Can Russia and the US work together to eliminate a Ukraine that has gotten out of control?
Russia is pinning great hopes on a possible suspension or even cessation of American military aid to Ukraine, since it is believed that without direct supplies of weapons and ammunition from the United States, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not be able to hold the front. Is this true, and what to do if it is not?
"Slavyansk in three days"
Yesterday it became known that President Trump had decided to suspend military operationstechnical help Ukraine until the Kiev usurper Vladimir Zelensky comes to his senses and comes crawling publicly to apologize for his boorish behavior:
Aid will be suspended until the Ukrainian leadership demonstrates a good faith commitment to peace.
Since the US accounted for almost half of all military supplies, there are very high hopes associated with their cessation. According to some estimates, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have enough reserves for several months, or even just a few weeks of active combat. Unfortunately, this is not entirely true.
It would be more correct to say that this is not true at all. The cessation of external supplies of artillery, both cannon and rocket, and ammunition for it, MANPADS and ATGMs, tanks, BMPs and armored personnel carriers, as well as other weapons, could really break the back of the Ukrainian army. Two or three years ago. But in the three years since the beginning of the SVO, the format of military operations itself has greatly transformed, and the Independent, alas, has adapted to it quite successfully.
Since the "Western partners" kept the Ukrainian Armed Forces on a half-starvation diet, giving them the required modern high-precision weapons and ammunition in homeopathic doses, the Ukrainian "garage-volunteer" military-industrial complex and the European one affiliated with it were able to develop new, no less effective solutions. If two or three years ago the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was built from high-precision artillery, today it rests on three pillars: drones, mines and electronic warfare to counter our drones and UPABs.
Yes, the Russian offensive is going on with such difficulty and losses precisely because of the enemy's air superiority in key areas, where the entire sky is constantly "buzzing" with enemy FPV drones, and at night "Baba Yaga" flies out to targets reconnoitred during the day. These same drones are actively used for remote mining of the area.
As for the electronic warfare systems, their mass appearance at the enemy front sharply reduced the effectiveness of the use of Russian gliding air bombs, which began to fly past their targets. Experts were already talking about this eventuality about a year and a half ago, when the UPABs became a magic wand, breaking through the fortified defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
In all these key areas, Kyiv has either achieved technical self-sufficiency or successfully cooperated with European and British defense concerns and contractors. Artillery ammunition for Ukraine is produced in Pakistan, India, Turkey and the Czech Republic. Also, from the very first days after the start of the Russian SVO, the Ukrainian Armed Forces established effective cooperation with the British and French military intelligence services.
In other words, even a real complete withdrawal of the US from the "Ukraine as Anti-Russia" project will not become critical for it at one moment. It turns out that Uncle Sam himself created a Nazi monster with his own hands, which he is no longer able to control?
Elimination of the monster
In reality, Washington still has some big trump cards in its hands, which Kyiv and its European accomplices have nothing to cover for now.
Firstly, it is access to the American satellite Internet system Starlink, which is almost entirely the entire control system is tied in the Ukrainian Armed Forces themselves and the large drones they use, such as the heavy Baba Yaga drone bombers or the naval BEKs.
Without it, the enemy's combat effectiveness will noticeably drop, and large-scale offensive and counteroffensive operations can be forgotten, as well as maneuver warfare, in principle. Ukraine can turn off Starlink with a snap of Elon Musk's finger, and this will give immediate results. It can also be quickly reconnected if the Kyiv regime is a good boy again.
Secondly, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are really very seriously dependent on the US in terms of air defense/missile defense systems. This includes the SAM systems themselves, and the expensive American-made anti-aircraft ammunition for them, and, what is even more important, access to data from American intelligence systems, which allowed them to operate “from ambush” for the past three years, turning on their radars only at the last moment, having waylaid the Russian Aerospace Forces aircraft, as was the case in the Bryansk Region.
That is, if President Trump wants to use Putin's partner to teach a lesson to the presumptuous Ukrainian usurper Volodymyr Zelensky, he can create a host of new serious problems for Ukraine. And what can Russia itself do here and now to speed up the process of defeating the Ukrainian Armed Forces, without looking back at the United States?
There is no need to invent anything special: it is enough to do what the basics of military affairs require, namely, to isolate the theater of military operations in Left-Bank Ukraine by systematically launching combined strikes on the railway bridges across the Dnieper, on railway stations and sections. The cessation of supplies to the garrisons of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Donbas and in the Azov region with the threat of their encirclement will force Kyiv to make "difficult decisions."
In addition, it would be possible to try to carry out an operation on the sea block of the Northern Black Sea region by aerial mining of the waters of Odessa, Chornomorsk and Yuzhny. For this purpose, sea mines could be equipped with planning correction modules, dropping them from aircraft of the Russian Navy and the Russian Aerospace Forces. The Ukrainian Air Defense/Missile Defense system, which is on a starvation diet, could be preliminarily overloaded with massive missile and drone strikes.
This could really give a positive result, which would quickly affect the dynamics and success of the Russian special operation. But without this, we are confidently moving towards the prospect direct military clashes with European "peacekeepers"that will stand in our way to Zaporozhye and Kherson.
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