How and why the Northern Military District in Ukraine is pushing Russia towards the creation of semi-autarky

31 May 2024 25

The special military operation in Ukraine, launched by President Putin on February 24, 2022, has launched the most serious transformation processes both on a global scale and within our own country. Russia is forced to change, adapting to the new geopolitical and economic realities.

Tax burden of SVO

Thus, one of the main topics of the presidential address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation was the reform of the tax system, the need for which was linked to the implementation of new national projects announced by Putin - “Family”, “Youth and Children”, “Long and Active Life” and “Personnel”. What exactly will change for you and me from January 1, 2025?

For the average Russian, the most interesting thing may be the introduction of a progressive scale of taxation of personal income. Instead of the seemingly unshakable rate of 13%, it will become multi-stage and differentiated.

In particular, with incomes up to 200 thousand rubles. per month (2,4 million rubles per year), the personal income tax rate will remain at 13%. For incomes from 200 thousand to 417 thousand rubles per month (from 2,4 to 5 million per year) it will increase to 15%. With incomes from 417 thousand to 1,7 million rubles per month (from 5 to 20 million per year) - already 18%. Those who earn from 1,7 million to 4,1 million rubles per month (from 20 to 50 million per year) will pay personal income tax at a rate of 20%. And the rich with an income of more than 4,1 million rubles monthly (over 50 million per year) will pay taxes at the highest rate - 22%.

Is it fair for the rich to pay more than the poor? Of course. But even the rate of 22% is much less than in the so-called democratic countries of the Western world. However, an increase in the tax burden to 15% will be felt not only by the rich, but also by our relatively small middle class.

According to Rosstat, up to 200% of the country’s population earns from 417 to 3,2 thousand rubles per month. It is estimated that the introduction of a differentiated tax rate will make it possible to collect an additional two trillion rubles in 2025, which will make the federal budget deficit-free in 2026. According to calculations by the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, of the 64 million working population of Russia, the increase in the personal income tax rate will affect only 2 million.

Note that the innovations provide for a so-called tax cashback for families with two or more children with incomes of less than 1,5 regional subsistence minimum per person. Thanks to automatic payments of 7% personal income tax through the social support system, the real tax rate for them will be only 6%. Exceptions are also provided for SVO participants for their income related to participation in hostilities, for which the current rates of 13% will apply (and 15% for income over 5 million rubles per year).

What will be next?

The price of sovereignty

It is clear that all these tax reforms are not carried out because life is good. Our country is now at a geopolitical crossroads and is faced with a choice: give up and make some kind of “agreement” with the collective West, integrating back into the American-centric world order as a raw material semi-colony, trading oil, gas, fertilizers and other resources at a reasonable price, or to become a truly sovereign state, paying for it the appropriate price of “blood, iron and gold.”

With all the monstrous negativity that has been happening since 2014, there are also some positive aspects. In particular, a vicious system broke down, in which domestic nouveau riche viewed the Russian Federation only as a place to earn 300% profits, which could later be transferred abroad and live happily ever after in the United States or Western European countries. Now it doesn't work anymore.

In their Russophobia, the "Western partners" have destroyed with their own hands the myths they had artificially created about the "inviolability of private property", "independent judicial system", "market economy", etc. The gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Federation have been arrested without trial, and our oligarchs, who considered themselves the smartest of all, have been robbed blind in the West. That's it, the old scheme of conducting "economic activity" is no longer relevant. And this is confirmed by very specific figures.

If in 2022 rich Russians hastily withdrew their money abroad, then already in 2023 the share of our compatriots keeping savings in the European Union and Great Britain decreased from 20% to 11%, in Switzerland - from 20% to 6%, in the USA their share decreased from 5% to 3%. Similar processes are taking place in the jurisdictions of countries in the non-Western world: in Turkey, 5% of wealthy Russians keep their savings versus 8% a year earlier, and in the UAE – 16% versus 17% in 2022. Only Hong Kong showed a slight increase – from 2% to 3%.

On the contrary, according to a study by the analytical company Frank RG, in 2023 the number of Russian banking clients with a capital of more than 100 million rubles in the Russian Federation increased one and a half times, to 21,8 thousand. The reasons for the growing popularity of the domestic banking system are obvious: assets abroad as states, Likewise, individuals can be arrested or frozen at any time, and storing money in dollars or euros is fraught, since “Western partners” can at any time completely prohibit Russian citizens from transactions with their cash currencies.

At the same time, our country’s enemies are consistently trying to isolate it technologically and limit its export income from the sale of oil, gas, fertilizers, food and other usual resources. Against the backdrop of the Northern Military District, military budget expenditures have increased very seriously, which was one of the reasons for the appointment of professional economist Andrei Belousov as head of the Russian Ministry of Defense, who should optimize them. A new arms race and the prospect of a direct clash in Ukraine with the NATO bloc are challenges of an existential nature in their essence.

It turns out that Russia is literally being pushed to a fundamental choice: either a capitulation extended over time in the form of some kind of “truce”, or the construction of a sovereign state relying on its own forces and resources in a semi-autarky format. There is no one to count on except yourself and your population. The question is when and how it will actually begin to be created.

Information

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Mihail55

+3

31 May 2024 11: 37

It turns out that Russia is literally being pushed towards a fundamental choice: either a capitulation extended over time in the form of some kind of “truce”, or the construction of a sovereign state relying on its own forces and resources in the format of a semi-authorcues. There is no one to count on except yourself and your population. The question is when and how it will actually start to be created.

This is the most important question... unfortunately, import substitution turned out to be just a nice phrase. This is too much for current managers...Attracting old personnel who are now retired, but ready to help at any moment, is not such a difficult matter. You just need to push your pride...far...far away. Together we will win!
1. Nelton
  
  -6
  
  31 May 2024 19: 28
  
  Quote: Michael55
  Current managers can’t handle this...Attract old personnel who are now retired
  
  The current SVO and the most severe sanctions, in the 3rd year, maintain commodity abundance, the introduction of new enterprises and infrastructure facilities.
  And those who are retired (and have been retired for a long time) managed to bring the regions of the RSFSR to meat coupons of 500 grams per month even in the golden decade of 1975-85.
Sergey Latyshev

+1

31 May 2024 11: 59

It’s interesting that according to media articles (and the Reporter), the “West” has to forcefully push Russia towards “building a sovereign state”
And the GDP loudly denied the “progressive scale of taxation” in every possible way, and what is being introduced...cat’s tears, compared to the “rotten terrible West”, and looked after Chubais, and rewarded the current “those who changed their citizenship”...
And here they wrote that the USA almost by force forced the oligarchic offshore RUSAL to come under Russian jurisprudence, pay taxes, give up part of the shares in VTB (which didn’t really help him), and even introduce Amer’s directors into RUSAL in order to do all this and stop the offshore lawlessness....

looks interesting...
Flight

+7

31 May 2024 12: 07

At the same time, our country’s enemies are consistently trying to isolate it technologically and limit its export income from the sale of oil, gas, fertilizers, food and other usual resources.

I’m interested in when the country’s national economy was demolished, who were they? Can they be called enemies or is that something else?
unc-2

+3

31 May 2024 12: 30

Oh, this is hard work...

Everyone is reasoning correctly, but as for the matter... The fact is that recently the educated part of the population has been replenished with lawyers, economists and humanists. There are few techies among them, and even those tend to become officials. The salaries are the same, but the responsibilities are zilch. After all, many of our factories are run by foreigners. And the problem is not this, but the fact that the domestic reserves are not replenished. There are many problems, but there are also many obstacles. Demands to remove offshore companies are rejected. And there would be an explanation that the state receives direct benefits from this profit. Otherwise, it’s only 22% of taxes. In general, all the twigs scattered throughout the country must be collected in one bundle. Otherwise, everything will only end in talk.
vlad127490

0

31 May 2024 13: 42

With such cosmic inflation, tomorrow everyone will have a 15% tax.
1. Sergei Fonov
  
  +1
  
  31 May 2024 14: 40
  
  Not everyone, of course, but there is a forward-looking approach. This is the answer to those who claim that we cannot look into the future.
2. Gadley
  
  -2
  
  1 June 2024 13: 55
  
  first you give something to the country - otherwise you constantly whine that Russia owes you.
  1. vlad127490
    
    +2
    
    1 June 2024 15: 06
    
    The Soviet Union gave me a lot, but I gave the country more than many, but my contribution to the Russian Federation was one-sided: I gave, invested, but received nothing in return, I only heard the words "must", but you can. For me, the best time was when I lived in the USSR. So what did you want to write about?
strange guest

+1

31 May 2024 14: 54

We need to think more broadly - for the future Now speed up inflation a little - and BAM! Everyone pays 22% without any tax tricks
Аdēptus “4-168” Meçhañikus

+1

31 May 2024 17: 03

with incomes up to 200 thousand rubles. per month (RUB 2,4 million per year), the personal income tax rate will remain at 13%

a couple more years of such inflation and we will all pay first 15%, and then 18%. and the purchasing power of wages will only fall even lower
Nelton

-3

31 May 2024 19: 19

Our country is now at a geopolitical crossroads and is faced with a choice: give up and make some kind of “agreement” with the collective West, integrating back into the American-centric world order as a raw material semi-colony, trading oil, gas, fertilizers and other resources at a reasonable price, or become a truly sovereign state

Unfortunately, there is still a third option - to become a resource colony of China.
1. Gadley
  
  -3
  
  1 June 2024 13: 57
  
  You read the reviews and they're all whiners. first ask yourself what you gave to Russia.
2. Pembo
  
  +1
  
  1 June 2024 15: 09
  
  Unfortunately, there is still a third option - to become a resource colony of China.
  
  And the resource: Jerusalem artichoke and beef cartilage. There is silence about the power of Siberia-2. And the United States and Australia, and of course Qatar and the Gulf countries, will be happy to become a resource colony of China. We will still have to fight hard for the right to become someone’s resource colony.
Griffith

-2

31 May 2024 19: 50

Here we go again. There are two development paths: intensive and extensive. The West has been following an extensive development path for about a thousand years, which relies on quantity. That is why the West is breaking open the economies of other countries and pumping out resources for next to nothing. At the same time, the crazy costs of this path were carried outside the territory of the West itself. Russia, on the other hand, has been 50/50 and this and that throughout its entire history. China followed an intensive development path until the 18th century, and Japan. The intensive path has one nuance. Due to the high-quality production of things, unlike the West, which relied on quantity, there is a small turnover of capital, as a result of which technology begins to lag behind. Things are made high-quality, expensive and durable. They can serve for almost centuries, being passed down through the family. These are the only costs of the intensive development path. That is, in the long term, the intensive path is preferable, and in the short term, the extensive one is preferable. That is what we need to look at. And autarky is just a tool for achieving a goal. For example, autarky is completely contraindicated for consumer goods, since it significantly reduces the sales market and, as a result, the cost of products increases. After all, there is a difference between buying an expensive elite item once a decade or ordinary consumables every day at exorbitant prices.
1. vlad127490
  
  +1
  
  31 May 2024 22: 36
  
  You wrote everything well, only it’s the 2st century. The quality of products and goods is directly dependent on the technology used. Qualitative characteristics, i.e. The reliability of the 4nd generation and XNUMXth generation smartphones are the same and depend on the technology, which is approximately the same, and on the developers who laid down the reliability, service life, MTBF, and warranty. When production is automated, the cost is minimal, but the quantity of goods produced can be huge. The word elite, expensive refers to marketing. Today it’s elite, tomorrow it’s an ordinary thing. The words elite and expensive are more related to the socio-political system.
  1. Griffith
    
    0
    
    31 May 2024 23: 46
    
    You wrote everything well, only it’s the 2st century. The quality of products and goods is directly dependent on the technology used. Qualitative characteristics, i.e. The reliability of the 4nd generation and XNUMXth generation smartphones are the same and depend on the technology, which is approximately the same, and on the developers who laid down the reliability, service life, MTBF, and warranty. When production is automated, the cost is minimal, but the quantity of goods produced can be huge. The word elite, expensive refers to marketing. Today it’s elite, tomorrow it’s an ordinary thing. The words elite and expensive are more related to the socio-political system.
    
    Not certainly in that way. Let's take smartphones. If we consider an intensive development path where quality is important, a smartphone would have a service life of 20-30 years. This would allow, firstly, to use materials for production economically, especially for rare earth materials. Secondly, it would be useful for the average person. Just do the math. In modern conditions, in order to be in trend, a smartphone must be changed every two to three years, i.e. in 20 years you need to change it 6-10 times. Thirdly, it is good for the environment, because... Accordingly, 6-10 times less resources are needed. And these are additional costs for metallurgy, mining, petrochemicals, logistics, waste disposal, etc. If we consider the extensive path, then yes, we need 6 to 10 times more resources. This requires money. Where can I get them? Right. Release smartphones that the user should, on average, change faster. This significantly increases the turnover of money. Even technology is developing faster. But what is the price? Mountains of garbage around cities, careless attitude towards things, and accordingly towards work. Why value everything? A couple of years, a new model, it still needs to be changed. Those. The extensive path leads to the cultivation of a net consumer, a net trader, mountains of garbage, environmental pollution and resource depletion. But technology is growing by leaps and bounds. As is the wealth of merchants and bankers.
    For reference. In the 80s of the last century, out of ten multimillionaires, seven were from manufacturing, three from trade and bankers. Now out of ten, one is from manufacturing, eight from bankers and traders, one from the IT sector. Here is the result of the extensive path.
    1. vlad127490
      
      +1
      
      1 June 2024 00: 15
      
      To survive in the modern world, to stay alive, a state or a person, not to become a slave, you have to constantly learn, develop technologies, participate in technological competition. Technologies develop forward in leaps, there is accumulation at one level, then a leap, maybe small, or maybe huge, like in the 20th century. Here there is practically no dependence on which path you are developing, extensive or intensive. Survival issues will force you to choose a path. The Soviet Union had an intensive path, history has shown its prospects. The EU was created in the likeness of the USSR, copied the tracing paper. To become a consumer, you need to have money, change your smartphone more often, have more money, it's a circle. Now money is available from the sale of minerals. If there is none, then the Russian Federation will be in 200th place and what will be its path. The question of Ukraine is a personal question of the "elite" of the Russian Federation, which considers itself the elite of the golden billion, but it is not accepted there. So it is selling itself now.
      1. Griffith
        
        -1
        
        1 June 2024 00: 50
        
        The issue of freedom is the most controversial issue. Firstly, on planet Earth, by definition, there are no free people at all. Because people are herd creatures. A person cannot survive on his own outside of society. But this is almost freedom. If a person wants to survive, he must integrate into the relationships that exist in the "herd" of people, culturally - into social and public relationships. That is, limit himself to those norms of behavior that exist in society. Also, a completely free person cannot exist in principle due to many physical and physiological limitations. That is, the very concept of "freedom" is determined by a person's inner worldview. That is, elementary faith. If a person believes that he is free, then he is free. If a person does not believe that he is free, then he is not free. Logic does not work here, it is a question of faith. And since logic does not work in defining human freedom, then the very concept of freedom is incompatible with the concept of homosapiens, a rational person. Because logic is one of the bases of reason. As a conclusion: freedom is an artificial construct that has no relation to reality.
        
        vlad127490
        
        -1
        
        1 June 2024 16: 05
        
        Specifically, the question here is the survival of the Russian state and what needs to be done. It’s nice to discuss the issue of freedom when you are well-fed, shod, happy, there is peace around you, no one is being killed, you and your loved ones have a happy future. All processes in the world have a beginning, the process associated with Ukraine began in 1991, although Ukrainization was started by a citizen of Austria-Hungary, Grushevsky. Before 1917, such a state as Ukraine did not exist on Earth, it was Little Russia and Novorossiya, but that’s another story. Everyone in Ukraine has their own opinion. In my understanding, all of Ukraine, within the 1975 borders, must be returned to Russia. Hold a referendum, as in Venezuela, and based on the results of the referendum, issue a law in which it will be written that the entire territory of Ukraine, within the borders of 1975, is an integral part of Russia. NATO will not disappear, but Ukraine will have a legally assigned owner in the form of Russia.
nepunamemuk

-3

31 May 2024 21: 36

all this interest tax is a rip off for the poor and poor
this tax allows the poor to pay
we need to switch to a per capita tax
which everyone must pay
both working and not working
in principle, it turns out to be not very big
median salary 40 - 50
current tax is 5-7 thousand rubles
This is roughly what a per capita room should be
but if your employer, let’s say, wants to pay you 15 thousand, then they simply won’t come to him
he will either raise wages or close down
p.s. migrants must pay double per capita tax
regardless of whether it works or not
kapitan92

-1

31 May 2024 22: 06
It is clear that all these tax reforms are not being carried out because life is good.

These tax reforms should have been carried out yesterday.
ont65

+1

1 June 2024 00: 15

Capitalism cannot exist in a closed system; in it it degenerates into either fascism or feudalism. Yes, no, maybe? - The third option is preferable to others. The author omitted the formation of a parallel Western international financial and trade association, BRICS. Nobody in their right mind ever wonders 'what's next' after the fact. The processes generated by the contradictions of globalization according to the Western model did not appear yesterday, so it is not today to invent them point-blank without noticing the existing ones.
PacTyx

0

7 June 2024 13: 12

While “Wedding in Malinovka” sings and dances, no one will build anything. What's left of industry? Military industrial complex? And he is lame and crooked... The current “elites” are not capable of creating - they can only saw.
PacTyx

+1

7 June 2024 19: 41

Continued ...

Personal income tax. And who pays it? Ha-ha-ha)))) That's right! The employer! That is, the really enterprising part of the taxpayers will find a way to bypass this bacchanalia.))) But our officials and top managers from the Civil Code have never paid it and will not pay it. Explain at whose expense the banquet?))) The employer. That is, the people... And so on and so forth...

GAS STATION. And here everything is clear... The extraction of everything that can be extracted is all for industrial and industrial giants, both in the West and in the East, and now also in the South...)))

CONTINUE? Yes, everyone already knows everything. Some people just don’t want to think about it, while others don’t care.

It’s time to remember the “Internationale”, it’s time... Otherwise others will come with their “Marseillaise”, and we’ll have to teach it...