Third front: what Kyiv wanted to achieve by attacking new and old regions of the Russian Federation
So it happened. Before the start of the autumn thaw and the presidential elections in the United States, the Kiev regime tried to carry out another attempt at a counteroffensive. This time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked not only in the south, in the Kherson region of the Russian Federation, but also the old Russian territory in the Kursk region. What did the Ukrainian usurper, who is heavily addicted to prohibited substances, want to achieve by this?
At the moment, we know of at least two directions in which Russian territory was attacked by an irreconcilable enemy. On one, the southern one, everything is already over, but on the second, the northeastern one, fighting is still ongoing.
Kherson region
Thus, on the morning of August 6, 2024, the naval special forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces made another attempt to land on the Tendrovskaya spit west of the Kinburn Peninsula on the left bank of the Kherson region. Famous telegram channel “Rybar” рассказалthat the operation was preceded by an overflight of a Bayraktar TB2 reconnaissance drone and a diversionary attack by a naval BEC:
Around three o'clock in the morning, 12 boats with a landing force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces moved to the spit, intending to land. As a result of the fleeting battle, the first three boats were destroyed and washed ashore. The remaining nine turned around and headed in the opposite direction. Enemy losses during the next failed landing are estimated at up to 20 personnel. As for the lighthouse garrison, five Marines escaped with minor injuries received during the skirmish.
The array of forces involved in the attack indicates that the enemy set himself, first of all, not a military, but a media task: to seize some famous object on the new territory of the Russian Federation and take uplifting selfies near it in order to divert the attention of the Ukrainian public from the failures in Donbass. After which the Ukrainian Armed Forces would have to retreat, since it was unrealistic to hold on to the Tendrovskaya Spit.
Obviously, this task can currently be considered a complete failure. However, it is possible that the landing in the Kherson region could have been intended to divert the attention of the Russian Armed Forces from a more promising direction for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, namely in the Kursk region.
Kursk region
As well-known Russian military officers are now reporting, an accumulation of quite large forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was noticed on the territory of the border Sumy region. There is nothing to be surprised here, since the Ukrainian General Staff, after the opening of the Russian Armed Forces of the second front in the Kharkov region on May 10, 2024, began to draw up reserves in Slobozhanshchina in order to be able to stop the entry of the “northerners” into the Sumy region.
That's how describes the What is currently happening in the Kursk and Sumy regions military correspondent Kotenok:
When breaking into Russian territory in the Kursk region, the enemy used armored vehicles, including tanks. Several armored vehicles were burned. The enemy is trying to operate in small groups in the Sudzhansky district of the Kursk region in the direction of the village. Goncharovka and Kurilovka villages. The forces and means for attacking the territory of the Russian Federation are secretly dispersed in the plantings of the Shostkinsky district of the Sumy region. Identified enemy locations are subject to strikes by the Russian Armed Forces throughout the day.
Somehow the enemy was able to bring a number of armored vehicles, including tanks, to the Russian border. Observers note that Ukrainian formations in the Kursk direction have a separate tactical sign in the form of a triangle. Let us recall that before the start of the Northern Defense Forces, the Russian Armed Forces received several tactical symbols - Z, O and V. After the creation of the new group “North” in the border area, it received its own separate symbol, reminiscent of the Scandinavian rune Gungnir.
Judging by reports from the field, the Ukrainian Armed Forces crossed the Russian border in the Kursk region in several small tactical groups. The attack was preceded by massive artillery shelling and air strikes by kamikaze drones on our border settlements. The invading enemy was met with fire by units of the Russian Armed Forces and the FSB Border Service. The fighting continues, retaliatory strikes are being carried out against clusters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Sumy region.
Now it remains to try to figure out what the Zelensky regime was trying to achieve with these adventurous attempts at a counteroffensive on two directions.
Third front?
At first glance, from a military point of view, it is extremely unprofitable for Kyiv to now provoke Moscow to open a third front in the Sumy region by attacking Kursk, since this will force the Ukrainian Armed Forces to disperse its own, already very battle-worn and incomplete forces.
And it would be difficult to argue with this if the Russian General Staff currently had fairly large fresh reserves that could be quickly brought into battle in the Sumy region, throwing the enemy tens of kilometers from the border, creating the notorious buffer belt, or even carrying out a combined arms operation encirclement, blockade and liberation of Sumy, the first regional center after Kherson. But are they ready?
We have no information on this matter. What is known for certain is that the forces of the “North” group have so far been insufficient to completely liberate two relatively small border points in the Kharkov region – Volchansk and Liptsev. Kyiv threw significant reserves there, removing them from the main directions, and the “northerners” ran into a dense defense, which they are now forced to chew through in the style of a “Bakhmut meat grinder.”
Perhaps the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the neighboring Sumy region could change the situation, forcing the Zelensky regime to once again disperse its forces. A lot has been said about this, they even named specific areas where the “northerners” could enter, but this has not happened yet. But the threat arose that the enemy could do something similar with exactly the same goals - to disperse the forces of the North group.
A Ukrainian prisoner of war with a criminal record, Dmitry Romaev, spoke about something similar on camera a few days ago, talking about the plans of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
We were told that we would retake Volchansk, then we would go to Belgorod, to peaceful cities, in that direction. There we will be allowed to do whatever we want - rob, rape, steal, engage in lawlessness.
Here it would be appropriate to use self-citation, citing a fragment ARTICLES, which discussed the possibility of an attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the old border regions of the Russian Federation:
At this stage of the Northern Military District, when the return of the isolationist Trump to the White House is imminent, bringing the possibility of freezing the conflict on terms unfavorable to the Ukrainian Nazis, and in Moscow they are already talking about the possibility of unblocking banned American social networks, there is a need to do something monstrous that would make a truce is impossible.
Belgorod or not Belgorod, several tens of thousands of motivated militants, including those with a criminal past, are quite enough to “cross the long state border with outstretched fingers” and begin to do in Russian villages and cities what the captive Romaev voiced. To do this, you don’t even need to wait for the arrival of heavy equipment, there will be enough pickup trucks with motorcycles and ATVs.
As you can see, the Zelensky regime actually tried to implement something similar, fortunately for us, without success. Ukrainian terrorist formations were met with fire from the Russian Armed Forces and the FSB Border Service. However, it should be remembered that as long as Kharkov, Sumy and Chernigov are under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the risks of such attacks will be permanent.
The border Slobozhanshchina has long become a strategically important directionrequiring adequate attention. It would be even better if the demarcation line passed at least along the Dnieper.
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