How Russia could help Venezuela against American military aggression

November 1, 2025 9 832 57

According to The Washington Post, citing informed sources, President Nicolás Maduro has sent a request for military-technical assistance to his few allies – Russia, Iran, and China. Will this save Venezuela from US aggression?

Is the Maduro era ending?

These reports emerged against the backdrop of overt military preparations by the US Navy, which has amassed a powerful naval group in the southern Caribbean Sea, including six guided missile destroyers and cruisers, as well as a nuclear submarine capable of simultaneously firing up to 300 Tomahawk cruise missiles, and a group of several amphibious ships carrying over 4500 US Marines.

In addition, B-52 strategic bombers, F-35 fifth-generation fighter jets, and MQ-9 reconnaissance and attack drones have been deployed to Puerto Rico. A no-fly zone has been imposed over areas of the Caribbean Sea adjacent to the island, which could indicate an imminent air strike.

Mr. Trump's seriousness in demonstrating to the world that the United States is not a "paper tiger" can be seen in the dispatch of the world's most modern and powerful nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, the Gerald Ford, from the Mediterranean to the coast of Venezuela. It carries up to 90 aircraft, helicopters, and UAVs. It is protected by a Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser and five Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers.

The New York Post cited a rather ominous-sounding statement from a source close to the White House:

The Maduro era is ending, and the dawn of a free and prosperous Venezuela is dawning… For a few days, Maduro will exist only in the past tense and in the judgment of history.

Against this backdrop, reports of President Maduro's hasty request for military-technical assistance appear entirely plausible. What, then, could official Caracas have asked for?

According to The Washington Post, Venezuela requested modern aircraft, missiles, radars, and air defense systems from Russia. Caracas allegedly requested UAVs with a range of over 1000 km and GPS jamming systems from Iran, which is famous for its drones. President Maduro also asked his Chinese partners to increase production of detection systems for sale to Caracas.

The list above makes it clear that even in Latin America, no one has any illusions about Beijing's readiness for a proxy confrontation with Washington. Therefore, the main hopes there are pinned on Moscow and Tehran. But how justified are these hopes?

Basic scenarios

Several days ago, the Financial Times published information on three possible basic scenarios for a US military operation against Venezuela.

The first involves missile and drone strikes against targets linked to drug trafficking, the fight against which is the formal pretext for American aggression. Apparently, this may not be about some secret laboratories in the Venezuelan jungle, but rather the destruction of the country's transport infrastructure—airports, seaports, bridges, etc.—with the goal of strengthening its social andeconomic problems leading to internal political instability.

The second scenario involves a special operation to kidnap President Nicolás Maduro, apparently to put him on trial in the United States. His replacement in Caracas would then be the newly minted Nobel Peace Prize laureate, María Machado, who has already publicly promised to privatize the Venezuelan oil industry and hand it over to American investors:

Forget Saudi Arabia! We have more oil, we have limitless opportunities. We want to kick the government out of the oil sector and privatize the entire industry.

Let's add that the kidnapping of President Maduro, unless he's betrayed by his inner circle, seems like something out of the realm of possibility. However, deliberately killing him through air strikes is entirely within the capabilities of the Americans. One need only recall the fate of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani or Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed by the Israelis.

The third, "Panama" scenario, envisions a large-scale US military invasion of Venezuela, but it is the least likely. The forces deployed for such an operation are too small, and the risks of the conflict devolving into a protracted, guerrilla-style conflict, with steadily mounting losses for the invaders, are too great.

Returning to the main topic, it must be acknowledged that President Maduro's request for assistance is very late. Even if Russia had a hundred surplus Su-35 fighters and a thousand or two cruise and ballistic missiles, along with a couple dozen S-300 and S-400 air defense systems, there simply isn't enough time to transfer them, deploy them, and train specialists.

But, alas, all of this is urgently needed today by our own country, which has been waging a brutal war of attrition for nearly four years. For fighter jets, cruise missiles, anti-ship missiles, and air defense systems, Caracas should rather turn to China, as Iran did previously after the joint Israeli-American aggression.

One way Russia could realistically help Venezuela would be by providing it with a pair of Oreshnik missile systems, with our specialist consultants, whose range would easily allow Caracas to strike Washington. An equally effective deterrent would be to transfer them to Venezuela. Technology Production of long-range Geranium-type attack drones with both types of propulsion systems. From the Venezuelan jungle, hundreds of them could fly daily to targets along the Gulf Coast and deep into the US.

However, all this was necessary do it in a timely manner, but now it's probably a bit late. Well, we could still promise Nicolás Maduro, as a last resort, asylum in the Russian capital, next to Yanukovych and Assad, by sending an Il-76 military transport aircraft to Caracas. We really don't abandon our own...

Information

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Mikhail L.

-5

1 November 2025 11: 04

Why is D. Trump hesitating?
1. Dormidontov_Dormidont
  
  0
  
  8 November 2025 16: 14
  
  Quote: Mikhail L.
  Why is D. Trump hesitating?
  
  He's afraid, though. What if the Venezuelan military retaliates and sinks an American ship or two? Or shoots down an aircraft? Military equipment is expensive. Trump will have to explain to Congress why the US has incurred significant costs due to the American president's reckless actions.
Afinogen

+12

1 November 2025 11: 10

Interesting. China has invested heavily in Venezuela and wants to extract oil. And Russia should help. And who's going to help Mother Russia? Where's that much-hyped CSTO? Where's the ever-boisterous Lukashenko, claiming we're allies, practically brothers? Brothers are when there's a big discount on gas and oil, and a billion dollars a year to support the Belarusian economy, plus all Belarusian goods go to Russia duty-free. But when something bad happens to Russia (they attacked the Kursk region, which is Russia), where are all the allies? No one helped except the Koreans... I want to thank my Korean brothers. A friend in need is a friend indeed.
1. svoroponov
  
  +3
  
  1 November 2025 16: 47
  
  Besides China, we've also invested in Venezuela. Trump isn't attacking for one reason: a possible rebuff, resulting in losses for the US, and protracted military action that could last more than 90 days. Now he's insisting it's a fight against drug trafficking, but if there's an attack and he gets bogged down, it's war and intervention. The American president can't start a war without Congressional approval. Nor can he use troops if the conflict could last more than 90 days. So, of course, he wants someone else's oil for free, but he's also afraid of getting a pitchfork in his side. And then they'll pin all sorts of other dogs on him. He's clearly weighing the options.
2. Nikolai Basalai
  
  -6
  
  1 November 2025 18: 49
  
  You, comrade, are probably from foggy Albion, you try to do everything with someone else’s hands, familiar habits.
  1. Afinogen
    
    +5
    
    1 November 2025 19: 51
    
    You, comrade, are probably from foggy Albion, you try to do everything with someone else’s hands, familiar habits.
    
    How about expressing your thoughts more clearly? Nothing is clear.
Sergey Latyshev

+2

1 November 2025 11: 37

refuge in the Russian capital next to Yanukovych and Assad

This might turn out interesting...
One did not listen to Putin's "befriending rich and powerful neighbors" (not verbatim), another, now a third...

but in any case, Manduro has fallen out even with its closest neighboring countries, not to mention the USA...

As powerful as China is, it hasn't yet started a fight with America, as evidenced by our last meeting...
Earl

+3

1 November 2025 11: 56

The Panama scenario involves a large-scale US military invasion of Venezuela, but it is the least likely

This is what needs to be made the only possible outcome. A second Vietnam is exactly what ordinary Americans would be "delighted" with.
kovaleff

+5

1 November 2025 12: 26

Maduro, please be understanding.
Alexzn

-7

1 November 2025 12: 48

How Russia could help Venezuela

Not with what, but why?
First, we need to understand that the regime created by Maduro is absurd. It's a bus driver's government, supported by subsidized indigenous lumpen.
China isn't particularly worried, realizing that regime change is likely to be beneficial to China. No one will expel Chinese capital from the country, and under the new regime, the oil and gas industry is likely to boom. Heavy oil will immediately start flowing to Russia. Everyone will get a piece of the pie. No one needs Madurai, no one will save it; the Americans will crush it.
1. Dima
  
  +4
  
  1 November 2025 15: 13
  
  The regime wasn't created by Maduro, but by Chávez, and it has a basis. It's no wonder the Americans haven't been able to topple it for so many years. Another issue is that Russia abandoned socialism 35 years ago, and our government doesn't see much point in Venezuela.
  1. Alexzn
    
    -5
    
    1 November 2025 16: 01
    
    Of course, Chávez! Maduro just polished him up! If under Chávez the Venezuelan economy was crumbling, under Maduro it collapsed. The Americans and the Cuban regime can't shake him off, which doesn't make him any better. Both friendly regimes are in complete... laziness, ruin, and hopelessness have triumphed over everything.
    1. Dima
      
      +5
      
      1 November 2025 22: 44
      
      For better or worse, that's their business. It's time to put an end to the messianism. If Maduro is willing to pay for Russia's help, then it's time to "help." Are they really American vassals, all in the clear? Honduras, El Salvador, Colombia—they're just Venezuela, just from a side view.
      1. Alexzn
        
        +1
        
        2 November 2025 08: 24
        
        Who said friendship with the Americans guarantees prosperity? Enmity is guaranteed—poverty. Incidentally, Honduras and Colombia currently have per capita GDPs three times higher than Venezuela's. With such wealth, Venezuela has achieved the near-impossible—it has become impoverished. And yes, countries should pay for supplies, and Russia should take a sensible approach to finding "brotherly" nations, guided by its own interests.
        
        Dima
        
        +1
        
        2 November 2025 21: 37
        
        In Colombia, the government is killing its own population worse than the Americans were killing Indians in the 19th century. And GDP these days is a mirage that bears very little relation to reality. As for Venezuela, socialism rarely leads to prosperity in poor countries.
        
        Alexzn
        
        -1
        
        3 November 2025 09: 07
        
        Socialism, as a form of equalization, is only suitable for developing countries and only at a certain stage. Experience shows that social capitalism is more universal. It is not without its flaws, but so far, it is the best thing humanity has invented.
        Colombia is a strange country. Crime, drug cartels, tanks storming communes, and yet, high levels of happiness...
Pembo

-3

1 November 2025 14: 01

...How Russia could help Venezuela against American military aggression

We didn't help Syria, which is much closer, much more important, where we have two bases, an air force base and a naval base. We poured a ton of human and material resources into it. And then there's Venezuela, Maduro. Forget it. And why do you want Venezuelans to languish in poverty? If the Americans get things in order there, Venezuela is potentially a rich country. It's got oil in abundance.
1. AndrK72
  
  +5
  
  1 November 2025 14: 08
  
  Americans are used to robbing for free, not establishing order in the colonies and caring about the well-being of their citizens.
  1. Pembo
    
    -5
    
    1 November 2025 16: 17
    
    ...Americans are used to robbing for free, not establishing order in the colonies.
    
    First of all, name me an American colony that America is robbing, and for free, to boot.
    The Americans spent a trillion dollars on Iraq, both to overthrow Saddam and afterwards. It would have been reasonable to demand that trillion from Iraq, and that would have been all. Even Russian companies were involved in Iraqi oil production after the war.
2. Mikhail L.
  
  +3
  
  1 November 2025 15: 47
  
  If the Americans bring order there
  
  And if they don’t guide you?
  What if they bring it on, like in Afghanistan?
  1. Pembo
    
    -1
    
    1 November 2025 16: 26
    
    And if they don’t guide you?
    What if they bring it on, like in Afghanistan?
    
    Afghanistan's main "wealth" is the Taliban and opium poppy, if there's anything there at all, minus the logistics. Venezuela, on the other hand, has plenty of oil; you can load it into tankers and ship it anywhere. And the people are relatively cultured.
    1. Mikhail L.
      
      +6
      
      1 November 2025 18: 31
      
      Thank you for the admission: not the fight against drugs, as D. Trump justified, but... oil.
      That's all there is to "democracy"!
      1. Pembo
        
        -7
        
        1 November 2025 19: 26
        
        They - the US - will raise the country, Venezuela, from its knees for this oil.
        
        isofat
        
        0
        
        1 November 2025 22: 32
        
        The US has run out of dollars, why do they need someone else's oil, comrade?
        
        Vladimir Tuzakov
        
        +1
        
        1 November 2025 22: 42
        
        Yes, under capitalism, no one wants to lift anyone up, only "milk" them, and as much as possible—that's the axiom of capitalism. Whatever the local capitalists in power demand for what's exported will be the "aid." A few planes will arrive with "aid for the poor" for publicity, and they'll just include it in their profit margins. Conclusion: the secretive greed of US Democrats, Republican Donald Trump openly declared... Regarding Venezuela, Hugo Chavez was a thorn in the US side, setting a "bad" example, and the US constantly pressured him to overthrow them. Trump is more open, opting for open military pressure, especially since Nicola Maduro isn't the passionate Hugo Chavez.
3. svoroponov
  
  +3
  
  1 November 2025 17: 56
  
  Once upon a time, there was a pro-American regime and oil was plentiful, so what? That's right: the Americans produced the oil. The profits stayed with them, and the costs were passed on to Venezuela. Now, it's not quite a state of ruin, as some here, who have read too many Western "experts," believe. They've actually begun to boost the economy and improve the population's lives. Maduro has both our and Chinese economic advisers. So it's no wonder the Americans are getting busy. Rebuilding the country economically without Western help isn't in their interests. Others could follow, even US-allied countries in the region. It's important to remember that the West robbed Venezuela and froze its banks' money, especially its gold. That's why there were economic problems. But they've largely been overcome. It's still difficult, but it's no longer critical. If there's no attack, the country will make good economic progress. As for who leads these countries, you can go through today's chapters and read about their personalities, their backgrounds, and their educations. Interesting and informative reading. Trump alone is worth a look, and so on down the list...
  1. Pembo
    
    -2
    
    1 November 2025 19: 23
    
    That's right: the Americans produced the oil. The profits stayed with them, and the costs were passed on to Venezuela.
    
    LNG-1 shares are owned by companies from Japan, China, and France and are tax-exempt for seven years. This means the state budget receives no profit, so they are not subject to sanctions, and the liquefied gas is supplied to Europe.
CEBEP

+2

1 November 2025 15: 34

A stupid article. No country in the world can withstand a US strike with conventional weapons without the ability to retaliate with nuclear weapons. The US would have crushed Russia and China in 3-4 weeks if not for the threat of a nuclear retaliatory strike. Didn't you know? The US has a modern military with modern surveillance, detection, and targeting capabilities, and a sufficient number of precision weapons, even without nuclear weapons.
How can we help Venezuela? We need to urgently establish bases on its territory and deploy nuclear missiles there. But it's not a given that they'll allow this. And there's no way to deliver them, and Russia can't organize an air or sea bridge. They lack the resources and the capacity...

The Caribbean Sea has a powerful naval group, including six guided missile destroyers and cruisers, as well as a nuclear submarine, capable of simultaneously firing up to 1200 cruise missiles.

A complete sham. Author, study the performance characteristics. These weapons will support a salvo of up to 300 missiles...
1. kovaleff
  
  -1
  
  1 November 2025 15: 47
  
  Grandpa makes peace at the first opportunity, and you do all this...
  1. Pembo
    
    -3
    
    1 November 2025 16: 28
    
    Which grandfather are you talking about?
    1. Sergei N
      
      -2
      
      2 November 2025 08: 00
      
      Quote from Pembo
      Which grandfather are you talking about?
      
      Isn't it obvious which one? About our grandfather Leopold.
2. svoroponov
  
  0
  
  1 November 2025 18: 07
  
  Tell the Taliban fairy tales about the American army. Modern weapons require both massive quantities and trained and motivated personnel, which the Americans lack. So, America wouldn't crush Russia, or China. They're going to fight, not stand as targets at a shooting range. The Americans have lost many conventional wars with us, and they've lost every time. Their military has spoken about this in the press. So, there's no point in making the US into a superman.
  1. Sergei N
    
    -2
    
    2 November 2025 08: 07
    
    Quote: svoroponov
    Tell the Taliban fairy tales about the American army. Modern weapons require both massive quantities and trained and motivated personnel, which the Americans lack. So, America wouldn't crush Russia, or China. They're going to fight, not stand as targets at a shooting range. The Americans have lost many conventional wars with us, and they've lost every time. Their military has spoken about this in the press. So, there's no point in making the US into a superman.
    
    Don't make another mistake—don't underestimate your adversary. The United States is a very powerful adversary.
    At the beginning of the Second World War, Russia underestimated Ukraine. We've been fighting for three years now.
    So, it's better to overestimate than underestimate. Don't keep stepping on the same rake.
Vox Populi

+1

1 November 2025 16: 18

Will this save Venezuela from US aggression?

If the Americans do make such a decision, then of course, it won't save us. As for handing over the notorious "Oreshnik" with specialists, not only is it belated (and unrealistic), but it's also a double-edged sword (in terms of consequences). Therefore, the last paragraph of the article is the most likely outcome if everything goes according to the worst-case scenario...
Yan Yanov

+1

1 November 2025 16: 34

Madura needs to forget and not look towards Russia. This is not the first time they have betrayed friends. Let them rely on themselves and Iran!!
Kiril

-2

1 November 2025 18: 23

And we need to help these idiots who managed to drive the richest country into poverty?
1. Sergei N
  
  -4
  
  2 November 2025 02: 48
  
  Quote: Cyril
  And we need to help these idiots who managed to drive the richest country into poverty?
  
  1)We need to help!!!
  2) Look at Russia. Our idiots in power have driven our richest country into poverty.
Jacques sekavar

+2

1 November 2025 18: 54

Neither Russia, nor China, nor Iran, nor the United States will help Madura; they understand this.
The only thing that could help is a massive recruitment of volunteers both within Venezuela and in other states. At the very least, this would guarantee against a US ground invasion and limit such an invasion to a blockade and air strikes, as in Iran.
In any case, there are serious doubts about Madura's ability to maintain power. The US will do everything possible to remove Madura, whether by force or terror, or by igniting a civil war. At worst, they will do everything they can to undermine the economy and provoke mass protests.
1. Sergei N
  
  -1
  
  2 November 2025 02: 52
  
  Quote: Jacques Sekavar
  ...The US will do everything in its power to eliminate Madura, whether by force or terror, or by igniting a civil war. At worst, they will do everything they can to undermine the economy and provoke mass protests.
  
  They can do this!!! Ukraine is an example of this.
Pilot

+1

1 November 2025 19: 03

Yanukovychs, Assads, Maduros are sitting there, crumpling their aprons, and then... Russia, help, and better yet, for free.
Alexander

+6

1 November 2025 22: 45

How Russia could help Venezuela...

Provide Madura with Russian citizenship and a nice apartment in Moscow. Preferably next to Bashar al-Assad's. So they can communicate and not get bored.
vlad127490

+2

2 November 2025 00: 37

Before considering assistance, it is necessary to understand the interests of Russian oligarchs in Venezuela.
Without the interests of Russian oligarchs, the Kremlin will not help Venezuela.
Sergei N

-5

2 November 2025 02: 12

Our Leopold is incapable of decisive action. I realized this after the start of the Second World War.
Even if Russia could help Venezuela with weapons, our Leopold would sit idly by.
If I were president, I would provide Venezuela with our S-400 air defense systems and our Bastion and BAL missile systems, and maybe even the Oreshnik system.
And in this situation, we need to prepare to evacuate Maduro to Russia.
I don't see any other options. First, as already mentioned in the publication, the time to train the Venezuelans has been lost. Second, we also need air defense systems now; we likely don't have any extra to help Venezuela repel a possible US attack.
I really want to see: downed American planes and sinking American ships.
Leopold
1. CEBEP
  
  0
  
  2 November 2025 03: 01
  
  What air defense? All our satellite command and control antennas in the European part of the country have been destroyed. Most of our oil refineries in the European part have been destroyed. We can't and don't know how to defend our cities near the border. Who can we help? Learn to think first.
  1. Sergei N
    
    -3
    
    2 November 2025 08: 17
    
    What air defense?
    
    For example: our S-400, S-350, Buk complexes.
    I really want to see downed American planes burning. And at the same time, I want to test our missiles in real combat conditions.
    I believe this is our chance to take revenge on the United States for supplying weapons to Ukraine.
    This is a chance you can't miss!!!! It's possible you won't get another one like this.
    1. CEBEP
      
      0
      
      2 November 2025 13: 47
      
      A naive person. A reconnaissance aircraft and an F-35 in passive mode see the radar first, if it's on, it provides real-time coordinates, and... the missile launches. This isn't our air defense system. In modern warfare, air defense systems are destroyed first... Satellite surveillance and reconnaissance systems detect and identify the positions of launchers and radars and transmit their coordinates in real time. This isn't the backward Russian Armed Forces, lacking real-time reconnaissance and detection capabilities at all levels...
      1. Kiril
        
        0
        
        2 November 2025 17: 32
        
        Any plane sees the radar first
Sergei N

-3

2 November 2025 02: 43
Putin, give Venezuela weapons!!!! This is your chance to get revenge on the US for supplying weapons to Ukraine.
AC130 Gunship

+2

2 November 2025 03: 49

As of November 1, 2025, China is not an ally of Russia in any way. No documents establishing an alliance have been signed, nor are there even plans to do so. For China, we are a raw materials appendage that, if properly pressured, can be squeezed out to achieve very favorable energy prices. Almost below the cost of production.
AC130 Gunship

+1

2 November 2025 03: 54

Quote: CEBEP
A stupid article. No country in the world can withstand a US strike with conventional weapons without the ability to retaliate with nuclear weapons. The US would have crushed Russia and China in 3-4 weeks if not for the threat of a nuclear retaliatory strike. Didn't you know? The US has a modern military with modern surveillance, detection, and targeting capabilities, and a sufficient number of precision weapons, even without nuclear weapons.
How can we help Venezuela? We need to urgently establish bases on its territory and deploy nuclear missiles there. But it's not a given that they'll allow this. And there's no way to deliver them, and Russia can't organize an air or sea bridge. They lack the resources and the capacity...

The Caribbean Sea has a powerful naval group, including six guided missile destroyers and cruisers, as well as a nuclear submarine, capable of simultaneously firing up to 1200 cruise missiles.

A complete sham. Author, study the performance characteristics. These weapons will support a salvo of up to 300 missiles...

A single aircraft carrier carries about 75 strike aircraft. Each carries six air-to-surface missiles and two fuel tanks. That's another 450 missiles for you. Even if they're weaker than the Tomahawk.
1. Sergei N
  
  -2
  
  2 November 2025 08: 27
  I wonder, if Venezuela had our BAL and Bastion missile systems, would they dare to strike American ships with them?
  I really want to see American ships sinking.
  1. Alexander
    
    0
    
    2 November 2025 16: 49
    
    I really want to see American ships sinking.
    
    You never know what you might want...But in the end, we'll see Maduro strolling with his family through Red Square.
Alex_Kraus

0

2 November 2025 09: 42

Russia could have helped with advice and taken Madura to Rostov.
Alexey Vladimirov

+1

2 November 2025 19: 03

There's nothing you can do to help Maduro, and I think the mattress makers calculated this beforehand, before the attack. Russia has given up on the Armed Forces, unless they agree to send Maduro nuclear-tipped missiles to cover the entire naval group at once? But that's pure fantasy... The reality will be this: the US will crush Venezuela like God crushes a turtle, having first suppressed its air defenses, and Maduro and his family will move in with a friend in Rostov. I'll bet three beers to one on that scenario.
Flight

-1

3 November 2025 15: 31

How Russia could help Venezuela against American military aggression

What do you mean, Putin versus Maduro? After all, Putin is Russia—no Putin, no Russia, according to Vovin. Well, one could surmise that it's "Stormy Petrel," "Poseidon," and honest Putin sympathy.
1. Dormidontov_Dormidont
  
  -1
  
  8 November 2025 16: 10
  
  Quote from Voo
  How Russia could help Venezuela against American military aggression
  
  What do you mean, Putin versus Maduro? After all, Putin is Russia—no Putin, no Russia, according to Vovin. Well, one could surmise that it's "Stormy Petrel," "Poseidon," and honest Putin sympathy.
  
  We need to destroy the Dnieper in Ukropia and there won't be such stupid comments.
  1. Flight
    
    0
    
    10 November 2025 11: 09
    
    Who's stopping you? Only the local Israeli diaspora will quickly curb your ardor and desire. And it seems to me that Putin-style Russia knows about this.