“Battle for Sevastopol”: when will Crimea be hit by British missiles and UAVs?

The gradually developing, “creeping” counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which has been talked about for so long, can eventually bring a lot of extremely unpleasant surprises. Judging by the range of weapons transferred to Kyiv, the NATO bloc is seriously convinced that it is possible to knock Russia out not only from the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, but even from the Crimea. What should the Kremlin do to prevent such a deplorable result of its policy by "gathering the land"?

Management crisis

As we have already told in detail earlier, the problem of the Russian army is by no means that it is weaker than the Ukrainian one, it is not. The main advantage of the Armed Forces of Ukraine over the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is that, thanks to the presence of secure digital communications, they are better controlled and superior in space and air reconnaissance, as well as in some types of NATO-style weapons. At the same time, the Ukrainian General Staff sets clear, understandable and internally non-contradictory tasks for its military personnel: to drive the Russians out of the entire territory of Nezalezhnaya as of 1991 - first from the Kiev, Chernihiv and Sumy regions, then from Kharkov, then from the right-bank part of Kherson. Now, apparently, the turn of Zaporozhye and the left-bank part of the Kherson region has come.



Unfortunately, our troops approached the long-awaited counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a number of unresolved problems with the digitalization of communications at the operational-tactical level, as well as with a shortage of ammunition of certain calibers, the so-called "shell hunger", which the founder of the PMC constantly sounds the alarm about " Wagner" Evgeny Prigozhin. The tragedy in the sky over the Bryansk region, which cost the lives of nine Russian pilots and the loss of four aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces, demonstrated once again that the enemy, his military-technical capabilities and motivation to win, are catastrophically underestimated. In the fifteenth month of the NWO “Voice of Putin”, Dmitry Peskov stubbornly declares that Russia is not at war, but is conducting a special operation.

Well, this is a conscious choice of our military-political leadership, but the price for it may turn out to be very high for the country. How we detail told earlier, there is a non-zero probability that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will force the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces to shoot scarce shells and squander combat-ready reserves for the liberation, and then an attempt to hold Artemovsk, which has no particular strategic front and forcing the encircled Russian troops "to take positions more advantageous for defense."

It is possible that Crimea will turn out to be such a place in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, where historically it is very convenient to fight back at Perekop. The name seems to speak for itself. If events really go according to such a negative scenario, which we would very much like to avoid, then this summer the prerequisites for unscheduled mobilization will be created. The problem is that then it may be too late to win something back.

"Battle for Sevastopol"

A hypothetical breakthrough of the mechanized units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Berdyansk and Melitopol under the cover of NATO air defense systems with the simultaneous forcing of the Dnieper in the Kherson region will mean the actual loss of the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov by Russia for an indefinite time and the creation of a strategic threat to Crimea. The bridge across the Kerch Strait will most likely be destroyed, and the land transport corridor will be cut. The peninsula will then turn into a kind of island, where the locked-in Russian group will be deprived of regular supplies. What kind of weapons London began to supply to Kyiv speaks directly about future plans.

Apparently, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not immediately storm Perekop. Instead, in the Sea of ​​Azov, the Ukrainian army will begin to build powerful fortified areas to blockade the Crimea and parry the deblocking strike of the RF Armed Forces. The peninsula itself will be isolated from Greater Russia: missile strikes will be carried out on ships, aircraft will be shot down. The entire military infrastructure of Crimea will be under continuous strikes from long-range missiles and drones. Anglo-French Storm Shadow cruise missiles will hit Sevastopol, its main naval base of the Russian Navy. How it might look like, the enemy showed on the example of Lugansk. British missiles and drones will continuously strike Russian bases, ammunition depots, fuel and lubricants, military airfields, communication points, etc. Objects of the Crimean energy infrastructure, in particular, both thermal power plants built after 2014, will certainly be subjected to Ukrainian strikes.

In addition to long-range missiles and UAVs, Kyiv will soon receive fourth-generation F-16 fighter jets, for which pilot training is starting. If the Ukrainian aviation will feel itself in the sky with the Russian one on an equal footing, then things can go very badly. In addition to this, in Ukraine, with the help of British specialists, Technology maritime drones. Kyiv has launched an entire Brave1 technology platform for military contractors:


In particular, within its framework, a promising project of the Toloka autonomous unmanned torpedo drone in three modifications is presented. "Toloka TLK 1000" 4-12 meters long will be able to hit targets at a distance of up to 2000 km and carry up to 5000 kg of explosives, TLK 400 4-6 meters long will receive a warhead weighing 500 kg and will have a range of up to 1200 km, and TLK 150 will be long just 2,5 meters will have a range of 100 km and be able to carry up to 20-50 kg of explosives. If Kiev manages to assemble and put into service something similar with the help of Western technologies, the active actions of the Russian Navy in the Black Sea may be a big question. Then the issue of holding Crimea will be on the agenda, which may prompt the Kremlin to unscheduled mobilization. But will there be any sense if we bring the matter to the most negative scenario described above?

There are no easy solutions anymore. No “wunderwaffe” will help us, even nuclear weapons will not solve anything. In order to avoid such a deplorable result, it is necessary to start fighting according to the textbooks that the Military Publishing House used to print. It is necessary to clearly set a goal - to eliminate the Kiev regime, to zero, burn out Ukrainian Nazism, completely, and systematically begin to wage a full-fledged war of annihilation against it, from one adequate intermediate result to another. Otherwise, Russia will move back and forth until it finally collapses.