Ten "defeats" of Putin
Overview of the endless victories of the Russian Federation for the reporting period, starting with the revolution of the losers of 2014. Epigraph: "Only he who does nothing is not mistaken!"
Thank God, you all know me as the Sharp-eyed Putin falcon, who stands guard over the interests of the Russian Federation and almost eats from the hand of the Darkest One, and the fact that I am sitting on the Kremlin's salary is not even discussed, so the fact that I I’ll say now, you’ll be critical, not suspecting me that I went over for a roll of butter to the enemy’s camp on the opposite side.
I understand, of course, that the enemy propaganda is working and it delivers all our victories and defeats in the right perspective from the angle she needs, as a result, no one risks finding out about our victories in the West, and even our defeats (imagine, there are such ) they inflate to gigantic proportions, multiplying the negative effect. But even I, looking back, begin to critically rethink all our achievements and reflect, and are they achievements? What I’ll try to do here now by submitting to your court a list of our victories and defeats, starting with our first defeat - state. coup in Ukraine (whatever one may say, this is our joint, they overlooked!). I will not serve in chronological order, just as it comes to mind.
Victory 1st. Mistral
On September 15, 2014, the Vladivostok UDC, built by the French company STX France by order of the Russian Navy at the Chantiers de l'Atlantique shipyard in Saint-Nazaire (France), went to sea for sea trials with a Russian crew on board. And already on December 18 of the same year, due to difficulties with the transfer of the ship, the Russian crew on the training ship "Smolny" departed from Saint-Nazaire for their homeland. So ingloriously for us ended our epic with the "Mistrals". Let me remind you for those who have forgotten: on June 7, 2011, during the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, a contract worth € 1 billion 120 million was signed between Rosoboronexport and the French shipbuilding company DCNS. The contract provided for the supply of two Mistral-class UDC (universal amphibious assault ships-helicopter carriers). The first ship was named "Vladivostok", the second - "Sevastopol", France was supposed to transfer them to the Russian fleet in November 2014 and October 2015, respectively. However, this did not happen for reasons beyond our control. The United States intervened in the matter and blocked the deal, pushing its decision through the gutta-percha Hollande (if anyone has forgotten, this figure was then working as President of France). As a result, France fell under penalties, a loss of business reputation (such an incident happened for the first time in its history!), And we were left without two ships that would be very useful to us now in Syria (but then no one knew about Syria, the ships were built in reinforced ice class for operation in northern latitudes, including in difficult ice conditions, and were assigned to the Pacific Fleet, but the Americans looked into the water, and here we must give them their due).
2nd victory. Debt of Yanukovych
If anyone has forgotten, then the notorious debt of Yanukovych, the very $ 3 billion that Ukraine was supposed to return to Russia back in December 2015, has never been returned to us. And in the near future he is not even going to. "Why - was it possible?" - the unlucky reader will be surprised. You can, it turns out, you can! If it comes to Russia, then, as you can see, everything is possible! Especially if the case is being considered by our best friend, the High Court of London (since the deal was concluded under English law, the parties met there). It would seem that everything is obvious, the money has been received by the Ukrainian side, there are documents confirming this - if you please, return it, please, with interest and penalties for delay! .. Aha! Already ... The end of 2018 is in the yard, but things are still there. Three years litigation with the Ukrainian side, as a result of which the case was returned for reconsideration. This is another five years. By that time, either the donkey will die (read, Ukraine), or the padishah (write yourself what you want, you can dollar, you can America, you can Russia, I leave it up to you).
For those who are not in the subject, I would like to inform you that on September 14, 2018, the Court of Appeal of England and Wales upheld the appeal of Ukraine against the verdict of the High Court of London in the case of $ 3 billion not paid by Ukraine to Russia in December 2015. As a result, the case, which has been going on since February 2016, in which everything is clear, like two or two, is directed to a reconsideration of the High English Court, this time not under the accelerated procedure, as it was before, but under the full program within the framework of the classic legal proceedings with considering all political moments in the case. As a result, the case runs the risk of dragging on for another five years. For those who did not understand what happened after that, I am translating from legal to public - the judge of the Court of Appeal decided that the first instance court mistakenly did not consider the arguments of the Ukrainian side, so now the case will be heard within the framework of a full-fledged procedure, which will postpone the possibility of recovery debt in favor of the Russian Federation for at least another period of the aforementioned legal proceedings. Andestend? Three years of ships down the drain! Only the lawyers from both sides involved in the process got rich (moreover, both the plaintiff and the defendant are represented by English legal campaigns, which is understandable, the parties are suing in accordance with English law).
As a result, Ukraine, spurred on by its overseas patrons, risks not returning this debt to Russia EVER. At least until the change of external curators. When will this happen? Well, definitely not in the next 5-10 years. Who is to blame for this? Well, of course, anyone, just not us and our short-sighted policy towards our closest neighbors. We missed them in the hope that they would not go anywhere from the submarine. But you got lost, because our sworn "friends and partners" had other plans in this regard. And they have fully implemented them. And they will continue to implement it as long as we allow it. Note, lawyers, and, again, English, have recaptured their expenses - from a bad sheep at least a tuft of wool, and the Russian Federation has only once again wiped it off.
Victory 3rd. Stockholm
Even worse, the story happened in Stockholm, where the same Ukraine and Russia met, who filed counterclaims there now on the gas case.
As a result, on June 19, 2018, the London Commercial Court, following this review, froze Gazprom's assets throughout England and Wales. The decision was made at the request of NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine as an interim measure in pursuance of the decision of the Stockholm Arbitration. The court seized all the assets of PJSC Gazprom more than $ 50 thousand, the press service of Naftogaz reported. Earlier, this happened with the assets of "Gazprom" in the Dutch and Swiss jurisdictions. While Russia was winning on the football fields of the 2018 World Cup, Ukraine quite predictably achieved victory in European courts, quietly seizing the property of the Russian gas monopoly, and soon, if things go this way, it will be able to claim a certain share of the Russian flagship. economics. Bullshit, you say? It can not be! Far from it, it may well be not like that.
Because before that, the Swedish Arbitration ordered to reimburse the Ukrainian side for a penalty in the amount of 4,63 lard of greens for the lack of gas pumping by the Russian side, according to the transit agreement. At the same time, the court did not take into account the arguments of the Russian side that the decrease in transit was associated with a decrease in the demand for gas from European consumers. As a result, taking into account the first court decision, the amount by mutual repayment decreased to $ 1 billion, but this did not make it easier for Gazprom, since it was still a failure!
This, I must say, no one expected. Indeed, until now, all contracts were considered in favor of the Supplier. Well, the supplying party cannot take risks and invest in exploration and drilling of new wells if it does not have clear purchase volumes. It has been that way until now. With Ukraine, the arbitration set a precedent - they made an exception for it, allowing it not to fulfill its obligations, at the same time obliging the opposing party to fulfill all its obligations in full. Note that the same precedent was set by the IMF, which, to please Ukraine, even rewrote its Charter, which forbids it to lend to countries with overdue sovereign debt, and gave it a lot of money, knowing in advance that it would never see it. Miracles, say? But the miracles for our client did not end there, but only began. And the farther from the revolution of losers, the more miraculous and miraculous ... It got to the point that in 2018 she was almost given a tomos for the autocephaly of her local church. This is where miracles truly happened! Although, why be surprised when the miracle worker who has taken this fragment of autocracy under his cover, everyone knows, and everyone knows where he sits, in such a beautiful Oval Office overlooking the Capitol. But we will talk about the tomos below. In the meantime, let's return to our hapless Gazprom.
The maximum that he was able to achieve was to suspend the execution of the court decision, referring to certain linguistic features of the document, which proved that the Arbitration in its decision was not independent, attracting experts to write it, which was forbidden to him under his own Charter. This was the aerobatics of the lawyer group, attracted by Gazprom, because they were able to challenge the decision, which was not subject to challenge.
Further I quote the original source: "On June 13, the Court of Appeal of the Svea District (Sweden) granted the petition of Gazprom and suspended the execution of the decision of the Arbitration Institute of the Stockholm Chamber of Commerce of February 28, 2018 on the dispute with NJSC Naftogaz under the gas transit contract" (end of quote ). As a result, the decision of the Arbitration Tribunal to pay Naftogaz 4,63 yards of greenery was suspended, which does not prevent Gazprom from demanding from Naftogaz to repay 2,018 yards of greenery according to the 1st court decision, plus those very fine 600 thousand dollars per day, which continue to drip since December 22, 2017. Gazprom did not challenge the court's decision, it is final and this is a fact - it challenged the procedure, appealed at the place of residence of the Stockholm Chamber of Commerce in the Svea District and won the case.
It is quite rare for an appellate court to suspend an arbitration award. The appeal allows Gazprom to at least delay the time and postpone the payment of $ 2,6 billion to Ukraine. The proceedings, during which the decision of the Stockholm Arbitration Court was suspended, could drag on for at least several months. Most likely, additional independent linguistic expertise will be carried out. And if it turns out that the decision was really not written by the arbitration judges, it may well be declared invalid and canceled. This, of course, is not a victory, but it is not a defeat either. Theoretically, Naftogaz may try to continue the process of seizing Gazprom's foreign assets (which it did recently by seizing the assets of Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2), but after the suspension of the decision, the Russian gas monopoly has additional arguments to fight off these attempts. And he will use them, you can be sure!
4th victory. Downed Boeing
Unfortunately, this did not work out with the downed Malaysian Boeing 777. For the reasons I will discuss below. What was there, I will not retell, the story is known to everyone and pretty boring to everyone. In fact, there is a clumsy work of special services trying to manipulate public opinion in a desire to pull facts onto the globe, which, however, they do not succeed very much. At the same time, WHAT really happened is no longer so important, it is important how and what is said about it on TV. An endless soap opera with a postponed ending, when the villain is initially known to everyone and no one has a desire to watch until the end. The case has been dragging on since July 2014. So what? What's the bottom line? After all, everyone knows everything - vile separatists, not without the help of even more vile Russia, shot down an innocent civilian Boeing of Malaysian Airlines. 298 innocent souls have died! And after all, everyone understands who is to blame, the villain was appointed initially. Of course, this is Putin (and who else?). But something has been dragging on for a long time, for 4 whole years, Putin resists, dodges, does not want to confess, and then, with facts and documents, proves that it was not he, but Ukraine who did it. “How so, Ukraine? - the one who already knew IT ALL is surprised. - Why on earth? Nope, we didn't agree so! The sanctions have already been included, the screws have been tightened, it cannot be canceled, really? And who, besides Putin himself, still knows about this when we have all the microphones? Nope, didn't hear anything. Yes, what are you saying, is it really Ukraine? We won't believe in life! "...
It got to the point that even if tomorrow Shoigu proves that Poroshenko personally controlled Buk, and there is video evidence of that, then nothing will change either. Nothing at all! And "the whole world" will not even know about it! But he learns that Skripal was killed personally by Putin, and he personally poisoned the Syrian children with chlorine (together with Assad, he personally threw them off the plane!). About interference in the American elections, British Brexit and the Austrian colonel, personally recruited by the future president of the Russian Federation, the whole world already knows everything and resignedly believes in this nonsense. Of course, this indefatigable Putin, he's just the devil in the flesh! And his agents GRU - so they finally can on every corner and under every bed. If it comes out that Putin also spied on Merkel, while simultaneously eavesdropping on Hollande and Macron, no one would be surprised. They will only be glad that Putin did not overhear them personally and the Pope. Although, who knows? You can expect everything from Putin! Putin - he is! Here I have given you only a small fraction of the possible consequences of the cognitive war unleashed against us by the collective West, the first act of which was the episode with the downed Boeing.
I may repeat the common truth, but the truth will not change from this - who owns information flows, he owns the world. Agree, it's stupid to play cards with a card sharper when he has all the decks marked and each has 5 aces. And our sharper owns not only information flows, but also financial ones. And in order to win against him, playing by his rules, we will probably have to turn the table of cards. There's just no other way! Because the game has already gone out of bounds. Well, if so, then we'll turn the table over. "Why do we need a world in which we are not?" (from). Do you know the author of these words? Will you check ?!
Victory 5th. Tomos
However, our sworn "partners" did not intend to stop at this. After biting the bit, twig! Now our existential enemy has encroached on something sacred - Orthodoxy! It would seem that the Ecumenical Patriarch is His Divine All-Holiness Archbishop of Constantinople (New Rome) Bartholomew I, in the world of Dimitrios Archondonis, an elderly man, like, 78 years old, it would seem it is time to think about the soul. No, no! I want, he says, to be the Pope of New Rome (Constantinople), I don't want, he says, to be the first among equals, but I want to be equal among the first ... I and the Pope! .. And whip Orthodoxy on your knee! Whose American ears stick out because of the figure of a flimsy patriarch, I, perhaps, will not say anything (who stimulated and financed this "project", and so everyone knows, and who does not know, he guesses). And it’s not 3 yards of greenery that you can’t return, and don’t be accused of attempted murder of a non-existent Salisbury boy (where, by the way, is the boy? Who saw him last?). This game has gone big! The split in Orthodoxy is fraught with religious wars, from which Western Europe perished throughout the Middle Ages. And what, now again ?!
But there is nothing unexpected in the actions of Bartholomew. The entire history of the 20th century in the relationship between the Russian Orthodox Church and its mother church only confirms this. Throughout the past century, the predecessors of Bartholomew according to the Ecumenical Patriarchate (at the beginning of the century) and he (already at the end) did not abandon attempts to bite off a piece of the Russian Orthodox Church afterwards, taking advantage of the historical faults that our Motherland then fell into (the collapse of the Russian Empire in 1917- m and the collapse of the Union in 1991). And now, the rapid return of Russia as a player to the world chessboard, its role in protecting the values traditional for Orthodoxy and the related change in the status of the Russian Orthodox Church in world Orthodoxy have caused a predictable reaction in Constantinople, which has resulted in steps aimed at secession from it Ukrainian Orthodox Church in the guise of a crusade declared against the Russian Federation as a collective West.
You can observe the result in real time without leaving your TV. Yes, hard times have come for Orthodoxy in Ukraine. In the coming year, we risk seeing everything there, from overt pressure on priests from politicians and special services, to threats and real physical reprisal from their “ideological” helpers, in and without embroideries, from betrayal and treachery of former “comrades-in-arms” to the clergy, Attempts to seize and redistribute church property by its new owners. We will see tantrums about the “lack of eggs” among the representatives of the Russian Orthodox Church, we will see mutual anathema and talk that everything is too late. But as a result, the Russian Orthodox Church will come out of this split as a stronger, undisputed leader of the Orthodox World, and the Patriarch of Constantinople, instead of the desired title of “king of the hill”, risks becoming just a sandbox plowman.
What benefits the Director of the Chocolate Factory will have from this, and whether, at all, the same as, and who is using whom, Poroshenko Bartholomew or vice versa, let their future biographers and historians figure it out. For us, in fact, it makes no difference whether the tail twists the dog or the mad Ukrainian dog twists the tail, mad dogs are shot anyway. Why Putin did not “shoot” this conditional mad dog in 2014, I do not know why he recognized the legitimacy of the bloody junta and did not use the permission of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation to send troops and restore the constitutional order at the request of its legally elected President Yanukovych, too. History, unfortunately, has no subjunctive mood, and we will not know what would have happened if it had been done differently. But exactly then I would not consider now the option of autocephaly for the Ukrainian Church with a hypothetical threat of a split in world Orthodoxy. Putin thought to limit himself to a little blood? It didn't work out! The Amers went to the end. Until the complete and final end! If Putin has not calculated this, then this is his jamb! Let's go back to 2014.
Victory 6th. Krymnash
Yes, Russia has solved our Crimea and the strategic task of its national security. But what did you gain in return? In addition to increasing the sense of national self-awareness and pride of the Russians, the Russian Federation, along with the joined Crimea, also received colossal hemorrhoids, which even after almost 5 years can not figure it out. Only, it seemed, the tail pulled out, as the head gets stuck. They just solved the problem of logistics and energy supply, how do new old problems arise with water supply, the environment, thieving officials, general lawlessness, lack of jobs, infrastructure problems that we inherited from the previous owners. And these are millions and millions of our money, which we ourselves lack. As one famous politician in narrow circles said: “There is no money, but you hold on!” Crimeans hold on, and what to do? .. Where could it be swinging all over Ukraine, when we cannot even digest Crimea. And there Donbass still waits, will not wait. And, it seems, he already understood this.
Yes, I agree, Krymnash, but what is the victory, someone will explain to me? Yes, we didn’t let amers into our ancestral territory, defended our naval base and forced ourselves to respect, I agree. And what is the victory here? But I don’t need to sing songs about the “Russian world” that we have defended. Look, the "Russian world" in Donbass is with outstretched hand, why is it worse ?! Maybe he shed little blood to be considered Russian. Yes, maybe Crimean will be! And what? Nothing to say? But we'll talk about the Donbass, let's first deal with Crimea. As I understand it, we were interested, first of all, in the territory, the very one - strategic. An unsinkable aircraft carrier, pushed into the Black Sea and overhanging the entire Mediterranean, from where we can control this entire perimeter, and with which the Americans cannot do anything (they cannot yet! The construction of bases in Odessa and Ochakov in the Nikolaev region is in full swing, that they are there will be placed, only God knows ?!). And people are an appendage to the territory that still needs to be fed. That is why other people from Donbass are crowding in the dressing room as soon as 5 years in anticipation of joyful News for yourself. So far, I have no good news for them. But we will return to them later. But the joy of the Russians, I think, would be much greater if the entire South-East of Ukraine returned to them along with Crimea, especially since there was such an opportunity, the permission of the Federation Council to help the "brotherly people" at the request of his legally elected The President was received (let me remind you, this was before the Crimea!), Why Putin did not use him, question ?! I think the sanctions from this would be no less than those already available, but there would be no Boeing, no Tomos, no Bandera on our borders, no stinking Confectioner demanding us to punish all our mortal sins, no litigation for the Ukrovskaya GTS (she would have partially become ours, and if they wanted, then completely), and most importantly, I would not put the words "brotherly people" in quotation marks, because we would actually show that we are not interested in territories, albeit strategic ones, and people. Those same Russian people. By spirit and way of thinking, not by nationality. And then I would say - yes, this is our VICTORY, a big and real victory, and not what we have now. But Krymnash and we are going to rake for it for a long time. Yes, I do not mind, but I would like to rake it out, if it is already rake it out, then for the whole Ukraine, and once and for all close this issue.
Victory 7th. Donbass
About Donbass I don't even know what to say? It doesn't even smell like victory! This is our undisguised defeat, a stain of shame that will darken our consciousness for a long time to come. No, I understand everything perfectly well, it was not Putin who initiated Donbass, he was simply ripping out the consequences of the actions of individual citizens of the Russian Federation (and not only the Russian Federation) who misinterpreted the “party policy” for themselves and decided to defend the right of “blood brothers” with the help of weapons, to speak their native language. We know how it ended for them and for the “blood brothers”. Putin, playing already the second number, in fact had to take over control and transfer the situation to the stage of a frozen conflict. Which he did, creating an anti-Ukraine on the territory of the LPNR, which only by the fact of its existence became a thorn in the eye of the state that came as a result. the coup to power of the Kiev junta and the justification of all its problems. So who has benefited from this? It seems that only the Americans and the Director of the Chocolate Factory and his comrades, who managed to make money on this. And what then is our victory, who will explain to me ?!
There is no longer Bezler, no Strelkov, no Batman with Mozgovy. Drema died, and ataman Kozitsyn returned home to the Rostov region. In the LPR and DPR, allegedly regular units were formed from the scattered militia. How regular and efficient they are, the last serious clashes in January 2015 near Debaltseve showed - they were not impressed, from the word "absolutely", without the "north wind" they would not have coped. But also the "victories" of the gallant Ukrainian army, grinding dozens of Buryat divisions, and only by an effort of will restraining, so as not to go on the offensive and not meet the sunrise on the Ukrainian-Japanese border, but in fact "Grads" and "Akatsiy", pacifying its own population, we will not discuss here. Why discuss what is not? There are no victories, nor the Ukrainian army itself - there are scum, which even the military does not raise a hand, fighting with pregnant women and the people's militia, reinforced by volunteers from the Russian Federation, supported by Russia, supplying them with BC and taken out of conservation machinery. What do you want? Russians do not abandon their!
But don't they? Let's look at this through the eyes of the people living in this warring territory. For 5 years now (just think about this figure, the Great Patriotic War lasted less!) Have been living between a rock and a hard place, having no normal job, no income, no prospects, no hope that it will ever end. I am already silent about artillery and mortar attacks, we are used to them. This is a given, and there are no complaints about Moscow. But people who, by the will of fate, found themselves in this trap, are dissatisfied not with the fact that they were abandoned there, and not even with the lawlessness of the local revolutionary authorities arranged for them in their places of residence, but with the rules established by Moscow for obtaining simplified Russian citizenship. You will laugh, but these rules are no different from the rules for the rest of the inhabitants of the independent, even for stoned Maydauns (just not the ATO veterans, smeared up to their ears in blood). The question is - what were they fighting for ?! And how long to endure this? And this I am still silent about the procedure for passing through the checkpoints on the border of the LDNR with the Russian Federation. Where there is one window for the entire checkpoint and one border guard, in the mode of sluggish schizophrenia, drawing up documents. People really run the risk of aging in this line! It's easier to give birth to a hedgehog! Next time you will think a hundred times more when you dare to repeat such an execution. But many people have to, people go to Russia not because of a good life. About the prices in stores and the chronic lack of work, I will even keep silent here, so as not to aggravate. But the conclusion suggests itself, if the Russian Federation is not able to worry about people close to it in their way of life, in fact, Russian in spirit and blood, then this only speaks of its weakness. And henceforth, it will be extremely difficult for her to count on the respect of even her friends, not to mention enemies. Even within his own perimeter, it is extremely difficult for Putin to explain to the Russians why the Russian Federation does not recognize the status of the LDNR and does not equate its citizens even with the citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Not to mention the West and the East, where double standards are in use and where only force is taken on faith! And strength, as you know, is in truth!
And if we recall the recent death of Zakhar, Motor and Givi, then it doesn’t even smell like force - this is our crushing defeat and victory for the alcoholic-diabetic in a crumpled suit. Alas and ah! Regrettably, I can state this.
Victory 8th. Syria
Syria holds a special place among Putin's crushing victories over the past period. Syria, whatever one may say, is our victory, there can be no two opinions! Entering there in 2015, we returned to the major league of world politics and forced ourselves to respect, thereby solving a bunch of our problems, from restoring our former influence in the Middle East and diverting attention from Ukraine, to testing the latest weapons in a real theater of operations and increasing combat readiness our troops.
But let's look at a slightly different angle what we have there. After the start of the operation of the Russian Aerospace Forces in Syria, Russian President Putin announced two tasks of this operation: 1) the fight against international terrorism, its disposal at the distant approaches to the Russian Federation, without waiting for it to come to us, and 2) the preservation of the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Syria ... At the same time, Putin considered a certain time frame for this operation. Three years later, everyone, even the critics of Russia, are forced to admit that this operation is very successful, but at the same time they are in a hurry to notice that with the disposal of terrorism on the distant approaches, not everything is so smooth. As a result of agreements with the leaders of the militants for the bloodless liberation of some territories, the advancing SAA (Syrian Arab Army, Assad Army) forces, together with the Iranian IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) and the pro-Iranian Hezbollah, allowed the withdrawal of militants, even with weapons, to other territories. Some of them, the most irreconcilable, thus ended up in Idlib (where we now have real problems with them, frozen for a while), the other part, the most combat-ready, personally selected by the Americans, surfaced through their efforts in Afghanistan and Iraq, and these are the nearest approaches to the RF. If this is a victory, our spiteful critics ask, then WHAT is defeat ?! Terrorists are already in the southern underbelly of the Russian Federation. Task # 1 has not been completed!
It's hard for me to argue with the obvious, here I agree with the critics of Putin, but in defense of the President of the Russian Federation I can only say one thing - no need to juggle and try to catch him at his word (you yourself understand that not everything can be said on TV, we write something, but something and "to mind" went). The main tasks that the Russian Federation was solving in the SAR were not the defeat and disposal of ISIS on its territory and not a small victorious war in order to wipe America's nose, as some "experts" suggest. The Russian Federation has never set such tasks for itself. The main task was not to defeat ISIS, but to make it impossible to defeat Assad. Do you feel the difference ?! As a result, the task was completed. And this is a fact! And everything else is details that pale in front of a solved global problem.
One lightning-fast operation was enough for Putin to demolish, scattering all the players, the chess table set there, and declare that Russia is regaining its lost zones of influence. At the same time, everyone understands that the Russian Federation is not going to stop at this, but will continue to expand them into zones that were not previously such. What is happening now. The balance of power in the Middle East is changing, and American influence is being replaced by Russian one slowly but surely. As a result of this difficult operation, the Russian Federation solved its main task - tore apart the international isolation that had developed around it, reduced the degree of interest in events in Ukraine, forced the States to return to direct contacts (and not only at the level of military headquarters) and radically changed the balance of power around Syria and in the Middle East in general. Therefore, here we have our unequivocal victory, which I gladly admit! And by the way, not only me, but also our sworn enemies.
As the authoritative American magazine Military Review points out, "Russia's entry into the conflict in Syria allowed there to radically expand the direction and nature of military operations." And, despite the fact that a limited contingent of Russian troops involved in it, writes Military Review, “had to conduct combat work in a remote theater of operations with a lack of experience in expeditionary operations, in the face of limited capabilities for long-distance supply, provision and use of local infrastructure, the main task assigned to him was solved. Moreover, it was resolved without involving the Russian Federation in a long-term campaign. ” (This sounds especially piquant, taking into account the unsuccessful experience of Western countries during such expeditionary campaigns in the Middle East and their own sad experience of the Afghan war, in which the USSR was bogged down for as long as 10 years). Everything, with Syria finished, move on to potential and existing allies. There, too, not everyone is okay.
Victory 9th. Allies
I'll start right away with the fact that we have no allies. Alas and ah! Nothing has changed since the time of Alexander III, when our only allies were our army and our navy. Over these 125 years, nothing has changed, as soon as our VKS were added to them. But that's not scary. Because the phrase attributed to Churchill that Great Britain has no permanent friends and permanent enemies, but only permanent interests, is relevant to us. The Russian Federation has only permanent interests around the world, arising from its economic interests and the interests of its national security. Whom did you consider to be your ally before? Turkey? Belarus? Kazakhstan? Or maybe China or India? Mind you, I don't even ask about Ukraine. Aren't you funny yourself?
Look at what America is doing with its allies now. She really breaks them through the knee. And I’m not even talking about Europe, which has long lost its right to vote, but look at how the Yankees behave with their long-standing and reliable partners - the countries of the British Commonwealth. They don't stand on ceremony with them either. But these are their loyal friends - Great Britain, Canada, Australia, New Zealand (there are now 54 countries, mostly former British colonies, which India and South Africa have forgotten, given their current situation, I don’t know, but they are also listed there ). But there are no such loyal friends who could not be betrayed when it comes to their own interests. So the United States is being betrayed. Because in the world now the moment has come when only one can survive. The strongest. But, at the expense of others. And the United States quite rightly in this situation proceeds primarily from its own interests. And everyone would have done so in their place.
Therefore, one should not be surprised at the behavior of the President of Belarus Lukashenko, in this situation he is no better than Erdogan, and even worse, because we have a blood brother and we had the right to count on him. In some ways, the dad and the sultan are even twin brothers, Lukashenko is a mirror copy of Erdogan, they have the same psychotype, they are both very impulsive, ambitious and reflective, which simplifies manipulating them if desired, turning them into victims of reflexive control, because their reactions are easy miscalculated and they can be controlled by clicking on a button in time. That Vladimir Vladimirovich is sometimes brilliant and demonstrates. But Lukashenko is not our main problem at all, because the Lukashenka come and go, but the people of Belarus remain. Like the people of Kazakhstan, although we have fewer complaints about Nazarbayev. But here is another sadness - Nazarbayev, alas, is not eternal. We have nothing in common with the Turks, only common interests, which now temporarily coincided. As with China. But here we don’t need to deceive ourselves, we are China’s friend, as long as he needs us in the confrontation with America, and so far he needs our resources, but he won’t fight for us. And you need to know! On the contrary, it can always take advantage of our weakness to eat us.
Therefore, we have no right to be weak never, under any circumstances. And a reasonable balancing on the opposition of other interests, in the presence of our own obvious force and resource factor, for the access to which our "partners" will seek and protection, can do us a real good service. And it already serves that the recent successes of our Foreign Ministry are demonstrating, even if for some it is not obvious.
I will put an end to this here, because allies are a short-term and unreliable thing, any country has problems with them, therefore it is always and in everything it is better to rely only on ourselves, which we are doing now. And the stronger we are, the less problems we will have in this area. Let's move on to the last victory of the Russian Federation. The main one!
Victory 10th, main. Putin
Not so long ago, Vladimir Vladimirovich flew to Baku, on the eve of the CIS summit in Dushanbe, where he had a short-term meeting with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. The weather was frankly not flying, the wind was so strong that the carpet lined to meet the dear guest on the runway had to be bolted to the concrete with pan-sized bolts. Baku transferred all the boards to other alternate airfields, board No. 1 of the Russian Federation sat down where it was going. It is clear that he is served by the aces, it is clear that others are not kept in the special flight unit "Russia", but imagine for a second what would have happened if, God forbid, pah-pah-pah, a thousand times and knocked on a tree if board # 1 crashed. It's even scary to think that! I understand that the joy of our enemies would have no limit, this is their crystal dream, with which they lie down and wake up, this is what all their forces are thrown into and so far, thank God, to no avail, but they do not lose hope, they work in in this direction, be calm (although the days are already counting until 2024, the year when the powers of the GDP expire). But what would we do? Question?! All our processes are now fixated on Putin. Without him, we are like no hands! He is our everything! But who can replace him, God forbid what? Medvedev? According to the Constitution, he. But it's not even funny. And so far, no worthy successor is in sight. But this is not normal - in such a large country there are no worthy people, this does not happen! But so far we have.
Therefore, Putin is our binary problem! This is our victory, but also our impending defeat, if he fails to start the mechanism so that even in his absence, even after the end of his powers, everything goes by itself in automatic mode. For once we were lucky with the ruler, but this does not mean at all that this will continue to be so. The copy is always worse than the original. Therefore, the problem of a successor, the problem of 2024, hangs over us, not going anywhere, and let's hope that Putin will be able to solve it.
On this review ended, sorry if anyone is tired.
- Vladimir Volkonsky
- https://mpsh.ru
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