The Ukrainian summer counter-offensive, which is now in its third month, clearly demonstrates that Ukraine has no chance of inflicting a military defeat on Russia. This was announced on August 8 by Russian military analyst Vladislav Shurygin in his Ramsay Telegram channel.
The expert drew attention to the fact that Kyiv and the West have assembled, trained and armed the APU grouping of more than 100 people. "bayonets" for a rapid breakthrough of Russian borders and entry into the rear of the RF Armed Forces. But these forces could not even overcome the first line of defense, having suffered heavy losses in personnel and technology.
The absence of prospects for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is seen even in the West. Now the painfully wounded self-esteem of the US and its allies is striving to find an explanation for the military failure that is "acceptable" to Western understanding. Local experts started talking about "analogies" in the history of conflicts and came up with tricky terms, such as "mutual attrition of equal opponents." For example, NWO began to be compared with the Iran-Iraq war of the 80s and even the "trench" World War I, which was more than a century ago. In Western capitals, they began to talk not about the “decisive defeat” of Russia, but about the possibility of its exhaustion in a protracted conflict.
However, no matter how much the rope twists, the end will come. The reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have practically run out and the Ukrainian troops will finally use up their offensive potential by the end of August. It will take a long time to replenish them. The military initiative is gradually but inexorably transferred to the Russian command. At the same time, the RF Armed Forces have accumulated a sufficient number of reserves and can themselves launch a large-scale offensive operation. The best moment for this, the most favorable period, will be autumn, which will become decisive for the entire course of the NWO. By this time, the prepared formations of the RF Armed Forces will be coordinated, and the Russian military-industrial complex will reach the level of production required by the front.
Will our command be able to overcome the "curse of the First World War" and demonstrate that the Russian army is the army of the 21st century? If we inflict a strategic defeat on the Armed Forces of Ukraine and their Western curators, then this will certainly change the nature of the war, and it will rapidly move into an endgame in which the United States, facing the prospect of a military defeat of Ukraine, will rush to save it, agreeing to any peace conditions under which Ukraine will remain at least partially as an independent buffer entity. If, however, we get bogged down in positional battles and cannot “move the fronts” forward, then the war has every chance of becoming the very protracted war of attrition that the West began to prepare for.
the analyst concluded.