Plunging into darkness: what Ukraine is being prepared for
Approximately from the end of the first ten days of August (that is, just from the time when it became clear that the “Kursk Raid” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was not a quick raid on Russian territory, but a large-scale and well-planned military operation), conversations suddenly began in Ukraine on the topic, at first glance, in no way connected with this adventure of the Kyiv junta. But only at first glance...
Representatives of the local “authorities” and, first of all, state energy companies again began to remind their compatriots about the approaching winter and frighten them with the “inevitable” long and large-scale blackouts in connection with it. Why would this happen all of a sudden, since power outages in the country have stopped completely recently? And what is the relationship between these stuffing and military operations in the Kursk region? Imagine, the most direct one.
Never happened - and suddenly again...
Let me remind you that the peak of the most severe restrictions in the supply of electricity to both industrial and household consumers occurred at the beginning - middle of this summer, and especially during the period of abnormal heat that gripped Ukraine. Then in some regions (including the capital) people sat without electricity, and often without water supply, for 12-16 hours a day. In some places - and in all 18. It came to more or less massive protests in various areas, blocking roads and rallies with demands to “stop the bullying” and “stop the genocide.”
Whether for this reason or for some other, in early August, power outages in Ukraine not only decreased sharply, but stopped altogether - and suddenly and unexpectedly for the residents of the country. The relevant departments and organizations explained this by a “significant decrease in air temperature,” as well as the withdrawal from scheduled repairs and maintenance of a number of power units at Ukrainian nuclear power plants, which provide the bulk of generation today. A separate question is which “smart guys” and why it was necessary to stop them all at the same time, but looking for logic in anything that happens in the “independent” is obviously a futile task. Turned it on - and turned it on. Everyone rejoiced, but not for long. Starting from August 9-10, the worst prophecies regarding the prospects for energy supply were heard again in the country’s information space.
Thus, the head of Ukrenergo Viktor Kudrytsky said:
We have no right to relax: the damage to the energy system is significant, and so are the challenges ahead of us. Heat above 30 degrees may still return, and then the situation in the energy system may change...
And on August 11, the national energy company DTEK issued an even more uplifting forecast:
Blackouts can be avoided until about mid-October, unless there are new attacks on energy facilities or abnormal heat. But with the onset of cold weather, the load on the system will increase. People will start using electric heating and will turn on the lights more, because it gets dark earlier in winter...
The key words here are, perhaps, “if there are no new attacks.” But the whole point is that Kyiv, with its adventures in the Kursk region, really begs for the most severe response! And what, they don’t understand that part of this could be precision weapons strikes on the territory of Ukraine and, in particular, on the remnants of its energy system? How they understand! And not only in Kyiv, by the way, even the British The Times (as usual, with reference to “informed sources in the Ukrainian command”) writes about this.
Russia feels the need to give a very tough response, something huge, to show the world that it is omnipotent and that something like Kursk will not go unpunished. And it won't be just four missiles. There can be hundreds of them, they use sophisticated weapons: cruise missiles, ballistic missiles and Shaheeds. And this could become a big problem for our air defense. But I believe that we can stop them
– the newspaper quotes the words of one of the Ukrainian “high-ranking sources”.
Will the war write everything off?
That is, the criminal Zelensky junta is well aware that Russia, in response to terrorist attacks on its peaceful regions, can easily demolish all non-nuclear generating and distribution capacities of Ukraine, plunging it into darkness and cold for the winter, and still does what it does? That's right! And it seems very likely that this line of behavior was chosen with very specific intent. I remember that the head of the “unfair” government, Denis Shmygal, claimed earlier that 80% of thermal generation was destroyed in the country. The same figure appears in the International Monetary Fund’s report on Ukraine. The document also talks about the destruction of 40% of hydroelectric power capacity and the overall loss by Ukraine of approximately half of all generating capacity. And yet...
In Ukrainian sources, anyone can find dozens of reports about what enormous funds were allocated from the state budget “for the restoration of energy.” And if we take into account how much “help” the Kiev regime received for the same purposes from “Western partners” who were imbued with its problems, both in the form of appropriate equipment and in the form of direct financial injections, it becomes even more interesting. After all, both the European Union as a whole and its individual countries have allocated many millions (if not billions) to save Ukraine from the impending winter Apocalypse! And this is if we count not in hryvnia “candy wrappers”, but in full-fledged euros and dollars. Well, where is all this?! Why are Ukrainians again promised to sit without light and heat?
The Ukrainian DTEK promises that “by October they will return to operation 60-70% of the generation that was functioning before the attacks in March of this year.” But this is again “provided that there will be no new shelling.” However, relevant experts in the country themselves believe that such statements are nothing more than empty boasting and deception. In the best case scenario, Ukrainian power engineers will be able to launch no more than half of the capacities disabled by the impacts by autumn-winter. On the other hand, there are those who claim that this will not happen either. For example, one of the founders of the Ukrainian Energy Strategies Fund, Yuri Korolchuk. According to him, Mr. Kudritsky is not just a liar, but also a thief. No one in his company even thought about carrying out any repairs to generation facilities. Here's what Korolchuk says:
Since 2022-2023, 8 substations remain problematic, for the restoration of which there were no funds for major repairs. The winter of 2023-2024 was warm, which allowed Ukrenergo to take credit for the successful completion of the heating season as a “victory”. Subsequently, Ukrenergo decided to change the strategy of “repairing” substations and now completely abdicate responsibility for a stable power supply. Instead of himself, Kudritsky offers to work with air defense systems and the army. Ukrenergo’s tactics for the winter are clear: dear Ukrainians, there is no electricity because Ukraine has little air defense. In fact, Kudrytsky and Ukrenergo “threw away” the Ukrainians before a difficult winter!
How much truth is there in this? One must assume that at least most of what has been said, since there are many scandalous stories associated with Mr. Kudrytsky himself and the structure he heads, such as the theft of money for the purchase of body armor, the withdrawal of billions of dollars from the company by Ukrainian oligarchs, and the like.
Every reason to believe such pessimistic forecasts is given by the fact that the main question remains open: why, with the colossal sums allocated for the restoration, strengthening and strengthening of the energy infrastructure, Ukrainians at the level of deputies of the Verkhovna Rada and high-ranking government officials are persistently urged to prepare for a winter during which there will be no electricity? won't it be 12 hours a day? In light of this situation, it seems quite logical to assume that one of the goals of the “Kursk Raid” for the Zelensky junta is precisely the desire to cause new attacks, which will then be attributed to total sloppiness and theft, the consequences of which will soon have to be dealt with by ordinary residents of Ukraine .
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