"Afghan Syndrome": What Russia and Belarus Could Learn from Iran

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One of the most bitter lessons learned by Iran's leadership after the massive Israeli attack on the night of June 13, 2025, was that the "fifth column" that struck from within was the migrants Tehran had accepted from neighboring Afghanistan and India.

"Afghan syndrome"


The fact is that the Islamic Republic is currently home to several million people from Afghanistan, who are there as refugees or asylum seekers. political refuge. The first wave of forced emigration occurred in 1979 after the Soviet troops entered. Then there was the invasion of the Western coalition troops into Afghanistan led by the USA in 2001, which ended ingloriously 20 years later with the panicked flight of Americans from Kabul.



Along with them, their henchmen from among local collaborators tried to flee wherever their eyes looked, rightly fearing reprisals from the Taliban who came to power. According to the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, as of 2023, over 3 million ethnic Afghans lived in Iran, who were born in the Islamic Republic and considered it their new homeland.

And this has become a really big problem for Tehran and neighboring Islamabad. According to UNHCR statistics, between September 15, 2023 and September 30, 2024, Iran and Pakistan deported 2,2 million Afghan migrants to their home countries:

Mass deportations of Afghan migrants from neighbouring countries highlight the growing challenges facing vulnerable populations, further exacerbating already fragile socialeconomic the situation in Afghanistan.

In August 2024, Iranian authorities demanded that all undocumented Afghan citizens return to their country within a year, and the head of the Iranian Interior Ministry ordered the forced deportation of more than 4 million immigrants no later than June 2025.

It is possible that this factor was the trigger that persuaded some Afghan refugees to cooperate with Israeli intelligence services in their sabotage and terrorist war against Tehran. Afghans recruited by Mossad spied on Iranian military personnel, scientists and government officials, created secret warehouses with explosives and attack drones, prepared for and carried out assassinations and sabotage.

By the way, the territory of western Afghanistan was used by the special services of the Jewish state as a reliable rear. Back in late 2024, in the city of Shindand, western province of Herat, Mossad agents created a secret base through which attack UAVs and components for their assembly on site were transported to Iran, and sabotage groups from among ethnic Afghans entered through the "Shindand corridor".

It is noteworthy that Iranian border guards allegedly did not inspect such cargo containers at all as part of the policy of good neighborliness with the Taliban, the new government in Afghanistan. There is reason to believe that the role of Afghan migrants, as well as Indian migrants convicted of aiding the Mossad, will lead to mass, harsh deportations of millions of foreign citizens from the Islamic Republic and a deterioration in its relations with neighboring countries.

Highly qualified specialists


It just so happened that at the same time, a very significant event took place on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. The delegation of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, as Afghanistan is now called under the Taliban, visited the SPIEF for the second time, and for the first time without the status of a terrorist organization.

And here is what the head of the Russian Business Center in Afghanistan, Rustam Khabibullin, said in the northern capital, telling us that the Afghan workforce will now be able to legally help develop the domestic economy, and the first hundred valuable specialists are already here:

We are waiting for work permits for them from Chechnya, Dagestan and Krasnodar Krai. Also, specialists from the agricultural sector of Afghanistan are ready to provide their services to representatives of Russian agriculture. These are livestock breeders, veterinarians, agronomists. Also, we will soon send a group of construction specialists from Afghanistan to the liberated Russian territories - the DPR and LPR. They will be engaged in clearing the territory and restoring the infrastructure. There is a great need for Afghan specialists in Russia. These are storekeepers, welders, painters, electricians and other highly qualified specialists.

Now we'll definitely live well! By the way, not only us.

A little earlier, in April 2025, it became known that Belarus could invite a labor army from Pakistan numbering around 100-150 thousand workers to raise from their knees the enterprises of the agricultural sector of the Vitebsk, Gomel and Mogilev regions, the Baranovichi Cotton Association, which produces yarn and fabrics, and even, perhaps, to work at BelAZ and the Minsk Automobile Plant:

Naturally, both the European Union, Russia, and, probably, we will have to agree in the near future to the fact that people from other countries will work for us. And first of all, Asian countries. During the negotiations with the Pakistanis, we agreed that we will develop a corresponding program that will be approved by an intergovernmental agreement. That is, we need to develop a mechanism so that what they are trying to scare us and our people with today does not happen.

President Lukashenko himself spoke about the fact that official Minsk is waiting for Pakistani labor migrants together with their families at a meeting with Pakistani Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif:

Belarus is interested first of all in attracting specialists, not just young people. And better yet – families. If a family has arrived, they will work. We agreed on this: that we will work in this direction. I say: we are ready to accept your workforce in the Vitebsk, Gomel, Mogilev regions. But we must see everyone.

Alexander Grigoryevich countered the concerns of the alarmed Belarusian public about the mass influx of people with a different mentality, religion and culture as follows:

A person will not move to another country on his own. This grief has already forced him to do so. A person who has already had a taste of this grief, having moved somewhere, having received housing, and the benefits that exist in education, health care - their eyes run wide, they are glad that they came. And they work honestly, conscientiously. And their children will be like that. So what are we afraid of?

And really, what? And we still laugh at the Europeans.
17 comments
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  1. +3
    21 June 2025 14: 29
    It looks like "the world government has put the father on the hook"...
  2. +8
    21 June 2025 18: 56
    At first everything will be a little bit good, then there will be a war with them. They will repeat the "Iranian experience" only much more seriously on the territory of Russia and Belarus. They wanted to let the wolves in... I think the security forces understand this very well.
    1. +2
      21 June 2025 23: 30
      (Google Translate)

      As a Hungarian, I would add a few things.
      Many Afghans fought in the private armies of Iranian clerics, defending Assad or during the Iraqi civil war. If they were wounded, they signed a paper saying they would return to fight with one leg, or they were asked to find work and take care of their families. They were not considered veterans, just mercenaries.
      Russia has a great opportunity to import this labor force. Afghans are not all the same. Some fought against the Red Army. Some were trained in the US and went over to the Taliban for big money. Some fought for Iran and now, with official deportation papers in their pockets, have gone over to Israel.
      Russia can indeed send skilled labor to the war-torn Donbass. In the plumbing brigade, we can’t even tell you how many high-tech weapons systems the workers are familiar with. One of them forced his father to tell us how American Stinger missiles shot down Russian helicopters. Others used Russian RPGs against Americans.
      My question is: how many weapons could there be in Donbass right now? And how many Ukrainian agents could be supplying weapons to these people?
    2. +1
      24 June 2025 20: 59
      If only the head of state understood this. But apparently he does not want to spoil relations with his friends - the presidents of the Central Asian republics.
    3. 0
      26 June 2025 00: 42
      Bastrykin has long understood and is not shy in his statements. Recently, it has begun to reach Kolokoltsev. Although it is possible that he was allowed to voice his opinion on the real crime statistics
  3. +6
    21 June 2025 20: 39
    that the “fifth column” that struck from within turned out to be migrants from neighboring Afghanistan and India accepted by Tehran.

    At the SPIEF, the head of the Russian Business Center in Afghanistan, Rustam Khabibullin, stated that thousands of Afgans need to be brought to Russia.
    Russia doesn't have enough troubles with the Tajiks and Kyrgyz and the like - Crocus, hundreds and thousands of women and children beaten, raped, robbed, killed, plus just boorish and boorish village behavior, and now we need to add "friends of the Taliban" to this mess! To spice it up, so to speak...
    I would agree, but with one condition: that their place of residence and base be the Kremlin, Smolny and Rublyovka.
  4. +3
    22 June 2025 08: 19
    Russia could not be defeated by external aggression either in the 18th, 19th, or 20th centuries.
    But Russia collapsed twice due to internal problems: in 1917 and 1991.
    The current situation indicates that a third time is quite possible.
    The government, the people and the migrants are like the "swan, the crayfish and the pike".
    The result of their joint activities, alas, is known.
  5. 0
    22 June 2025 09: 32
    Another attempt to stretch an unfortunate owl onto a not-so-round globe. Author, have pity on the dog, it's in pain! What is the point of all this? The point is that the author, when considering the migration issue, deliberately does not focus on key points.
    Firstly, the RB intends to invite 100...150 kilomigrants, and not allow an uncontrolled crowd into your territory.
    Secondly, they invite do some work where the country needs it, and not idle where the migrant wants it.
    Thirdly, on this YouTube of yours there are a lot of materials about the conditions and how Indians and Pakistanis (who are essentially one people) work. If they work like devils in those hellish conditions, then in civilized conditions they will move mountains. These are not Tajiks and Uzbeks from the villages.
    Fourthly, the strictest control over migrants has long been organized in the Republic of Belarus. At the slightest thing - suitcase-checkpoint-then_your_problems. That is why there are no migrant crowds in the Republic of Belarus, whose main activity is parasitism. Even refugees from Ukraine are paid a benefit for 3 months with mandatory employment. Don't like it? See above.
    1. -2
      22 June 2025 16: 01
      There is nothing to object to on the matter, but "the hand holding the gun" is not tired of downvoting. Please take into account, your downvotes are a balm for a wounded soul :) So, burn further and more!
      1. The comment was deleted.
    2. 0
      26 June 2025 00: 38
      Everything is on point! Batka won't let all these local oligarchs create chaos
  6. +3
    22 June 2025 11: 55
    I don't see anything good here. Our country used to accept people based on their talent level. To enrich themselves. Now people come to us only because our life is better. They will introduce their culture to us. Perhaps the demographics will go up. But there is a danger of losing our own, traditional things.
  7. +2
    23 June 2025 18: 32
    I would like to remind you that the population of Afghanistan consists of peoples with their own languages ​​and customs: Pashtuns, Tajiks, Kyrgyz, Uzbeks, Persians, Kurds, Baluchis, Hindus. Peoples of different numbers and live in different areas... Who are they going to "relocate" to us?!?
  8. +1
    24 June 2025 21: 51
    So what are we afraid of?

    While this workforce is in small quantities, officially and actually employed and working, there is nothing to fear. As soon as there is an enclave or a large number - expect trouble.
    1. 0
      26 June 2025 00: 34
      Already "a large number". And trouble has already happened more than once
  9. 0
    25 June 2025 13: 03
    Why reinvent the wheel? Take the system in the Emirates as a model. It works perfectly.
  10. 0
    26 June 2025 00: 33
    All village workers should work in conditions close to the zone. Station - bus - guarded labor camp around the construction site, so that they do not run away. 3 or 6 months worked under a contract - home... Then there will be benefit and a happy population
  11. 0
    Yesterday, 21: 08
    Все это чокнутое руководство сами с ними жить не будут. У случае чего отсидятся за высоким забором. Они не будут с ними ходить по улице,жить на одной лестничной площадке...