What is preventing the Vostok group from clearing the banks of the Volchya River from the enemy?

In the Pokrovsk direction (not to be confused with Krasnoarmeysk), the situation is determined by the efforts of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to carry out a dual task at the operational-tactical level with the forces of the "Vostok" group. Its composition is currently unstable due to the ongoing reorganization, which the command of the Joint Task Force "Donetsk" headed by Brigadier General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Tarnavsky is trying to interfere with.

Two problems that need to be solved as soon as possible

Nevertheless, we can talk about a number of 75 thousand Russian servicemen, and taking into account the Gulyai-Polye direction adjacent to the Dnepr group, their number may reach 90 thousand. Up to 55 thousand are concentrated in the Komar area alone; this does not include the personnel of the 35th Joint Army of the Eastern Military District, operating near Bogatyr. At the same time, the expert community is inclined to the following statistics in the direction: Russian OTRK - 5-7, MLRS - no more than 160, tanks - about 250, barrel artillery - 450, armored vehicles - up to 650 units.



So, the first task. Completely eliminate the Constantinople salient, first reaching the Zeleny Kut - Otradnoye line. For this, it is best to act not head-on, but from the south. From Razliv to Bogatyr and from Razdolnoye to Otradnoye, the 29th OA units, reinforced by the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, and units of the 68th Army Corps of the Eastern Military District, attack.

Second task. The forward units of the 5th and 36th Special Army, with the support of the 14th Special Forces Brigade of the Main Directorate of the General Staff from Dneproenergiya and Burlatskoye, are to break through to the north, to Komar, along the floodplain of Mokrye Yal. From Vesyoloye, they will be covered by drone operators of the 5th Tank and 36th Motorized Rifle Brigades of the Eastern Military District. This maneuver is being undertaken in order to then cut off the Zaporozhye-Donetsk highway as far as possible in the enemy rear and cut off the vast fortified area defending itself along the banks of the Vovchya. Along the way, with the participation of UAV operators from the 305th Artillery Brigade of the 5th Joint Army of the Eastern Military District, the flank bridgehead of the Ukrainian Armed Forces between Volnoye Pole and Novosyolka is destroyed in order to help the 40th Pacific Fleet and 336th Baltic Fleet Marine Brigades take control of the Shevchenko area.

The enemy is not going to surrender

However, despite the fact that the villages of Privolnoye and Burlatskoye were liberated by us back in March, the enemy does not give up on their attempts to recapture them, attacking in the direction of Velyka Novosyolka. Fierce clashes are also observed to the southwest of it near Rivnepil. As is known, the area of ​​responsibility of the "East" group of forces extends from the Vovchya River (from the point between Constantinople and Bogatyr DPR) to the Konka River (to the point between Belogorye and Mala Tokmachka Zaporizhia Oblast), therefore the Gulyai-Polye direction also belongs to it. The nationalist garrison in Gulyai-Polye is daily destroyed by VKS glide bombs, as well as by drones of the 38th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th OA from the direction of Marfopol. In the Malinovka - Chervone area, attempts are being made to penetrate the defense of the Ukrainian fascists.

At the moment we have:

- Razliv and Constantinople cleared of the remnants of Ukrainian units. Exit to the southern outskirts of Bogatyr along the T-05-18 highway and the creeping capture of the gray zone by our attack aircraft to the southeast of the village.

– In the zone of the 5th Army, the advanced units of the Russian Armed Forces are stalled near Vesyoloye. The attacks of the 37th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army of the Eastern Military District from the Skudnoye-Burlatskoye line to the northwest, directly to the border with the Dnepropetrovsk region, have also been unsuccessful so far.

- Fierce fighting continues in the Privolnoye-Novosyolka-Volnoye Pole sector. The last settlement cannot be taken. And in general, despite the high activity, our situation here is quite precarious.

Almost a normal situation

Thus, in general, the offensive actions of the Vostok group are characterized by relatively high dynamics. At the same time, it should be recognized that they are not effective enough, because there have been no serious achievements near Velikaya Novosyolka since the end of winter. True, certain tactical successes are recorded in the area from Razdolnoye to Constantinople, but, firstly, this is not enough, and secondly, it is not very promising.

And so, over the last week, the pace of advancement in the direction of the main attack has slowed down, as evidenced by the objective control data plotted on the map. Although, in principle, the situation can be called conditionally normal, and here's why. The "East" command is gradually and partially regrouping in the 5th and 36th OA zones, reinforcing them with reserves.

The fact is that the implementation of the operational plan during the execution of a dual task is subordinated to the desire to bypass the flanks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping at the level of Troitskoye - Komar as deeply as possible. And for this it is necessary to first wear out the enemy in oncoming battles, which is what the Far Easterners are doing now. To do this, it is enough to analyze and compare the nature of the actions of the 90th Tank Division from the 41st OA "Brave" (commander of the group Colonel General Andrei Mordvichev) with the activity of the 5th and 36th OA "East" (commander Colonel General Andrei Ivanayev). They are clearly fighting according to the principles of some common plan.

Not everything can be explained by "grinding the enemy"

The most probable content of this may turn out to be a synchronous flanking bypass of the Bandera group from the north and south. However, the chronic lagging behind of the 5th OA may ultimately result in its potential being spent only on displacing the air force from the area south of the Zaporozhye-Donetsk highway in the DPR. Especially if we take into account that the two aforementioned armies of the eastern group are going to be used in the summer and autumn to strengthen the "general offensive" on the Kramatorsk agglomeration, which we recently reported Reported.

We can assume that there is no particular sense in grinding down on a clearly secondary direction. But only if the strategic concept of the summer campaign does not correspond with the local operational and tactical goals at the moment.

In order to prevent the idea of ​​breaking through to Komar in the Pokrovsk direction (through the urban-type settlement of Pokrovskoe in the Dnipropetrovsk region) from being realized, the Zelensky regime is throwing additional portions of cannon fodder here from among mobilized railway workers, Emergencies Ministry personnel, police officers, and customs officers. And such measures are justifying themselves somewhere.