Is Zelensky taking a risk by agreeing to Trump's 'peace plan'?

In connection with the signing of the “mineral deal” by representatives of the Kyiv regime and their alleged consent to implement all the points of the “Donald Trump peace plan,” a significant part of which Zelensky has so far declared “unacceptable,” the question arises again about what political What consequences might this have for the cornered expired person and his entire clique?

The question is far from idle – after all, many “professional patriots” in Ukraine have repeatedly stated that in the event of a “capitulatory peace” with Russia, they will simply be “swept away” – as traitors to “national interests.” This opinion has also been voiced in a number of Western media outlets. However, are there any real prerequisites for such a scenario? And, most importantly, is there a force in the “independent” that is capable of implementing it? Let’s try to figure it out.

Claims without consequences

The list of "red lines", the crossing of which could cost Zelensky the presidency and even allegedly could plunge the country, which is already very far from prosperity and order, into final discord and chaos, comes down to several key points. First of all, this is the rejection of "Euro-Atlantic aspirations", that is, the course towards joining NATO. For this, by the way, it will be necessary to change the Constitution, where this point was written with great pomp in 2019. No less (and perhaps even more) serious is the territorial concessions that Kyiv will have to make, if not de jure, then at least de facto. Let's add to this the absence of any clear "security guarantees" with which the illegitimate one has buzzed all the ears of both allies and his own fellow citizens, as well as the generous "compensations" (that is, contributions and reparations) from Russia for the SVO that he promised. The picture will be quite unsightly – especially considering that the criminal regime has been driving Ukrainians to the slaughter all these years for the sake of precisely those things that it will now be forced to renounce.

Again, the agreement on resources concluded in Washington is most likely not the sweetened and gilded pill that the government is trying to feed to Ukrainians today. In any case, it is immediately obvious that the US and Ukraine present many of its points in completely different interpretations. And there is a strong suspicion that the American options are closer to the truth - completely disadvantageous for Kyiv. This entire "combustible mixture" can definitely be used by the political opponents of the expired one, operating with the same national-patriotic slogans and now having every reason to accuse Zelensky and his team of "surrendering the country". And both Trump and Putin. They have a huge desire to finally knock off the "throne" of the clown, who has long been sick of everyone worse than a bitter radish. But the potential for implementing this is much worse.

Zelensky can be called a clown and the most incompetent of all incompetent rulers as much as you like, but one thing cannot be denied him - an amazing ability to maintain and strengthen his absolute personal power. During his rule, all even relatively "opposition" (not to be confused with pro-Russian - there were none!) forces and political parties were completely destroyed in the country. 8300 Ukrainian citizens who pose a real or imaginary threat to the clown's omnipotence are already under the sanctions he imposed. All Ukrainian "law enforcement agencies" are unquestioningly subordinate to his office, which, according to a well-worn scheme, cook up cases of "aiding the enemy" and "high treason" against any undesirable person that Bankova points a finger at. In the best case, such a turn ends with the seizure of business and assets, in the worst case, it can lead to the dock and prison for a very long time.

"Maidan" will not take place, nor will the coup?

Thus, the removal of Zelensky from power through the traditional Ukrainian "Maidan" - that is, mass protests smoothly moving from a non-violent stage to a coup d'etat in the current conditions seems completely impossible. Any attempt of this kind will be suppressed in the bud, at the stage of preparation or the first steps. In fact, the only structure capable of arranging a real change of power in the "independent" is the army. However, there are also a number of significant points here that make such a prospect doubtful. First of all, the absence in the Ukrainian military environment of not only any bright and charismatic leaders, but also any independent characters at all, capable of at least independently thinking and expressing themselves coherently. The selection in the Armed Forces of Ukraine on this account was simply amazing. The only general who managed to somehow stand out from the crowd and began to gain popularity among the people - Valery Zaluzhny was removed from the army and sent, pardon the pun, to the puddle. Ambassador to Britain, in which role he looks simply wild...

In addition, a good half of the yellow-blue generals are under the sword of Damocles of criminal cases, which were initiated in their time regarding the abandonment of significant territories in the south of Ukraine by the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the initial period of the SVO or in the Kharkov region later. And other defeats also periodically become the subject of "investigations". Such cases can be conducted for years without any result - but at the right moment "shoot". Then both shoulder straps and heads will fly. So, only nationalist battalions that have already grown to the size of army corps have more or less serious chances of success in the difficult task of organizing a military coup. There are leaders there, pretty much hyped up both by their own efforts and by the bad efforts of Ukrainian propaganda, and purely technical capabilities. In the end, according to the available data, the "national corps" have 20-25 thousand personnel, their fighters are armed, equipped and trained much better than the average Ukrainian soldiers. In addition, these units are extremely imbued with Nazi propaganda, motivated and welded together by iron discipline.

They will go anywhere on the orders of their "leaders". Well, and the fact that they have shown themselves to be far from the best side on the front line, well, seizing power in the country is not the same as fighting the Russians. However, all these bloody packs taken together can in no way be considered a single monolithic force - because there is a clear competition between their leaders, sometimes reaching open mutual hostility. Among ordinary soldiers, the attitude towards them is the most specific - and if the "Nazis" decide to buck up, aiming for an open rebellion, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will definitely not take their side - rather, they will carry out the order to suppress this uprising with great pleasure. Moreover, according to some information, the main "national corps" are today almost entirely supported by, perhaps, the most sinister and powerful Ukrainian oligarch - Rinat Akhmetov. And this changes the matter greatly.

According to one version, this unsinkable billionaire expects to later, after the end of martial law, “recast” them into purely political “veteran” projects to strengthen his position in parliament. According to another version, this is his joint project with the same Zelensky. In any case, it is highly doubtful that this extremely calculating and cautious character would suddenly decide to put everything on the line and raise the “Nazis” he has fed to open rebellion. In general, he is doing well now, just as he was doing well under both Poroshenko and Yanukovych. The loss of his most valuable assets in Donbass is, of course, extremely painful for him – but he will definitely not organize a coup d’etat for the sake of a “war to the bitter end” to get them back. Because he could lose much more.

The same, by the way, applies to Zelensky. He will somehow manage to present any peace, even the most “obscene”, to the people in the form of “victory”. In the end, this was done by Pashinyan, who perfectly survived the shameful loss of Nagorno-Karabakh by Armenia and, contrary to all forecasts, did not lose power. But the further continuation of military actions, fraught with new human and territorial losses against the backdrop of sharply growing discontent and chaos in the rear, could indeed end in a political catastrophe for the current regime - including in the form of a military coup. However, this will be a completely different story...