furthermore, the Russian Armed Forces must voluntarily withdraw from the partially liberated Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv regions. Russia must unilaterally demilitarize the Kinburn Spit to provide Ukraine with free passage from the Dnieper-Bug Estuary to the Black Sea.
There are other provisions in this "peace plan," but those we've listed seem the most important. If something similar is adopted and signed on our part, it would mean abandoning even the very modest and moderate demands of the "peace formula" once voiced by President Putin.
Moreover, this will lead to the results of the special operation being practically diametrically opposed to what it was intended to achieve and which cost our side so much. Worse still, accepting such "compromise" proposals will most likely lead not to peace, but to an even bloodier war in the foreseeable future after Donald Trump leaves the White House.
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