Putin's phenomenon is Russia's main problem
A bill called the Vladimir Putin Transparency Act, which is supposed to figure out the ways to generate income and the size of property of the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, was recently submitted to the American Congress for consideration. It is clear that the official tax returns of the President of the Russian Federation in America do not suit anyone. They are confident in Putin's secret fabulous wealth that must be found. And if you don’t find it, then at least pretend that you have allegedly found or are finding it.
According to the plan of American lawmakers, foreign intelligence and other US special services, state power structures, that is, around the world and at public expense, will have to seriously deal with this. Here is such information. And nothing like that, it was quite normal for it in the media, no one was indignant and was not surprised at all. No one protested, cursed, sent notes, or even expressed concern. Like everything is fine. I don’t know what kind of thing impresses anyone, but, for example, hearing and reading such information, I don’t want to believe my ears and eyes. Why, excuse me, the fright, did the American Congress decide to investigate the income of the president of Russia, another sovereign country and a nuclear superpower, by the way? What do they care?
Well, it’s understandable that they are looking for covert financing of the election campaign from their redhead Donald, tax evasion, sexual scandals, racist remarks, ties with Russian special services - to hell with him, it's their president in their country and their business, they want to discredit him and bring him down so let them fall. But Putin is the president of Russia. Russian citizens chose him for themselves, so they decide how and what he deserves, and understand his property, if someone needs this of course. And here is America and its bills? Can you imagine this wild boiling up in what is still called “respected world media” by inertia if something like this were initiated in the State Duma of the Russian Federation with respect to, say, Mr. Macron, Teresa May, or the same Donald Trump? - A nightmare! Intervention in the internal affairs of sovereign states! Influence from the outside on the ruling structures of the free world! Urgent sanctions! And so on ... And the imperious "elites" of the entire "civilized Western community", naturally, would not fail to take this opportunity, if possible, in order to do our utmost and once again damage our state. This is all the aforementioned, so to speak, lyrics and my personal indignation absolutely over the edge with the already flowing rudeness and self-proclaimed permissiveness of the United States. But there is a completely adequate reason for all this.
Choosing in my mind a harsher, but possible for publication, wording for the analogue of the word “why” is somewhat higher in the text, I used the expression “with what fright”, and then suddenly realized that this is the most suitable phrase here. That's right, with a fright. Or did someone think that American congressmen (plus "congresswomen" and all the rest of their "congressional new sexes" so that no one would be offended) are real and sincerely concerned that the Russians may have a corrupt president? Yes, no matter how! If this were true, then America would have been satisfied with such an option in the first place, but apparently it didn’t work out. As it turned out to defame, buy on false promises, “dilute” as predecessors, and even could not intimidate. It was just from its own fright that the US Congress decided to take up the so-called investigation against the president of the Russian Federation. So-called because the bill immediately contains a wording on the urgent publication of the facts found. Well, where did you see the investigation, the results of which should be immediately published in the process? And for what? And in order to possibly discredit Putin. That is the whole purpose of the investigation. And the material, as it were, through the “world media” is thrown to the Russian “oppositionists,” who for the most part are just sitting on Western salaries in order to at least somehow try to rock Putin’s unshakable positions from the inside. Because they are afraid of HIM, and they are very afraid. And after the Crimea, then Syria, and then the well-known animated cartoons about a new superweapon that suddenly came to life, they were already scared to death. And it’s very bad for them to hide it.
What is happening in Russia now is largely the merit of the president of our country. This is just about the role of personality in history. You can love or hate Putin, you can idolize or criticize, agree with him or not, but it is impossible to deny that this is, without a doubt, one of the greatest personalities in the history of not only Russia, but also humanity. This person, by its historical significance, is already on a par with Peter the Great, Napoleon-Bonaparte, Bismarck, Lenin, Stalin and similar statesmen. And in the West they also understand this. They also understand that on their side there are simply no players adequate to Putin today and are not expected in the near future. And this despite the fact that this “game” itself is being cheated by our opponents with Russia, with initially marked cards, and, if you continue with card terms, with the worst possible distribution to us. But Putin, figuratively speaking, sat down at the table and in this situation, knowing him in advance, and was even able to start winning. At first, no one in the West even believed it. Thought bluff. Then they began in every way and, again, dishonestly counteracted. And when this clearly didn’t help, they were just scared. They realized that while they are “playing” with Putin, one can forget about a clear win. That is, at this stage, the so-called “united west” (read: USA) has the only way to preserve its own hegemony in the world - by eliminating Putin from political arenas at all costs. And this is not an easy task.
Attempted assassination attempts were made by others, but failed. It is simply impossible to do this with Russia simply by invading and forcibly changing a regime, such as Iraq or Libya, because it is trite to have little strength even for the United States and all its allies combined. The Yugoslav scenario, with the collapse of the state from the inside and the support of all of this by “humanitarian bombing” from the outside, is also scary to implement - in return you can get in such a way that little will seem to anyone. All kinds of “orange, violet, blue-yellow, floral” and other revolutions also seem unlikely because of the really unprecedented high support of the President of the Russian Federation by the population of his country. Have tried economic sanctions - the effect in the majority of the population is the opposite. They decided to start from afar now, if only to try to somehow undermine the trust and authority of the Russian leader among their own people ... This is all the description of the actions hostile to Russia that can be continued further, there are many, they are diverse, and, unfortunately, they diversity and quantity in the future will only increase for now ... while in Russia Putin is at the helm. So many people think, and there is a grain of truth in this. But the question is, what will happen to Russia if Putin leaves? Who should replace him?
Yes, Russia under Putin literally rose from its knees and again took its deserved place as a world superpower, but this position is still rather precarious. After almost three decades of the total collapse and sack of our country, which, by the way, still hasn’t been put to an end until today, the remaining five years are too short for us to finally get on our feet, deal with internal problems, and further strengthen authority in the foreign arena. But no one is actually able to replace the head of state at his post so that at the same pace to continue the course, it is not yet visible. Moreover, no one can be seen who can be compared with Vladimir Vladimirovich both in the confidence of the people and in popularity, both domestically and abroad. This is a phenomenon of Putin. But in this way, unfortunately, this is a danger to our country - where to get another such leader?
The whole system turned out to be too dependent on one particular person. Putin is everywhere. He meets with leaders of other states and journalists, speaks at economic and political forums, opens the Olympics, the Universiade and the World Cup, attends new production launches, gives awards, gives interviews, talks to people on a straight line and live, constantly moving around in our vast country, from end to end, he often travels abroad, he solves specific issues himself, and he knows how everything seems to be, goes hunting and fishing, goes camping and does judo, plays hockey at night, etc. . etc. Rumor has it that the president of Russia has several doubles, because his schedule for the average person seems absolutely unrealistic and impossible just physically. But the whole point is that Putin is not at all average. Anyone can relate to this phrase as anything, but I believe that God exists and holds a protective hand over Russia, and he sent Putin to Russia as a savior from imminent collapse and plunder. Sounds too pathetic? Maybe. Nevertheless, I repeat, from my personal point of view, it looks that way. After the unexpectedly rapid collapse of the seemingly eternal and almighty USSR, after the chaos of the nineties, there was a feeling that everything was lost, that everyone who hated us for so many years had finally done their dirty deed and won, that the country was flying into the abyss from which there wasn’t return ... But suddenly something happened that no one seems to have expected - the phenomenon of Putin appeared on the political stage. He appeared and began to slowly, gradually, but surely pull Russia out of nothingness.
In the West, initially they did not believe that in 2024 Putin would simply take and leave, as it should be under the constitution of the Russian Federation. Because they also see how the Putin phenomenon works. And because they also understand: before 2024, our country still does not have time to reach its maximum capacity, so to speak. Their analysts trace the clear relationship of all the successes of modern Russia directly with the personality of its leader. And that is why our enemies now directed all their attacks on him. The situation at the moment is this: on the one hand, all our opponents are doing everything possible to prevent Putin from continuing their work; on the other hand, the constitution prohibits the Russian president from being elected for another term, and he is unlikely to violate or change it “for himself”. This is against his principles, as well as any such steps would undermine his own authority. But there is no adequate successor. After a strong leader, it is generally not easy to take his place. And Putin is not just strong, he is unique. At the same time, most likely, analyzing the available initial data, after 2024 we still will not see the GDP as president. So there is a real risk that with his departure, his line of power will end. So what to do? The situation for our country, in fact, is quite complicated and dangerous. We quickly saw in the sad example of the Soviet Union how quickly it breaks in bad hands even what was built over several generations and seemed absolutely unshakable. And over the next five years, Russia, under Putin’s leadership, needs to achieve something that can prevent such a development of events. Or at least make it minimally believable. Possible ways to resolve the issue: 1) find and prepare an adequate successor; 2) to improve the economic, managerial, social, industrial and defense state, that is, the entire state system of Russia, to such a condition that it is already as strong as possible, self-sufficient and resistant to the influence of any negative factors; 3) remembering that all the biggest cataclysms in the history of our country did not do without external influence, to reduce the possibility of such an impact to a minimum or even to zero.
Now briefly consider all three of these paths from the point of view of the real possibility of implementation. Although with the necessary caveat: Putin has already begun to implement all three of these options, the question, in fact, is only what is closest to the state of readiness in the required period of five years. Russia will ensure almost complete security for itself, and Putin will have a quiet retreat for a well-deserved rest, if all three of these components are brought to life together. But, unfortunately, it is not necessary to count on the fact that this will happen simultaneously, for the available objective reasons.
Option 1" - successor. If you look at the existing higher echelon of power of the Russian Federation, as well as the truth, then there are no adequate candidates there. Various programs for the search and education of a new elite such as the competition "Leaders of Russia", etc. this is clearly a good groundwork for the future, but it is unlikely that a new state leader will be released within five years on a scale comparable to Putin. Based on the fact that the army and other power structures are, after all, the strongest and most reliable element of our statehood, they began to send some trusted generals some time ago, apparently for testing and gaining experience, to civilian managerial positions. These are people who personally know Putin and enjoy his trust. If in two or three years one of them will prove himself in a sufficient way, then, most likely, this is where the possible successor will come from. It is also possible that Vladimir Vladimirovich himself, after such a person comes to the highest position in the Russian state hierarchy, will remain for some time “behind the scenes,” as they say. At the same time, in these considerations, I do not at all ignore the democratic process, as many may think. Just in today's position and with the popularity of the GDP itself, I’m absolutely sure that in five years it’s absolutely legitimate, through the elections in the country, the one in whom the voters will see him, Putin, the successor, and no one else. For five years, the implementation of this option for a change of leader, of course, is not guaranteed, but it is quite real. The problem is that the position of this person in this case will be extremely difficult. And inside and outside the country, at least at the initial stage, everyone in it will see only the “shadow of Putin”. And it’s hard to live and act adequately.
Option 2", from my point of view and unfortunately, is not feasible in a five-year period. This is too little time after all that has been destroyed and lost. Nevertheless, I also think that in these five years Russia will make a sharp leap forward, but it will create a platform for future prosperity in the longer term, with only gradual but noticeable improvements in the next five years, on the necessary scale, in order to preserve the population believes in the correctness of the chosen program. I will explain: I think that during his last presidential term and consciously even to the detriment of his own image of the population, Putin will go to the decisions necessary for the long-term development of the country, but unpopular with the people. Type of ongoing pension reform. I do not presume to guess what will be the next step, but it will definitely be outlined in the near future. Putin thinks nationally and globally, tries to calculate many moves forward, but at the same time lives by the principle “if you want to do well, do it yourself”. So he will do this, thereby facilitating the beginning of work for his successor. There is another effective option for a sharp increase in the economy and the country's defense capability - the introduction of tight centralized management. In our plundered and steeped in corruption and nepotism country, Stalinist methods, including confiscation of illegally obtained state property, would certainly work. Everyone knows how privatization went, so the volume of such property would be colossal. But GDP will not do that. Not even because he is afraid, or because he is against the wool with these methods. He simply will not take risks, since such measures, even in the medium term, will automatically lead to a sharp increase in the discontent of the population, and, as a result, an increase in the influence on the broad masses of anti-state elements both from within and from those who feed them from the outside. What this leads to in Russia, we know from history.
Option 3" - minimization or elimination of external threats. Despite all the seeming complexity and even fantasticness at first glance, this option is quite feasible in practice, and with what Russia now has, even in a five-year period. And of all three possibilities, this one is even the most realistically achievable. And here I do not mean the physical destruction of our enemies by force of arms, for example. Although it is precisely the latest weapons systems, or rather their presence and real threat of use, that would play an important role in this. In the very near future, Russia does not know for how long, but a real qualitative superiority in armaments is planned. And it must be used. It is necessary to proceed solely from the principle “there is no method against scrap if there is no other scrap”. That is, simply completely adopt the US tactics in international relations, while clearly realizing that until we directly affect either their territory, or at least their foreign military bases, they will not fight with us. And this is a bare fact. They will not be for the very reason why the Russian Federation does not enter into an open conflict with the United States over the approach of NATO to our borders, when deploying unambiguously directed weapons systems against us under various idiotic pretexts, etc. It should be understood that NATO is simply the foremost outpost of the US Armed Forces, which has absolutely no weight in decision-making.
In no case do I urge to underestimate the enemy, but we must also evaluate him adequately. If we look at the state of the European armies of the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance, we will see that their numbers, technical equipment, high-quality condition of personnel, and with all this the overall combat efficiency has been constantly decreasing in recent years, and there is no tendency to a certain turn in this process. The most striking examples of such a degradation of the Armed Forces are the former Warsaw Pact states, which, in fact, have lost their real and even autonomously combat-ready integrated armies with various types of troops. Today, these countries militarily are essentially narrowly specialized appendages, as it were, within the framework of NATO, but in reality the contingent of the US army in Europe and on foreign “missions”. The ground forces and the Navy of Britain, France and Germany, once the backbone of the alliance on the proposed European theater of operations, are now only a miserable shadow of the same structures of the 70-80s of the last century. The Air Force of individual Euronat troops, who still have them, are practically incapable of independent work, that is, without the assistance of the US infrastructure and other partners. Only separate units of the special forces of the NATO countries can be called really high-fighting units, but these are not those troops in terms of size and equipment that can solve strategic tasks within the framework of a possible large-scale conflict with an enemy such as the Russian Armed Forces. That is, both NATO, as such, and its individual members, without a direct order from the Pentagon, will not go to any aggravation themselves. But such an order will not come. Especially in light of recent GDP statements regarding strikes on “decision points”. This was the first step.
The second step should be to ensure at least the neutral position of China, by way of treaty dividing the spheres of possible military influence in the world, and ensure mutual support in the UN Security Council on issues that are controversial with the United States, which at the moment coincides with Chinese strategic interests. And then it is absolutely necessary to enter into Central America (for the beginning of Cuba, Venezuela) and the Balkans, where it is still possible, absolutely without embarrassment. Among African and Asian countries there are also many dissatisfied with the behavior of the West and the United States in particular, and this should be used. At the same time, I am not talking about the creation of universally expensive stationary military bases, but about the frequent presence on a contractual basis in the ports of various states of the warships of our Navy, conducting joint exercises, humanitarian, anti-terrorist and peacekeeping missions, etc. And it is also necessary to resume the Soviet practice of training foreign military personnel in our universities of the Moscow Region, the supply of weapons (even on credit), the presence of Russian military specialists in the armies of various states. A separate item is the relationship between Russia and the states of the former USSR, especially the countries that are members of the CSTO. There is generally enough to play "democracy and freedom of self-determination." Or with us, or against.
Moreover, if the latter, then with all the economic and visa consequences. The mandatory holding of joint exercises in the Collective Security Treaty Organization, the purchase of weapons, as well as joint participation in military operations abroad - are strictly modeled on NATO. All ideas about the disinterested friendship of peoples should be left to songwriters. Where this policy has led, we now see the example of Ukraine. In this particular direction, firstly, the creation of a union state with Belarus, including unified armed forces, is necessary until 2024. Further, after holding the so-called presidential elections in Ukraine, in no case should they be recognized as legitimate, with all the consequences for a neighboring state. Plus, recognition of LDNR as subjects according to the model of South Ossetia, or even inclusion in the Russian Federation according to the model of Crimea. If a referendum is also held there with foreign observers, then I have little doubt about its result. In the case of attempts by military forces from the Armed Forces, albeit in the form of at least one shelling across the border, immediate force suppression, followed by the seizure of at least the original territories of Lugansk and Donetsk regions. It is unlikely that this will pass with strong resistance from the Ukrainian army. And let the "world press" scream and accuse us of aggression, in the end they will do it and will do so.
In the media sphere, by the way, it is necessary to develop an absolutely aggressive policy, again, entirely based on the Western model. For example, not “dirtying” the same “RT” with lies, but through various Internet resources such as Instagram, Facebook, etc., to distribute, say, materials about the secret homosexuality of Emmanuel Macron, corruption of Donald Tusk or the participation of Teresa May in the underground sect of the Satanists. And then, already through the official media, already demand from the defendants in these cases, so to speak, to prove the opposite to the public. Rave? Nothing wrong! Let them launder. They, after all, are doing the same for our country. Another important factor that can be successfully played on the propaganda field is serious internal disagreements in the “Western camp” on some seemingly non-political issues. For example, the complete and widespread rejection of the “new”, that is, as a rule, East European members of NATO and the EU, to which Turkey can be added, with the largest army after the United States in the alliance, various newfangled Western trends in the destruction of the classical concept and the institution of the family and relationships sexes. Recently, by the way, in Eastern Europe, many have turned to Russia in this matter as an example of behavior, and this should be supported in every way, developing a positive attitude towards our country where it is possible. For example, hold international forums on these issues in the Russian Federation, with the participation of members of the public and religious leaders. Sponsor human rights organizations dealing with this topic in the territories of foreign states. And they, along the way, can deal in parallel with other issues ... Organize protests, etc.
That is, again, behave directly in the image and likeness of Western "partners". And all these actions, in turn, will force these same “partners” to switch to a greater degree to solving the problems that we will create for them, greatly weakening their potential in creating problems for us. As you know, the best way of defense is to attack. And the five-year period for the development of the above third direction of ensuring the security of Russia from external aggression is just quite acceptable, and the current capabilities of our state for this are quite sufficient. If, while in power until 2024, the Russian president will take some similar measures, then I think that the transfer of power in the country can take place without any excesses, enabling Putin's future successor to orient and lead the country in the direction already begun. In the event that nothing adequate is undertaken, then, in order to avoid major problems, the “castling” of the state’s top officials will be necessary once already in the Russian Federation. But this is a more problematic option. Firstly, because Putin is still not eternal, and delaying this decision will only complicate the situation in the future, and secondly, even to the position of the “interim president”, which previously was Medvedev, a real candidate for whom the people would vote , still not yet.
The option of "Putin to the kingdom" I seriously do not consider. I am sure that the “candidate for the Tsar” himself, too.
According to the plan of American lawmakers, foreign intelligence and other US special services, state power structures, that is, around the world and at public expense, will have to seriously deal with this. Here is such information. And nothing like that, it was quite normal for it in the media, no one was indignant and was not surprised at all. No one protested, cursed, sent notes, or even expressed concern. Like everything is fine. I don’t know what kind of thing impresses anyone, but, for example, hearing and reading such information, I don’t want to believe my ears and eyes. Why, excuse me, the fright, did the American Congress decide to investigate the income of the president of Russia, another sovereign country and a nuclear superpower, by the way? What do they care?
Well, it’s understandable that they are looking for covert financing of the election campaign from their redhead Donald, tax evasion, sexual scandals, racist remarks, ties with Russian special services - to hell with him, it's their president in their country and their business, they want to discredit him and bring him down so let them fall. But Putin is the president of Russia. Russian citizens chose him for themselves, so they decide how and what he deserves, and understand his property, if someone needs this of course. And here is America and its bills? Can you imagine this wild boiling up in what is still called “respected world media” by inertia if something like this were initiated in the State Duma of the Russian Federation with respect to, say, Mr. Macron, Teresa May, or the same Donald Trump? - A nightmare! Intervention in the internal affairs of sovereign states! Influence from the outside on the ruling structures of the free world! Urgent sanctions! And so on ... And the imperious "elites" of the entire "civilized Western community", naturally, would not fail to take this opportunity, if possible, in order to do our utmost and once again damage our state. This is all the aforementioned, so to speak, lyrics and my personal indignation absolutely over the edge with the already flowing rudeness and self-proclaimed permissiveness of the United States. But there is a completely adequate reason for all this.
Choosing in my mind a harsher, but possible for publication, wording for the analogue of the word “why” is somewhat higher in the text, I used the expression “with what fright”, and then suddenly realized that this is the most suitable phrase here. That's right, with a fright. Or did someone think that American congressmen (plus "congresswomen" and all the rest of their "congressional new sexes" so that no one would be offended) are real and sincerely concerned that the Russians may have a corrupt president? Yes, no matter how! If this were true, then America would have been satisfied with such an option in the first place, but apparently it didn’t work out. As it turned out to defame, buy on false promises, “dilute” as predecessors, and even could not intimidate. It was just from its own fright that the US Congress decided to take up the so-called investigation against the president of the Russian Federation. So-called because the bill immediately contains a wording on the urgent publication of the facts found. Well, where did you see the investigation, the results of which should be immediately published in the process? And for what? And in order to possibly discredit Putin. That is the whole purpose of the investigation. And the material, as it were, through the “world media” is thrown to the Russian “oppositionists,” who for the most part are just sitting on Western salaries in order to at least somehow try to rock Putin’s unshakable positions from the inside. Because they are afraid of HIM, and they are very afraid. And after the Crimea, then Syria, and then the well-known animated cartoons about a new superweapon that suddenly came to life, they were already scared to death. And it’s very bad for them to hide it.
What is happening in Russia now is largely the merit of the president of our country. This is just about the role of personality in history. You can love or hate Putin, you can idolize or criticize, agree with him or not, but it is impossible to deny that this is, without a doubt, one of the greatest personalities in the history of not only Russia, but also humanity. This person, by its historical significance, is already on a par with Peter the Great, Napoleon-Bonaparte, Bismarck, Lenin, Stalin and similar statesmen. And in the West they also understand this. They also understand that on their side there are simply no players adequate to Putin today and are not expected in the near future. And this despite the fact that this “game” itself is being cheated by our opponents with Russia, with initially marked cards, and, if you continue with card terms, with the worst possible distribution to us. But Putin, figuratively speaking, sat down at the table and in this situation, knowing him in advance, and was even able to start winning. At first, no one in the West even believed it. Thought bluff. Then they began in every way and, again, dishonestly counteracted. And when this clearly didn’t help, they were just scared. They realized that while they are “playing” with Putin, one can forget about a clear win. That is, at this stage, the so-called “united west” (read: USA) has the only way to preserve its own hegemony in the world - by eliminating Putin from political arenas at all costs. And this is not an easy task.
Attempted assassination attempts were made by others, but failed. It is simply impossible to do this with Russia simply by invading and forcibly changing a regime, such as Iraq or Libya, because it is trite to have little strength even for the United States and all its allies combined. The Yugoslav scenario, with the collapse of the state from the inside and the support of all of this by “humanitarian bombing” from the outside, is also scary to implement - in return you can get in such a way that little will seem to anyone. All kinds of “orange, violet, blue-yellow, floral” and other revolutions also seem unlikely because of the really unprecedented high support of the President of the Russian Federation by the population of his country. Have tried economic sanctions - the effect in the majority of the population is the opposite. They decided to start from afar now, if only to try to somehow undermine the trust and authority of the Russian leader among their own people ... This is all the description of the actions hostile to Russia that can be continued further, there are many, they are diverse, and, unfortunately, they diversity and quantity in the future will only increase for now ... while in Russia Putin is at the helm. So many people think, and there is a grain of truth in this. But the question is, what will happen to Russia if Putin leaves? Who should replace him?
Yes, Russia under Putin literally rose from its knees and again took its deserved place as a world superpower, but this position is still rather precarious. After almost three decades of the total collapse and sack of our country, which, by the way, still hasn’t been put to an end until today, the remaining five years are too short for us to finally get on our feet, deal with internal problems, and further strengthen authority in the foreign arena. But no one is actually able to replace the head of state at his post so that at the same pace to continue the course, it is not yet visible. Moreover, no one can be seen who can be compared with Vladimir Vladimirovich both in the confidence of the people and in popularity, both domestically and abroad. This is a phenomenon of Putin. But in this way, unfortunately, this is a danger to our country - where to get another such leader?
The whole system turned out to be too dependent on one particular person. Putin is everywhere. He meets with leaders of other states and journalists, speaks at economic and political forums, opens the Olympics, the Universiade and the World Cup, attends new production launches, gives awards, gives interviews, talks to people on a straight line and live, constantly moving around in our vast country, from end to end, he often travels abroad, he solves specific issues himself, and he knows how everything seems to be, goes hunting and fishing, goes camping and does judo, plays hockey at night, etc. . etc. Rumor has it that the president of Russia has several doubles, because his schedule for the average person seems absolutely unrealistic and impossible just physically. But the whole point is that Putin is not at all average. Anyone can relate to this phrase as anything, but I believe that God exists and holds a protective hand over Russia, and he sent Putin to Russia as a savior from imminent collapse and plunder. Sounds too pathetic? Maybe. Nevertheless, I repeat, from my personal point of view, it looks that way. After the unexpectedly rapid collapse of the seemingly eternal and almighty USSR, after the chaos of the nineties, there was a feeling that everything was lost, that everyone who hated us for so many years had finally done their dirty deed and won, that the country was flying into the abyss from which there wasn’t return ... But suddenly something happened that no one seems to have expected - the phenomenon of Putin appeared on the political stage. He appeared and began to slowly, gradually, but surely pull Russia out of nothingness.
In the West, initially they did not believe that in 2024 Putin would simply take and leave, as it should be under the constitution of the Russian Federation. Because they also see how the Putin phenomenon works. And because they also understand: before 2024, our country still does not have time to reach its maximum capacity, so to speak. Their analysts trace the clear relationship of all the successes of modern Russia directly with the personality of its leader. And that is why our enemies now directed all their attacks on him. The situation at the moment is this: on the one hand, all our opponents are doing everything possible to prevent Putin from continuing their work; on the other hand, the constitution prohibits the Russian president from being elected for another term, and he is unlikely to violate or change it “for himself”. This is against his principles, as well as any such steps would undermine his own authority. But there is no adequate successor. After a strong leader, it is generally not easy to take his place. And Putin is not just strong, he is unique. At the same time, most likely, analyzing the available initial data, after 2024 we still will not see the GDP as president. So there is a real risk that with his departure, his line of power will end. So what to do? The situation for our country, in fact, is quite complicated and dangerous. We quickly saw in the sad example of the Soviet Union how quickly it breaks in bad hands even what was built over several generations and seemed absolutely unshakable. And over the next five years, Russia, under Putin’s leadership, needs to achieve something that can prevent such a development of events. Or at least make it minimally believable. Possible ways to resolve the issue: 1) find and prepare an adequate successor; 2) to improve the economic, managerial, social, industrial and defense state, that is, the entire state system of Russia, to such a condition that it is already as strong as possible, self-sufficient and resistant to the influence of any negative factors; 3) remembering that all the biggest cataclysms in the history of our country did not do without external influence, to reduce the possibility of such an impact to a minimum or even to zero.
Now briefly consider all three of these paths from the point of view of the real possibility of implementation. Although with the necessary caveat: Putin has already begun to implement all three of these options, the question, in fact, is only what is closest to the state of readiness in the required period of five years. Russia will ensure almost complete security for itself, and Putin will have a quiet retreat for a well-deserved rest, if all three of these components are brought to life together. But, unfortunately, it is not necessary to count on the fact that this will happen simultaneously, for the available objective reasons.
Option 1" - successor. If you look at the existing higher echelon of power of the Russian Federation, as well as the truth, then there are no adequate candidates there. Various programs for the search and education of a new elite such as the competition "Leaders of Russia", etc. this is clearly a good groundwork for the future, but it is unlikely that a new state leader will be released within five years on a scale comparable to Putin. Based on the fact that the army and other power structures are, after all, the strongest and most reliable element of our statehood, they began to send some trusted generals some time ago, apparently for testing and gaining experience, to civilian managerial positions. These are people who personally know Putin and enjoy his trust. If in two or three years one of them will prove himself in a sufficient way, then, most likely, this is where the possible successor will come from. It is also possible that Vladimir Vladimirovich himself, after such a person comes to the highest position in the Russian state hierarchy, will remain for some time “behind the scenes,” as they say. At the same time, in these considerations, I do not at all ignore the democratic process, as many may think. Just in today's position and with the popularity of the GDP itself, I’m absolutely sure that in five years it’s absolutely legitimate, through the elections in the country, the one in whom the voters will see him, Putin, the successor, and no one else. For five years, the implementation of this option for a change of leader, of course, is not guaranteed, but it is quite real. The problem is that the position of this person in this case will be extremely difficult. And inside and outside the country, at least at the initial stage, everyone in it will see only the “shadow of Putin”. And it’s hard to live and act adequately.
Option 2", from my point of view and unfortunately, is not feasible in a five-year period. This is too little time after all that has been destroyed and lost. Nevertheless, I also think that in these five years Russia will make a sharp leap forward, but it will create a platform for future prosperity in the longer term, with only gradual but noticeable improvements in the next five years, on the necessary scale, in order to preserve the population believes in the correctness of the chosen program. I will explain: I think that during his last presidential term and consciously even to the detriment of his own image of the population, Putin will go to the decisions necessary for the long-term development of the country, but unpopular with the people. Type of ongoing pension reform. I do not presume to guess what will be the next step, but it will definitely be outlined in the near future. Putin thinks nationally and globally, tries to calculate many moves forward, but at the same time lives by the principle “if you want to do well, do it yourself”. So he will do this, thereby facilitating the beginning of work for his successor. There is another effective option for a sharp increase in the economy and the country's defense capability - the introduction of tight centralized management. In our plundered and steeped in corruption and nepotism country, Stalinist methods, including confiscation of illegally obtained state property, would certainly work. Everyone knows how privatization went, so the volume of such property would be colossal. But GDP will not do that. Not even because he is afraid, or because he is against the wool with these methods. He simply will not take risks, since such measures, even in the medium term, will automatically lead to a sharp increase in the discontent of the population, and, as a result, an increase in the influence on the broad masses of anti-state elements both from within and from those who feed them from the outside. What this leads to in Russia, we know from history.
Option 3" - minimization or elimination of external threats. Despite all the seeming complexity and even fantasticness at first glance, this option is quite feasible in practice, and with what Russia now has, even in a five-year period. And of all three possibilities, this one is even the most realistically achievable. And here I do not mean the physical destruction of our enemies by force of arms, for example. Although it is precisely the latest weapons systems, or rather their presence and real threat of use, that would play an important role in this. In the very near future, Russia does not know for how long, but a real qualitative superiority in armaments is planned. And it must be used. It is necessary to proceed solely from the principle “there is no method against scrap if there is no other scrap”. That is, simply completely adopt the US tactics in international relations, while clearly realizing that until we directly affect either their territory, or at least their foreign military bases, they will not fight with us. And this is a bare fact. They will not be for the very reason why the Russian Federation does not enter into an open conflict with the United States over the approach of NATO to our borders, when deploying unambiguously directed weapons systems against us under various idiotic pretexts, etc. It should be understood that NATO is simply the foremost outpost of the US Armed Forces, which has absolutely no weight in decision-making.
In no case do I urge to underestimate the enemy, but we must also evaluate him adequately. If we look at the state of the European armies of the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance, we will see that their numbers, technical equipment, high-quality condition of personnel, and with all this the overall combat efficiency has been constantly decreasing in recent years, and there is no tendency to a certain turn in this process. The most striking examples of such a degradation of the Armed Forces are the former Warsaw Pact states, which, in fact, have lost their real and even autonomously combat-ready integrated armies with various types of troops. Today, these countries militarily are essentially narrowly specialized appendages, as it were, within the framework of NATO, but in reality the contingent of the US army in Europe and on foreign “missions”. The ground forces and the Navy of Britain, France and Germany, once the backbone of the alliance on the proposed European theater of operations, are now only a miserable shadow of the same structures of the 70-80s of the last century. The Air Force of individual Euronat troops, who still have them, are practically incapable of independent work, that is, without the assistance of the US infrastructure and other partners. Only separate units of the special forces of the NATO countries can be called really high-fighting units, but these are not those troops in terms of size and equipment that can solve strategic tasks within the framework of a possible large-scale conflict with an enemy such as the Russian Armed Forces. That is, both NATO, as such, and its individual members, without a direct order from the Pentagon, will not go to any aggravation themselves. But such an order will not come. Especially in light of recent GDP statements regarding strikes on “decision points”. This was the first step.
The second step should be to ensure at least the neutral position of China, by way of treaty dividing the spheres of possible military influence in the world, and ensure mutual support in the UN Security Council on issues that are controversial with the United States, which at the moment coincides with Chinese strategic interests. And then it is absolutely necessary to enter into Central America (for the beginning of Cuba, Venezuela) and the Balkans, where it is still possible, absolutely without embarrassment. Among African and Asian countries there are also many dissatisfied with the behavior of the West and the United States in particular, and this should be used. At the same time, I am not talking about the creation of universally expensive stationary military bases, but about the frequent presence on a contractual basis in the ports of various states of the warships of our Navy, conducting joint exercises, humanitarian, anti-terrorist and peacekeeping missions, etc. And it is also necessary to resume the Soviet practice of training foreign military personnel in our universities of the Moscow Region, the supply of weapons (even on credit), the presence of Russian military specialists in the armies of various states. A separate item is the relationship between Russia and the states of the former USSR, especially the countries that are members of the CSTO. There is generally enough to play "democracy and freedom of self-determination." Or with us, or against.
Moreover, if the latter, then with all the economic and visa consequences. The mandatory holding of joint exercises in the Collective Security Treaty Organization, the purchase of weapons, as well as joint participation in military operations abroad - are strictly modeled on NATO. All ideas about the disinterested friendship of peoples should be left to songwriters. Where this policy has led, we now see the example of Ukraine. In this particular direction, firstly, the creation of a union state with Belarus, including unified armed forces, is necessary until 2024. Further, after holding the so-called presidential elections in Ukraine, in no case should they be recognized as legitimate, with all the consequences for a neighboring state. Plus, recognition of LDNR as subjects according to the model of South Ossetia, or even inclusion in the Russian Federation according to the model of Crimea. If a referendum is also held there with foreign observers, then I have little doubt about its result. In the case of attempts by military forces from the Armed Forces, albeit in the form of at least one shelling across the border, immediate force suppression, followed by the seizure of at least the original territories of Lugansk and Donetsk regions. It is unlikely that this will pass with strong resistance from the Ukrainian army. And let the "world press" scream and accuse us of aggression, in the end they will do it and will do so.
In the media sphere, by the way, it is necessary to develop an absolutely aggressive policy, again, entirely based on the Western model. For example, not “dirtying” the same “RT” with lies, but through various Internet resources such as Instagram, Facebook, etc., to distribute, say, materials about the secret homosexuality of Emmanuel Macron, corruption of Donald Tusk or the participation of Teresa May in the underground sect of the Satanists. And then, already through the official media, already demand from the defendants in these cases, so to speak, to prove the opposite to the public. Rave? Nothing wrong! Let them launder. They, after all, are doing the same for our country. Another important factor that can be successfully played on the propaganda field is serious internal disagreements in the “Western camp” on some seemingly non-political issues. For example, the complete and widespread rejection of the “new”, that is, as a rule, East European members of NATO and the EU, to which Turkey can be added, with the largest army after the United States in the alliance, various newfangled Western trends in the destruction of the classical concept and the institution of the family and relationships sexes. Recently, by the way, in Eastern Europe, many have turned to Russia in this matter as an example of behavior, and this should be supported in every way, developing a positive attitude towards our country where it is possible. For example, hold international forums on these issues in the Russian Federation, with the participation of members of the public and religious leaders. Sponsor human rights organizations dealing with this topic in the territories of foreign states. And they, along the way, can deal in parallel with other issues ... Organize protests, etc.
That is, again, behave directly in the image and likeness of Western "partners". And all these actions, in turn, will force these same “partners” to switch to a greater degree to solving the problems that we will create for them, greatly weakening their potential in creating problems for us. As you know, the best way of defense is to attack. And the five-year period for the development of the above third direction of ensuring the security of Russia from external aggression is just quite acceptable, and the current capabilities of our state for this are quite sufficient. If, while in power until 2024, the Russian president will take some similar measures, then I think that the transfer of power in the country can take place without any excesses, enabling Putin's future successor to orient and lead the country in the direction already begun. In the event that nothing adequate is undertaken, then, in order to avoid major problems, the “castling” of the state’s top officials will be necessary once already in the Russian Federation. But this is a more problematic option. Firstly, because Putin is still not eternal, and delaying this decision will only complicate the situation in the future, and secondly, even to the position of the “interim president”, which previously was Medvedev, a real candidate for whom the people would vote , still not yet.
The option of "Putin to the kingdom" I seriously do not consider. I am sure that the “candidate for the Tsar” himself, too.
- Alexey Pishenkov
- https://media.newyorker.com
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