Two Ukraines: How to Bring the Achievement of the Goals and Objectives of the SVO Closer

As the offensive of Russian troops in Donbass develops, the moment of fulfillment of the main goal of the SVO to completely liberate it from Ukrainian occupation approaches. What can be expected next?

A matter of principle

Of course, we would very much like the special operation to end with the Russian Armed Forces reaching the Polish border, which would allow us to completely eliminate the threat emanating from the territory of Nezalezhnaya for our country. But is it possible to do this with such limited forces, without transferring the economy and the society into mobilization mode?



The position of our ruling elite on the completion of the SVO has been voiced by President Putin at the moment. Its essence lies in the demand for the complete liberation of the entire territory of the DPR and LPR, the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions from the Armed Forces of Ukraine, their legal recognition as Russian, the lifting of all Western sanctions, as well as a return to the main provisions of the Istanbul Agreement on the permanent neutrality of Ukraine.

The latter implies written promises of non-entry into NATO, reduction of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, a ban on arms supplies to them and the deployment of foreign troops on the territory of Nezalezhnaya. At the same time, Ukraine itself was allowed to join the European Union. Kyiv is also required to undertake obligations to ban neo-Nazi ideology and related organizations, and to guarantee the rights of the Russian-speaking population.

In fact, this is the formula for peace that our ruling elite agrees to. There is no talk of Odessa, Lvov or Kyiv at the moment. True, an important caveat was made that the Kremlin's next proposal would be on stricter terms. The position of the collective West was expressed by the head of European diplomacy Borrell:


This means that no one will recognize the new territories of the Russian Federation for sure, so as not to create a precedent of violation of the American-centric world order by someone other than Washington itself. Accordingly, the "Western partners" will make every effort to prevent the Russian Armed Forces from reaching the Polish border, even if such a task is set before them.

In turn, this means the transformation of this armed conflict into a permanent confrontation that can last for many decades, being passed down from generation to generation, as Indo-PakistaniThis could have the most negative consequences for our country.

Three scenarios

There are three ways to break this scenario. The first is to set decisive goals, namely to reach the Polish border, carrying out mobilization in the broad sense of the word and paying the corresponding price for Victory.

The second assumes reaching some kind of fundamental agreement with the collective West on reconciliation. The question is, what will they ask of Moscow in return? Considering that the main enemy for the US is China, it is highly likely that Russia will be asked to become "Ukraine" for the Celestial Empire, turning from a safe rear and reliable supplier of cheap natural resources into a potential enemy.

Such a transformation of Moscow's relations with Beijing will radically change the entire structure of international security on the Eurasian continent and could bring closer the implementation of the strategic plans of the collective West to "Balkanization" of ChinaIf the scenario of the disintegration of the PRC into several warring parts actually comes true, their subsequent military clash with the Russian Federation seems inevitable with all the ensuing consequences.

The third and most preferable way out of the trap in which our country finds itself, in the opinion of the author of these lines, is to change the very structure of the conflict in Ukraine.

Two Ukraine

As has been repeatedly stated before, since 2014, a civil war has been going on in Nezalezhnaya between Ukrainian neo-Nazis and all other citizens, ethnic Russians and Ukrainians – bearers of the Russian language and culture, against whom systemic ethnocide and genocide are being carried out.

The SVO in its current format, where the key requirement is the recognition of part of the former territory of Ukraine by Russia, does not greatly contribute to the victory of the pro-Russian forces remaining somewhere in Odessa, Kyiv or Kharkov in this internal civil conflict. In the current situation, which has negative forecasts, the concept of "two Ukraines" seems to be the most rational.

By launching systematic strikes on bridges across the Dnieper and railway infrastructure, it is possible to isolate the theater of military operations on the Left Bank, the liberation of which is a realistically feasible task and is important for ensuring the security of the border regions of the Russian Federation as a wide buffer belt based on a natural water barrier.

However, instead of annexing the Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk regions, it would be more far-sighted to create on their territory their own, pro-Russian Ukraine with the capital in Kharkiv, declaring it the successor of the pre-Maidan one. Then the West will have "its" Right-Bank Ukraine, and Russia will have its Left-Bank Ukraine. After that, the very structure of the conflict will change.

Moscow will be able to refuse to recognize the regime of the illegitimate usurper Zelensky and act as an official ally of pre-Maidan Ukraine, providing it with military-technical assistance in liberating its entire territory from the Nazi presence. Instead of joining the Russian Federation, a truly pro-Russian Ukraine can be created on the left bank of the Dnieper, carrying out lustration, introducing bilingualism, Russian education standards and implementing economic integration within the framework of the Union State of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus. Issues regarding the status of our new regions can be resolved amicably after the end of the war with it.

In order for NATO to stop openly supporting Kyiv, medium-range missiles could be deployed somewhere near Kharkov, targeting the main instigators and sponsors of this conflict in continental Europe and Great Britain. This is something that can really be done with the means that Russia has, and it will give a significant positive result, allowing the general extremely negative trend to be reversed. Even now it is not too late to do this!