INF Treaty. David's war with Goliath
Maybe for some people I’ll say not so obvious things, only in the aggravated confrontation along the Washington-Moscow line, the witnesses and hostages of which we all have recently become, transformed into a general confrontation along the West-Russian Federation, the last deterrent to the collective West not even our land, air, and sea-based nuclear triad became, but our non-nuclear triad of Putin-Lavrov-Shoigu. And although the West can grimace and clown about it in front of the first two components, demonstrating its courage and stupidity, the least he wants is to get acquainted with the last argument of the kings, in this case, the last argument of King Putin, with the extreme ( it is not customary for the military to say the last) component of this triad - with the laconic Sergey Kuzhugetovich Shoigu.
In the past two weeks, we have been able to observe in action the first two components of our non-nuclear triad of deterrence. Lavrov soloed in Munich at the 55th security conference, and Putin in Moscow, speaking to the Federal Assembly and at a press conference about the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty. The West fell silent, and, pricking its ears, listened. After the speech, Lavrov even laughed when he deftly shaved off the Washington Post correspondent, who was getting into a scandal, and after Putin’s speech he finely trimmed himself and immediately ran to check the dictionaries, which means the Russian word “grunt”. No, they will never understand the Russian soul, they will run around with dictionaries. Although after the famous “soak in toilets” one could already get used to it. Now they await Shoigu's performance with horror. Sorry. But it was not necessary to withdraw from the INF Treaty. But first things first.
Benefit of Lavrov in Munich
This year, Munich was not frankly impressed. And not because since 2007, after Putin’s famous speech on it, much water has flowed, and policy have lost their interest in him. No, the level of the Munich Conference, the 55th in a row, did not fall at all, although against the backdrop of global changes in the political landscape, this trend also exists, it was just that this year the conference was ignored by all leading politicians, except Merkel, who organizes it. Putin chose to ski at the time with the President of Belarus in Sochi, Trump fought with Congress for the construction of a fence along the Mexican border, Macron also had more important things to do - he solved household problems with yellow vests; but Petya and Yulia, both characters from Ukraine, did not seem to have other problems, both ran to Munich once again to remind themselves of the Russian military threat and economic expansion. Reminded. Everyone laughed together. Frau Merkel laughed loudest. Especially in response to their moaning about SP-2.
Nevertheless, at the conference this year 35 leaders of their countries appeared, not counting 80 foreign ministers and defense ministers. Among other extras, Victoria Nuland shone most of all with enthusiasm, running along the corridors of the conference in search of, probably, another victim for US aggression, and former US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright shone more baldly, it is immediately clear that Russophobia is expensive for her, I think, until the next the conference will not survive. Well, let's not talk about sad things. Putin detached Lavrov in Munich instead of himself, Trump his daughter Ivanka with his son-in-law Jared, giving them for the sake of the vice prez Pence, Teresa May limited herself to the Minister of Defense Williamson, who had suffered there another nonsense about the Russian military threat, Macron also sent someone from the Foreign Ministry, at a time when Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu didn’t come at all, preferring to Munich a conference on the Middle East in Poland.
The conference was held at a high level, as they always chatted about the Russian military threat, Britain was soloed here, accusing the Russian Federation of malicious violation of the INF Treaty (just think about this insanity! They quit the US treaty, but it turns out that Russia is to blame for this!) And demanded his Minister of Defense, so that Russia would pay dearly for this "own adventurism"; about the Chinese economic expansion against the backdrop of the growing Russian military threat, Pence has already put his penny in two, stressing that the world is on the verge of war, entering a very dangerous phase of geopolitical confrontation between three superpowers - the United States, Russia and China, and Beijing at the same time, it was called the long-term threat of the United States, and Moscow allegedly poses a danger now. Against the background of idle speculations about the growing Russian military threat, it was very difficult to count on a breakthrough, it did not happen. The US withdrawal from the INF Treaty at the beginning of the month predetermined the main context of the debate. They all marched in an aggressive stance against Moscow. With persistence worthy of a better application, the Western community continued to accuse the Russian Federation of violating the terms of the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate and Shorter Range Missiles. Agree that in these circumstances it was difficult to count on reaching consensus. Lavrov, the head of our delegation, was fighting like a lion, but what could he do in the conditions of the hostile environment of Europeans who lost their political subjectivity and surrendered on their own initiative to slaughter the Americans with their obsession with deploying medium-range missiles in Europe.
But even here, Lavrov found an opportunity to demonstrate his high professionalism when, in pure English, he shaved off the Washington Post correspondent so that even the moderator of the press conference could not help smiling. The hall just choked in delight. After all, maybe Sergey Viktorovich, when he wants to! It was an indicative lesson in the highest diplomatic skills! To the question of an American journalist representing the well-known metropolitan publication The Washington Post, asked with undisguised malice: “Can you guarantee that the Bashar al-Assad regime will cease to be a threat to the entire region and stop committing atrocities against its own people? After all, Russia is the guarantor of Syria’s security! ”, Lavrov, without thinking for a second, answered with his inherent irony:
No matter what I tell you now, you still write what you want, so just write immediately what you want ...
The Washington Post correspondent remained standing with his mouth open to the growing accompaniment of chuckles in the hall. Bravo, bravissimo, Sergey Viktorovich! It was aerobatics, take off my hat! Put what is called the Yankees in place. Nothing more interesting happened in Munich. The epicenter of the confrontation between the Russian Federation and the United States after the last February 2 withdrawal from the INF Treaty again moved to Moscow, where Putin had already soloed.
Putin's answer to all "grunts" and "grunts"
Epigraph: "We are ready for dialogue, but we will no longer knock on closed doors." (V.V. Putin)
Only the blind and deaf can not understand what is happening in the international arena. The hegemon in convulsions is fighting to maintain his military advantage over the closest strategic opponents of Russia and the PRC. And the Pentagon, unlike other departments, is well aware of this, clearly realizing that the era of US military domination is ending. The closest competitors have built up their military muscles, which has already resulted in a confrontation with China in the region of the South China Sea, which China considers its internal and is not going to endure anyone there, even the Yankees. Next in line is the Yellow Sea and the Chinese appetites are growing as their military potential grows. And Russia, which, since 2007, has embarked on scrapping the existing status quo, which was established after the defeat of the USSR in the Cold War and ended in its collapse, now openly declares that the existing order of things does not suit her and it requires revision, thereby contesting the US right to the one-man championship, which Vladimir Putin had the audacity to declare 12 years ago at the 2007 Munich Conference, putting all this in a beautiful wrapper about the multipolar world and the desire of the Russian Federation for it. Only an idiot could not understand then that such statements were not made from scratch, and that “to rock the law” and demand a revision of the existing rules, the country's leader can only allow himself from a position of strength, that is, when the Russian Federation achieves a qualitative advantage over the United States in military aspect. And since there are no idiots in the Pentagon, (you just don’t need to tell me - they are everywhere, but not in the Pentagon, they are not kept there by definition, they are more expensive to themselves!), So, since there were no idiots in the US military by definition, then they were the first to understand what lies behind the words of Putin who is overwhelmed. After that, allied intelligence departments (and there are more than enough of them in America, starting with the CIA, FBI, NSA, and ending with the intelligence department of the Ministry of Defense and the exotic intelligence of the US Treasury, only 17 different agencies) began to look closely at the potential enemy. And there, just, nothing changed, even more - everything testified to the opposite. Already now, after a while, you begin to understand Putin’s diabolical plan to veil his preparations for a qualitative breakthrough in the military direction. Once again, thank God that the former intelligence officer turned out to be the head of state. But scouts, as you know, there are no former.
For those who have forgotten, I recall, the famous Munich GDP speech took place on February 10, 2007. And just five days later, on February 15, Putin introduced the new Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Anatoly Eduardovich Serdyukov, who was at that time the rank of senior lieutenant of the reserve (just think about this Jesuit insidiousness of the Darkest - old man at the head of the MO!), Who began to the delight of the "partners" who were watching him successfully ruin the farm that he had inherited. So successful that he received the honorary nickname Taburetkin in the army. "Partners" could not believe their eyes - a potential adversary was engaged in self-destruction. The results of "self-destruction" we can observe with satisfaction at the moment. When Serdyukov transferred the army to his successor Shoigu on November 6, 2012, the army was completely “ruined”, for which Colonel (already Colonel!) Serdyukov in December 2015 received a new appointment to the Board of Directors of Russian Helicopters, which in July 2017 and headed (naturally for “excellent work” as the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation), now I expect a speedy “collapse” and “Russian Helicopters”. Beyond the screen of a moron, Russian Defense Minister managed to make a quantum leap in their armaments now they are divining in all 17 US intelligence agencies. But the result is obvious - the United States has in fact lagged behind its main strategic adversary by 30 years, and this by today's standards is forever. The most terrible guesses of our “partners” began to come true on March 1, 2018, when Vladimir Putin scrolled his famous cartoons in front of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. There was still little hope that this was all a bluff, but it also melted away like morning fog, a year later, when all the new items highlighted by Putin began to appear in prototypes, put into series and adopted by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. It was a crash! Complete and final!
Hence the hysteria with the US withdrawing from the INF Treaty, the threat of refusal to prolong the Treaty on the Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms in 2021 (the so-called START III), and other ridiculous US tricks and leaps on the international scene. The world is leaving under their feet. Soon, very soon, and the Pentagon knows this for sure, their house of cards of overwhelming superiority in the military sphere will collapse, after which the world will enter a new phase of political reality in which the United States will be assigned the role of a junior partner, whose opinion is no longer strong interested in. That's exactly what the States have been doing with us lately. But everything comes to an end. And our patience from our own powerlessness, too. Now, we are calmly looking into the future, into the future, where the Americans have no future (sorry for the tautology). This explains all the round dances that the States have initiated in the international arena recently, starting with the state. a coup in Ukraine and ending with Venezuela and the threat of deploying its medium and short-range missiles in Europe. Please, we are ready for this. Only then do not complain. “I hope you have not forgotten how to count?” This I quote from the last Putin. We will multiply you by zero even before your missiles leave their launchers. What Putin more than transparently hinted at when he delivered his next Address to the Federal Assembly on February 20 of this year.
Our answer will be mirrored, asymmetric ”and instant, even if no one even hopes to sit overseas, the answer will be not only in“ territories from which the corresponding direct threat will come for us, but also in relation to those territories where decision-making centers are located the use of missile systems threatening us.
This statement was made publicly for the first time. It only says that all the hegemon’s recently delusional ideas about limited nuclear war, as well as the old ones that appeared back in Kissinger’s time, about the disarming preventive nuclear strike, can now be used only to raise the mood of their mentally retarded population, and in the world of "real boys" such show-offs do not channel if you do not want to go to the forefathers even before your missiles reach our territory. Sorry for my English, but that’s exactly what Putin had in mind when he said that “we, as martyrs, will go to heaven, and they will simply die, because we won’t even have time to repent.” All! Games over! You can put an end to this in this matter. For the next 30 years for sure.
For the most stupid, I will translate the above into a public language. The Vanguards, Sarmatians, Daggers, Petrels, Poseidons and Peresvetov, highlighted by Putin a year ago, have already begun to materialize from cartoons (from the series “You-all-lie!” And “Nothing-you-no!”) Into real prototypes , some of which, having successfully passed the tests, have already gone into the series, and the Dagger, Vanguard and Peresvet have already been placed in the troops. The West has not yet had time to recover from the already announced gifts of GDP, horrified to realize that all this, alas, is not a bluff, as the villain Putin, as a bonus, throws them a new product - the Zircon hypersonic missile, with a range of up to 1000 km and a speed exceeding the speed of sound by 9 times, which is regularly mounted on the launchers already in service with the Russian Navy for launching Obama's gray hair Caliber. That multiplies by zero all available aircraft carrier strike groups (AUGs) in service with the U.S. Navy and breaks the entire hegemonic military doctrine through the knee, since it does not allow closer than 1000 km of vaunted AUGs to our borders, which precludes the use of an air wing based on them and makes them a pile of iron that is no longer needed by anyone (all 10 AUGs can now be cut into metal).
But the saddest thing for Americans was not even what the Russian president voiced, but what he did not voiced. In a nightmare one can only imagine what he is holding in reserve, and what else the Russians can have. With sad evidence for the Americans, the prospect of 2030 loomed not only to maintain leadership on the military issue, but even to stay there in second place after the Russian Federation. China is doing its job with quiet glancing, and the hour is not far off when the Americans can enter the South China Sea only with the permission of the Celestial Empire, and only on tiptoes, God forbid, hurt something there. And if this goes on, the South China Sea will soon become the size of the Pacific Ocean for Americans, where they will only sail with a pilot and under the supervision of the PRC.
Sergey Kuzhugetovich, your way out!
Epigraph: "The most important advantage of our latest systems is their effectiveness that is unattainable for the enemy." (S.K. Shoigu)
In the global confrontation for world domination that unfolded before our eyes, the entire war has recently been reduced practically to a war for speed. Do not be surprised, I will now reveal to you a great military secret, which, in fact, no one was hiding from you. It’s just that people who are purely civilians prefer not to go into military affairs, and people who are purely military prefer not to tell civilians exactly what crazy nonsense they are paid, preferring naive questions - how did you manage to do that, cheating is important and getting off with common meaningless phrases about military and state secrets. But all the gray-haired, bronzed-faced four-star generals in the Pentagon, as well as ours with rumpled faces and not shining hussar-bearing inhabitants of the building on Frunzenskaya embankment, hide from you that this secret is only that the state has to spend the lion's share of its sovereignty budget for the maintenance of fundamental branches of science.
Moreover, here is fundamental science, you ask me, although you yourself perfectly understand that without it there is nowhere. I answer, read paragraph 1, I have already said above - the entire war has recently been reduced practically to a war for speed. More precisely, for the speed of delivery of a deadly cargo to its potential enemy. Since both sides have rockets, the whole war broke out only for someone who would rather kill his opponent before he killed you. And our adversary, having an unlimited budget and a bunch of grunting vassals, took the simplest way to reduce the time it took for a deadly cargo to arrive by reducing the distance between its launchers and us, placing its missiles and missiles at our borders (you still haven't forgotten that their potential adversary is us?). And given his superiority at sea and in the air (on marine and airborne carriers of nuclear weapons), he actually drove us into a corner, turning geography against us. We had no choice but to apply our Physics against its Geography. What ended up for Venezuela our attempt to land our strategic bombers there in order to reduce the time of approaching the enemy’s bases, I think everyone knows? There are no more fools! And they can be understood - everyone wants to live, and Cuba, and Mexico, and Nicaragua, and Salvador. And to the American aircraft carrier strike groups, which could attack us directly from the ocean from neutral waters, we could not even oppose this. Therefore, we went the other way. They turned on their brains and opposed their own vigorous Physics against the American grunting and boiling Geography, reducing the time of approach at times due to an increase in speed. It was not for nothing that Putin said: “Have you not forgotten how to take it?” Count gentlemen! Hypersound is not for you khukh-mukhras! It will break through any layered defense and destroy that decision centers, that aircraft-carrying strike groups, in fact, for him in the shed, whom to destroy. And most importantly, it will do it faster than your bronzed four-star generals have time to run to the bunker, trying not to make a mistake on the way. Because they will detect Zircons, of course, but they will no longer have time for their interception. Very fast however! And we haven’t shown you all this yet. About Poseidons and Petrels with their unlimited temporary possibilities of being under water and in the air, I am silent. And it was Sergei Kuzhugetovich who took out only “Daggers” and “Zircons” illuminated by Putin from his pocket, and your bronzed-faced generals have already gone berserk. What will happen next is known to Putin alone. So maybe we’ll go wild, we don’t touch you, you don’t touch us, why do you need extra trouble?
Which exactly Sergey Kuzhugetovich also said. The video is attached, listen, Sergey Kuzhugetovich, as a truly military man, is laconic, he is not accustomed to talk too much.
Have you listened? Fearfully? "And you thought we would take a selfie with you ?!" I’m quoting this from Maria Zakharova, director of the Information and Press Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry. I hope you appreciated the humor.
Testing to the public the systems of functioning of the non-nuclear triad of the Russian Federation. Demonstrations
Summing up the above, I can only notice and emphasize for the most stupid the following, Lavrov works in his own field, Putin in his own way, but when the arguments for the first two end, then Shoigu comes. And God forbid you, comrade our sworn “friends and partners”, to see what IT really is! For everyone else, here I attach a reference to how this system works.
I will not retell, I just draw your attention to the period of how long this has been going on, all these graters around US withdrawal from the missile defense treaties (they broke it back in 2002, old Bush did his best), INF and START III. Pay attention to how much Lavrov is immersed in the topic, appreciate Putin’s reaction to what the Foreign Minister said (you’ll agree that even the first time you didn’t digest so much information, and Putin, apparently, has long been in the topic), Lavrov, rather, speaks to the camera for you. I especially draw your attention to the words of GDP at 12:50 min. It was after them, and especially after the words of Shoigu that followed them, that the USA suddenly sharply hit the brakes, backing up.
The United States reserves the right to withdraw the notice of withdrawal from the contract before the expiration of the six-month period and will be ready to consider this step if Russia returns to full and verifiable compliance with the agreement.
This statement was made by the US ambassador to Russia John Huntsman just a day after the above video. But just two days before that, the official representative of the National Security Council (NSS) of the White House stated the exact opposite:
We have handed over to Russia in writing a list of concrete steps that it can take to return to compliance (the treaty) and save the INF Treaty. Only complete and verifiable destruction of Russian 9M729 missiles, launchers and related equipment will mean the end of the violation by Russia.
You yourself are not funny, gentlemen are good? What happened? Why such a reversal? Although you can understand them, the point is not iron. Like, they give us some thoughts for half a year, but rather, they’re afraid of themselves, as if the return would not torture us! It is understandable, Shoigu bluntly speaks of the landing of the Caliber (before that they were designed only for sea launch, but their transfer to the ground would take a week or two on the strength, everything was designed during the development of the product, and the Americans know this). But what they did not seem to know was about medium-range hypersound. The very Zircons that Putin spoke about before the Federal Assembly, only then he spoke about ship-based Zircons of the sea, now you yourself see, there is also a land analogue of the product.
Most likely, this is about the “development” of a new medium-range hypersonic aeroballistic missile, which should provide flight time to the “potential adversary’s decision centers” in the range of 12-15 minutes. And we are able to do it in the shortest possible time. Moreover, I will tell you a secret, we have already done it. Only about this until anyone (I have a non-disclosure subscription). We have the Pioneer medium-range missile, the one that came under the 1987 RSMD agreement, from which the States are now coming out, untying our hands, made by the Moscow Institute of Heat Engineering and the Votkinsk Plant, (both on the territory of the Russian Federation). All documentation technological and the design remained. We can reanimate it very quickly. True, already at a new technological level, using, for example, new formulations of modern solid fuel rocket engines, control systems at the modern technological level. Believe me, our competencies have not gone anywhere, and the scientific and technical reserve has remained. It was thanks to him, our wonderful Soviet past, that we were able to make this breakthrough for our enemies in the breakthrough in military technology. You won’t drink skill, although the "partners" really hoped for it. We will sympathize with them.
To summarize. Responding to the aggressive policy of the United States and building its military doctrine to counter it, the Russian Federation represented by the General Staff of the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defense tried, not getting involved in an expensive arms race, not so much to achieve parity with the USA in naval and air carriers of nuclear weapons, where the Americans had an advantage, how much surpass them, answering not quantitatively, but qualitatively, sometimes asymmetrically. Now we can confidently say that the result has been achieved by small means, but such that the Americans are now forced to revise their military doctrine, stating the qualitative superiority of the Russians, achieved by them on a fundamentally new engineering basis. So that you can really appreciate the scale of the breakthrough that was made thanks to the genius of our military engineers and scientists, I can only compare this with the appearance of smooth-bore and rifled weapons in an age when wars were fought with a bow and arrow. At the moment, we have a situation where we have a pump-action shotgun, and the Indians from across the ocean still have bow and arrows. You must admit that there is something for Indians to think about! But these are the problems of the Indians, and they, as you know, do not care about the sheriff. Draw your own conclusions. That's all.