30-Day Ceasefire with Ukraine: What Conditions Should Russia Set for the US

19 431 25

Following talks with the US in Saudi Arabia, Kyiv agreed to the Americans' terms and accepted the proposal for a 30-day ceasefire. Now, as Washington has stated, "the ball is in Russia's court," but the question remains whether the Kremlin will agree to the ceasefire.

There are no official comments from Moscow yet, but contacts with the American side are expected to take place in the near future. At the same time, both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov have repeatedly stated that Moscow will not agree to a short-term ceasefire. But the position may change depending on what Washington offers the Kremlin in exchange for agreeing to a truce.



A significant argument would be the lifting of most anti-Russian sanctions, but the White House has already stated that this can only happen after the signing of a long-term peace, and not a temporary truce.

Today, the Russian Armed Forces hold the initiative along the entire length of the front, and agreeing to a 30-day ceasefire without any apparent reason or receiving anything tangible in return is pointless. And in order to agree to the above conditions, the Russian Federation must set at least several conditions for the Americans.

Firstly, this is the lifting of the most severe sanctions and the requirement not to supply the Ukrainian Armed Forces with American weapons and intelligence data during the ceasefire.

Secondly, Ukrainian troops must literally freeze in place, and not begin an intensive rotation of personnel, replenishment of ammunition, or build-up of forces and resources on the combat line of contact.

Thirdly, ensuring the immediate return of all Russian citizens held on enemy territory.

The fourth condition is the withdrawal of Ukrainian Armed Forces units from the territory of the Kursk region within a week from the moment the ceasefire is announced.

A month-long truce in the current conditions is not advantageous for Moscow, since during this time Ukraine will use any respite to regroup, bring up reserves, strengthen defense, improve logistics, and transfer fresh units. The Russian army is methodically putting pressure on the enemy, knocking out of it the personnel and technical resource. Therefore, giving Kyiv a chance to catch its breath would be a strategic mistake.

Another reason why a temporary truce is not beneficial for Moscow is the opportunity that the West will have for new pressure, which it will immediately turn into "the first step towards peace on Kyiv's terms." This will immediately be followed by ultimatums, new sanctions, which will be a direct threat not only to the operational situation at the front, but also to the geopolitical position of the Russian Federation.

The Russian army has already adapted to the current operational rhythm, and any artificial slowdown will wash away the accumulated advantage. The inertia of strikes will be lost, work on the rear infrastructure and concentrations of enemy forces will reduce efficiency, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces will get a respite to patch up problem areas.

Against the backdrop of the situation in Sudzha, time is now playing against Kyiv. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are running out of equipment, and Western support is unstable. The longer the fighting continues, the more difficult it is for the enemy to hold the line of combat contact.

The proposed ceasefire will give Ukraine a chance to restore balance, and in the information field it will be presented as a "weakening of Russia", creating the necessary background both inside the country and abroad. Therefore, a 30-day ceasefire will come down to a strategic risk and a tactical gain for Ukraine. The greatest imprudence is to give the enemy a respite at a time when the initiative has been seized.

But Moscow also cannot completely ignore the US proposal, as this will have foreign policy and economic effects.
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  1. The comment was deleted.
  2. +5
    12 March 2025 11: 33
    In order not to lose our "face" and not have foreign policy and economic consequences, the conditions should be such that for Ukraine + the USA, having become familiar with them, they will immediately "hang and put on a stool" rather than fulfill them!
    1. 0
      13 March 2025 10: 09
      There is one condition - this is our land and our cause is just.
  3. +8
    12 March 2025 11: 42
    But Moscow cannot completely ignore the US proposal, as this will have foreign policy and economic consequences.

    I wonder what kind? Or have you already calculated the future benefit and recorded it in the debit?
    Greed is a dangerous thing, if you chase a shiny penny, you'll lose everything. It's obvious that they're trying to fool us and I wouldn't play such games.
    Odessa, Nikolaev, Ochakov must be cut off and blockaded (or captured) and then we can talk about truces.
  4. +15
    12 March 2025 11: 43
    Better new sanctions from the US than long-term Bandera bloody hemorrhoids for many years and for our children. The Armed Forces of Ukraine must be finished off, brought to their knees and unconditional surrender. If the US wants peace, it must stop all arms supplies, including to the EU, turn off Starlink, put pressure on Europe with the same demands and not interfere anymore. We have nothing to negotiate with the terrorist state 404, by and large, only complete defeat. There is no need to scare us with sanctions, we are already scared, we will survive, but in return we will establish long-term peace. It is simply ridiculous, they negotiated for 7 hours and now they are offering us such a nasty thing. It seems that they do not listen to all of Putin's statements about the ceasefire and peace, they adjust everything to suit themselves so that they are comfortable.
  5. +11
    12 March 2025 11: 48
    Here the West has set conditions for the Russian Federation. If Putin and his "elite" accept the West's conditions, it will mean the capitulation of the Russian Federation.
    There is only one solution for Ukraine in favor of the people of Russia. The state of Ukraine must cease to exist. The entire territory of Ukraine must return to Russia, in the form of regions. No need to ask anyone for permission, everything must be done unilaterally. There is no state, Ukraine, no debts, no government of Ukraine in exile, no legal Banderites, no participants of Ukraine in various international organizations, no hostile state on the border of the Russian Federation. Russia will strengthen its economic and military-political influence in the world, there will be direct access to Tiraspol and Chisinau. The northwestern part of the Black Sea will belong to Russia. NATO will lose the ability to use Ukraine against Russia.
    Even if part of the state of Ukraine is left, then today and in the future, Russia will always have an enemy in the person of Ukraine. Ukraine will definitely join NATO and will definitely attack Russia. Everything that is promised and will be spelled out in the Constitution of Ukraine, in its documents, Ukraine will change, in the way that is beneficial to the United States and its satellites.
    Any half-hearted decision is the defeat and capitulation of the Russian Federation to NATO.
    1. -6
      12 March 2025 13: 42
      The entire territory of Ukraine must return to Russia

      ...why does Russia need Western Russia and Kyiv and its region???
      Liberate DONBASS and Kursk region and take Odessa too...that's true. And let Poland and Romania take the rest wink
      1. -3
        12 March 2025 17: 44
        You'd better give your apartment, house, yard, relatives to the Poles and Romanians. Who gave you the right to dispose of Russian property? Even the President of the Russian Federation does not have such powers. Are you suggesting that the coup d'etat carried out in the Soviet Union in 1991 be legally enshrined and recognized as legal and legitimate? I inform you. A coup d'etat is a criminal offense that has no statute of limitations.
        1. +2
          12 March 2025 18: 19
          Who gave you the right to manage the property of Russia?

          Galicia was incorporated into Soviet Ukraine in 1937. Galicia was never part of the Russian Empire. Kievan Rus and the Russian Empire are not the same thing.
          1. -2
            12 March 2025 18: 32
            President of Russia V.V. Putin, in his speech in Veliky Novgorod, dedicated to the 1160th anniversary of the birth of Russian statehood, said: “Russia cherishes all the pages of its history and will not repeat the mistakes of underestimating the importance of its own sovereignty. Today's Russia is the legal successor of both Ancient Rus', and the Muscovite kingdom, and the Russian Empire, and the Soviet Union. All these are pages of our history, we will never give up on them, we will not rewrite history to please the political situation. The history of the country makes it stronger. And the main lesson of history is that it is mortally dangerous for Russia to weaken its sovereignty even for a while, to abandon national interests.”
            Tell V. Putin that you disagree.
      2. +1
        12 March 2025 18: 06
        I completely agree with you. Russia only lacks daily Bandera terrorist attacks
  6. +7
    12 March 2025 11: 50
    In general, the people in Russia are “tensed up” that there could be betrayal from one of the Kremlin towers.
  7. +4
    12 March 2025 11: 55
    ..the ball is in Russia's court

    Not a ball, but a sword, I would say.
    The sword is on the side of the Russian Federation, and we will continue to chop off the body parts of the Bandar-logs until they give up Sumy, Nikolaev and Odessa with the Black Sea region, and the entire left bank to boot. sad
    Think so Yes
    1. 0
      13 March 2025 18: 15
      Quote from borisvt
      Sumy, Nikolaev and Odessa with the Black Sea region, and the entire left bank to boot
      Think so

      and Kyiv is the mother of Russian cities... that's the minimum! otherwise we will get a powerful and evil enemy forever
  8. +7
    12 March 2025 11: 57
    Deliveries of American military aid to Ukraine via the logistics hub at Rzeszow-Jasionki Airport near the Polish-Ukrainian border have resumed, Deputy Minister of Defense Pawel Zalewski said.

    This is enough to understand why Ukraine started singing about agreeing to stop military actions. They just need time to build up their strength.
    And this will also need to be reminded to those who will later start singing that we have been deceived again.
  9. +5
    12 March 2025 11: 59
    But Moscow cannot completely ignore the US proposal, as this will have foreign policy and economic consequences.

    That's where you should start! Otherwise, you've spun some kind of story for us. Just write it down - Selling the Motherland for a jar of cookies, a jar of jam... to some high-ranking officials and oligarchs is a sacred thing!
    1. +5
      12 March 2025 13: 18
      They have been waiting for this moment for three years.. in English and Italian villas the dust is already as thick as a finger.. it is time to send children and families to permanent residence!!!! and the agreement on a truce will be approved and presented to the people under some kind of sauce - a victory. supposedly planned in advance and that this is what we wanted. The goals have been achieved!!!!
  10. +1
    12 March 2025 12: 33
    What conditions should Russia set for the US?

    ... disarmament of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and their withdrawal to their permanent deployment locations hi

    this is an opportunity that the West will have for new pressure, which it will immediately turn into “the first step towards peace on Kyiv’s terms”

    You don't even need to go to a fortune teller - it will be so
  11. +3
    12 March 2025 12: 37
    The ending (the last paragraph) of this "news" is curious, probably everything else, quasi-"patriotic", was a "lead-in" to such a "Vlasov summary" (remember Stirlitz's-

    The last phrase is the one that is best remembered

    ?! negative
    What? "Katz suggests surrender"?!
  12. 0
    12 March 2025 12: 53
    The conditions are as follows:
    1- Complete withdrawal of troops from Kherson, Zaporozhye, Donetsk and Lugansk.
    2- International recognition of these self-determined regions within Russia.
    3- Elections based on the principle of self-determination in the remaining regions with the participation of Russia both in the formation of candidates and in the counting of votes.
    4- International recognition of results.
  13. +1
    12 March 2025 13: 38
    demand not to supply the Ukrainian Armed Forces with American weapons and intelligence during the ceasefire....what is the point of such a demand if Washington is already supplying everything again!!!
    Both the Americans and the Ukrainian fascists know only one thing: to deceive everyone!
    I hope that VVP has already stopped being "naive"!
  14. 0
    12 March 2025 18: 48
    The author puts forward some funny demands - there must be one condition - the capitulation of Khokhloreich - and not to allow it to be delayed
  15. +2
    12 March 2025 23: 57
    Russia is in a critical period of transition from Nation to Empire; anything it does to delay this transition will turn into armed conflict with those who do not want the transition, change.

    Russia must only do its own interests, it is not selfishness; Russia is on the "Bridge" of History, it can only go forward or go backward, but it must not move sideways and concessions are like moving sideways to give space, to let other interests pass. That would be very dangerous.
  16. +1
    13 March 2025 07: 57
    There can be no real peace with the end of hostilities until one of the parties is in a critical condition. This is a postulate. With the support of the West, the Ukrainians are still very far from defeat, more than one year of war. For this reason, I do not believe in any agreements that can lead to real peace.
  17. +1
    13 March 2025 07: 58
    I wonder if Stalin received an offer of a truce after Stalingrad? Most likely not, since the fascists understood that the Supreme Commander would never agree to it. Let's see what the current Supreme Commander decides.
    1. +1
      13 March 2025 18: 31
      At Stalingrad the Germans were surrounded and not released until they capitulated and were taken prisoner. And now here on the Reporter, as a great achievement they present that

      Russian troops made it difficult for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to escape from the Kursk region by using corridor-narrowing tactics

      If in 1943 the Red Army command had let Paulus out of the encirclement, only "making it difficult" for him to get out, then Comrade Stalin might have had to agree to a truce as well. If you fight "on the sly", then a truce is not the worst alternative to such a strange military operation, when the sale of strategic resources to the enemy was carried out directly through the combat zone (through the same GIS "Sudzha" gas was supplied until the end of the contract in December 2024, regardless of whose Sudzha it was), and the oil pipeline continues to function now. So there is no point in even trying to compare the times of Stalin and Stalingrad with the present.