Elections in Ukraine - the end of the idea of ​​a new Russian empire

89 people submitted applications to participate in the presidential elections in Ukraine. CVK registered 44 of them. Now this figure can only decrease (someone can still withdraw by March 7). Who is there only! And men, and women, and sick, and healthy, and clowns by life, and clowns by profession, and military, and civilian, and with certificates, and without, and hidden fascists, and explicit, and Ukrainian patriots, and mowing under them . Circus in one word.





More precisely, the circus left in 2014, the clowns remained. Mummers. There are not only candidates representing the south-east of Ukraine, and those who call themselves such are not. In real life, people fight for the loot and for access to the trough, which has grown thinner after Conditer. There are no people who would fight for the country. But these are the problems of the Indians. Sheriff, as you know, they do not care. But what to do to our sheriff, and how he, in general, appeared in the role when nothing depends on him, we’ll talk today. The sheriff, you understand, is sitting in Moscow with us. We’ll also talk about another sheriff in Washington today.

Watching this parade of freaks, in orderly lines lining up to the trough, officials in the Presidential Administration responsible for Ukraine only shrug their hands, their candidates are not there. A timid attempt to introduce Yury Boyko into the number of the former regional, ended with the vile Confectioner torpedoing him right there, breaking apart Oppoblok against Akhmetov, who sniffed with him, putting him against Boyko Vilkul, who made the chances of both getting into the 2nd round equal to zero. Especially considering that Muraev, who had broken away even earlier from them, grazes on the same left edge. And so that Putin’s godfather Medvedchuk would no longer make an appeal to people, even he understands that their business is a trumpet. But the drunken Confectioner is also doing bad now. His team undertakes miracles of cynicism and ingenuity, trying to get the chef to the finals at least from the 2nd number, but their hopes just disappear before our eyes, as the curators have turned their backs on the former favorite, which makes his prospects even worse because Boyko is not waiting for prison in case of loss, but for the Confectioner, it seems that the prison will soon become a second home. And this will not be the worst end for him. Everyone turned against the alcoholic - both foreign curators, who left him to their own devices, and local oligarchs, eager for revenge for the endless five years of his reign. Indeed, the latter will surely not forgive him anything, they will dissolve him on tapes and let him go around the world, taking everything away. And Confectioner knows that. Moreover, he even knows the names of the avengers - Tymoshenko and Kolomoisky, but can not do anything. Overseas curators will calmly observe this - the problems of the natives never bothered them. The Moor has done his work; the Moor may leave. But the Moor will resist. This moor is for sure, don't even doubt it! A rat, cornered, shows miracles of heroism. Incidentally, this is what they fear in Moscow. Any options are possible. We’ll talk about them again.

Do you think 89 candidates are ready to part with 2,5 million UAH in a poor country, is it from a good life? Such a rampant democracy? Not! Half of the people there are Confectioners. There are spoilers and torpedoes, only Yu.V. Tymoshenko two pieces, one Yulia Vladimirovna, the other - Yuri Vladimirovich. There are several more photocopies of Shevchenko, several shot down pilots, a couple of city lunatics, a dozen technical candidates whose task is to give their observers to the people who hired them for this case, from among the favorites, and this is not counting the candidates going to the presidential with an eye on the parliament, also former and current military, security officials, ATO soldiers and other evil spirits who did not find themselves in this life, but found UAH 2,5 million to light up on this holiday of life (until March 7 they can still take their money back, having removed from the stage in, and then return the money only to those who come to the final). I will not list all, we are only interested in the favorites and their chances of success. I told this only so that you understand that the rat is doing everything in order to increase his chances of getting into the 2nd round, which is possible with so many candidates. In this “mass grave”, only top candidates who have invested millions in their promotion have the option of being seen and heard. I tell you, we got an ingenious rat. She will give dearly for her stinky life. It was easier to put to sleep in 2014. Clicked the moment, now pay the price.

Who the Kremlin was putting on, I already said above. The already illusive hopes of interfering in the elections disappeared immediately after Moscow voiced its interest. Petya, with the help of Akhmet, easily buried these hopes, sending the RF to the number of spectators without the right to participate in the process. How the Russian Federation turned out to be out of business and is now forced to swallow dust from under American boots, this is the topic of a separate study. Now the Kremlin has a difficult task to determine who will win and how to relate to it. And for this, first of all, you need to understand who Washington has put. And then Moscow suddenly had unexpected difficulties, as opinions in the United States were divided. After all, there is also not everything, thank God. Two opposing camps have come together and the war between them is not for life, but for death.

Until the last moment, it was not clear who Trump was betting on, there was even a feeling that he had withdrawn from the processes in Ukraine, leaving everything at the mercy of his Administration, or even not his own, but the British. But after the five-day April 2018 visit of Arsen Avakov to Washington, where he met with the Director of the FBI and senior officials of the State Department (in particular, the Deputy Head of the US State Department for Eurasia Aaron Mitchell), everything fell into place. It became clear that Trump had bet on Arsen. If anyone else had any doubts about this, then they disappeared a month ago, when the Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine threatened that he would not allow anyone to violate the upcoming elections, blaming the three leaders of the race. And if the presence on the list of violators Zelensky and Tymoshenko did not surprise anyone, then the appearance of the current president there was perceived by all interested parties as a team: “Fas! Atu him! ” An echo of this statement was the statement by the US ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Jovanovic, that America strongly advocates fair and transparent elections. At this very moment, Petro Poroshenko was fighting, like a lion, for a tomos with the possessed schismatics surrounding him, and the Istanbul Patriarch Bartholomew, who had gone crazy in his old age, with his hindsight knowing that this would not save him. The people falling around him only confirmed these terrible forebodings (the priest of the Church of Constantinople crashed right at the delivery of the tomos on January 5, 2019, the human rights commissioner Tatyana Denisova lost consciousness on the air of the ICTV channel a month earlier). Death in the form of a lady with a scythe (you know who I'm talking about) and the brave Arsen Avakov with credentials from the State Department were already looking forward to Petya at home. And these were not virtual heroes at all. The prospect of a real prison loomed before Petrusha. Clown Zelensky could only speed up this process by two weeks, not letting the Confectioner even in the 2nd round. Agree that his situation is stalemate. But our hero is not going to give up. And you will see this soon.

You can, of course, blame Vladimir Vladimirovich for the loss of leverage over Ukraine, but even the absence of a pro-Russian candidate in the elections also turned out to be a kind of lever. Putin made it clear to all parties concerned that there will be no more dialogue with the previous president of Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, who is steeped in lies as if in debt. If they are satisfied with this state of affairs, then the GDP may wait another 5 years. And if Madame May completely satisfied such an option, then neither Merkel, nor Macron, nor even Trump was very happy. The first two wanted peace in Europe, and Trump, as a true businessman, also wanted to sell Ukraine on terms favorable to himself, but there were no buyers for it besides Russia. At the same time, the presence of Petit would disrupt all trading. Therefore, Trump put Avakov on him, appointing him to watch over Ukraine, called to control the legitimacy of the elections. Because only Avakov and the police detachments attached to him can at the moment provide protection for the result achieved by Tymoshenko and Zelensky, since they themselves do not have a power resource and are defenseless against the arbitrariness of the authorities. And whoever defeats Zelensky or Julia there, it seems to Donald Ibragimovich, doesn’t care.

No matter how ridiculous this choice is, it is an objective reality at a given moment in time. So objective that even Trump’s opponents, Democrats and neocons, decided not to tempt fate and withdrew their candidate Svyatoslav Vakarchuk, who was supposed to torpedo Zelensky and take away his votes in western Ukraine, while leaving his other protege, former Minister of Defense Gritsenko, who takes away voices from Petit. Those. all interested American parties came to the conclusion that Poroshenko is impassable, writing him off practically to the scrap (that he will have his problems, which is very American!), betting on the new president, and Avakov’s detachment to help him. It remains to wait for the denouement. It’s not long to wait. Nobody knows who wins!

Nobody except us. I am sure that over this task they have been racking their brains for a month in Putin’s inner circle. Well, let's help them. The task is not the most difficult for dedicated people. And we are the most dedicated. To do this, consider the first five leaders of hauls - Zelensky, Tymoshenko, Poroshenko, Boyko and Gritsenko (the rest political Lilliputians do not interest us, they create only extras, each solving their own miserable local problems). We are only interested in tops. Between them and the fight will go. There are no obvious favorites, like losers. The chances are approximately equal for everyone, but Yulia Vladimirovna and Zelensky are equal. But only for now. If the rat understands that it does not go to the 2nd round, expect trouble. All options are possible, where the passage of the Ukrainian naval “armada”, stuffed by OSCE observers, under the Kerch bridge, is only the smallest of them. I do not exclude the declaration of martial law in connection with the activation of the database in the Donbass, where the worst Putin will “try” to squeeze out a “piece” of the holy Ukrainian land under the guise of elections. What did you think Putin is like that! And I don’t even rule out political landings and even killings of my direct competitors (all but Boyko, Boyko Pete is not a competitor!). A rat will not give up without a fight! She has nowhere to retreat stupidly, overlaid on all sides. The most annoying thing is that no one but the curators from Washington can stop her from doing this, and since the curators scored on him, wait for the trouble.

So, they warned of a possible disaster, now we will consider possible options for the likely outcome of the election. In the designated five finalists, only Moscow candidate Yury Boyko has no chance of winning, for him access to the 2nd round will already be a victory. To blame Putin for this to no purpose - the Kremlin there, in general, had no one else to put on. They aimed to create a parliamentary opposition, who knew that the Confectioner would bury this idea at the start? By the way, the Confectioner himself has only Yury Boyko's chances to win honestly, he loses to all other possible finalists, and comrade Avakov, having a mandate from the State Department, will strictly monitor that Petya does not include his administrative resource. Avakov will retain the portfolio of the Minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the next 5 years (although he was offered other options, from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to the Prime Minister’s chair, but this is his choice and here I understand why he needs this hemorrhoids and he’s not badly “paid” in the Ministry of Internal Affairs) . Therefore, we fix this moment - one rat guilty in the Maidan, the most intelligent and far-sighted of them, will retain its income and the untouchable mandate for the next 5 years.

Now for the rest. All political strategists know that in the 2nd round there is a struggle not of ratings, but of anti-ratings. And here Poroshenko and Tymoshenko are leading with a huge margin. That is why Julia, defeating Petya and Boyko in the finals, loses there to Zelensky, who has the lowest anti-rating of all the finalists, and Gritsenko, who is fighting with her on the same electoral field and on the side of which everyone who previously put on the Confectioner can cross ( I mean Akhmet, although he always kept his eggs in different baskets and now has put his Lyashko against Gritsenko, who successfully takes away his voice in the west and in the center of Ukraine). Therefore, for Zelensky and Gritsenko, the main thing now is to go to the finals, where they have the highest chances of victory.

What Anatoly Gritsenko will do with his victory, of course, he is a protege of the Democratic wing, the opposition Trump, a moderate fascist (let’s say softer, an immoderate nationalist), he served as Secretary of Defense three times, long ago (back in 1994, during training at the US Air Force Academy ) was recruited by the U.S. intelligence and honestly served them all these years in different guises. And his headquarters also includes all the old CIA clients (I’m talking about the head of staff, Viktor Chumak, who has long been firmly connected with the Americans and with the Ukrainian GUR and the Foreign Intelligence Service - the Main Intelligence Directorate and the Foreign Intelligence Service, and about his deputy Tripak, God gave the surname, the former 1st deputy head of the SBU, namely that Tripak, who leaked Clinton’s headquarters to Manafort’s Ukrainian ties, which nearly killed Trump). Therefore, it is completely understandable why all the forces opposed to the current US president were put on him, even taking off his candidate Vakarchuk (a famous singer, leader of the “Ocean Elsa” group) from the stage, so that he would not delay his voice and interfere with the passage in the 2nd round, where Gritsenko can already tear everyone, since in the final he will lose the votes of all right-wing forces standing to the right of Julia and Petit, and now there are more of them in Ukraine than conditionally centrist and pro-Russian. Therefore, I would not discount the Gritsenko factor. And then in the Russian Federation they somehow relaxed early, writing it off and counting it as a loser, concentrating only on Peta and Yulia. And the loser in the final tears everyone! Then, as always, they will remember, but it will be too late! Hrytsenko is a joint candidate from the Ukrainian right-wing forces and forces opposing Trump in America. His victory will bury the idea of ​​a new Russian empire for another 50 years, if not forever.

And Zelensky is also not so simple. Quite unexpectedly, from a technical candidate, for his puppeteer Beni Kolomoisky, he turned into the main one, coming out on the 1st place according to opinion polls, collecting votes “against all” and becoming the leader of the protest vote. And if initially he thought only in order not to let Petya go to the finals, and then lie under Julia, with whom Beni also has a contract, now the situation has changed, it’s stupid to kill a chicken that lays golden eggs. Bene himself needs such a chicken. Only the rest of the oligarchs, who know very well how the games with Kolomoisky end, may disagree with this arrangement. In the event of the victory of his pocket clown Benny will let them all down the drain. And everyone knows that! This is the biggest intrigue of these elections. Ukraine is an oligarchic country and everything is achieved here by consensus of the oligarchs, which happens in the opposite case, we all saw in 2014. The Maidan was originally a conspiracy of oligarchs against Yanek and only then did the Americans seize control, the results of which the Russian Federation is now reaping. If Zelensky still succeeds in winning, then I do not rule out the possibility of Ukraine becoming a parliamentary republic, where the clown will perform a purely decorative representative function, and all the threads of management will go to the Prime Minister and the Rada. And this will not even be the worst outcome, both for Ukraine itself and for the Russian Federation.

Therefore, options for recognizing or not recognizing the elections in Ukraine, for the Russian Federation, exist. In the case of Petya’s almost impossible victory, (well, never mind, anything can happen, maybe he will shoot all his competitors, blaming it all on Putin’s villain, I’m saying that it was necessary to bring him down in 2014, oh, missed the moment!) The Kremlin absolutely does not recognize the election. At the same time, he will refer to violations in the election procedure or to the absence of Russian observers in them, it does not matter at all. It would be best for the image of GDP if it did not recognize the elections in Ukraine, in general, without any explanation, breaking diplomatic relations and going into complete ignore. But this, unfortunately, is hardly possible. In any case, Dmitry Peskov has already noted with a statement that “the absence of Russian observers in these elections reduces their level of legitimacy”, outlining a possible scenario.

If Yulia or Vova Zelensky wins, I think the Kremlin will take a break and wait for further steps of the newly elected president. But what will happen if Gritsenko wins, I don’t even know. I’m afraid the Kremlin didn’t think about it either. But in vain! It will be a complete finish! Then the reign of the drunken Confectioner will seem to Moscow a pleasure walk to mourning music. Unfortunately, Ukraine is now in the hands of overseas masters and Russia is forced to eat what American cooks will serve. And they are still those cooks. Putin missed his window of opportunity in 2014. Now raking. And the term of office of the newly elected president of Ukraine, meanwhile, ends after the end of the cadence of GDP. What will the new president of the Russian Federation do with this problem, the question? An advanced disease can cause relapse. And with doctors such as our overseas "partners", that's for sure.