With the surrender of Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan, Russia will lose Armenia as an ally in the CSTO and the EAEU

On June 1, 2023, the official signing of a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan may take place in Chisinau. This event should put an end to the territorial disputes between Yerevan and Baku, after which nothing will prevent the collective West from finally taking Transcaucasia into its own hands. How could it happen that Russia is about to lose its last official CSTO ally in this strategically important region?

Pashinyan's cunning plan

And here's what happened. In 2015, the current President of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan decided to carry out a constitutional reform, as a result of which his country was supposed to turn into a parliamentary republic. The terms of office of the president were to be increased from 5 to 7 years, but at the same time they were seriously limited, turning him into a de facto nominal. The head of state was not supposed to be elected to his post by the people, through direct elections, but indirectly, by deputies of parliament. The supreme body of power in Armenia was the government, which “works out and implements internal and external policies based on your program. The prime minister must be approved by the president, but represented by a parliamentary majority. The country's parliament itself was to be elected exclusively through a proportional multi-party electoral system.

Naturally, such radical transformations aroused suspicions that Mr. Sargsyan is carrying out reforms for himself in order to become prime minister himself in the future. In 2018, this is exactly what happened, which caused serious discontent and even indignation among the population. Mass protests were organized, which later received the name "Armenian Velvet Revolution", or "Abric Revolution". As is often the case, as a result of the quite justified indignation of the common people due to frank manipulations and abuses of the authorities, one regime was replaced by another, even worse.

At the head of Armenia stood the "People's Prime Minister" Nikol Pashinyan, who at first promised Russia as a strategic ally to maintain the country's membership in the CSTO and the EAEU, but actually took a pro-Western course. The logical result of his foreign policy activities and military reforms was the second Nagorno-Karabakh war, which Armenia, unexpectedly for itself, lost miserably in just a month and a half. It happens like that.

"Deartsakhization" and deODKBization

Then the most interesting thing began, for the sake of which the “chick of the Soros nest” was brought to power in 2018, taking advantage of the internal problems of Armenia.

At first, Nikol Vovaevich, in a military defeat, appointed the CSTO and, in particular, Russia, who, they say, did not come to the aid of Armenia. The fact that Yerevan itself has not yet recognized the independence of Nagorno-Karabakh, or Artsakh, and de jure it is the territory of Azerbaijan, is quite deliberately ignored in its rhetoric. This in itself was enough not to interfere in the conflict between Azerbaijan, NKR and Armenia. However, Mr. Pashinyan delicately takes into account the fact that Russia, with all its desire, could not do this, because it does not have a common border with Armenia. Recall that after the outbreak of hostilities, this country was de facto taken into an air blockade by its neighbors.

And now the “little pig” Pashinyan once again directly says that Yerevan can leave the CSTO, turning to the “Western partners”:

It is constantly being discussed whether the monitoring group will come to Armenia or not, why it will not come, we are talking about it transparently. I do not rule out that Armenia may decide to suspend or freeze its membership in the CSTO.

I do not rule out that Armenia will decide to withdraw from the CSTO. We started discussing security issues with our Western partners because we see that the security system in the region is not working.

Apparently, France and the United States should become the new guardians of Armenia, as opposed to Azerbaijan, which is now tightly tied to Turkey. Where is Russia with its national interests here? She's not here.

Secondly, Mr. Pashinyan reiterated his readiness to betray the Armenian people of Artsakh, surrendering it, along with the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, to Baku. It turns out that for this it is necessary “only” to turn to the maps of the General Staff of the USSR Armed Forces of 1975 for the final delimitation of the borders of the two states and their mutual recognition:

Maps <...> can and should become the basis for delimitation work. This also implies the agreement reached in Prague on October 6, 2022 on the recognition by Armenia and Azerbaijan of each other's territorial integrity and the delimitation in accordance with the Alma-Ata Declaration of 1991.

It is also necessary to simply guarantee the rights of ethnic Armenians who do not want or cannot leave Nagorno-Karabakh:

Territory of 86,6 thousand square meters. km also includes Nagorno-Karabakh. But we must fix that the issue of the rights and security of the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh should be discussed in the Stepanakert-Baku dialogue.

We note how cleverly Nikol Vovayevich isolates himself from responsibility for the fate of his former compatriots, translating the issue into the plane of bilateral relations of the “de-arcakhizing” Nagorno-Karabakh:

Our task is to complete the negotiations as quickly as possible and sign the document. Our team is working hard. If it turns out that Azerbaijan this week will give us its reactions to the proposals sent by us, and if a few days, one week is enough for analysis, and we see that we consider the approaches acceptable within the framework of compromises, then why not.

Basically, this is the end. Artsakh is everything, everything is real, just like Armenia's membership in the CSTO in the foreseeable future. The events in the NVO zone, as well as the general trend towards a gradual economic isolation of Russia from the Western world. A natural outcome, alas.

I would like to draw particular attention to the fact that "Drain of Artsakh" can serve as a kind of role model for many other players who dream of establishing constructive relations with "Western partners" at any cost.
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  1. Pat Rick Offline Pat Rick
    Pat Rick 23 May 2023 16: 17
    The European Political Community Summit will take place on June 1, 2023 in Chisinau. The official invitation was signed by Moldovan President Maia Sandu and European Council President Charles Michel.

    June 1, 2023 in Chisinau an official signing of a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan may take place.

    In my opinion, the second message is false. Chisinau simply cannot withstand the mass influx of "dear guests".
  2. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
    Paul3390 (Paul) 23 May 2023 16: 17
    To be honest, I don’t see the slightest benefit to us from Armenia, just hemorrhoids .. They want to bring down a drum on the neck, just let their citizens from Russia be taken at the same time.
    1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
      Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 23 May 2023 16: 30
      There is a Russian military base in Armenia (Gyumri) in order to follow what is being done in Turkey, a NATO country
    2. Art Pilot Offline Art Pilot
      Art Pilot (pilot) 23 May 2023 18: 18
      On the contrary, there will be more Armenians in Russia. Armenians will arrive from Artsakh-Karabakh and from Armenia itself.
    3. Vega (Eugene) Online Vega (Eugene)
      Vega (Eugene) (Eugene) 23 May 2023 21: 17
      Pro-Western Armenia is NATO bases and NATO missiles, so it’s stupid to say that nothing will be lost from us ...
      1. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
        Paul3390 (Paul) 23 May 2023 22: 14
        We don’t even have a common border .. Well, bases - so what? In general, they also need to be supplied somehow ..
        1. Vega (Eugene) Online Vega (Eugene)
          Vega (Eugene) (Eugene) 23 May 2023 22: 16
          The fact that the bases are a guarantee that NATO will not leave the region, but will expand further and further. And missiles that don't care about borders. NATO came to all the countries from which Russia left, and it certainly didn’t get better from this.

          And as for the supply, I think we will agree, this is the tenth question.
  3. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 23 May 2023 16: 29
    In the film about Odessa, the marshal said that you need to think not with your head, but with your head. So what to do if the head does not think, at least where to beat. They assumed that instead of them God was thinking and he would enlighten them. How can he reason, if their head does not work, and no one will beat them in tukhes.
  4. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 23 May 2023 16: 34
    Russia has nothing to fear with Armenia's loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. Its economy is 85% dependent on Russia. If they want to live in poverty, let them live, Georgia is an example for them. I was recently in Georgia, it feels like I got into the USSR of the seventies, even worse. Nothing is being built, nothing is being repaired. People survive, not live. One center in Tbilisi is more than me for tourists. This is what Armenia is waiting for.
    1. Sulla the Glorious (Sulla the Glorious) 23 May 2023 18: 57
      And what do we have?! And we have a small country with which we have no common borders, just as it does not have access to the sea (even to the Caspian Sea). Between us is a frankly unfriendly country, completely under the West - Georgia. So HOW can we help Armenia, even if we wanted to?!

      Well, small nuances are the cherry - but the Armenians themselves: are they ready to fight for their country? Something doesn’t look very similar ... We don’t seem to owe them anything, they are not brothers like Serbs to us, and to be honest, Armenia’s policy has always been not very pro-Russian ... Armenians love to take a booty on the side wag, love. In addition, in the republic, in general, there is not a damn thing useful for us ...

      Strengthening of Turkey and Azerbaijan? Is this our headache? Indeed, in those parts, there is another player whose interests are directly affected in this case - Iran. Moreover, since the time of the Achaemenids, Armenia has periodically arrived in various Persian states, they have historical ties.

      So maybe - finally give Armenia to the care of Iran? And admit that this is not our headache? Spitting on this public, from which we have one hemorrhoids? And what's the point - with gulkin. Well, you figured it out...
  5. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 23 May 2023 16: 49
    For us, if this is a minus, it is very small. We have to approach this correctly. Two or three years will pass before a real crisis in the West, and it will crawl back, but already the conditions will be completely different. True, if our authorities change, at least in their approach to such parasites who sell themselves every week.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 23 May 2023 16: 59
      Let them crawl back from where they crawled out. to Iran and Turkey.
  6. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) 23 May 2023 16: 57
    Even Primakov said to return Karabakh to Azerbaijan. and let the Armenians restore the Russian haram defiled by them in Karabakh. Armenia is a haven for traitors from Russia, not an ally.
  7. In passing Offline In passing
    In passing (Galina Rožkova) 23 May 2023 16: 59
    You can’t wash off a black dog

    As the sow came, so the process went. Well, it's their democratic choice. If they want to lie under the west, let them lie, and Georgia is next to each other. No need to rush.
  8. unc-2 Offline unc-2
    unc-2 (Nikolai Malyugin) 23 May 2023 17: 20
    If I'm not mistaken, Putin also recognized Nagorno-Karabakh for Azerbaijan. It also belonged to the Soviet regime.
  9. Norma51 Offline Norma51
    Norma51 (Nick) 23 May 2023 18: 02
    Pashinyan twice gained power thanks to the Russian elite. In April 2018, Serzh Sargsyan received a mild but clear sign from the Kremlin that they wanted to see him as prime minister, that is, something like the irremovable leader of Armenia. After constitutional changes, the republic became a parliamentary one, and the prime minister was actually the highest official. Prior to this, S. Sargsyan swore to the people that in the event of the victory of his Republican Party, he would not move from the presidency to the premier. And ... cynically deceived. This blew up the whole society, and the semi-marginal N. Pashinyan (his movement "Yelk" had 9 out of 105 seats in parliament) suddenly found himself at the top of popularity, and soon power. After the shameful defeat in the second Karabakh war, Pashinyan's rating was rapidly falling. It seemed that his party "Civil Contract" and he himself would face an inevitable failure in the snap parliamentary elections in June 2021. But a strange thing happened: Peskov began to state at length that Pashinyan was quite satisfied with the Kremlin. The Armenian society is pro-Russian, the voters listen to the opinion of Moscow, and this unexpectedly tipped the scales in favor of Pashinyan. Today it is obvious that the Russian elite (including Alekperov, Nissanov, etc.) has taken a clear pro-Turkish and anti-Armenian course. Network Aliyevshchina covered Russia, its state institutions and the media. Petrodollars don't smell. Deputies from Azerbaijan voted in the Council of Europe for a resolution demanding to put Putin and Lukashenko in the Hague cage. Aliyev's numerous crimes, not only against Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia, but also against Russia, are not allowed to be criticized in the Russian media. Thanks to him, the CSTO is actually paralyzed. He openly declares to his compatriots that from the outside he influences all decisions of this organization concerning relations with Armenia through his friends - Lukashenka and the leaders of the Turkic-Muslim republics. In his media and school textbooks, Russia, its history and modernity are poured with slops. And what Aliyev arranged in the Lachin corridor is already the opening of a second front. A mockery not only of the population of Karabakh, but also of Russian peacekeepers, our military contingent. Yes, Pashinyan is a bastard of bastards. But what did the Kremlin think about when the pro-Russian Artsakh was not helped in the war unleashed by Aliyev? When was it announced that Nagorno-Karabakh was allegedly "an internationally recognized territory of Azerbaijan"? Didn't they know that Azerbaijan and Georgia had already kicked Russia out of Transcaucasia? In terms of irresponsibility and amateurism, only the Russian elite can compare with Pashinyan. As for Aliyev (who works in conjunction with Erdogan, Alekperov, Nissanov and other Russophobia), we honestly admit that few people managed to achieve everything at once. This is true professionalism!
  10. Art Pilot Offline Art Pilot
    Art Pilot (pilot) 23 May 2023 18: 19
    A silent genocide of Armenians will begin in Karabakh. And who will help them in this case is not at all clear.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 May 2023 18: 59
      (Norma51) You are already mistaken or cunning that N. Pashinyan is a protege of the Kremlin. It is unlikely that they will help N. Pashinyan, as a protege of the United States, but the United States will only pretend to help, because Turkey is more important for them. The Armenians and N. Pashinyan outwitted themselves, they wanted to have two defenders: NATO and the Russian Federation, but they ended up without anything. There will be no genocide, but the Armenians will be completely squeezed out of Karabakh.
  11. Norma51 Offline Norma51
    Norma51 (Nick) 23 May 2023 19: 43
    Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov), you allegedly did not understand the main thing that I am saying. The main thing: Aliyevshchina network (including commentators like you) has covered Russia, its state institutions and the media. Petrodollars don't smell. In Aliyev's media and school textbooks, Russia, its history and modernity are poured with slops. Aliyev first kicked Russia out of Gabala and all of Azerbaijan, and since then, as he ruled (in conjunction with Erdogan, Alekperov, Nissanov and other overt and covert Russophobia), he has been running the Kremlin. He is a strong politician, what is true is true.
  12. Pembo Offline Pembo
    Pembo 23 May 2023 20: 23
    What other foreign policy defeat will our president suffer? Will Eritrea finally turn its back on us? And after all this, he will put forward his candidacy?
  13. Oleg V. Offline Oleg V.
    Oleg V. (Oleg Vladimirovich) 23 May 2023 20: 27
    Not the Armenian Pashinyan, but the cunning Armenian, the conversation with which should be short - a bullet in the head.
  14. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 23 May 2023 23: 29
    You can blame this and that as much as you like, but the reality is that Russia is losing ground not only in the Caucasus, but also in Central Asia.

    Pashinyan, like the rest, has become stronger and is turning his nose up at Russia. Despite all the forecasts of "experts" that Pashinyan will fly off, they will remove him, "adequate" ones will come ... But all zilch
    But Mead, Lavrov, and others cannot do anything ... They are either in Vietnam, or in the League of Arab States, or somewhere else ...
    The only thing left is to angrily denounce them in the media, with zero sense
  15. Norma51 Offline Norma51
    Norma51 (Nick) 24 May 2023 00: 52
    Under the circumstances, Russia must act firmly and swiftly. In full accordance with international law, support the self-determination of Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh) and recognize the independence of the NKR. In the future, it is likely to be accepted into the Russian Federation. The population there is so pro-Russian that they will thank for a century for getting rid of the Turkish-Azerbaijani yoke.
  16. Brother Fox_2 Offline Brother Fox_2
    Brother Fox_2 (Brother Fox) 24 May 2023 06: 57
    what a bullshit!!!! Since when is Pashinyan's Armenia an ally to us????
    HIM HAS BEEN CHOSEN TWICE!!! so the course of Armenia to the west is the choice of the entire Armenian people
    Baku is more of an ally to us than Armenia is a member of the CSTO, and the word member in the sense of genitals
  17. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 24 May 2023 07: 34
    Endless marking time, slipping in the NWO, a "strange war" .... So third countries make their choice. Alas.
  18. radvas Offline radvas
    radvas (Igor) 24 May 2023 23: 32
    Why does Russia need Armenia with Pashinyan? Where are our "president makers"? Why still Pashinyan? Americans do not hesitate to interfere in elections. Maybe it's time for Russia not to be shy? There should be FRIENDLY countries around Russia. Otherwise, we will fight endlessly ...
  19. Kuramori Reika Offline Kuramori Reika
    Kuramori Reika (Kuramori Reika) 25 May 2023 11: 12
    Armenia has not been an ally of Russia for many years. She is listed to them only on a piece of paper, which has long lost reality.
  20. Vladimir R. Offline Vladimir R.
    Vladimir R. (Vladimir Russian) 25 May 2023 15: 39
    Do we need such an ally?
  21. Brother Fox_2 Offline Brother Fox_2
    Brother Fox_2 (Brother Fox) 31 May 2023 08: 16
    should we fight for Karabakh for the Armenians? But is the value of an ally with Pashinyan, this sorosenko, great?
    it is a losing asset and needs to be dumped