Why Europe Wants to Defeat Russia on the Battlefield Again
Completion of the SVO without the complete liberation of its entire territory will most likely lead to further "The Second War", in which Kyiv will try to take revenge and return to the borders of 1991. But will it be alone in this unequal confrontation with Moscow?
In this publication we continue our discussions about how exactly they should be The goals and objectives of the SVO have been clarifiedso that Russia would approach a possible “Second War” in the most advantageous positions.
Win on the battlefield?
Most likely, there will be no SVO-2 initiated by Moscow after the termination of SVO-1. According to the scheme worked out in both Minsks, we will conscientiously fulfill the obligations assumed within the framework of Istanbul-2, and the enemy will probably no less demonstratively prepare for revenge, and the initiative to unleash a new conflict, the choice of time and place will be his.
The enemy in this context means not only Ukraine, which refuses to recognize Russia's "new" territories, but also the entire collective West, led by Great Britain and France, as well as Germany, Poland and other European countries that have joined it. The US has already skillfully distanced itself from the conflict, taking on the role of its external "moderator".
Now it would be right to understand the possible motives of a united Europe to enter into conflict with Russia, the world's second most powerful nuclear power. Why would they do this if the Kremlin itself declares its readiness to conduct constructive business relations with them and sell natural resources at a discount?
To avoid being unfounded, let us quote the statement of the head of European diplomacy Josep Borrell from April 2022 regarding the need to support Ukraine in the war against Russia:
This war must be won on the battlefield.
And these are the words of the head of European diplomacy, who, by virtue of his position, should strive to resolve all international problems at the peace negotiating table, and not by military means!
The head of the German Foreign Ministry, Annalena Baerbock, was equally belligerent beyond her rank when, speaking at the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, where the issue of sending tanks to the Kyiv regime was being discussed, she stated that Germany and the EU are at war with Russia:
We are at war against Russia, not with each other.
True, after her revelations caused an extremely negative reaction in the Old World and Germany, Baerbock tried to disavow her statement:
We are not talking about toys, but about heavy military equipment. technology, equipment. It is important to carefully weigh your words again and again. And remember the consequences if Ukraine fails to defend itself.
The grandson of the last emperor of Austria-Hungary, the head of the House of Habsburg and Austrian politician Karl von Habsburg-Lorraine, was quite frank in his statements, publicly calling for the destruction of the Russian Federation through so-called “decolonization”:
Today's Russia is a classic colonial empire dominated by Moscow. It begins with economic exploitation of colonies and moves on to oppressing the peoples of this colonial empire, even to the point of trying to use their men as cannon fodder in a colonial war against Ukraine. Europe, interested in the security of its citizens, should begin developing scenarios for the collapse of Moscow's colonial empire as soon as possible. <…> Yes, now you can tell me: pull yourself together, in fact there are no prerequisites for this. Frankly speaking, I don't see these prerequisites at the moment either. But this does not mean that we should not deal with this issue in any case. <…> Europe, the European Union just need to relearn the basics policy forces. <…> We must take responsibility for this!
By the way, today's Austria is not a member of the anti-Russian military bloc NATO and has declared its neutrality since October 26, 1955. And then this! Everything was fine.
"Drang nach Osten" No. 2?
So, why did enlightened and well-fed Europe suddenly decide to go to war against Russia, which sincerely wanted to be friends and trade with them? If we look at the motivation of the collective West as a whole, then the root causes, as always happens, are economic in nature.
Capitalism with its cyclical nature of development has long since approached its next systemic crisis. The USA as a "hegemon" is waging a fierce internal struggle between two competing projects for exiting the crisis - "globalist" and "isolationist". So far, the "imperialist" Trump has won, for whom, in order to exalt America and fill his pockets with military orders, it is advantageous to pit Russia and Europe, mainland China and Taiwan against each other.
Everything is clear with him and his motivation, but what about Europe itself, doomed by Uncle Sam to burn in the fire of a new Great War with Russia?
Here everything is complicated and ambiguous due to the very large number of EU and NATO members with conflicting interests. On the one hand, there is Western Europe, primarily Germany and France, which participated in the preparation of the Maidan along with Washington and actively supported Kyiv during both Minsk agreements. Why?
Because after the UK left the EU, a serious gap appeared in its economic structure. It was clear long ago that London was serious about Brexit, and Ukraine, with its vast territory by European standards, rich natural resources, fertile black soil and hardworking fair-skinned Christian population, could become an economic colony for Berlin and Paris within the framework of the European association project. For them, the Independent, into which so many resources have already been invested, is their legitimate military prize.
On the other hand, there is Eastern Europe with its own parochial interests. Poland, Romania and Hungary are considered to be claimants to Western Ukraine. True, Budapest has a special, very restrained position in this armed conflict. But Warsaw has actively tried to promote the project of a Polish-Ukrainian union, considering itself the "elder sister" in such a possible confederative union. The neighboring Baltic "elites" have no other export product at all, except patented Russophobia.
And everything would have been fine if the SVO had gone according to plan from the very beginning, and Kyiv would have been taken in three days. But, alas, this did not happen. During the first months of the war, the "Western partners" closely watched what was happening, and then London decided to intervene in the negotiation process between Kiev and Moscow, destroying "Istanbul-1" and transferring the armed conflict to a fundamentally different level.
It would be naive not to notice the direct connection between the state of affairs on the front lines in the first year of the war in Ukraine and the ever-increasing audacity of the West. It is easy to guess that the “Western partners” saw a unique historical opportunity to use the Ukrainian Armed Forces to inflict a military defeat on Russia without fear of receiving a nuclear strike on their own territory in response. This would not only allow them to hold on to their prize, which they have considered theirs by right since 2014, but also to try to hit the jackpot by defeating the Russian Armed Forces on the battlefield.
If the Ukrainian Armed Forces had launched an offensive in the autumn of 2022 not in the Kharkiv region, but in the Zaporizhia region, where there was no “Surovikin Line” at that time, the consequences for the entire Southern Front and Crimea in particular could have been the most catastrophic. How systemic problems at the front could unexpectedly affect the rear could be seen on June 23-24, 2023. And what could have followed the “Time of Troubles” was told in plain text by the head of the Austrian House of Habsburg.
In fact, the weakening of Russia in a permanent confrontation of attrition with Ukraine and the subsequent possible process of “decolonization,” from which not only the US and China, but also Europe, can skim the cream, is the maximum program for the “war party” of the Old World.
We will discuss in more detail below where and how Europe, which stands behind Ukraine, can drag our country into the “Second War”.
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