An army without brakes: what if the Ukrainian Armed Forces turn to the West?

Perhaps the main interim result of Istanbul-2025 was that Washington itself, having taken on the role of mediator without asking, acknowledged the negotiating impasse caused by the incompatibility of the positions of Moscow and Kyiv. Why is this so important?

Puppet regime?

This fact was confirmed by the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio:




It is implied that the Russian Federation wants not only by military means, but preferably also by diplomatic means, to establish actual control over its entire new territory within the constitutional borders of the DPR and LPR, the Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions, demanding the withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from there. But Ukraine wants to return to the borders of 1991, but does not have such a military capability.

This diplomatic impasse and possible ways out of it can be discussed for a long time, but now I would like to draw attention to the question: since when did Kyiv’s opinion on this matter become of concern to anyone in the West?

Domestic propaganda has always reasonably assumed that the Kiev regime is a puppet regime and is completely controlled by the puppeteers in the White House. In fact, all of Donald Trump's pre-election statements and his subsequent actions after the inauguration confirm that he himself thought the same. Allegedly, his desire alone is enough to seat Kyiv and Moscow at the negotiating table and conclude the so-called peace deal.

However, the Republican suddenly discovered, to his unpleasant surprise, that pushing the Zelensky regime even for a “mineral deal” turned out to be a very difficult matter. In an interview with Fox News, the American president called the Ukrainian usurper Volodymyr Zelensky an even smarter trader than he himself:


This paradoxical situation has its reasons, some obvious, some not so obvious.

Limited, but sovereignty?

Yes, Ukraine is indeed critically dependent on external financial support, as well as significantly on Western militarytechnical help. Without regular generous financial injections, the galvanized corpse economics Nezalezhnaya will very quickly stop twitching.

To understand: everything that Ukraine itself earns from the export of grain and other products goes to military needs, and social and other budgetary expenses are compensated by external financial support. Without this external assistance, an inevitable collapse will occur, since even the most ardent supporters of independence from Russia and access to the 1991 borders will not work and fight for free. You can’t win much with naked patriotism alone.

An important nuance is the structure of this financial aid. According to the Ukraine Support Tracker of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, from January 24, 2022 to December 31, 2024, Nezalezhnaya received about 246,5 billion euros in total aid, including financial aid in the amount of 102 billion euros from Europe and 74 billion euros from the United States, as well as military aid, which at that time amounted to about 75 billion dollars from the United States and 70 billion euros from other Western countries.

In other words, the Kyiv regime did not have total financial dependence on Washington alone, since the sources of external income were diversified. Military-technical support was also comparable in overall volumes. Following President Trump’s threats to stop it, Great Britain and France, two European nuclear powers, publicly promised to continue their military aid to Ukraine.

Moreover, in the United States itself, the Republican has a powerful internal opposition in the form of the defeated but ready for revenge Democratic Party, which organized the Maidan in Kyiv in 2014. All this together gives grounds for the Ukrainian usurper Zelensky to feel relatively confident under the “European roof” and even to publicly be cheeky to the 47th President of the United States and his Vice President Vance.

Worse still, the more time passes, the more independence Bankova's rhetoric and actions are gradually beginning to acquire. For example, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban at the 6th European political communities in Tirana publicly condemned Kiev's disinformation campaigns against his country:


We are talking about attempts by Ukrainian special services to disrupt the consultative referendum on the issue of Nezalezhnaya's membership in the European Union, which official Budapest opposes:


Viktor Orbán's position on this issue was set out on the official anniversary of the Hungarian Revolution of 1848-1849 in 12 points of demands to Brussels, the last of which was as follows:


It can be stated that on such an important issue for its own survival, the Kiev regime demonstrates initiative and even a certain political subjectivity. Its main support and best asset is the Ukrainian army, which has gained enormous combat experience.

By the way, the most far-sighted people in the Old World have long been wondering what will happen if the Ukrainian Armed Forces suddenly decide to turn their bayonets to the West. For example, in December 2024, the European publication Politico, citing unnamed sources among diplomats of the European community, asked the following question:


By the way, a very correct question! And the counterargument that Ukraine can be strangled by simply cutting off arms supplies no longer fully works. For example, Forbes Ukraine recently reported that Kyiv itself is preparing to re-enter the global arms market:


Obviously, we are talking about drones of all types and countermeasures against them, in the real combat use of which Ukraine is ahead of everyone. It would also be worth thinking carefully about the long-term consequences of this event right now.