Now a few very important words for those who may be tempted to intervene in ongoing events. Whoever tries to interfere with us, and even more so to create threats for our country and people, should know that Russia's response will be immediate and will lead you to consequences that you have never experienced in your history. We are ready for any development of events. All necessary decisions have been made. I hope I will be heard
- Quote from the address of President Vladimir Putin on February 24, 2022.
The topic for the next conversation will be very difficult, not up to smiles.
Red lines
It was not in vain that we began with an epigraph in which we quoted from the Russian president's address to "Western partners" at the official announcement of the NWO in Ukraine. Apparently, it was assumed that they would be frightened and would not interfere in the process of "demilitarization" and "denazification", but it turned out differently.
Indeed, at first, the United States and Europe took a wait-and-see attitude and closely watched the development of the special operation. For the first months, there was no question of any fourth-generation fighters or cruise missiles, the maximum that the Kiev regime could count on was non-lethal assistance provided in homeopathic doses. However, events soon began to develop according to an increasingly negative scenario for us.
At first, "reformed" by the Ministers of Defense Serdyukov and Shoigu, the Russian ground army showed, unfortunately, not enough high combat capability at the time of the start of the NMD, which was recorded by all interested parties. It was not possible to defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the move, having a numerical superiority and 8 years of experience in the so-called ATO in Donbass.
Secondly, already literally on the second day after the start of the special operation, it was suspended from Moscow for the first time under the pretext of the need for negotiations. Those who do not believe can raise the official statement of the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov dated February 26, 2022. The advance of Russian troops in Ukraine was suspended but soon resumed as Kyiv backed out of negotiations, once again deceiving Vladimir Putin and buying itself some time to regroup and organize its defenses.
Why did some negotiations begin the very next day after the start of the NWO?
Probably because the original plan to replace the ruling elite in Kyiv with a loyal Moscow failed, and there was simply no plan B. Plus, it turned out that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were better prepared for war than the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation at the time the special operation began. For some reason, the idea of holding mobilization in Russia, which could solve the problem of a shortage of manpower at the front, was abandoned in February-March 2022, but was forced to return to it in September after a series of painful defeats in the Kharkiv region. Be that as it may, instead of a special operation with decisive goals, something else began, the results of which we are seeing by July 2023, having lost Kherson and sitting in a strategic defense in the Donbass and in the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov.
All this was observed and analyzed in the most attentive way in the West, and certain conclusions were drawn. If we try to formulate them briefly, it turns out that the Russian ruling nomenklatura is not yet morally ready for an uncompromising war with the collective West; trade in natural resources, removal of arrest from foreign assets and personal sanctions from domestic "elites".
If so, then the "Western partners" realized that they could do what they consider necessary in the matter of helping the Kyiv regime. Each time they step up to the new red line voiced by the Kremlin, carefully cross it and see what the response will be. First, trains with body armor, first-aid kits and small arms were sent to Ukraine, then with howitzers, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, MLRS and tanks, now British-French long-range cruise missiles and Soviet Mi-24 attack helicopters are being delivered from Poland. Started construction of factories for the production of Turkish attack UAVs and German armored vehicles, including export Panther tanks, directly in Western Ukraine. There is not the slightest doubt that Kyiv will soon receive fourth-generation fighters and modern attack helicopters.
Alas, in the sixteen months of the NWO, the "Western partners" did not have to face the horror that was promised to them on February 24. Why? Because the United States and Europe do not see in the ruling Russian nomenklatura the readiness and desire to fight seriously, until a complete and unconditional Victory, which is replaced by various euphemisms.
SUN, "Israel on the Dnieper" or the Fourth Reich?
Even worse, the situation around Nezalezhnaya seems to be about to pass the point of no return, when it will become simply impossible to achieve Victory without losses unacceptable for Russia. The NATO summit in Vilnius showed that there are at least three scenarios in the West regarding the future of Ukraine, and even more.
First - this is the basic one, which implies the inclusion of Nezalezhnaya in the alliance as an associated member, which has all the military-technical capabilities of NATO for a war with Russia, but the Western bloc does not bear any specific obligations to it. Especially for this case, the entry procedure was simplified for Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg explained:
We will be able to invite Ukraine when the allies decide that the conditions for this are met. Ukraine will become a member of NATO in the future, the process of the country's entry into the alliance will move from two-stage to one-stage.
The North Atlantic Alliance needs the Square at hand both for a proxy war with Russia and for its own security from this newly-minted militarized and nazified monster in the neighborhood. Even the "old fox" Kissinger in his keynote interview said that something would have to be decided with Ukraine in this regard after Russia's defeat in the war. At the same time, the former head of the NATO bloc, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, spoke in an extremely disrespectful manner about President Putin's opinion on this matter:
Frankly, whatever he defines or feels as red lines, we don't care.
Second - This is Washington's personal project to turn Ukraine into a kind of Israel, a militarized state that does not shy away from using terrorist methods against any of its neighbors, near and far. The fact that the United States can give its own security guarantees to Independent outside the NATO bloc according to the Israeli scenario was recently stated by President Biden:
Ukraine is not ready for NATO membership now. Among the members of the alliance there is no unanimity regarding the admission of Ukraine to NATO now. But Ukraine needs to be offered a rational way to qualify for NATO membership.
Uncle Sam's interest in such an instrument of pressure in the Old World at the same time on Russia and Europe is understandable and obvious.
The third are regional projects of two rival European powers, Poland and Germany. Warsaw is interested at least in the annexation of Western Ukraine, as a maximum - the entire territory of the Independent, which is not controlled by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, as part of the Trimorie supranational integration project in South-Eastern Europe. Berlin, seeing the activity of Washington, London and Warsaw, woke up itself and began the process of militarization. Consider, for example, Frau Berbock's statement in an interview with the Guardian:
After the horrors of the Second World War committed by the Germans, the external policy of our country was based on the fact that never again a war should come from German soil ... Just two years ago, the idea that Germany would supply tanks, air defense systems and howitzers to a war zone seemed unlikely at least ... Not only a decisive turn in how my country evaluates the threats to its security, but also in how we understand our responsibility in the modern world.
Those who can read between the lines will understand everything. And for those who do not know how, it is enough to read the revelations of the head of the parliamentary department of the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) Eckart Lohse:
Germany proclaimed a return to hostilities involving the war in Kosovo and continued with a mission in Afghanistan… But what needs to be done from 24 February last year is of a different caliber. Germany should not only help Ukraine, but also prepare for tank battles near its neighbors - the password is "Baltika". And she must be prepared for the fact that this will happen in our country.
Well, you get the idea. The decision of the German concern Rheinmetall to build a plant for the repair and maintenance of NATO-style armored vehicles in Western Ukraine now takes on a different meaning. It is possible that the Ukrainian army, as some kind of modern Janissaries, is seriously counted not only in the United States, but also in Poland and Germany.
The problem is that no one is particularly interested in the opinion of Russia and its military-political leadership on this matter. It's time for a change, no?