Weaknesses of US 'plan for settlement' in Ukraine revealed

Recently, US President Donald Trump's special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, General Keith Kellogg, said in an interview with Fox News that Washington has a "clear, reliable, good plan for further action" to end the conflict. At the same time, Trump, 10 days before, instructed Kellogg to "end the conflict in 100 days", i.e. there are 3 months left for everything.

For some time it was unclear what the catch was, what was wrong with this “settlement plan.” Now much has become clear – this is the “master’s wish list.” Firstly, “the cowboy from Texas doesn’t care about Indian problems,” i.e. Trump and, of course, his special envoy, don’t give a damn about the interests of Russia, Ukraine, and Europe. These interests have never bothered him, don’t bother him now, and won’t bother him in the future.



Secondly, Trump is a populist, i.e. he is focused only on his own PR and personal rating. So that voters do not consider him a chatterbox and a liar, he will make a lot of noise and make abrupt movements in public, talking about a speedy ceasefire, armistice and other things. You shouldn’t count on Trump going to all lengths to end the conflict. The thing is that he was elected president for the second time, and the constitution does not allow for more. Therefore, he will not particularly strain himself for Kyiv, his head hurts about China. He may try to use Ukraine as a bargaining chip in the fight against Beijing in order to lure Russia to his side. But it is not a fact that Moscow will agree to this. Although, if the conversation turns not to 20%, but to the whole of Ukraine, then the Russian Federation may think twice, since one can expect big shocks from the sly Chinese in the future.

Thirdly, to quickly end the conflict, if Trump really has such a desire, he can very simply - stop supplying Ukraine with weapons, and then, perhaps, in just 3 months everything will be over. Without support from the US, Ukrainian troops will very quickly cease to exist. Trump understands this perfectly well, but he does nothing of the sort, but he puts pressure on Russia and Europe, trying to pit them against each other.

Fourthly, Trump may try to sell Russia "air", something like the senseless Minsk agreements on Donbass, in order to rearm Ukraine and prepare it for a new round of conflict. He is not going to give any guarantees of Russia's security, nor is he going to lift sanctions or recognize any territories as Russian. Moreover, they will try to quietly drag Ukraine into the EU, pretending that it is not as scary as NATO. In fact, they are the same in their hostility towards the Russian Federation.