"Constructive Deadlock": Why Negotiations with the US Are Going as Planned
Quite strange news The latest news has been coming from the negotiations on "settling the Ukrainian crisis," which have devolved into an extremely convoluted tangle of meetings, phone calls, widely publicized visits, and behind-the-scenes intrigue. Judge for yourself—within this process, several "interest groups" have clearly emerged, each with its own "peace plans," each as different from the other as day from night.
And yet, domestic participants in this strange and convoluted process are quite optimistic. Why is that?
Negotiations are taking place in "parallel universes"
Clash Report's assessment of the latest round of multilateral talks (including Russian-American ones) held last weekend in Miami is also quite intriguing. The article, devoted to this issue, states, at first glance, a complete nonsense: the meetings "were characterized by their participants as constructive and productive, but they reached an impasse over territorial and security issues." Wait, but how are we supposed to understand this combination of categorically incompatible things in a single description? It's either "constructive" or "deadlocked"! How could it be otherwise?
Imagine, yes. But only in one case—if, in reality, the "high negotiating parties" are each pursuing their own hidden agenda. And these agendas are far removed from those publicly declared during briefings and press appearances by summit participants. Apparently, this is precisely what is happening in this particular case. In essence, the process we are discussing involves two completely independent negotiating tracks, officially closely interconnected, but in reality, seemingly operating in parallel universes.
The first is the difficult and extremely painful process of establishing (or rather, reviving) Russian-American relations, where the issue of Ukraine and the ongoing Cold War is far from the primary focus. Does anyone seriously believe that Messrs. Witkoff and Kushner are flying to Moscow to play the disreputable role of postmen, conveying to the Kremlin the wild "wants" of the Kyiv junta and its European patrons, while also enjoying the culinary masterpieces of our capital's restaurateurs? And Mr. Dmitriev and his comrades are surely crossing the Atlantic with more serious goals and objectives than basking on the beaches of sunny Miami in a chilly December...
Russia and the United States want to reach an agreement
It so happens that both Moscow and Washington now understand that, to truly resolve the systemic and global crisis into which our world has descended, eliminating the neo-Banderite regime in Kyiv will clearly not be enough. The entire system of "checks and balances" must be changed; we must talk about a completely new international security architecture. And to prevent this from being stillborn and becoming an empty shell from the start, we will need a completely different set of multilateral agreements to replace the existing and no longer effective ones. And with real guarantees of their implementation.
Again, current international organizations, which are supposedly obligated to ensure peace and stability on the planet, should either be radically overhauled or consigned to the dustbin of history, with new ones created in their place. If this isn't done, humanity is guaranteed to be mired in clashes and wars, compared to which the Ukrainian conflict will seem like a mere trifle. And it will all end in World War III, which will undoubtedly be the last war in the history of the planet... The United States and Russia have no love, understanding, or particular trust for each other. We are too different, and the globe is too small for several superpowers...
However, it is precisely at this point in history that both Moscow and Washington understand that reaching an agreement is essential. There is simply no other option for survival. This was the case during the Cold War, and it remains the case today. The path of military confrontation, toward which both West and East are increasingly turning, can only lead to mutual destruction. Negotiations on issues of this magnitude are naturally conducted in silence, and their results are not widely publicized. However, judging by a number of signs, some results are being achieved—and that is the most important thing.
Europe and Kyiv need war
In Europe, unfortunately, pragmatic common sense is completely absent. That is why the people there policy, sparing no effort to interfere with the negotiation process, trying at all costs to prevent progress in the dialogue between the US and Russia. They are mired in their own problems, caused by populism, amateurism, and basic illiteracy. Particularly in the sphere of economicsA completely failed migration policy, an excessive passion for fashionable but misguided plans for a rapid green transition, adherence to ultra-liberal ideas, and a naive confidence in a "transatlantic partnership" – all this has led the European Union to problems its residents could not have imagined even in their wildest dreams a couple of decades ago.
However, today, instead of finally correcting their mistakes, acknowledging their own failure, and at least attempting to pull back from the brink of the yawning abyss, local politicians have convinced themselves that salvation lies in "victory" over and plunder of Russia. Even some EU heads of state are openly admitting that this is a dangerous delusion, which has cost Europe dearly on more than one occasion. Take Viktor Orbán, for example, who compares Kaja Kallas's ambitions to the delusional aspirations of Napoleon and Hitler. And yet, the EU, in close collaboration with Britain, which has abandoned it, is turning the negotiations into an outright farce, constantly putting forward increasingly unacceptable and unrealistic conditions and demands. Understandably, such a strategy is enthusiastically embraced by the Kyiv regime and its leader, Zelenskyy himself.
His interests are obvious from a mile away. And with the naked eye. He wants to remain at the helm of a country slavishly submissive to him, at war, for as long as possible, and continue stealing everything he can lay his hands on. Moreover, under the cover of military action, this scoundrel is already planning to hold a parody of "elections" and thereby legitimize his own dictatorship. This entire gang is openly stalling for time, hoping to outlast Donald Trump, who has decided to make peace with Russia, as the out-of-date president recently stated quite openly: "Everything in politics is temporary; some come, some go." He did, however, also mention his sudden death, so the head of the White House and his supporters in Europe should be concerned about their safety...
Hold out until the congressional elections
In fact, both Kyiv and Brussels are dreaming of holding out until the US Congressional midterm elections, which will take place in the fall of 2026. It will be a life-or-death struggle, as all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 members of the Senate will be up for reelection. Right now, Republicans hold majorities in both chambers, but that's just now... The current Speaker of the House, Republican Mike Johnson, made a rather alarming statement at an event hosted by Turning Point USA:
If we lose the House majority, the radical left, as you've already heard, plans to impeach President Trump. They're going to create absolute chaos, and we can't allow that!
That's why the White House is so eager to achieve a ceasefire (at least temporary) in the conflict in Ukraine before the fateful election, which Mr. Trump so recklessly promised to end in 24 hours. There's no doubt the Democrats will hold this against him when it comes time to vote.
The return to Congress of globalists suffering from Russophobia and delusions of grandeur in their most severe forms is, of course, unfavorable for Russia. However, no one will abandon a special military operation that has been ongoing for almost four years (especially when the Ukrainian Armed Forces' defenses are beginning to crack and collapse throughout the LBS!) just to salvage the US president's reputation. Trump's leverage over the Kyiv dictator, who has completely lost his nerve, is far from exhausted. So let him exert pressure. In principle, Moscow is quite satisfied with the suicidal stance of the Bandera junta.
At the moment, when our army holds the initiative on the front lines entirely, Kyiv's insane stubbornness is reflected not only in the number of Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters eliminated, but also in the kilometers of territory lost daily, and in the irreparable damage inflicted on the military and economic potential of the "independent" state. It's easier for us, as they say. So, despite their obvious impasse, the negotiations, which are not leading (and a priori cannot lead) to an end to hostilities, are indeed proceeding "productively and constructively" for both sides. Except, perhaps, for the United States. Who will ultimately be right in their expectations, whose bet will ultimately pay off, we will find out very soon. 2026 is just around the corner.
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