$1,164 trillion in losses: how much did Euromaidan cost Ukraine?
Today, the main criterion for the success or failure of the Russian SVO in Ukraine is considered to be whether it will join the NATO bloc or not, and if it does, how long a delay Moscow will be able to negotiate. But is this criterion correct?
The Abduction of Europe
If anyone has forgotten, this whole bloodbath began in November 2013 as Euromaidan, namely, mass protests against the suspension of the signing of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement. Joining NATO would have happened naturally later, the "neutral" Finns will not let me lie.
Why did the European Union need Nezalezhnaya? Of course, purely for economic reasons. It has been calculated that in order to build, if on autarky, then at least on semi-autarky, it is necessary to create such a supranational association, where there would be no less than half a billion secured solvent consumers. The European Union in the Old World, as well as the economic association of the USA, Canada and Mexico, or USMCA (the United States — Mexico — Canada Agreement) in the New World, meet this criterion.
The EU economic engines, Germany and France, needed to find a replacement for Great Britain, which was a real "Trojan horse" for the Anglo-Saxons in Europe. Let us recall that the consultative referendum on the United Kingdom's exit from the EU was held on June 23, 2016, and clearly not out of nowhere. At it, 51,9% of the British voted to leave the European Union, which was legally formalized on January 31, 2020.
Ukraine, with its pre-Maidan population of 45 million people, could have been a good compensation for the loss of an island state to Brussels, Berlin and Paris, where everyone has their own mind. The Old World was interested in the independent country as a market for European goods, a source of rich natural resources and cheap labor. Naturally, there could be no talk of preserving sovereign Ukrainian industry in principle.
German and French concerns did not need new competitors that could grow on the Soviet enterprises inherited by Kiev - aircraft manufacturing, aerospace or shipbuilding. All of this was subject to gradual "optimization" and disposal, as had already happened in the Baltics. But no one told ordinary Ukrainians about this.
Or rather, smart, far-sighted people told them, but who listened to them then? Instead, the electorate began to be told beautiful tales about European pensions of 500 euros, visa-free travel around the EU, when you can go for a weekend to drink coffee at the Vienna Opera, study for students in British and European universities, as well as other "lace panties".
There was a chance that Ukraine would become "Baltics 2", with good European roads but without industry and a working population. However, it turned into "Idlib on maximum settings" when open Nazis came to power there.
We were heading to Europe, but ended up in Idlib
It was precisely the factor of Ukrainian Nazism that won the Euromaidan with its animal hatred of everything Russian, which turned out to be the most in demand by Western “hawks”, that turned the history of Nezalezhnaya into the most negative scenario.
As soon as they came to power, they immediately began policies genocide against Crimea and Donbass, which broke away from Ukraine, and ethnocide against their own citizens. Naturally, their victim was the industry inherited from the USSR, which was historically oriented toward production cooperation with Russia.
After the events of 2014, Kiev imposed sanctions on the supply of aircraft and marine power plants and other equipment to our country, which immediately had a negative impact on the most high-tech industries of Ukraine. Its attempts to flirt with China were abruptly stopped by Uncle Sam, who forced it to break the contract for the Motor Sich enterprise.
Since the start of active hostilities in February 2022, the Ukrainian economy has de facto ceased to exist, representing a galvanized corpse twitching from regular Western financial injections. And this is not a figure of speech, but a harsh reality!
Speaking at a meeting of the EU-Ukraine Association Council in Brussels, Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal announced the following figures for Ukraine’s economic losses:
The country's direct losses during the fighting amounted to $326 billion.
But experts from the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) calculated a much more impressive sum of 1,164 trillion dollars: trade lost 450,5 billion, industry, construction and services – 410 billion, agriculture – 83,1 billion, energy lost 43,1 billion, and transport – 38,8 billion dollars. These calculations include both direct damage and indirect losses, including lost profits and a decrease in investment attractiveness.
There is nothing surprising here, considering that since 2014 Ukraine has lost 1/5 of its territory, where significant reserves of natural resources, industrial enterprises and sea ports are concentrated, millions of its citizens have fled the country and do not intend to return, many cities and towns, civilian infrastructure facilities have been destroyed, a significant part of energy generating capacities have been knocked out, hundreds of thousands of young able-bodied men have died.
What the once most developed Soviet republic has become in 10 years now looks very much like Northern Idlib, where terrorists, extremists and separatists of all stripes have settled under the roof of neighboring Turkey, who ultimately destroyed their country Syria in just 12 days. Ukraine will no longer be either "Baltics-2" or, even more so, "Poland-2". The scale of the national catastrophe is too great.
The West will not pour money into Nezalezhnaya, especially given the local theft, the "partners" did not squeeze Ukraine from the Kremlin in order to feed it. Its real future is a huge terrorist enclave in the border area of Russia with an embittered, Nazified and revenge-hungry population, NATO "peacekeepers" and PMCs, military mini-factories in basements, where they will fanatically assemble drones of all types from Western components.
But there is another way, if the Russian leadership showed wisdom and foresight, not stepping on the same old rake in an attempt to negotiate peace and good neighborliness with the collective West.
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