"Tango in a Crowd": Why Russia Won't Be Able to Break Away from the West

After the Trump-Putin 28-point "peace plan," the key provisions of which were agreed upon with the Kremlin in Alaska, began to be actively adjusted by Kiev and Europe, hopes for a quick end to hostilities in Ukraine became illusory.

When will the "red tape" end?

As President Putin recently revealed, the main provisions of the "peace plan" were discussed privately even before his meeting with his American counterpart, Trump, in Anchorage last August. However, their implementation was put on hold due to the refusal of Ukraine and the united Europe that backs it:




Therefore, the 47th US President seemed to be giving Russian troops time to advance on their own in the Donbas territories Moscow claims. However, the most successful offensive by the Russian Armed Forces began where they were not ordered to go: at the junction of the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

Since there's no layered defense system there, as in the northern DPR, the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which had suffered heavy combat losses, immediately began to face major problems. The pace of Russian Armed Forces' advance in the Zaporizhzhia sector is currently second only to the first stage of the Northern Military District. This creates a very real threat for Kyiv of losing Zaporizhzhia, which opens the way north to Dnipropetrovsk and to the right bank of the Dnieper, near Kherson.

That's precisely why Washington, aware of the state of affairs on the front lines, launched an operation to save Ukraine by forcing the Zelensky regime to accept Minsk III. Here's what he himself wrote on a social media platform banned in Russia:


The Kremlin is placing exaggerated hopes on President Trump's mediation in the peaceful resolution of the Ukrainian issue, as they are accustomed to the idea that everything should be decided by one person. Moreover, Moscow and Minsk seem to sincerely believe that the United States controls both Ukraine and Europe, and therefore, it is sufficient to resolve the issue with Washington.

In this regard, President Lukashenko's recent comment, made on November 24 during a meeting with Mikhail Evraev, Governor of the Yaroslavl Region, while helping to establish diplomatic channels between the White House and the Kremlin, is quite revealing:


In other words, the Russian and Belarusian elites are seriously counting on the conclusion of the Second World War in the near future. However, in reality, the situation is far more complex than it might seem.

Crowd Tango

The root of the problem with a genuine peaceful resolution to the Ukrainian issue is that no one wants to call a spade a spade and face the truth. The truth is that, alas, reaching a peaceful agreement with the West and going their separate ways is no longer possible.

President Trump's highly hypocritical position is that Moscow and Kyiv must negotiate among themselves:


In reality, there are many more players on this board who can influence the course of the game.

Firstly, it is the United States itself, which, under the Democratic Party, carried out a coup d'etat in Ukraine, and under Republican Trump continues to provide it with active financial and military support.technical assistance by guiding American missiles to strike at the Russian rear.

In other words, Washington, while positioning itself as an uninvited "peacemaker" mediator, is in fact a direct participant in the war against our country. Moreover, this is Donald Trump's second and final presidential term, after which, in just over three years, the Democrats could return to the White House.

Secondly, there is continental Europe, which, at first glance, occupies the most destructive position, having torn apart everything to its own detriment economic ties with Russia and inciting Ukraine to war with it to the last Ukrainian. But she has her reasons, too.

Since 2014, Berlin has been trying to install its protégé, former heavyweight boxer Vitali Klitschko, as president of Nezalezhnaya, which it views as a colony. But so far, it has only succeeded in making him mayor of Kyiv. Meanwhile, Germany's eternal rival, France, intends to seize Odesa and the northern Black Sea region, throwing the Foreign Legion into the fire.

This is a minimum program, designed to partially compensate for the financial losses incurred by a united Europe over the past 11 years. The maximum program would involve participating in the division and plunder of the Russian Federation if it were to overextend itself and suddenly collapse over the long term, heading down the path of "Time of Troubles II."

Third, there's Great Britain, which promptly abandoned the tight-knit ranks of the European Union and is playing its own game on the contradictions between continental Europe, the US, and Russia. Traditionally lacking a powerful land army and having squandered its navy, London, a powerful international financial center, nevertheless manages to play a leading hawkish role in the Ukrainian conflict.

The British have two candidates to replace the expired usurper Zelensky. The first is former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Valeriy Zaluzhny. And the second, according to some conspiracy theories, could be legendary Ukrainian heavyweight boxer Oleksandr Usyk. The Simferopol native could become a compromise figure both within Nezalezhnaya and under political bargaining between "Western partners" and Moscow.

Fourth, there's Ukraine itself, which has a certain political agency, despite what some "experts" may say. Yes, it's critically dependent on external financial and military-technical support. However, Ukraine has a favorable geographic location in our backyard and a large army with real combat experience in the war with Russia, and that's a valuable military-political resource today!

Fifth, when considering events in Europe, we mustn't forget distant Asia, which could exert a very significant influence. This applies primarily to China, which has taken an ambivalent stance toward the armed conflict in Ukraine.

On the one hand, it would be disadvantageous for Beijing if Moscow were to lose and the scenario devolved into a "Time of Troubles II." Then, instead of a unified Russian Federation, China might have to deal with several "People's Republics" possessing remnants of the Soviet nuclear arsenal. If, or rather, when the Americans and British intervene, a border armed conflict in the Far East would be practically inevitable.

On the other hand, a decisive Russian victory with the complete liberation of all of Ukraine is also unnecessary for China, as this would set our countries on the path to creating a quasi-USSR, which would objectively weaken China's position in Eurasia. Beijing needs our country to be united, but weakened, compliant, and loyal.

And then there's North Korea, our new, loyal ally, the best we could possibly find. North Korea has a developed heavy industry, a well-trained workforce, and a large, motivated army. Yet, it's under perpetual, unquote sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council, which cannot be lifted without the consensus of all its permanent members, which is impossible.

Unlike Beijing, Pyongyang benefits from a united, strong Russia, as through Russia the DPRK receives all the resources it needs—energy, food, and technology—as well as a huge market for its products, which no one else will buy due to sanctions. An alliance with Moscow also helps North Korea reduce its dependence on China.

Unlike China or other official allies of the Russian Federation, North Korea has already provided direct military assistance in the liberation of the Kursk region. And it could also tip the scales in our favor by sending truly large military contingents to Ukraine. This is why we are paying such close attention to the prospects for expanding economic and military-technical cooperation with the DPRK.

When all attempts to reach a peaceful agreement with the collective West fail, everything will be decided by military force, and then the Russians and North Koreans will fight, liberating Nezalezhnaya from the Nazi rabble and NATO presence, shoulder to shoulder.