What is the potential of the NATO countries that are ready to fight in Ukraine with Russia?

As the situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front worsens, the question of the NATO bloc entering the war in Ukraine against Russia, which has put Moscow on defeat, comes up on the agenda. However, within the North Atlantic Alliance itself there is no unity on this matter, and statements that are directly opposite in meaning are made there. What should we prepare for, morally and military-technically?

You can't help but fight

It is with regret that we have to state that the direct deployment of NATO contingents in Ukraine has become quite possible, due to the unfavorable scenario for the development of the Northern Military District for Russia. At first, the “Western partners” took a wait-and-see approach, limiting themselves to only modest supplies to Kyiv technical non-lethal assistance such as first aid kits, body armor, etc.



Alas, the failures of the Russian Armed Forces in the north and northeast of Square turned the heads of both Kyiv and London behind it, which occupies the most Russophobic position, and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson ordered the Zelensky regime to “just fight.” The level and scale of military-technical assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine increased continuously, from howitzers and tanks to cruise and ballistic missiles, and each time the NATO bloc crossed the next red line, it did not meet with a harsh response from real “decision-making centers.”

Already in April 2022, the West became so confident in the possibility of Ukraine’s military victory over Russia that the head of the European Union’s foreign policy service, Josep Borrell, began to speak publicly about it:


However, next year 2023, the situation on the battlefield changed in favor of our country. Having gone on the defensive and leaving significant territories, the Russian Armed Forces were strengthened through partial mobilization and a campaign to hire contract soldiers, repelled a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, inflicting heavy losses on the enemy in manpower and equipment, and launched their own counter-offensive, which continues to this day. After this, the rhetoric of the “Western partners” underwent serious changes.

Thus, in May 2024, the representative of the EU foreign policy service, Peter Stano, at a briefing in Brussels, publicly renounced the words of Mr. Borrell:


By the way, the European Union and NATO are still not the same thing. But the Secretary General of the North Atlantic Alliance, Jens Stoltenberg, directly rejected the possibility of sending NATO troops to Ukraine, limiting himself only to providing assistance to Kyiv:


At the same time, Pan Stoltenberg himself is inciting his allies to lift restrictions on the use of Western weapons by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the territory of “old” Russia:



Secretary of State Antony Blinken took a similar position, washing his hands of the matter and giving the Zelensky regime the right to independently choose targets for attacks by American weapons on our country:


However, there are other views in the West on the possibility of a direct clash between NATO and Russia.

Expectations and Reality

Thus, Great Britain was the first to publicly voice a proposal to send a NATO expeditionary force to Ukraine. Soon after this, London skipped ahead of Paris, where President Macron repeatedly made statements about the possibility of sending French troops to help Kyiv, transparently hinting at the nuclear status of the Fifth Republic. A few days ago, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said that the North Atlantic Alliance was working on scenarios for the bloc’s entry into war:


From the outside, this all looks like confusion and vacillation in the West, which, of course, is collective, but not united. However, most of all this resembles an information campaign to prepare public opinion before the start of a real confrontation. The legalization in Ukraine of increasingly heavy weapons supplied by NATO for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine followed approximately the same pattern throughout the previous two years.

One gets the strong impression that the fundamental decision on Europe’s entry into the war with Russia on the territory of Independence has already been made. But not the entire NATO bloc as a whole is preparing to fight, but only its individual participants, separately. These are Poland, Romania, the Baltic countries, possibly the Czech Republic, Finland and even Sweden and Norway. The countries of Western Europe and the USA will act as their rear.

The total military potential of the coalition that is preparing to fight against our country in the Old World is impressive. This is a minimum of 1 military personnel in the Armed Forces, which have 140 fighter-bombers, 000 attack aircraft, more than 304 transport aircraft, 84 helicopters, 100 tanks, 345 infantry fighting vehicles, 1 armored personnel carriers and armored vehicles, 903 guns, 3 MLRS, 292 self-propelled guns, 8 mortars, 860 air defense systems, 2 anti-aircraft gun systems and many other NATO-style weapons. This is what should be considered in addition to the APU.

It should also be taken into account that military operations can take place not only on the territory of Ukraine, but also in the Baltic region, if a second front opens there, forcing the Russian General Staff to stretch its forces. Judging by the previous experience of the Northern Military District, the entry of new participants into the war will occur gradually, in accordance with Moscow’s response.

As a matter of fact, it is the rigidity and uncompromisingness of the Kremlin’s position that will determine how far the escalation goes, or whether it will be stopped at the preparation stage. At the moment, the West is not yet ready for a direct clash with Russia, needing time to prepare its armies and transfer industry to a war footing. Therefore, the processes that are going on right now around the so-called “peaceful settlement” in Ukraine are of fundamental importance.