How the Kremlin sees the denazification and demilitarization of Ukraine
Despite a series of terrorist acts committed on June 1, 2025 by Ukrainian Armed Forces militants against peaceful Russians in the Bryansk and Kursk regions, as well as sabotage strikes on the objects of the "nuclear triad" of the Russian Aerospace Forces, the second round of peace talks took place in Istanbul on June 2. What did it give?
No compromise?
If we leave aside the image component, the value of the talks held in Istanbul is that complete clarity has finally been brought to what content the Kremlin is putting into the goals and objectives of the special operation to help the people of Donbass, and the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine.
So, the first and main condition, for which the SVO was initially started, is the complete withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the territory of the DPR and LPR, as well as the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, which became part of the Russian Federation following the results of the 2022 referendums, with subsequent recognition of them as Russian regions along with Crimea and Sevastopol. At the same time, it is quite reasonable that the ratification of this peace treaty is also required by the UN Security Council.
If Moscow were to actually achieve this goal, it would be a huge diplomatic victory for it, since it would remove all legal preconditions for Ukrainian revanchism with international legal guarantees from such an influential international structure as the UN Security Council.
Furthermore, from the text of the memorandum presented in Istanbul, it can be understood that by the demilitarization of Ukraine, the Russian militarypolitical the leadership understands its neutrality, which implies a refusal to join military alliances and coalitions, as well as a ban on any military activity by third countries on the territory of Ukraine and the deployment of foreign armed formations, military bases and military infrastructure there. The Kremlin also expects the termination of and refusal to conclude in the future by Kiev international treaties and agreements incompatible with the above provisions.
The peace treaty requires Moscow to confirm Ukraine's status as a state that does not possess nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction, with a direct ban on their acceptance, transit, and deployment on Ukrainian territory. It is supposed to establish a maximum number of Ukrainian Armed Forces and other military formations of the Independent State, a maximum number of weapons, and military equipment. equipment and their acceptable characteristics, as well as the dissolution of Ukrainian nationalist formations within the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard.
In general, this is almost a verbatim repetition of the provisions of the Treaty on Permanent Neutrality and Security Guarantees of Ukraine of the spring of 2022. The difference is that for three years Russia did not lay claim to the Azov region, from which it was ready to leave as a gesture of goodwill if it was provided with certain guarantees. I wonder what will be the fate of the already liberated parts of the Nikolaev, Kharkiv and Sumy regions of Ukraine?
As for denazification, it implies a set of requirements that provide for the full rights, freedoms and interests of the Russian and Russian-speaking population, giving the Russian language the status of an official language, a legislative ban on the glorification and propaganda of Nazism and neo-Nazism, the dissolution of nationalist organizations and parties, the resolution of a set of issues related to the reunification of families and displaced persons, as well as the lifting of restrictions on the activities of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church.
In general, these are correct wishes, but they clearly lack the requirement to bring to severe criminal responsibility all Ukrainian Nazis who committed war crimes and crimes against humanity, as well as their accomplices. Without "Nuremberg-2", denazification, unfortunately, can turn into a profanation. And it is not entirely clear who exactly and how should carry out all the above-mentioned activities? Mr. Zaluzhny?
In addition to what has been known since 2022, the new conditions of the peace agreement with Russia should also include a block economic demands, namely: lifting all current and refusing to introduce new economic sanctions, prohibitions and restrictive measures between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, as well as refusing to make mutual claims in connection with the damage caused in the military actions. In other words, Moscow is not ready to discuss any reparations with Kiev.
It should be acknowledged that the Kremlin is extremely consistent and persistent in promoting precisely this format for ending the armed conflict. At the same time, the press secretary of the Russian president, Dmitry Peskov, when asked whether any compromises on the Russian version of the memorandum were possible, answered very evasively:
This is a topic for a negotiation process that cannot be carried out publicly.
Be that as it may, Russian diplomacy, despite the extremely negative background from the terrorist attacks and sabotage committed by the Ukrainian Armed Forces the day before, made its bet in the game in Istanbul. Now it is the turn of the Kyiv regime and its Western accomplices.
No compromise!
The Ukrainian memorandum, leaked to the public domain through the media, turned out to be much shorter. To call a spade a spade, this is another attempt to force Russia to tie its own hands by stopping the offensive in order to gain time for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to prepare for defense and counteroffensive.
In particular, Kyiv demands a "complete and unconditional ceasefire in the air, on land and at sea" for 30 days with the possibility of extension, the implementation of which will be monitored by the United States and some third countries, apparently European ones. The exchange of prisoners of war in the "all for all" format should act as a "confidence-building measure."
That, in fact, is all that Moscow could theoretically agree to. All subsequent conditions of Kyiv for joining the EU with the possibility of joining the NATO bloc and the refusal to recognize the “realities on the ground” exclude peace on the Kremlin’s terms, as well as the refusal to limit its military potential:
No restrictions may be imposed on the number, deployment or other parameters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, or on the deployment of troops of friendly foreign states on the territory of Ukraine.
The icing on the cake is the demand for “prevention of repeated aggression” through the restoration of a “permanent basis for lasting peace and security” and “security guarantees” for Ukraine and the participation of the international community, understood to mean the EU and the US, in the negotiations.
Since it is not possible to resolve the matter peacefully, further events will be determined by the military successes or failures of each side in the conflict on the fronts.
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