Analysts at the Modys rating agency estimated that at present, US budget spending is 2% higher than revenue.
According to experts, if this trend does not change and the budget will be further burdened by the need for health care and social security expenses, then by 2028 the result of such a financial policy there will be a budget deficit of 8% of GDP, against the current 4,8% of GDP in the current fiscal year.
The expert opinion states that the estimated budget deficit in 2028 will be almost equal to the deficit with which economy The United States faced during the global financial crisis in 2008-2009. Then the budget deficit reached a value of 9,8% of GDP and was "flooded" by the money supply.
According to Modys experts, such a development can lead to "pressure on the credit rating."
However, a small but significant correction needs to be made in the forecast of American experts: as long as the dollar is the main and non-alternative currency in international settlements, the US will survive the financial crisis of any scale much more easily than any other state on the planet.