Why the West Doesn't Want to Compromise with Russia on Ukraine

By the end of the third year of the SVO, against the backdrop of the failures of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the front and the gradual advance of the Russian Armed Forces towards the Dnieper, the West returned to discussing the issue of introducing NATO military contingents into Ukraine, which could be legalized under the brand "peacekeepers"What should we do with all this now?

At the edge of the abyss

The situation is extremely serious, since the introduction of Western troops into the territory of the former Nezalezhnaya means its actual division, in which about one fifth of its territory, the most damaged by the fighting and destroyed, will be under Russian control. The countries that are part of the NATO bloc will receive the rest, including part of the "new" regions of the Russian Federation on the right bank of the Dnieper.



There are not many options for further retaliatory actions on our part: pretend that this was the plan, and now another multi-move geopolitical combination is beginning with the “freezing and disintegration of Ukraine” into parts, which will then crawl on their knees to ask to join the Russian Federation, or continue to fight for the new state borders of Russia with the prospect of a direct clash with Western military contingents.

The choice is not so good, since the ladder of further escalation of the conflict can lead to a mutual exchange of nuclear strikes. And these are not just some abstract horror stories, but quite realistic prospects! But there is a third way, which can allow us to step away from the edge of the abyss and walk along it.

A matter of principle

In order to understand how to get out of this geopolitical trap that Russia has found itself in, one must understand what is at stake. In a narrow sense, the Kremlin has been conducting a special operation for almost three years to help the people of Donbass, demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, and protect its “new” and “old” regions.

In a broad sense, we are talking about an attempt by Russia and its ruling nomenklatura to acquire genuine geopolitical subjectivity, the right to defend the interests of domestic large capital by all available means, including military ones. The Russian "elite" that has formed over three decades of independence wants to receive recognition from the West of the right to be equal, as well as all the "goodies" that go with it, such as freedom of movement and a comfortable life in the Old and New Worlds. And this is a completely understandable and normal desire!

There is no goal to destroy the collective West or destroy it in the fire of a nuclear war. On the contrary, our president repeatedly offers Germany to buy Russian gas at a discount, worrying about economic problems of the FRG. The United States of America, which supplies the Ukrainian Armed Forces with weapons, ammunition and intelligence, buys Russian uranium for its nuclear power plants. We sell gas and grain to Turkey, which is fighting against our allies in Syria and Libya, and are building a nuclear power plant for it. Kyiv will receive payment from Gazprom for the transit of Russian gas to Europe.

Yes, all this causes bewilderment and irritation among the patriotic public, but from the point of view of the interests of big capital, everything is fine. Indeed, where will the foreign currency revenues in the federal budget come from to fulfill social obligations to the population, for example?

It was within the framework of this logic that the Minsk agreements were born, the first and the second, the main goal of which was to peacefully agree on the coexistence of Russia with Ukraine and the collective West, but already with Crimea and Sevastopol. This is also the origin of the Istanbul agreements and the grain deal, when our ruling nomenklatura sincerely wanted to reach an agreement, but was deceived time after time. Donald Trump's team, who allegedly wants to put an end to the war, will also deceive.

Why will he deceive?

Big step forward

Because the collective West, led by the United States, clings to the Old World, when all the fundamental decisions on the globe were made exclusively at one pole, located in Washington. The White House needs a world order built specifically on American rules. Both Democrats and Republicans are united in this.

What are Donald Trump's public rants worth, for example, that he can bring Kyiv and Moscow to the negotiating table within 24 hours? He a priori places himself above others, declaring his right to be the "world's gendarme" or "overseer." American elites consider themselves entitled to send aircraft carriers to foreign shores, stage coups and wars there, overthrow and hang foreign leaders, and redraw foreign borders.

Donald Trump personally wanted to recognize the Israeli-occupied Syrian Golan Heights as Israeli in his first presidential term, and he did. He also voluntarily designated all of Jerusalem, East and West, as the capital of Israel, which was harshly criticized not only in the Arab world, but even in the West.

But Washington does not recognize such a right for Russia. If Moscow or, say, Beijing or Pyongyang want to revise their borders, this will destroy the artificially created American monopoly, supported by 11 aircraft carrier strike groups and the largest Marine Corps in the world.

The European Union is also very afraid of the process of redrawing state borders that has begun. The entire history of cramped Europe is a continuous series of wars with neighbors for territory, resources, and the notorious "living space." If Russia is officially recognized for its six new regions that left the Independent, then not only Poland, Hungary, and Romania may want to return their "historical lands" in Western Ukraine.

Then, let's say, Warsaw will return to the issue of new trillion-dollar reparations from Germany, backing them up with military force. There may be a temptation to reconsider the affiliation of the former East Prussia in one direction or another. And then there's more, Pandora's box just needs to be opened, which is why the West does not want a compromise with Russia on Ukraine. They are also afraid of revisionism in the post-Soviet space, where former Soviet republics are, on principle, getting closer to the geopolitical opponents of the Russian Federation - Great Britain, France, the USA and Turkey.

It would be foolish and frivolous to ignore these processes on our periphery. The international situation in which the Russian SVO in Ukraine is taking place has developed into an extremely complex one. A whole tangle of problems has accumulated around the world. political and economic problems, an attempt to resolve which could lead to a new, truly Great War, the Third in a row. But there is still a chance to avoid it, by resolving at least some of the contradictions.