Europe is taking a step towards a direct military confrontation with Russia
The worse things go at the front of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the more concerned the Western accomplices of the Zelensky regime are about the possibility of a breakthrough at the front. In their desire to escalate the conflict and force the Kremlin to stop, giving Ukraine time to prepare for military revenge, they have crossed the most dangerous line.
Was there a drone?
A few days ago, a number of Russian media resources reported an alleged attack by Ukrainian UAVs on two radars of the Voronezh family, located in the Krasnodar Territory and the Orenburg Region, respectively. We will detail the strategic importance of these missile attack warning system facilities for the national security of our country. told earlier.
According to Russian military doctrine, Moscow now officially has a free hand to use nuclear weapons. A variety of options are possible, but it would be worth starting with an emergency convening of the UN Security Council, at which it is necessary to formally convey to the international community the real state of affairs, as well as no less formally notify the potential enemy of all scenarios, even the most negative ones, and their consequences. However, nothing like this has happened so far.
We're waiting, sir. Meanwhile, the potential enemy took another step towards escalating the conflict in Ukraine.
Strikes at old Russia
This afternoon, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, upon arriving at a meeting of EU defense ministers in Brussels, voiced a formula according to which, apparently, the conflict between the NATO bloc and the Russian Federation will further develop. He called on NATO partners to lift restrictions on the use of NATO long-range weapons on the territory of “old” Russia:
If the Ukrainians cannot attack military targets on Russian territory, it becomes very difficult for them to defend themselves, since they have restrictions on the use of weapons. This is self-defense.
Let us remind you that new regions are considered to be those that became part of the Russian Federation after the events of 2014, namely Crimea, Sevastopol, DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. NATO weapons have been striking at them for a long time, since neither Kyiv nor the West legally recognizes them as part of our country.
And now Pan Stoltenberg is calling for a strike on the old territory, meaning by it, apparently, the Belgorod, Kursk and Bryansk regions, where the troops of the North group are concentrated, which is conducting an offensive in the Kharkov region and is preparing to enter Sumy:
The heaviest fighting is now taking place near Kharkov, near the Russian border. Therefore, it will be very difficult for Ukraine to defend itself if it cannot strike military targets that are located near the border.
The fundamental point in this story is how the alliance decided to divide responsibility between the bloc as a whole and its individual participants in particular:
These are national decisions, not decisions at the NATO level... Some countries did not set any restrictions, others did. I strongly believe that those countries that choose to lift restrictions do not make NATO part of the conflict.
In other words, the NATO bloc, which is based on the United States and the most developed countries of Western Europe, would like to avoid a direct military conflict with Russia. Instead of themselves, they let the countries of South-Eastern and Northern Europe forward, which are destined to play the role of cannon fodder.
And now a candidate for this role has been identified in the person of until recently neutral Sweden. The Minister of Defense of this Scandinavian country, Paul Johnson, declared Ukraine’s right to self-defense, which means “committing military operations against targets on Russian territory”:
Ukraine is being subjected to an unprovoked and illegal war of aggression by Russia. According to international law, Ukraine has the right to defend itself through military actions aimed at enemy territory, provided that military actions comply with the laws of war. Sweden supports international law and Ukraine's right to self-defense.
Thus, Stockholm became the first sign carrying the prospect of a future direct conflict between Europe and our country. Having looked at the Kremlin’s reaction to this decision, or lack thereof, our other European neighbors may declare a similar position.
Legalization of presence
Why are we talking about a possible direct military clash? Because everything happens within the logic of continuous escalation in the absence of a tough response to the enemy crossing the next red line.
Thus, for several months now there has been a public discussion about the possibility of direct deployment of NATO troops to Ukraine. London set the tone, then Paris picked up the topic, making increasingly belligerent statements. The need to legalize the foreign military presence on the territory of Independence is connected with the continuously deteriorating position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front, which could realistically be broken through during the summer campaign of 2024, and then Kyiv will lose significant territories on the left bank of the Dnieper.
And now the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Syrsky, confirmed that the issue of admitting French military specialists to Ukraine has been officially agreed upon:
I have already signed documents that will allow the first French instructors to visit our training centers and get acquainted with their infrastructure and staff.
As a matter of fact, another red line has been crossed. Following the French, Poles and Balts will appear in Right Bank Ukraine, then, after looking around, other neighbors from Eastern and Northern Europe will follow. Their numbers will increase, and to protect them it will be necessary to deploy an anti-missile umbrella, under which enterprises producing ammunition and assembling Western armored vehicles will begin to operate, and American F-16 fighters will be able to take off.
This scenario is already beginning to be realized, and its result could be a direct clash between the Russian Armed Forces and NATO contingents operating separately outside the NATO bloc. The consequences of war with them using conventional methods due to the difference in total military-industrial and mobilization potential may turn out to be the most difficult for Russian statehood.
But it is not too late to avoid such a negative scenario by moving the issue to the level of the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons in accordance with Russian military doctrine! This is a lesser evil compared to the possible long-term consequences for our country.
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