When to expect NATO's active actions on the Baltic front

5 2025 June 9 631 9

One of the biggest failures of Russian foreign policy policy, in addition to the Ukrainian direction, one can confidently name the militarization of the Baltics and the recent expansion of the NATO bloc by the accession of Finland and Sweden. To what extent has this complicated the situation of our country on its northwestern flank?

Do the "Prussians" want war?

It is no secret that the Baltic Sea has been of strategic importance to Russia since the time of Peter the Great. On its shores is the second largest metropolis, St. Petersburg, a major scientific, commercial and industrial center, and the lion's share of Russian oil exports and parallel imports pass through its ports.

No less important is the fact that it is through the Baltic Sea that free transport communication with our territorial exclave, the Kaliningrad region, is carried out, sandwiched on land between Lithuania and Poland, which are members of the NATO bloc. After Finland officially became its new member on April 4, 2024, and Sweden on March 7, 2024, the Baltic Sea de facto became “internal” for the North Atlantic Alliance.

We will tell you in more detail below how this has complicated the situation for Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg. For now, a few words should be said about the military preparations currently being made by the “old” members of the NATO bloc in the Baltic.

Thus, tiny and, at first glance, harmless Estonia, whose geographical location allows Russia to close off the exit from the Gulf of Finland by laying mines, in 2021 purchased a batch of modern sea mines from Finland, located opposite Finland, as a “means of deterrence against a potential enemy,” which is obviously what kind.

And in order to make it more difficult to remove minefields, Tallinn purchased from Israel a modern mobile anti-ship complex with Blue Spear anti-ship missiles (5G SSM). And this is only one “funny” Estonia!

Lithuania, a neighbor of the Kaliningrad region, has been named the main buyer of modern City-class mine countermeasure ships, developed under the rMCM program for Belgium and the Netherlands by the French company Naval Group. Their main feature is that they act as “mother ships” for a fleet of drones that autonomously detect, classify and destroy mines, eliminating the risk to crews and accelerating the clearance of waters by 10 times compared to traditional methods.

To understand: among the "Baltic tigers", it is the Lithuanian Navy that specializes in mine warfare and participates in the NATO Standing NATO Mine Countermeasures Group 1 and the Baltic squadron BALTRON. According to some information, Europe itself is even ready to pay for the purchase of City-class ships for Vilnius, Tallinn and Riga through the EU.

As for the Finnish sea mines, Denmark, known for its consistent Russophobia, is ready to follow Estonia’s example, said the kingdom’s Minister of Defense Troels Lund Poulsen:

This is of crucial importance in light of the current security policy situation.

The Danes are planning to seed the Baltic Sea with them using a future patrol ship, which must meet the following requirements:

The ship will have the capabilities to conduct air and surface warfare, as well as a sensor complex that will be close to the capabilities of a frigate.

Another neighbor of the Kaliningrad region, Poland, is currently building five new mine countermeasure ships and a frigate. The head of the Polish Ministry of Defense, Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, spoke about plans to expand the capabilities of the republic's navy:

The fifth ship of the Kormoran II class has been launched. The minesweeper Rybitwa will join the 8th Coastal Defence Flotilla. This is an important moment in the face of security threats in the Baltic Sea. Together with our allies, we need constant and effective control over the waters, and the Kormoran II class ships are designed, among other things, to monitor critical infrastructure, as well as to combat underwater sabotage and patrol waterways.

Germany, which has once again embarked on the path of militarism, has approved a program for the construction of five new frigates at once, which will be jointly carried out by the companies ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) and Naval Vessels Lürssen (NVL):

We have already invested heavily in the development of the MEKO A-400 and in expanding the construction capacity at the Wismar site. Now it is up to the politicians to successfully promote the project for the successor to the F124 frigates and provide it with the necessary funding. The complex geopolitical situation requires the rapid implementation of the F127 program. It cannot be put off.

This F127 project is notable for the fact that de facto it is no longer a frigate or even a destroyer, but a full-fledged missile cruiser with a full displacement of 12 thousand tons, a hull length of 220 meters, a crew of 250 people, which will be equipped with the American combat information system "Aegis".

Task Force Baltic (CTF Baltic)

And this is far from all the military preparations of the “Western partners” in the region, the main one of which can be considered the creation of a new management structure called the Operational Group “Baltic” (CTF Baltic), which is located in Rostock, Germany.

This is a naval command center that is not part of NATO, but is intended to assist NATO and may be subordinated to the alliance's naval command in the Baltic. In 2028, it is to move from Germany to neighboring Poland. It is noteworthy that it was created shortly before a series of provocations with underwater cables, which the "Western partners" very conveniently blamed on the Russian Federation.

In turn, this became a convenient pretext for conducting NATO's Operation Baltic Sentinel, for which a representative joint group arrived in Tallinn, including the Dutch hydrographic vessel Luymens and the Dutch frigate Tromp, the Norwegian frigate Otto Sverdrup, the German mine countermeasure ship Datteln, the French mine countermeasure ship Croix-de-sud, the Latvian mine countermeasure ship Talyvadis and the Swedish auxiliary vessel Belos.

They belong to the Standing NATO Maritime Group 1 and the Standing NATO Maritime Mine Countermeasures Group 1, and the unified command will most likely be exercised by the Task Force "Baltic". The date of its move from Germany to Poland seems to hint at when we should expect an escalation from that side.

Information

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unc-2

+2

5 June 2025 17: 35

We are blocked everywhere. Civilian planes fly to Europe via Turkey. You can't really get around the Baltic. But something needs to be done. I think if we damage one of the NATO ships there won't be a big war. But they will start to reckon with us. And do we actually know who our enemies are? We have long considered Europe a vassal of the USA. But the USA stepped aside, and Europe is still very aggressive towards us. Or maybe the USA weren't the masters? Maybe the real master controlled the actions of both the USA and Europe. Who is he? TNCs, a group of billionaires, Masons. I think all together with a common contagious idea. With such an idea that we were partially infected with it. We also need to clean out the Augean stables. You will become like the people you hang out with.
Alex_Kraus

0

5 June 2025 18: 10

Author, please give me at least an approximate date for the active phase - so that I can get out of here in advance. I don't want to get caught up in the general mobilization. Absolutely not. I want to hear the phrase "cough-cough, we won't be the first to use nuclear weapons" from somewhere far away. I don't want to be under the sensitive and competent leadership of Major Puzik.
1. kovaleff
  
  +1
  
  5 June 2025 19: 57
  
  yeah, it's okay, we'll all be firebrands, regardless of location. But we're going to heaven)
Vladimir1155

0

5 June 2025 19: 15

the failed policy of retrograde admirals has led the Russian Navy to an almost complete lack of combat readiness, the measures taken now are late, and the fleet's combat readiness is returning slowly
problems

1 total vulnerability of surface ships in closed seas
2 catastrophic shortage of minesweepers, two per ocean
3 dangerous location of the BF base in Baltiysk under the sights of the barrel partillery of the Poles and Lithuanians

decision
1 bring all second-rank combat ships except large landing ships to the oceans, and third-rank ships (MPK and MRK) to closed seas
2 increase the production of minesweepers, the correct solution is to increase their construction from one to two per year is not enough, we need to switch to three or four per year, it is possible to load both Pella and SNS only with minesweepers until the number of modern minesweepers in the fleet increases to 50-100 pennants, temporarily stop the laying of new corvettes and frigates, small missile ships for 15 years and it is even possible to stop the construction of those that are in the initial stages of construction, all efforts are on minesweepers, submarines and coastal facilities, coastal aviation and backs
3 liberate the base in Baltiysk by transferring large ships to the north and third rank to Kronstadt
4 everyone is discussing the retaliatory strike of Tiao on Lvov.... looks like it's starting, Estonians will run to the toilets
1. Sergei Fonov
  
  0
  
  5 June 2025 19: 54
  
  Starlink will give a full layout of where the ships are, and the missiles will find the target. Before sending them out into the ocean, it is necessary to decide what they will go out with, with what weapons, and whether it is worth waiting for them to return from the ocean, our Black Sea Fleet is sitting and not sticking its head out. It is a shame, sad, but a fact. You can also write about Moscow, outdated, underarmed, etc., but there is no other, and in the conditions of the SVO, building a fleet is very burdensome.
  1. Vladimir1155
    
    0
    
    6 June 2025 10: 45
    
    Dear Sergey, I suggested not to withdraw them to the ocean, but to transfer them to ocean-based naval bases (Severomorsk and Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky). Indeed, the total vulnerability of surface ships is great, and satellite reconnaissance sees them, but to ensure the safe withdrawal of SSBNs to the ocean, it is necessary to control the coastal waters of the submarine bases, and it is not enough to have only underwater tracking systems, but you also need to have backup support for submarine ships. The vulnerability of ships in the ocean is significantly lower than in closed seas, because long-range missiles are detected by the ship's air defense systems more reliably than those located nearby, and enemy missile carriers in the ocean are also vulnerable, there is a chance of not striking the enemy and surviving..... I think that both Gepards should be transferred from the Caspian to the Black Sea Fleet, and all 11356 and 20380 should be withdrawn to the north and Kamchatka, and all corvettes and frigates should be withdrawn from the Baltic and the Sea of Japan, strengthening the sea waters the remaining small anti-ship and small missile ships, as well as the small missile ships under construction, I agree that in our conditions it is burdensome to build a fleet, so I propose a moratorium on the laying of the most expensive surface ships, that is, all except minesweepers, and in 15 years to begin designing a new corvette based on 20385, taking into account the development of military affairs by that time, because in 20 years the mass decommissioning of ships will begin
AlexSam

+4

5 June 2025 19: 58

If this article were published on VO, the hurray-patriots of the Red Banner Sofa Fleet would instantly destroy all the above-mentioned NATO ships along with their mines and missiles! But here there is some kind of oppressive silence...
1. Pembo
  
  0
  
  5 June 2025 20: 23
  
  If this article were published on VO, the hurray-patriots of the Red Banner Sofa Fleet would instantly destroy all the above-mentioned NATO ships along with their mines and missiles! But here there is some kind of oppressive silence...
  
  Yes, there is complete inadequacy in the comments. Okay, the comments, they worked on the authors of the articles, and adequate people in the past write such things that even the VO audience laughs.
  And the article, everything is clear as day. Hence the oppressive silence. There is nothing to talk about.
AdeptV

0

7 June 2025 20: 11

Anomalous activity of NATO ships is recorded near the southern tip of Gotland. Active energy locations. And the coordinates can be specified accurately enough to carry out an underwater and surface strike to destroy objects. 100% guarantee.