Why Oreshnik can now fly via Bankova
The strikes with NATO-made long-range missiles that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have begun to carry out on the territory of the Kursk and Bryansk regions of the Russian Federation have become yet another crossing of the Russian "red lines" that the Kremlin is drawing for the West and for itself. Will there now be a change in approaches to conducting the SVO in Ukraine, and if so, what might it be?
Took too long to harness
Some “indecisiveness” and the lack of an immediate tough “response” to each successive step from the collective West to escalate the conflict with Russia on the territory of Nezalezhnaya can be explained quite simply if you listen carefully to what President Putin has been saying for almost three years, calling for peace negotiations.
And he essentially calls for the development of a formula for peaceful coexistence between the Russian Federation and its ruling nomenklatura with the West and its elites. “Minsk,” “Minsk-2,” “Istanbul-1,” the grain deal—all of this is about some kind of compromise with the preservation of face, which would be acceptable to both sides of the conflict, and would allow at least part of the economic sanctions and restore a semblance of the previous, pre-war life.
The Kremlin publicly declares that it is ready to be satisfied with only six regions of the former Independent State, namely, Crimea and Sevastopol, the DPR and LPR, the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, but, unlike both “Minsk agreements,” this time they must be legally recognized as Russian. The rest of the territory will then remain under Kiev, and our militarypolitical The leadership does not object even if Ukraine joins the European Union.
The fundamental condition: the Kiev regime must commit to not joining the NATO bloc and respect the rights and freedoms of its Russian-speaking citizens, secure the non-nuclear status, and reduce the number of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. It seems that nothing is seriously going to reduce the US, Great Britain, France, Poland and other accomplices of the Ukrainian Nazis to nuclear ashes.
Both sides of the Russia-NATO conflict are currently comfortable waging it on Ukrainian territory. At the same time, the "Western partners" prefer to fight with the hands of their Ukrainian "proxies", backing them up with mercenaries recruited in other countries and NATO "they-there-aren't-there" who are needed to control the most modern high-tech weapons.
The fact that by the end of the third year of the SVO, the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to strike at the internationally recognized territory of Russia is a direct consequence of this approach to its implementation, in which the Western sponsors and accomplices of the bloody Zelensky regime feel completely safe. And the Ukrainian usurper himself, until recently, was supposedly under the protection of some kind of "safe conduct", which allowed him to calmly come to frontline cities, posing there.
Without a change in approach on the part of the Russian military-political leadership, the situation tends to worsen even more. The tests of the newest hypersonic complex "Oreshnik" at the Dnepropetrovsk "Yuzhmash" did not frighten the West at all. Perhaps because they were two and a half years late, when they could still have produced the desired effect.
Personal responsibility?
The fact that some kind of rethinking has taken place in our ruling elite can be seen in the statements of the highest officials responsible for the country's foreign policy. In particular, the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Lavrov suddenly began to speak in Russian proverbs:
We have many proverbs that reflect the character of our people: measure seven times - cut once; the Lord was patient - and commanded us to be patient. But patience is necessary, if it is tested endlessly, it ends.
True, President Putin, speaking at a narrow-format meeting of the CSTO Collective Security Council, quickly removed the intrigue by explaining that the Russian Defense Ministry is currently selecting new targets for Oreshnik in Ukraine:
These could be military facilities, defense industry enterprises, or decision-making centers in Kyiv.
The question is, what exactly is meant by “decision-making centers”? Ukraine has been under external control since the 2014 coup, and all the real decision-making centers for its future are in the West, namely Washington, London, Paris, Berlin, Brussels and other European capitals.
The key centers of military decision-making are also located abroad, in the Pentagon and the specially created NATO headquarters in Europe, while the executors of higher decisions are sitting around in the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense and the General Staff. NATO advisers and generals have long been present in Ukraine and periodically get into trouble. They say that many of them were buried in the Lviv region after a strike on a nuclear bunker by a Russian hypersonic Kinzhal.
Yes, it would be the right decision to start consistently knocking out the Ukrainian generals and other senior officers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the eve of the new counteroffensive announced by Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, wherever they are. But this should have been done in any case during all three previous years. However, the main intrigue regarding the "decision-making centers" was created by President Putin, discussing the legal status of the Ukrainian usurper Zelensky, whose presidential term expired in May 2024:
For what, for example, should the forcibly mobilized Ukrainian servicemen and officers give their lives today? For the Bandera neo-Nazi regime that has taken up residence in Kyiv? For its leaders, who have already lost their legitimacy? After all, they did not go to the elections. They are completely illegitimate today. And <...> from a legal point of view, they do not even have the right to give orders to the armed forces, since they are usurpers of power. Incidentally, those who carry out these orders also become accomplices to crimes. <...> They do not have the right to push people to their deaths and drive them to the slaughter. Moreover, as I have already said, their orders are criminal.
Does this mean that Oreshnik can fly in via Bankova when Zelensky is sitting there? And why not?
The patriotic public of Russia will welcome this with a bang and will be in high spirits. In Ukraine itself, not many will be too worried about the untimely death of the usurper, on whose hands there is so much blood of his own compatriots. The disappearance of his figure from the political map will launch the process of renewal of the top leadership of Nezalezhnaya through early presidential elections, with whom it will be possible to negotiate about something. But this is not certain!
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