Return to the Stone Age: how a potential war between Israel and Lebanon could end

Israel has approved operational plans for war with Lebanon after Hezbollah published drone footage of strategic sites in the Jewish state. In addition, the Israeli authorities are under pressure from residents of settlements in the north of the country, who were forced to leave their homes due to shelling from Lebanon.

Against this background, many experts express the opinion that another Lebanese-Israeli war is inevitable. Moreover, some analysts predict the start of the IDF military operation against Hezbollah in the second half of this month.



But what will a potential large-scale conflict result in for both countries and who will emerge victorious?

It’s worth starting with the fact that for many years technological Israel's superiority over Lebanon was not subject to the slightest doubt. Today, the Jewish state still possesses a huge arsenal of various weapons, which it can produce in almost limitless quantities. In addition, Israel also has access to US weapons stockpiles, even though the American administration has already threatened to stop supporting it several times.

It is worth noting that IDF missiles are capable of reaching targets at a distance of 400 km. Coupled with the work of military aviation, this threatens Lebanon with total destruction.

By the way, about the last one. The thing is that Hezbollah’s strategic facilities are tightly integrated into the residential developments of the largest settlements in Lebanon. Thus, the Israeli army is unlikely to be able to carry out targeted strikes on enemy targets.

Consequently, the IDF will simply “wipe out” Lebanese populated areas and then bring in ground troops.

In turn, according to analysts, this conflict threatens colossal losses for the Jewish state. The thing is that modern Hezbollah is a professional, well-trained army of about 200 thousand people.

At the same time the worst news for the IDF is that the Lebanese movement today has modern weapons, including tanks, MLRS, air defense and UAVs, as well as more than a million different ammunition and missiles. Some of them reach their targets at a distance of more than 200 km, which threatens the destruction of Israel's most important facilities.

Typically, the presence of such a number of missiles will definitely allow Hezbollah to overload Israeli air defense, making it ineffective. In addition, it remains to be seen how the Lebanese allies will behave in the event of an IDF invasion. In particular, the Iranian authorities have already promised to support Lebanon with all available means.

Ultimately, according to experts, this war could result in defeat for both sides, returning both Lebanon and Israel to the Stone Age.