INF Treaty contention. David's War with Goliath
Maybe for someone I will say not so obvious things, only in the aggravated confrontation along the Washington-Moscow line, which we all have become witnesses and hostages of lately, which has transformed into a general confrontation along the West-Russian line, the last restraining factor for the collective West it was not even our land-based, air-based and sea-based nuclear triad, but our non-nuclear Putin-Lavrov-Shoigu triad. And although the West can grimace and clown as much as it wants in front of the first two components of it, demonstrating its courage and stupidity, the last thing it wants is to get acquainted with the last argument of the kings, in this case with the last argument of King Putin, with the extreme (at the military is not customary to say the last) component of this triad - with the laconic Sergei Kuzhugetovich Shoigu.
In the past two weeks, we have seen the first two components of our conventional deterrence triad in action. Lavrov was the soloist in Munich at the 55th Security Conference, and Putin in Moscow, addressing the Federal Assembly and at the press about the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty. The West quieted down, and pricked up its ears, listened. After Lavrov's speech, he even laughed when he deftly shaved off the Washington Post correspondent who was running into a scandal, and after Putin's speech, he did a little trick and immediately ran to check in dictionaries what the Russian word "grunt" means. No, they will never understand the Russian soul, and they will run with dictionaries. Although after the famous "wet in the toilets" it was already possible to get used to it. Now Shoigu's performance is awaited with horror. Sorry. But there was no need to withdraw from the INF Treaty. But first things first.
Lavrov's benefit performance in Munich
Munich frankly was not impressed this year. And not because a lot of water has flowed under the bridge since 2007, after Putin's famous speech on it, and policy lost their interest in him. No, the level of the Munich conference, the 55th in a row, did not fall at all, although against the background of global changes in the political landscape, a similar trend takes place, just this year the conference was ignored by all leading politicians, except for Merkel, who organizes it. Putin chose at this time to ski with the President of Belarus in Sochi, Trump fought with Congress for the construction of a fence along the Mexican border, Macron also had more important things to do - solving household problems with "yellow vests"; but Petya and Yulia, both characters from Ukraine, did not seem to have any other problems, both ran to Munich once again to remind of themselves and the Russian military threat and economic expansion. Reminded. Everyone laughed together. Frau Merkel laughed the loudest. Especially in response to their moaning about the SP-2.
However, this year's conference featured 35 leaders of their countries, not counting 80 foreign and defense ministers. Among other extras, Victoria Nuland shone with enthusiasm most of all, running along the corridors of the conference in search of, probably, another victim for the US aggression, and the former American Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, she was more bald, it is immediately clear that Russophobia is costing her dearly, I think, until the next the conference will no longer survive. Well, let's not talk about sad things. Putin sent Lavrov to Munich in his place, Trump his daughter Ivanka and son-in-law Jared, giving them Vice-President Pence for the sake of solidity, Theresa May confined herself to Defense Minister Williamson, who had another raving about the Russian military threat there, Macron also sent someone from the Foreign Ministry, at a time when Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu did not come at all, preferring Munich to a conference on the Middle East in Poland.
The conference was held at a high level, as always, they chatted about the Russian military threat, Britain was the soloist here, accusing the Russian Federation of malicious violation of the INF Treaty (just think about this insanity! The US withdrew from the treaty, and it turns out that the Russian Federation is to blame for this!) And demanded with its lips its Minister of Defense, so that Russia would pay dearly for this "its adventurism"; about Chinese economic expansion against the backdrop of the same growing Russian military threat, here Pence has already inserted his two kopecks, stressing that the world is on the verge of war, having entered a very dangerous phase of geopolitical confrontation between three superpowers - the United States, Russia and China, moreover, Beijing at the same time, it was called a long-term threat to the United States, and Moscow allegedly poses a danger now. Against the backdrop of idle speculation about the allegedly growing Russian military threat, it was very difficult to count on a breakthrough, and it never happened. The US withdrawal from the INF Treaty earlier this month predetermined the main context of the past debate. They all took place in an aggressive position towards Moscow. The Western community continued, with a tenacity worthy of better use, groundlessly accusing the Russian Federation of violating the terms of the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles. Agree that in these circumstances it was difficult to count on reaching a consensus. Lavrov, who heads our delegation, fought like a lion, but what could he do in the face of enemy encirclement of Europeans who had lost their political subjectivity and surrendered on their own initiative to slaughter the Americans with their obsession with deploying medium-range missiles in Europe.
But even here Lavrov found an opportunity to demonstrate his high professionalism, when in the purest English he discarded the Washington Post correspondent so that even the moderator of the press conference could not help smiling. The hall simply choked with delight. After all, Sergey Viktorovich can when he wants! It was a showcase lesson in the highest diplomatic skill! To the question of an American journalist representing the well-known metropolitan edition of The Washington Post, asked with undisguised malice: “Can you guarantee that the regime of Bashar al-Assad will cease to be a threat to the entire region and will stop committing atrocities against its own people? After all, Russia is the guarantor of Syria's security! ”Lavrov, without hesitation for a second, answered with his own irony:
No matter what I tell you now, you will still write what you want, so just write right away what you want ...
The Washington Post staff correspondent remained standing with his mouth open to the growing accompaniment of laughter in the audience. Bravo, bravissimo, Sergey Viktorovich! It was aerobatics, hats off! Put what is called the Yankees in place. Nothing more interesting happened in Munich. After leaving the INF Treaty on February 2, the epicenter of the confrontation between the Russian Federation and the United States again moved to Moscow, where Putin was already the soloist.
Putin's answer to all "grunts" and "grunts"
Epigraph: "We are ready for dialogue, but we will no longer knock on closed doors." (V.V. Putin)
Only the blind and deaf can fail to understand what is happening in the international arena. The hegemon is struggling in convulsions to maintain its military advantage over the closest strategic adversaries Russia and China. And the Pentagon, unlike other departments, understands this very well, clearly realizing that the era of US military domination is ending. The closest competitors have built up their military muscles, which has already resulted in a confrontation with China in the South China Sea, which China considers its internal and is not going to tolerate anyone there, not even the Yankees. The next in line is the Yellow Sea and the Chinese appetite grows as their military potential grows. And Russia, which since 2007 has embarked on a course to break the existing status quo that was established after the defeat of the USSR in the Cold War and ended with its collapse, now openly declares that the existing order of things does not suit it and it demands its revision, thereby challenging the US right to the sole primacy, which Vladimir Putin had the audacity to declare 12 years ago at the Munich conference in 2007, wrapping it all into a beautiful wrapper about a multipolar world and the aspiration of the Russian Federation for it. Only an idiot could not understand then that such statements are not made from scratch, and that the leader of the country can only afford to “pump rights” and demand a revision of the existing rules from a position of strength, that is, when the Russian Federation reaches a qualitative advantage over the United States in military aspect. And since there are no idiots in the Pentagon (just don’t need to tell me - they are everywhere, but not in the Pentagon, they are not kept there, by definition, they are dearer to themselves!), So, since there were no idiots in the US military definition, then they were the first to understand what lies behind the words of the mortified Putin. After that, allied intelligence departments (and there are more than enough of them in America, starting with the CIA, FBI, NSA, and ending with the intelligence department of the Ministry of Defense and exotic Intelligence of the US Treasury, a total of 17 different departments) began to closely look at the potential enemy. And there, just, nothing changed, even more - everything testified to the opposite. Even now, after a while, you begin to understand Putin's diabolical plan to disguise his preparations for a qualitative leap in the military direction. Once again, thank God that a former intelligence officer is at the head of the state. And scouts, as you know, do not exist.
For those who have forgotten, I will remind you that the famous Munich speech of the GDP took place on February 10, 2007. And five days later, on February 15, Putin introduced the new Defense Minister Anatoly Eduardovich Serdyukov, who was at that time in the rank of senior lieutenant in the reserve, to the members of the Defense Ministry collegium (just think about this Jesuit cunning of the Darkest - the starley at the head of the Defense Ministry!) To the delight of the "partners" watching him, he began to successfully destroy the farm he had inherited. So successful that he received the honorary nickname Taburetkin in the army. "Partners" could not believe their eyes - the potential enemy was engaged in self-destruction. We can observe the results of "self-destruction" at the moment with satisfaction. When on November 6, 2012, Serdyukov handed over the army to his successor Shoigu, the army was completely "collapsed", for which Colonel (already a colonel!) Serdyukov in December 2015 received a new appointment to the Board of Directors of the Russian Helicopters holding, which in July 2017 and headed (of course for "excellent work" as the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation), now I expect the imminent "collapse" and "Russian Helicopters". How, behind the screen of a moron-minister of defense, Russia managed to make a qualitative leap in its armaments, they are now wondering in all 17 US intelligence agencies. But the result is obvious - the United States in fact lagged behind its main strategic adversary by 30 years, and this, by today's standards, is already forever. The worst guesses of our "partners" began to come true on March 1, 2018, when Vladimir Putin played his famous cartoons in front of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. There was still a faint hope that this was all a bluff, but it melted away, like a morning fog, a year later, when all the new items exposed by Putin began to appear in prototypes, put into series and be adopted by the RF Armed Forces. It was a crash! Complete and final!
Hence the hysterics with the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty, the threat of refusal to prolong the Treaty on the Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms in 2021 (the so-called START III) and other ridiculous antics and leaps of the United States on the international arena. The world is slipping from under their feet. Soon, very soon, and the Pentagon knows this for sure, their house of cards of overwhelming military superiority will collapse, after which the world will enter a new phase of political reality, in which the United States will be assigned the role of a junior partner, whose opinion is no longer strong by elders. interested. This is exactly how the States have behaved with us lately. But everything comes to an end. And our patience from our own impotence too. Now we calmly look into the future, into a future where Americans have no future (sorry for the tautology). This explains all the round dances that the States have initiated in the international arena in recent years, starting with the state. the coup in Ukraine and ending with Venezuela and the threat of deploying their medium and short-range missiles in Europe. Please, we are ready for this too. Only then don't complain. "I hope you haven't forgotten how to count yet?" This I quote from the last Putin. We will multiply you by zero even before your missiles leave their launchers. What Putin more than transparently hinted at when delivering his next Address to the Federal Assembly on February 20 this year.
Our response will be mirrored, asymmetric "and instant, even if no one even hopes to sit out overseas, the answer will be not only" the territories from which the corresponding direct threat will come for us, but also with respect to those territories where the decision-making centers are located. the use of missile systems that threaten us.
This was the first time such a statement was made publicly. This only suggests that all the recently voiced delusional ideas of the hegemon about a limited nuclear war, as well as the old ones that appeared in the days of Kissinger about a disarming preventive nuclear strike, can now be used only to raise the mood of their mentally retarded population, and in the world of "real boys" such show-off does not come, if you do not want to go to the forefathers even before your missiles reach our territory. Sorry for my English, but this is exactly what Putin meant when he said that "we, as martyrs, will go to heaven, and they will simply die, because they will not even have time to repent." Everything! The games are over! On this in this issue, you can put an end. For the next 30 years, for sure.
For the particularly dumb, I will translate the above into a public language. Over the past period, the Vanguards, Sarmatians, Daggers, Petrel, Poseidons and Peresvets, spotted by Putin a year ago, have already begun to materialize from cartoons (from the series "You are all lying!" And "You have nothing!") Into real prototypes , some of which, having successfully passed the tests, have already gone into series, and the Dagger, Vanguard and Peresvet have already been put into the army. The West has not yet managed to come to its senses from the already announced gifts to GDP, realizing with horror that all this, alas, is not a bluff, as the villain-Putin as a bonus throws them a new product - the Zircon hypersonic missile, with a radius of destruction of up to 1000 km and a speed exceeding the speed of sound by 9 times, which is routinely mounted on the launchers already in service with the Russian Navy to launch the "Calibers" that cost Obama gray hair. Which multiplies by zero all the available aircraft-carrying strike groups (AUG) in service with the US Navy and breaks the entire military doctrine of the hegemon through the knee, since it does not allow the vaunted AUG to approach our borders at a distance of less than 1000 km, which excludes the use of an air wing based on them and makes them an expensive, useless heap of iron (all 10 AUGs can be cut into metal now).
But the saddest thing for the Americans was not even what the Russian president voiced, but what he did not say. In a nightmare, one can only imagine what he keeps in reserve, and what else the Russians might have. With sad obviousness for the Americans, the prospect loomed by 2030 not only to retain leadership in the military issue, but even to stay there in second place after the Russian Federation. China is quietly doing its job, and the hour is not far off when Americans will be able to enter the South China Sea only with the permission of the Celestial Empire, and only on tiptoe, God forbid, to touch something there. And if this continues, then soon the South China Sea will become the size of the Pacific Ocean for the Americans, where they will sail only with a pilot and under the supervision of the PRC.
Sergey Kuzhugetovich, your way out!
Epigraph: "The most important advantage of our newest systems is their unattainable efficiency for the enemy." (S.K.Shoigu)
In the global confrontation for world domination that unfolded before our eyes, the entire war has recently been reduced to virtually a war for speed. Do not be surprised, I will now reveal to you a big military secret, which, in fact, no one hid from you. It's just that purely civilian people prefer not to get involved in military affairs, and purely military people prefer not to tell purely civilians what kind of nonsense such mad grandmothers pay them for, preferring to naive questions - how did you manage it, it is important to puff out your cheeks and get off with general meaningless phrases about military and state secrets. But all the gray-haired bronze-faced four-star generals in the Pentagon, as well as ours with rumpled faces and not shining with a hussar bearing, the inhabitants of the building on the Frunzenskaya Embankment hide from you that this secret consists only in the fact that the state is forced to spend the lion's share of its budget to support the fundamental branches of science.
And here is the fundamental science, you ask me, although you yourself perfectly understand that without it, nowhere. The answer is, read item 1, I have already said above - the whole war has recently been reduced in fact to a war for speed. Or rather, for the speed of delivery of the deadly cargo to its potential enemy. Since both sides have missiles, the whole war broke out only for who would most likely kill his opponent before he killed you. And our enemy, having an unlimited budget and a bunch of grunting vassals, took the simplest way of reducing the time of arrival of a deadly cargo by reducing the distance between their launchers and us, placing their missiles and anti-missiles in fact on our borders (you haven't forgotten that their potential adversary is us?). And considering his superiority at sea and in the air (in terms of sea and air carriers of nuclear weapons), he actually drove us into a corner, turning geography against us. We had no choice but to apply our own Physics against his Geography. What ended for Venezuela our attempt to land our strategic bombers there in order to reduce the time of approach to enemy bases, I think everyone knows? There are no more fools! And they can be understood - everyone wants to live, Cuba, Mexico, Nicaragua, and El Salvador. And we could not even oppose the American aircraft carrier strike groups, which could attack us directly from the ocean from neutral waters. Therefore, we took a different path. They turned on their brains and opposed their own vigorous Physics against the American groaning and grooving Geography, reducing the approach time several times by increasing the speed. It was not for nothing that Putin said: "You have not forgotten how to count something?" Consider, gentlemen! Hypersound is not for you hukhry-muhry! It will break through any echeloned defense and destroy, that the decision-making centers, that the aircraft-carrying strike groups, he, in fact, on the barn, whom to destroy. And most importantly, it will do it faster than your bronze-faced four-star generals have time to run to the bunker, trying not to do it along the way. Because they, of course, will detect the Zircons, but they will have no time to intercept them. Very fast, however! And we have not shown everything to you yet. About Poseidons and Petrels with their unlimited time possibilities of being under water and in the air, I am already silent. And it was Sergei Kuzhugetovich who took out of his pocket only the "Daggers" and "Zircons" illuminated by Putin, and your bronze-faced generals are already getting sick. Putin alone knows what will happen next. So maybe we will part ways, we do not touch you, you do not touch us, why do you need extra trouble?
Which ones Sergey Kuzhugetovich also said. The video is attached, listen, Sergei Kuzhugetovich, as a true military man, is laconic, he is not accustomed to talk too much.
Have you listened? Fearfully? “And you thought we were going to take selfies ?!”. This I am already quoting Maria Zakharova, Director of the Information and Press Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry. I hope you appreciate the humor.
Public testing of the systems of functioning of the non-nuclear triad of the Russian Federation. Demonstration performances
Summing up the above, I can only note and emphasize for the especially stupid the following, Lavrov works in his field, Putin in his own, but when the arguments of the first two run out, then Shoigu's turn comes. And God forbid you, comrade. our sworn "friends and partners", see what IT really is! For everyone else, I am attaching a link here on how this assembled system works.
I will not retell it, I just draw your attention to the period how long this has been dragging on, all these rattles around the US withdrawals and absenteeism from the ABM treaties (tore apart back in 2002, old Bush Jr. tried), the INF and START III. Pay attention to how much Lavrov is immersed in the topic, evaluate Putin's reaction to what the Foreign Minister said (you must admit that even you didn't digest so much information the first time, and Putin, apparently, has long been in the subject), Lavrov, rather, speaks to the camera for you. I would like to draw your attention to the words of the GDP at 12:50 min. It was after them, and especially after Shoigu's words that followed them, that the United States suddenly hit the brakes sharply, backing up.
The United States reserves the right to withdraw the withdrawal notice prior to the expiration of the six-month deadline and will be prepared to consider this step if Russia returns to full and verifiable compliance with the agreement.
This statement was made by the US Ambassador to Russia John Huntsman a day after the video attached above. But just two days earlier, an official from the White House's National Security Council (SNB) had stated the exact opposite:
We have given Russia in writing a list of concrete steps it can take to get back to compliance (of the treaty) and save the INF Treaty. Only the complete and verifiable destruction of Russian 9M729 missiles, launchers and related equipment will mean the end of Russia's violation.
Aren't you funny yourself, good gentlemen? And what happened? Why such a turn? Although it is possible to understand them, the point is not iron. Like, they give us half a year to think, but rather to themselves - they are afraid that the recoil would not torture us! This is understandable, Shoigu speaks bluntly about the landing of the Calibers (before that they were designed only for a sea launch, but their transfer to land would take a week or two at most, everything was designed during the development of the product, and the Americans know this). What they didn't seem to know was about medium-range hypersound. The same Zircons, which Putin spoke about, speaking before the Federal Assembly, only then did he talk about sea-based ship Zircons, now you can see for yourself, there is also a land-based analogue of the product.
This is most likely about the "development" of a new medium-range hypersonic aeroballistic missile, which should provide a flight time to the "potential adversary's decision-making centers" in the range of 12-15 minutes. And we are able to do it in the shortest possible time. Moreover, I'll tell you a secret, we have already done it. Only about this for now, no one (I have a nondisclosure subscription). We have the Pioneer medium-range missile, the one that came under the 1987 RMSD treaty, from which the United States is now leaving, untie our hands, made by the Moscow Institute of Heat Engineering and the Votkinsk Plant (both on the territory of the Russian Federation). All documentation, technological and the design one remained. We can revive it very quickly. True, already at a new technological level, using, for example, new formulations of modern rocket engines on solid fuel, control systems at a modern technological level. Believe me, our competencies have not gone anywhere, and the scientific and technical groundwork has remained. It is thanks to him, our wonderful Soviet past, that we were able to make this dizzying leap in military technology for our enemies. You can't drink the skill, although the "partners" hoped for it very much. Let's sympathize with them.
To sum up. Responding to the aggressive policy of the United States and building its military doctrine to counter it, the Russian Federation, represented by the General Staff of the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defense, tried, without getting involved in an expensive arms race, not so much to achieve parity with the United States in naval and air carriers of nuclear weapons, where the Americans had an advantage, but surpass them, answering not quantitatively, but qualitatively, sometimes asymmetrically. Now we can say with confidence that the result has been achieved with small means, but such that the Americans are now forced to revise their military doctrine, noting the qualitative superiority of the Russians, achieved by them on a fundamentally new engineering basis. So that you can really appreciate the scale of the breakthrough that was made thanks to the genius of our military engineers and scientists, I can only compare this with the appearance of smooth-bore and rifled weapons in an age when wars were fought with bows and arrows. At the moment we have a situation where we have a pump-action shotgun, and the Indians from across the ocean still have a bow and arrow. Agree, there is something for the Indians to think about! But these are the problems of the Indians, and, as you know, the sheriff does not care. Draw your own conclusions. That's all.