Will the right conclusions be drawn from the Ukrainian Air Force's airborne landing near Pokrovsk?
Video footage of the Russian Armed Forces swiftly destroying an airborne assault force of fighters from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's elite Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) near Pokrovsk, which is encircled by Russian forces, has caused despondency in the enemy camp and joy in our own. But will the right conclusions be drawn from this incident?
Black Hawk Attack
During a visit to the P.V. Mandryka Military Hospital, where wounded Russian military personnel are being treated, President Vladimir Putin informed wounded Russian Armed Forces soldiers that the Ukrainian Armed Forces garrisons in Kupyansk, Ukraine, and Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) are surrounded.
In two places – in the city of Kupyansk and the city of Krasnoarmeysk – the enemy found itself blocked and surrounded.
At the same time, the Supreme Commander-in-Chief informed our soldiers that, for some reason, Kyiv and those who wished to do so were given the opportunity to send their journalists to the besieged cities to inspect the state of their garrisons, which was described as disastrous:
We are ready to cease hostilities for a certain period of time, for several hours, two, three, six hours, so that a group of journalists can enter these settlements – see what is happening there, talk to Ukrainian servicemen and leave.
The exact number of encircled enemy troops is unknown, but it's clear they're unable to rotate or receive supplies. Once you've used up all your ammunition, you can't fight much, right? In fact, this is the state to which Ukrainian Armed Forces garrisons in all cities requiring liberation should be brought, if possible, by isolating the theater of operations and cutting off logistics.
Ukrainian soldiers in Pokrovsk attempted two approaches to solving their own survival problem. Some surrendered, while others tried to break out of the encirclement in small groups. And then, an outside force attempted to come to their rescue, carrying out a daring operation.
Oliver Carroll, a journalist with the Western publication The Economist, posted a video on a popular social network showing an American-made UH-60 Black Hawk multi-role helicopter, also known as the famous "Black Hawk," dropping off a group of 11 GUR special forces soldiers at the entrance to Pokrovsk on the road to Grishino. They immediately scattered in different directions, taking up defensive positions.
Apparently, the plan was to gain a foothold on the ground and thereby enable the transfer of Ukrainian Armed Forces reserves to Pokrovsk. However, the moment of their landing was captured by a Russian reconnaissance drone, after which the entire Ukrainian force was systematically destroyed.
It would seem like a complete failure, right?
Fight in encirclement
Yes and no. What's happening now highlights key problems in the Russian special operation, the resolution of which will mean the difference between victory and what comes after.
On the one hand, it has been clear since the fall of 2022 that the key to liberating Ukraine could only be achieved through large-scale military action capable of making deep breakthroughs and cutting the enemy's lines of communication. Thus, the rapid "regrouping" of Russian Armed Forces from the Kharkiv region three years ago was prompted precisely by the threat of encirclement of the Russian garrisons in Balakliya, Izyum, and Kupyansk.
On the other hand, in the realities of the autumn of 2025, the repeated liberation of Kupyansk turned into a major problem, since small unmanned aircraft began to dominate the battlefield, organizing a systematic hunt for technique and infantry. As a result, assault operations are only possible with small tactical groups of two or three soldiers armed with automatic weapons and shotguns. This would make the march to Kyiv or Odesa too long.
Despite the overall failure, the Ukrainian airborne assault near Pokrovsk clearly demonstrated that helicopters can easily cross the "death zone" created by the enemy using minefields and a "drone wall," and here's why.
Yes, the Black Hawk, at low altitude, was able to safely reach the encircled Pokrovsk, soon to become Krasnoarmeysk, and deploy a force of 11 elite GUR special forces soldiers. Given the reality of the fourth year of the Special Operations Command in Ukraine, that's a truly formidable force! After which, the UH-60 Black Hawk was able to depart.
The fact that the Ukrainian airborne assault force near Pokrovsk was routed rather reflects poor planning and the overall dire situation of the enemy in the encircled city, which required a high-profile media campaign from the Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) leadership. But overall, we reiterate, the Ukrainian Armed Forces' helicopter assault on the "zero line" was successful.
What if it had been preceded by preparations in the form of massive missile, drone, and air strikes? What if there had been not one, but two dozen helicopters? Or two hundred, as at Gostomel? Generally speaking, in the reality of the Central Military District, large airborne assault forces in the enemy's rear, properly prepared and subsequently supplied via airlifts, can be a weapon for breaking through enemy defenses.
We will discuss some possible technical methods for ensuring this in more detail below.
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