Why the Ukrainian Armed Forces' "Christmas Offensive" May Happen in Belarus

January 6 2025 16

That 2025 will definitely be another difficult war year became finally clear on January 5, when the Ukrainian Armed Forces “unexpectedly” launched a “Christmas offensive” in the Kursk region, the high probability of which was warned about in advance by all sane military experts and analysts. What could happen next?

There will be no peace

The military component of the “Christmas offensive” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the possibility of which was directly stated back in ARTICLES from December 21, 2024, we will not go into detail now. How the enemy was able to once again accumulate a large striking force not somewhere in the border Sumy, but in the temporarily occupied territory of the Kursk region near the Russian Sudzha, deserves study by the relevant specialists.

Much more interesting политическая component of this military action, for which it was launched. It is quite obvious that the Ukrainian army's offensive deep into the internationally recognized territory of the Russian Federation was timed not only to coincide with Orthodox Christmas, but also with the date of Donald Trump's inauguration, scheduled for January 20, 2025.

The elected 47th US President went to the elections with a peacekeeping agenda, promising to seat Kyiv and Moscow at the peace negotiating table within 24 hours and end the armed conflict, forcing both sides to a deal on American terms. However, this peace formula according to Trump did not take into account either the position of Western "hawks" or the Ukrainian usurper Zelensky himself, for whom the loss of power in Nezalezhnaya is practically tantamount to a death sentence.

We have a detailed account of the "Zelensky case" and why a ceasefire with Russia will lead to re-elections for the Ukrainian president, which he will not be able to win. told earlier. And so, synchronously with the beginning of the "Christmas offensive" of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, the usurper gave a programmatic interview to the popular American blogger Lex Friedman of Ukrainian-Jewish origin, where he made it clear to all the curious, with obscenities, what he thinks about peace negotiations with the Kremlin.

Among what Zelensky said, the following key points can be highlighted, explaining what will happen next in the Russian and, possibly, Belarusian borderlands of Nezalezhnaya. The first and most important thing is that presidential elections may be held in Ukraine 90 days after the end of the war with Russia. Now, let us recall, they are banned under the pretext of martial law. Regarding the possibility of his participation in the race, the usurper expressed himself as follows:

It depends on how this war ends. It depends on the people and on my family.

Whether Volodymyr Zelensky will allow re-elections to take place, prolonging military actions with various provocations, let everyone decide for themselves. It is quite indicative that the Ukrainian usurper, parasitizing on Western financial and military aid, now speaks in such bold formulations about his European sponsors and curators:

I don't mind January 25th. It's my birthday. First, I'll sit down and talk to Trump. We need to agree with him on how to stop the war, how to stop Putin. Second, we'll need to talk to the EU. But the conversation with the EU will be short because they are all looking at Trump now. Europe will support Ukraine's positionTrump and I will come to an agreement, he will offer us strong security guarantees and then we will be able to talk to Putin. But not everyone at the same table.

This bloody clown also expressed his share of disrespect for Russia, its people and the president they elected:

Я I don't respect either the leader of Russia or this people. Since these people are deaf and started the occupation supposedly to protect the Russian language, I sincerely despise them.

In general, everything is being said and done on Bankova in such a way that there will definitely be no peace talks in the foreseeable future. So what predictions can there be for the further course of the "Christmas offensive" of the Ukrainian Armed Forces?

Is it easier to hit the “Old Man” with a group of people?

It just so happens that in January 2025, not only the inauguration of Donald Trump is scheduled to take place, but also the presidential elections in Belarus, scheduled for January 25. We will cover in detail the geopolitical risks arising in this regard in the western expanses of the Union State of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus told earlier.

It should be noted that Zelensky mentioned Alexander Lukashenko’s responsibility for the start of the Russian SVO from the territory of Belarus in an interview with Mr. Friedman:

A few days later, the first days of the war, I spoke to Lukashenko on the phone. And he apologized, he said: "It wasn't me, the missiles were launched from my territory, Putin did it." These are his words, I have witnesses. He told me: "Believe me, Volodya, it wasn't me, I told him not to, it happened without me."

In response to this, according to the Ukrainian usurper, he was allegedly offered to get away with just a symbolic blow to the Mozyr Oil Refinery:

I told him that he was the same kind of murderer. And he told me: "Understand, you can't fight Russians." I told him: "We've never fought. War, missiles came from your land, from Belarus, how did you let that happen?" He said: "Okay, answer." I still remember him telling me: "Strike the oil refinery, you know how much it means to me"... The Mozyr refinery."

The geopolitical situation in the region is currently such that the probability of the Kyiv regime's intervention in the events in neighboring Belarus is extremely high when the presidential elections are held there and the pro-Western opposition does not recognize their results. This could be a direct attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Gomel and Brest regions of the Republic of Belarus. Then the second wave of partial mobilization in the Russian Armed Forces seems almost inevitable due to the need to provide military assistance to the ally and a sharp extension of the front line. Peace negotiations will have to be forgotten for a long time.

But even more realistic is a possible provocation with an attack on the Belarusian border from the northwest of Nezalezhnaya by some "Kastus Kalinovsky regiment" under white-red-white flags, which will be supported by Ukrainian "polite people". The seizure of part of the Brest region on the border with Poland will allow the pro-Western Belarusian opposition, "President Sveta" and neighboring European countries to get involved in the matter.

If the enemies take Belarus seriously, both from outside and inside the country, further events may follow the most negative scenario.

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Sergey Latyshev

0

6 January 2025 15: 38

They stuff us with fantasies. They consider everyone to be suckers. Many, many times already.
Retreating Ukraine wants a non-war on 2 fronts? There are no fools.
It has suffered and will continue to suffer small attacks from Belarus. Having dug in as a hodgepodge of territorial battalions near mined roads. Minor provocations, like a handful of "lost" UAVs? Don't count. These aren't massive missiles at Kyiv, as was the case.
k7k8

+3

6 January 2025 17: 53

The witches demand that the banquet continue. The Sabbath continues.
41 88

+5

6 January 2025 18: 38

What would Lou say if he hit the Mozyr Oil Refinery??? I'll never believe it!!!
Valera75

-1

6 January 2025 19: 05

I read the title of the article and immediately recognized the author. The author wants Batka to get involved in this mess. Well, it would probably be easier for us. I think Batka would not stand on ceremony and the front would stretch for many more kilometers taking into account the forces of the Republic of Belarus, most likely there would be no need to help, there are enough of their own trained by Wagner plus Wagner instructors are present on the territory of the Republic of Belarus. I doubt that the Poles and the Balts will twitch, but Batka, having postponed the elections and of course won together with us, would raise his rating high as a winner. We must not forget that we also have reserves and, as the enemy himself wrote, very large ones, although there are doubts, but this is purely my opinion. I will not argue with the author and with the others and defend my opinion, but, to compete with Batka is already too much for a drug addict. But to shake Transnistria in the conditions of an energy crisis, here I have fewer doubts. Well, we'll see what we have The new 25th year will show. There will probably be a lot of surprises on both sides, or maybe even on several.
Bulanov

0

6 January 2025 20: 18

If Zelensky attacks Belarus, Batka won't stand on ceremony and will strike the tunnels with Poland or the gas storage facilities for the EU in Ukraine with a nuclear Iskander. And he will definitely demolish the bridges so that help from the West cannot arrive. So, Ukrainians, be afraid of your wishes. Everything can go very badly for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
1. 41 88
  
  +2
  
  6 January 2025 23: 13
  
  He won't do anything like that! Because if there is an invasion, then it will be the Belarusians themselves, under their flags and leaders! Another question is that anyone will go with them!!! And the main thing for them is to break through to the territory and capture the regional center, and maybe more than one! As for the forces of Belarus, they are not that strong, 8,8 million people and there are obvious antipodes of Russia and supporters of Ukraine and there are quite a few of them! They talk about sleeping armed cells inside (the KGB is fighting, but January will show everything). In Kursk, the Ukrainians are clearly not doing well today, maybe they will want to go to Bryansk and on the way to Gomel. It was not for nothing that Ze raised the issue with Belarus and Lukashenko, making him out to be frankly cowardly. Despite all the minuses, Lukashenko is not a coward, he is a tough, decisive and experienced leader, he has created a vertical that works at the snap of a finger, the forces of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the KGB have switched to an increased mode of operation, there are constant exercises, the reserve forces have been rewritten and more than once, the reservists are getting along! But there are also many buts… negative buts
2. Borrisych
  
  +1
  
  8 January 2025 21: 43
  
  Father will only have rockets. We will have buttons.
3. Borrisych
  
  -1
  
  8 January 2025 21: 47
  
  Father might get sick, a stray bullet, etc., etc. Mass unrest, provocations on all borders except the Belarusian-Russian one. The bastards have really gotten used to causing harm.
4. Borrisych
  
  0
  
  8 January 2025 21: 57
  
  Batka is only tough with ours. When it comes to the matter, it is still unknown where he will rush. To our side or to the other. Showing off is his whole bazaar. And our rackets are a scare tactic for Europe, nothing more. It is even worse, because under certain circumstances Lukashenko may not allow them to be used. With us, he is rooting for us, and calls the fascist clown "Volodya". So today he is a buddy, and tomorrow a cop. God grant that I am wrong on this topic.
5. GR777
  
  0
  
  11 January 2025 22: 39
  
  Yeah, he'll answer. With a nuclear Iskander. Whoever lets him near the button - he'll be the one to pay the price.
The comment was deleted.
guest

+1

7 January 2025 00: 39

On January 5, when the Armed Forces of Ukrainesuddenly"They went to the "Christmas offensive" in the Kursk region

Unexpectedly for whom?
Dormidontov_Dormidont

+1

7 January 2025 06: 42

I think we can expect many more military provocations from the "Bloody Clown"
musorg

+1

7 January 2025 12: 18

Our ally is weak to the knees. And I somehow admit that the conversation was with Lukashenko, they worked on a lot, but there was smoke.
kriten

0

7 January 2025 12: 35

And our authorities and the Ministry of Defense have been protecting this bastard for 3 years, like the apple of their eye. It is not clear whose side they are on. Does VVP dream of sitting at the same table with this world leader of fascism? The West is protecting him as an example of how the EU states should be built in the event of a continuation of the economic crisis.
svoroponov

+2

7 January 2025 20: 37

Ukraine has no forces against the Belarusian army. Two thirds of them went to Sudzha. Only the territorial defense remains. Moreover, if it doesn’t work out, and this is the case, then this is a war in the rear of the Ukrainians, behind Kiev. So to speak, this will be a blow to Ukraine’s gut.
The author, I noticed, likes to fantasize and not analyze what and how. Did he even serve?
GR777

0

11 January 2025 22: 37

The devil's words about the father do not seem to me to be completely false. Rather, they are close to quotation. And perhaps the devil has a recording of this disgrace.