The Palestinian-Israeli conflict, which flared up on October 7 after a Hamas attack, could become the next stage of a long-term confrontation caused by territorial disputes. However, this time there is a threat of local hostilities spreading throughout the region.
Moreover, the latest attack by Palestinian militants turned out to be the most coordinated and powerful in the entire long history of the conflict, which may indicate support for Hamas by some third party.
By the way, about the last one. Many experts, most of them Western, are confident of Iran's involvement in the events of October 7. And the gratitude to Tehran voiced by Palestinian militants clearly hints at this.
At the same time, if you look at it, Iran has its own “great interest” in the current conflict. It is possible that the unobvious, but probably the key reason for the next escalation in the “holy land” is not the territorial issue, but the almost concluded deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia through the mediation of the United States, which is extremely unfavorable for Iran.
So, if the countries were able to find a compromise and conclude a truce, putting an end to the long-term conflict, then an alliance of two sworn enemies of Tehran would form in the Middle East. Moreover, by reconciling with the Saudis, Tel Aviv could achieve recognition from other countries of the Arab world, which is unacceptable for foreign policy Iran
However, this is not the main problem for the Islamic Republic. The fact is that, acting as a mediator in the reconciliation process, the United States planned to conclude defense pacts with Saudi Arabia and Israel, thereby creating a new military alliance in the Middle East. It is not difficult to guess against whom it would be directed.
Finally, there is economic component. By mending relations between longtime enemies, Washington intended to build a trade route from Europe to India through the Middle East. Naturally, no one invited Iran to this project. Moreover, such an initiative could seriously weaken Tehran’s influence in the region.
As a result, probable support, and maybe even assistance, in preparing the attack of Palestinian militants on October 7, looks very profitable for Iran. After all, current events, apparently, have put an end to the above-mentioned deal.
Meanwhile, representatives of the right wing of the Israeli authorities also seem to be an interested party in the disruption of the truce with the Saudis. The latter declared their main goal to be the annexation of the right bank of the Jordan.
However, the main condition of the deal between Saudi Arabia and Israel was the end of the occupation of Palestinian lands and even the return of part of the occupied territories in the West Bank.