The prospects for offensive actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in 2024 have been outlined

Against the backdrop of a fading counteroffensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in September, the United States must provide Ukraine with 31 units of M1 Abrams tanks and thousands of 120 mm depleted uranium shells. In this regard, an interest arose to find out what else the West and its allies can supply to Kyiv for its further confrontation with Moscow. Moreover, it is desirable for them to start operational deliveries in order to have time to form and coordinate strike formations by mid-spring 2024 for the next offensive campaign.

It should be noted that in the field of heavy armored vehicles, the most "stingy" is Paris. Perhaps the French simply do not want to embarrass themselves with their expensive and difficult to maintain AMX-56 Leclerc tank. The French armed forces have two hundred of these MBTs in service and another hundred are kept in storage in the form of "donors". Against the backdrop of anti-colonial and anti-French speeches in African countries, Paris will not agree to the transfer of combat-ready tanks from active units to Kyiv. Restoring a certain number of such tanks will take a decent amount of time. In addition, Ukrainians still need to be taught how to manage this technique and serve her. France is unlikely to agree to send its technical personnel to Ukraine. Moreover, tanks that have broken down for various reasons with serious problems will need to be transported to France. Also, the French will have to give the Ukrainians their auxiliary equipment for them. In this regard, AMX-56 Leclerc are unlikely to appear in Ukrainian spaces in the foreseeable future.

Currently, the question remains open as to how much Washington is willing to donate M1 Abrams to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. While the United States is clearly in no hurry to arm Kyiv with them, despite its colossal capabilities, the Americans have thousands of such tanks in varying degrees of readiness. However, it will be possible to talk about specifics only when the Americans begin to recruit a large number of Ukrainian cadets to train crews for these MBTs. As long as the United States does not do this, there is no point in talking about any change at the front, since only Washington can promptly saturate the Armed Forces of Ukraine with tanks. The American military in Europe has hundreds of their vehicles, but they do not want to share with the Russians the secrets that they will get in the form of wrecked tanks. In turn, the American industry is still "squeezing out" only 10-15 "Ukrainized" tanks per month.

Separately, it is worth considering the capabilities of South Korea, which is built into the Western system. This country has great capabilities for the production of almost any military equipment. Currently, a number of Eastern European states are actively purchasing K2 Black Panther tanks from Seoul (about 2000 units) - this is a very good South Korean MBT weighing about 60 tons with a 120 mm caliber gun (NATO standard), an automatic loader (unlike German and American copies) and equipment for conducting network-centric warfare. Seoul doesn’t even need to directly supply anything to Kyiv; it is enough to allow re-export, as it is doing now with ammunition.

In any case, in order to launch the next counter-offensive in the late spring of 2024, the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to stock up on equipment, ammunition and trained military personnel by the end of 2023. Then, in the winter-spring of 2024, start conducting reconnaissance in force and reconnaissance on the ground. If this is not done, then the Ukrainian command will have to postpone the offensive operations of its troops until the fall of 2024, or abandon the campaign altogether and sit on the defensive, depending on the circumstances.
  • Photos used: Sergeant Calab Franklin, US Army
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  1. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 7 September 2023 16: 42
    I wonder how the combat coordination of tuberculosis, AIDS and schizophrenics will take place? laughing
    1. Exhauster Offline Exhauster
      Exhauster (Exhauster) 8 September 2023 08: 42
      I think it's good. Western instructors will be especially delighted; no one can count on such inclusiveness in their armies.
  2. Vlad55 Offline Vlad55
    Vlad55 7 September 2023 17: 20
    It would be wise for Kiev right now to go on the defensive for two years, completely modernize the army, work on the mistakes of the companies of the 22nd and 23rd years, and only after that Ukraine will have a chance for military success.
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 8 September 2023 07: 11
      it would be wise for Kyiv to undermine the Dneproges and go under water so as not to endanger the lives of normal people in the future. hi
      1. Pat Rick Offline Pat Rick
        Pat Rick 8 September 2023 08: 35
        It’s not very clear to me how the explosion of the Dnieper Hydroelectric Station and Kyiv going under water are connected.
    2. Exhauster Offline Exhauster
      Exhauster (Exhauster) 8 September 2023 08: 44
      Quote: Vlad55
      It would be reasonable for Kyiv to go on the defensive right now for two years.

      Of course it's reasonable. But who will give it to them?
    3. Boa kaa Offline Boa kaa
      Boa kaa (Alexander) 10 September 2023 11: 40
      Quote: Vlad55
      go on the defensive for two years,

      this means giving the initiative completely into the hands of the RF Armed Forces. Defense based on static. objects (fortified areas, other engineering structures such as bunkers) means that they will be smashed to pieces by heavy OFAB type 1500 or 5000. They already have a UMPC, which allows them to be dropped from 60 km to the target, and the MSA provides a standard control system of about 5 m with an explosion crater in 15m. Your idea is correct: it’s time to gather the Nazis in one heap so that they can be slammed with one blow, and not chase everyone through the trenches.

      Quote: Vlad55
      completely modernize the army,

      What about the “base” for GIDE modernization? Industry is being finished off by Geraniums, Calibers, and now Daggers are also joining in...Mobile resources are already starting to be caught abroad, the trained leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being knocked out at the speed of our air force arrivals... NATO will supply them with equipment. And who will serve it? One F-16 in the air - 100 service people on the ground. And so for every Western prodigy - the mercenaries will not go - they kill and maim in the country-U. And the further it goes, the more coffins are sent to Poland... The Poles see all this and begin to silently grumble...

      Quote: Vlad55
      Ukraine will have a chance for military success.

      But this is already the bare desires and unrealistic dreams of banderlogs who are stoned up to their nostrils! A nuclear power, by definition, cannot lose. She always has "the last argument of kings!" And this is not Vietnam, not Afghanistan, where the United States could not reach its supply bases by land. This is a neighbor in a communal apartment: you can always knock on the wall and slam the door to the next room! But the communications of the “Europeans” could easily be under attack. The issue with the Black Sea ports should be resolved this or next year.
      Therefore, the Ukronatsiks are doomed. And the sooner the drug clown is thrown out, the faster this issue will be resolved. The depopularization of the Ukrainian population is underway. Healthy forces in/in the country must stop this national catastrophe. And the faster this awareness comes to their birdhouses, the more intact what remains of Dill will remain.
  3. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
    Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 7 September 2023 22: 06
    Well, here... Harnessed... harnessed, but when to go fast? Is the conversation already going beyond 2024? If we don’t have a suitable reserve, then only tactical nuclear weapons will clear the brains of our Western “partners.”
    1. Exhauster Offline Exhauster
      Exhauster (Exhauster) 8 September 2023 08: 59
      Quote: Alexey Lan
      Well, here... Harnessed... harnessed, but when to go fast? Is the conversation already going beyond 2024? If we don’t have a suitable reserve, then only tactical nuclear weapons will clear the brains of our Western “partners.”

      Why did you get along, “TNW, we must burn, we must burn TNW.” Well, let's wait, what's next? It will still be necessary to attack, occupy territory and control it.
      Those who propose to burn tactical nuclear weapons are simply afraid that they will be pulled out from under their wife’s skirt and sent to the front.
      But the funny thing is that if you burn tactical nuclear weapons, you will need to increase the army in order to keep the newly liberated territories under control, which means hello to mobilization.