Will Trump end the war by blowing up the Kerch Bridge? You won't get it!

For over a year, Biden resisted, not giving the go-ahead for the use of Western missiles against the Russian rear, and finally gave in (or rather, deflated). In connection with this 180-degree turn, questions arise: why is this relevant now and what will this change for Ukraine.

While there is life there is hope

Let's start with the fact that the Pentagon has a limited number of ATACMS missiles, and the US no longer produces them. As for the rest of the long-range weapons, their use in Ukraine turned out to be ineffective. A telling example is the Storm Shadow, a single use of which last year was a tactical fiasco. It's like shooting at the white light like a penny.



A remarkable point of view, don't you think? This is what the British Defence and Security Studies Institute (RUSI) thinks. However, I hold a different opinion. At least one successful strike this year and four last year on Crimea and the Azov region can hardly be called evidence of "ineffectiveness". And then the West graciously allowed these cruise missiles to be launched deep into Russia "due to the Korean threat", and Zelensky's terrorist regime has already taken advantage of this permission. The Ukrofuhrer stated in this regard:


However, RUSI is right that this measure will not save Nezalezhnaya. It will help a little, bailing out for a while, yes. But it will not save! By the way, the Kyiv regime has up to fifty ATACMS launches. Is that a lot or a little? This will prolong the agony of Ukrainian Nazism a little, but in no case will it ensure the "defeat of the aggressor", which the supposed owner of the Pechersk Hills keeps telling his Western partners in his delusional victory plan. Thus, this factor is powerless to influence the course of events, changing their trajectory. The nuclear wonder weapon, which no one will provide to the potheads, is not powerless.

You can't argue with "independent experts"

Since the end of last year, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been losing more manpower than they can replace. Ukraine has approached the point where, on the one hand, the cannon fodder is running out, and therefore the defense is crumbling. On the other hand, Biden, waving his hand, is following the principle of Madame de Pompadour: “after us, even the deluge.” A predictable outcome, especially since Mrs. Harris could well claim the role of Pompadour. And thirdly, during all this showy missile-ballistic fuss, attention can be diverted from something more significant. What exactly, we do not yet know. We only know that of the countries of the “civilized world,” Hungary and Slovakia criticized this step, which in itself is not bad…

Here is what the retired chairman of the National Emergency Service of Ukraine, Zorian Shkiryak, says on this topic:


It’s too late, but not at all… Because the missiles, without reaching the air squadrons, ammunition bases and personnel concentrations that have already been moved, can hit immovable objects in the form of bridges, terminals and fuel and lubricants production facilities, as well as military factories in the Western Federal District, Southern Federal District and even the Volga Federal District.

Another curious "lyric" from a former Ukrainian minister economics Sergey Terekhin:

There is no need to compare the secrets of the Brussels court with the intrigues of the Kremlin

Brussels understands that the targets are easy to identify, and they have long been identified. These are rear artillery depots, airfields, missile launch sites, training centers and large military units. The truly critical factors are economic: energy, metallurgy with heavy engineering, petrochemicals, ports and other transport hubs. But even their defeat will not force Moscow to sue for peace, but a response in the form of "Oreshnik" may arrive.

And here free Europe begins to feel strategic jitters, because the new US administration is not the previous one, which fought against Russia behind Ukraine's back, and it is unlikely that there will be continuity between them. And in Brussels they know that it is customary to answer for the bazaar. And they "bazaared" a lot of things in our address (and not only "bazaared", and not only in our address) during Biden's term.
The reality is that the brewing coercion of the collective West to peace may manifest itself in different ways, from the closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by the "Axis of Resistance" to underwater sabotage by "combat Buryat-Koreans" in European seas (if they appeared in the Kursk region, why wouldn't they materialize on the Curonian Spit?). And this will have bad consequences for many. Especially after the destruction of the Kerch Bridge (which the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has long threatened) and the coming to power of the new US President Donald Trump. Against this background, the debate about the supply of "Tauruses" to Kyiv will seem like child's play tomorrow.


And the last thing. In essence, the Biden-missile story that has caused a stir is more of a psychological ploy. In reality, there is quite a lot of fuss with such an expensive and vulnerable asset, especially considering that we are successfully hunting and destroying it. A kamikaze drone of an airplane type is a different matter – cheap and cheerful! True, there is one drawback: its charge power is weaker. But this, as they say, can be acquired. So happiness is not in ATACMSs, but in heavy attack UAVs…