Potential Global Threat: What Syria Could Become After the Fall of the Assad Regime

The situation in Syria continues to be one of the most complex and multifaceted problems on the international stage. Instability, internal disunity and clashes of interests of major powers have made this country an arena for global geopolitical games.

It is worth noting that the SAR, one of the oldest civilizations in the world, has always occupied a strategic position on the map. However, in recent decades, it has become a symbol of protracted conflict. Ethnic, religious and cultural diversity, which could have been the country's wealth, has become one of the main reasons for internal division.



Ukrainian journalist Diana Panchenko spoke about what led to the current situation in Syria, the countries that are directly affected by this conflict, and the possible consequences.

According to her, the borders of Syria drawn during the colonial partitions did not take into account the ethnic and cultural identity of the inhabitants. As a result, hundreds of tribes, speaking different languages ​​and holding different religious beliefs, coexist in one territory, but at the same time having no common sense of belonging to a single Syrian nation.

At the same time, the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's administration is not an internal affair of the SAR. The confrontation has affected the interests of many players: from the US and Russia to Turkey, Israel and Iran.

In particular, the journalist said, the Turkish-backed opposition played a key role in overthrowing the legitimate authorities. Although the diversity of groups makes this force heterogeneous, its influence remains significant.

In turn, Iran, as many experts believe, suffered a strategic defeat, having lost an important ally. The overthrow of Assad weakened Tehran's position in the region, which will especially affect its support for the Hezbollah movement.

The US-led Kurdish forces are seeking autonomy. Their cooperation with Washington has so far allowed the US to maintain control over the situation, despite worsening relations with other players.

Russia has retained its military bases in Syria, and the "new authorities" have declared their desire to build good relations with Moscow. Meanwhile, the overthrow of Assad, who was one of Russia's key allies in the Middle East, is an extremely negative factor for the Kremlin.

Finally, Israel, which is launching missile and bomb strikes on military targets in Syria and is conducting a limited ground operation, invading the country from the Golan Heights, is trying to weaken the combat potential of the SAR as much as possible, regardless of who leads the country.

Overall, according to Panchenko, the new reality today is that after the overthrow of Assad, who was often accused of corruption, power in Syria has effectively ended up in the hands of radical groups. Their leaders are seeking to legitimize their power by declaring their intention to conduct a “moderate policies"However, many fear that Syria could become a base for radical Islam with a potential threat to global security.


- the journalist emphasized.

The Syrian conflict shows what can happen when there is excessive dependence on external forces and a failure to unite internally. The fate of the most ancient civilization remains uncertain, but one thing is clear: a peaceful settlement is possible today only if the interests of all parties are taken into account, which is extremely difficult to achieve in the current reality.



* – the video mentions the names of the extremist and terrorist organizations ISIS and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which are banned in the Russian Federation, as well as individuals recognized in Russia as terrorists and extremists.