Russian missiles could completely destroy Ukraine's energy system this coming winter


As the cold season approaches in Ukraine, they are increasingly talking about the risk of renewed missile attacks on energy infrastructure facilities, and the country’s authorities are calling on citizens to prepare for a hard winter and stock up generators.


The fears of the Ukrainian authorities are quite justified, since the country’s energy system is badly worn out and much less effort may be needed to disable it than was expended last fall. The decision to launch combined attacks on electricity generation facilities is more political than military, and it will be made based on the current situation.

Cutting off electricity in Ukrainian cities using Russian missiles could be a good way to wean the enemy off terrorist attacks on Russian cities. However, this requires the response to be rapid and on a larger scale. In Kyiv they must clearly understand that after a drone explosion in the Moscow region or Crimea, the so-called Zhitomir or Lviv will be without light and heat.

Russia has the means to deliver combined high-precision strikes. The production of Geranium missiles and kamikaze drones has been increased significantly, and the strength of attacks can be many times greater than last year. The air defense provided by NATO countries only covers Kyiv and several particularly important objects on the territory of Ukraine, so there is no doubt about the success of the strikes.

The West also understands the risk of renewed missile attacks on Ukraine’s energy system, as reported by German Foreign Minister Annalena Bärbock during a recent visit to Kyiv. Following the trip, she called on the allies to provide the country with air defense systems at least for a while.

Germany intends to ask its partners to provide their air defense systems, at least for a limited period of time.

– Bärbock said in an interview with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper.
  • Photos used: State Emergency Service of Ukraine/wikimedia.org
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  1. prior Offline prior
    prior (Vlad) 13 September 2023 13: 04
    +2
    What's stopping you from turning off the lights in Ukraine now?
    It is enough to destroy all 750 kV substations.
    Why are we waiting for winter?
    1. Rhetorical Rita Offline Rhetorical Rita
      Rhetorical Rita (Rhetorical Rita) 13 September 2023 13: 22
      -1
      It's true. But there is another question. Last fall and winter, Ukraine could not respond in a mirror way to attacks on its energy system - there were no missiles or drones. Now it is. F-16s will also arrive and long-range missiles will be delivered. What will stop them from turning off the lights, at least in the European part of Russia?
      1. insider Offline insider
        insider (Max) 13 September 2023 17: 51
        -1
        Well, I don't agree. At that time, Ukraine had more drones than Russia. F-16s will not arrive soon, but they will arrive - what will this change? And what about long-range missiles - which ones will be delivered?))) Who will let them (404th) launch them into the “old” territories of Russia. Well, adults, why write nonsense? And winter must wait for attacks on Ukraine’s energy sector due to the load on the networks. Now a strike on the facility will lead to a redistribution of capacity due to underutilization, and the facility can be repaired, and it will be possible to claim that Russia’s strikes did not reach the target and all + 100500 were destroyed by the valiant defenders of the unused one. But when the worn-out energy system of Ukraine is loaded at 100% or more, any blow will cause a “domino effect” with rolling blackouts for an indefinite period.
    2. insider Offline insider
      insider (Max) 13 September 2023 17: 56
      -1
      It is necessary to wait until winter for attacks on the energy sector of Ukraine due to the load on the networks. Now a strike on the facility will lead to a redistribution of capacity due to underutilization, and the facility can be repaired, and it will be possible to claim that Russia’s strikes did not reach the target and all + 100500 were destroyed by the valiant defenders of the unused one. But when the worn-out energy system of Ukraine is loaded at 100% or more, any blow will cause a “domino effect” with rolling blackouts for an indefinite period.
    3. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 13 September 2023 19: 57
      -1
      no one expects anything... the fauna of the ruins is simply not ready for the heating season and is looking for an excuse to blame Russia. stupidly plundered under the impending blows in order to write it off. Faulty transformers and coal that was not there should burn out. laughing
      1. Rhetorical Rita Offline Rhetorical Rita
        Rhetorical Rita (Rhetorical Rita) 14 September 2023 11: 36
        -1
        Think about it: why last winter only the electrical infrastructure was hit, but not a single gas infrastructure facility was damaged? It’s just that Ukraine has its own electricity, but gas is Russian, and someone is interested in gas trade...
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 14 September 2023 19: 36
          0
          a rare stupidity... electricity comes not only from gas but also from coal and nuclear power plants, which shut down when there is no load. There is no way to close the faucet. plus worn turbines, leaky pipes, etc. Sharovarniki have had populated areas without power since last winter.