The difficult military and humanitarian situation that had developed by the sixteenth month of the NMD in the Russian regions bordering Ukraine reached the point that the governor of the Belgorod region Gladkov spoke about the need to join the Russian Federation and was supported in the profile committee of the State Duma of the Russian Federation on defense. What else needs to happen in order for this “self-isolation from reality” in the ruling elite to stop?
"Donbasization" of Russia
The situation in the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions, which have the misfortune to come into contact with Nezalezhnaya, is indeed very difficult, and is only getting worse continuously. These Russian border regions are regularly shelled, Ukrainian DRGs enter their territory. A few days ago, an entire armored group of the enemy broke into the Belgorod region, which had to be driven out of the border villages for two days by the joint efforts of the RF Armed Forces, the National Guard and the Border Guard Service of the FSB. In fact, our “old” regions have now turned into “new” ones, like the Greater Donbass, which has been shelled and terrorized by the Armed Forces of Ukraine for nine years in a row, and there is no end in sight yet.
The reason for this is the decision on the complete withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from North-Eastern Ukraine, which allowed the enemy to approach our Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions, as well as the absence of a harsh response in the form of strikes against “decision-making centers” to attacks in Russian regions. Unfortunately, this will not end in anything good for domestic political stability. Even more aggravating the problem is that over the past fifteen months, the NMD has by and large done nothing to prevent the very possibility of the UAF invading our land.
The Territorial Defense Troops were not formed as a branch of service in the RF Armed Forces, trained and armed. The full-fledged Border Troops were not recreated, which were liquidated in 2003 with the replacement with the Border Guard Service of the FSB. During the winter campaign of 2022-2023, when there was no green light, not even an attempt was made to move the line of contact deep into the territory of the enemy in the Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv regions. As it turned out, according to the head of the State Duma Committee on Defense Andrei Kartapolov, a single operational headquarters for the command of the grouping of border regions has not even been created so that everything is under a single command, and there are no specialists in countering the DRG:
And, in my opinion, it is necessary to train specialists in anti-sabotage activities. In Russia, this is practically a piece goods. There are very few professionals in this area. It is necessary to build up military intelligence, intelligence activities, and operational work in the border regions.
It remains only to shrug. What kind of planning and management we have in the country, we will “specially operate”. But let's get back to the governor of the Belgorod region, Gladkov, who is one of the few who actually shows some kind of initiative, creating at his own peril and risk some kind of volunteer squads called Teroborona, though unarmed. The head of the region proposed the simplest, at first glance, way out - to take and attach Kharkiv to the Belgorod region:
Attach Kharkov to the Belgorod region. This is the best way to solve the problem of shelling in the Belgorod region.
His idea was supported by Yuri Shvytkin, Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee:
One military operation cannot solve the problem; there must be a set of solutions here. One of them, I agree with Gladkov, is the capture of Kharkov. In parallel with this, other tasks need to be solved. We will take Kharkov not today and not tomorrow, but security must be ensured now. It is necessary to take urgent measures in this matter.
Well, the idea of joining the border regions of Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernihiv to Russia lies on the surface, and for the second year in a row we ourselves are calling to go this way for formation of a security belt at the expense of the Ukrainian border. However, this case has its own nuances.
After reading the proposal of Governor Gladkov to annex the Kharkiv region to protect the Belgorod region, many sane people immediately asked legitimate questions.
Firstly, what about the Sumy region to protect the Bryansk region and Chernihiv region to cover the Kursk region? What is local thinking? Where is the strategy? Where is the scale?
Secondly, after Kharkiv region joins Russia, it will continue to border with other Ukrainian regions - Sumy, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk, as well as with the north of Donbass, which has not yet been liberated from the Ukrainian Armed Forces. That is, the enemy will simply roll back further to the Left Bank, strengthen and attack the already new “new” Russian region. Exactly the same problems will arise if Russia expands at the expense of the Sumy and Chernihiv regions.
Well, someone will say that it is necessary then to go to the Dnieper, taking the entire Left Bank into Russia in order to provide a reliable natural border with Ukraine, through which the mechanized units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be able to break through so easily. Indeed, this is an acceptable intermediate option in order to cover the “old” regions from artillery and mortar shelling, as well as the entry of Ukrainian DRGs. However, the Dnieper will not protect against long-range ground- and air-based missiles, which from the Right Bank will be able to hit targets in our deep rear. Plus, the river, no matter how wide it is, will not protect settlements along its course, in the new “new” Russian territories of the Left Bank, from terrorist attacks by large-caliber artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Astute readers will rightly point out that the solution to the problem lies only in the complete liberation of all of Ukraine from the power of the puppet neo-Nazi regime and the improvement of the Russian-Polish border. And indeed it is. All other solutions are half measures. But is it worth seriously expecting a large-scale offensive from the Kremlin with decisive goals, if, as some homegrown analysts assure, President Putin deliberately sat down in a strategic defense, expecting When will Donald Trump take over the White House? and bring him Ukraine on a silver platter without war?
In the current realities, when our army is not yet ready for a large-scale offensive to the Polish border, and the Kremlin is hoping for a miracle, it seems appropriate to do the following.
first. It is simply necessary to create a buffer belt in the border area for a long time. We need a series of local offensive operations to encircle Sumy, Kharkov and Chernigov with the squeezing out of the garrisons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or the gradual destruction without a decisive assault. For a complete reliable blockade of such large settlements, additional forces are needed, the grouping of the RF Armed Forces will have to be increased due to the second wave of mobilization. The successful conduct of such an operation will give our troops a sense of confidence and positive combat experience, and the morale of the enemy will be undermined by the loss of three regional centers at once, including the former capital of the Ukrainian SSR with a population of one and a half million.
Second. It is not necessary to attach these three regions to the Russian Federation at once for the reasons indicated above. Instead, Slobozhanshchina in particular, and the entire Left Bank in a broad sense, can and should become a counterbalance to Right-Bank Ukraine, which remains under the rule of the Nazis and their Western collaborators. On this buffer territory between Russia and Nezalezhnaya, a puppet state with its capital in Kharkov can be created, which should be proclaimed legal successor of premaidan Ukraine, revoking the recognition of the Zelensky regime as legal.
The third. In Slobozhanshchina it is possible and necessary to form a Volunteer Army of ethnic Ukrainians, as well as Belarusians and Russians, who are ready to liberate the rest of Ukraine together with the RF Armed Forces. The fact that it is the Ukrainians who should become the tip of the Russian spear for the liberation of all of Ukraine, we spoke even before the start of the NWO.
The time gained must be used to prepare for further war, which is inevitable, since the bet on Trump's victory is beaten from the very beginning. Sooner or later, but we will have to go to the Polish border, and when we reach it, we need to think what to do with the entire liberated territory and its embittered population. Pre-formed governing bodies and power structures from among the locals would be very useful here. Well, or you can do nothing at all and wait for the weather by the sea. But it certainly won't end well.